Core Viewpoint - The free trade port concept has shown a significant increase, with a rise of 3.41% as of July 24, ranking sixth among concept sectors [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The free trade port concept sector saw 35 stocks increase, with notable performers including HNA Holding, Haima Automobile, and Dongfang Jiasheng reaching their daily limit up [1] - The top gainers in the free trade port sector included China Duty Free Group with a net inflow of 8.16 billion yuan, followed by HNA Holding, Hainan Ruize, and Haima Automobile with net inflows of 2.76 billion yuan, 2.15 billion yuan, and 1.63 billion yuan respectively [2][3] Group 2: Capital Flow - The free trade port concept sector experienced a net capital inflow of 20.31 billion yuan, with 24 stocks receiving net inflows, and 9 stocks exceeding 1 billion yuan in net inflow [2] - The stocks with the highest net inflow ratios included Dongfang Jiasheng at 35.59%, Haima Automobile at 30.47%, and Hainan Mining at 24.65% [3][4]

Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market, particularly the Hainan Free Trade Zone and Hainan sector, experienced a significant surge, with stocks like Kangzhi Pharmaceutical and Shennong Seed Industry hitting the daily limit of 20% increase [1] - Nearly 20 stocks in the Hainan sector, including Hainan Airport and Hainan Highway, also reached their daily limit, indicating high market enthusiasm [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - Recent policy releases, including the implementation of cross-border asset management pilot business guidelines, have opened new investment channels for foreign investors in Hainan [4] - The specific date for the full closure of Hainan Free Trade Port has been set for December 18, 2025, which will enhance the region's international connectivity and facilitate trade [5][6] - The "zero tariff" policy for goods will be more favorable, expanding the range of duty-free items from 1,900 to approximately 6,600, which is expected to attract more consumers [7] Group 3: Duty-Free Industry Outlook - The duty-free store sector is positioned as a core beneficiary of the policy advantages, with the potential for increased sales and customer traffic due to enhanced tourism appeal [7] - Sales data from Hainan's duty-free shopping indicate strong consumer interest, with total shopping amounts reaching 309.4 billion yuan in 2024 and over 2.53 trillion yuan by April 20 of the current year [7] - While the growth outlook for the duty-free industry is positive, challenges such as increased competition and potential price reductions due to a broader range of zero-tariff goods are anticipated [8]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed an overall upward trend on July 24, with the Hainan sector experiencing significant growth, becoming one of the market's highlights [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.48% to 3599.44 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.65% and the ChiNext Index by 0.72% [2] - Hainan sector surged over 9% by midday, with individual stocks like Kangzhi Pharmaceutical hitting a 20% limit up, and several others also reaching their daily limit [4][5] Group 2 - Major industry sectors such as retail, steel, and real estate saw gains exceeding 2%, while sectors like telecommunications and banking underperformed [4] - The Hainan sector's total market capitalization reached 349.73 billion, with a trading volume of 22.206 billion [5] - Specific stocks in the Hainan sector, including Hainan Airport and Hainan Highway, also recorded significant increases, with many stocks showing around 10% gains [6] Group 3 - The State Council announced that the Hainan Free Trade Port will officially start its closure operation on December 18, 2025, with new policies aimed at enhancing trade and investment [7][8] - The zero-tariff policy will expand significantly, increasing the proportion of zero-tariff imported goods from 21% to 74%, covering 6600 items [8] - The new policies will facilitate easier trade management and more efficient regulatory measures, promoting a smoother implementation of the open policies [7][8]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed an overall upward trend on July 24, with the Hainan sector experiencing significant growth, becoming one of the market's highlights [1][2] - The Hainan sector surged over 9% by midday, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, including Kangzhi Pharmaceutical, Hainan Airport, and Hainan Highway [4][6] - Major industry sectors such as retail, steel, and real estate saw gains exceeding 2%, while sectors like communication and banking underperformed [4] Group 2 - The China Electric Power Construction Company (China Power Construction) reached its daily limit, with trading volume exceeding 150 billion yuan, marking a near ten-year high [9] - The government announced that the Hainan Free Trade Port will officially start operations on December 18, 2025, with significant policy changes including an increase in zero-tariff goods from 21% to 74% [8] - The new policies will allow for a broader range of zero-tariff goods and more flexible trade management, enhancing the operational environment for businesses in Hainan [8]

Market Overview - On July 24, stocks related to Hainan and duty-free concepts experienced significant gains, with multiple companies hitting the daily limit, including Caesar Travel, Haixia Co., China Duty Free Group, and others [1] - The Hainan Free Trade Port index rose by 8.81% [2] Event: Hainan's Customs Closure Launch - The Hainan Free Trade Port will officially start its customs closure on December 18, 2025, establishing the entire island as a special customs supervision area [3] - New policies will be implemented upon the closure, including an increase in the proportion of "zero tariff" goods from 21% to 74% [3] Institutional Analysis - The coverage of "zero tariff" goods will expand significantly from 1,900 to approximately 6,600 items, representing a 53 percentage point increase [4] - The beneficiaries of the "zero tariff" policy will now include various enterprises and non-profit organizations with actual import needs, broadening the scope of the policy [4] - Restrictions on the flow of imported "zero tariff" goods will be relaxed, allowing free movement among beneficiaries, which is expected to enhance the competitiveness of local industries [4] - The efficient management model and diverse consumer market in Hainan are anticipated to boost tourism, with the tourism industry expected to benefit from policy incentives [4] - The demand for professional tour guide services and one-stop solutions for international tourists is expected to rise, benefiting travel agencies involved in cross-border tourism [5] - The independent nature of the duty-free policy is likely to remain, with expectations of increased consumption post-closure, aiming for over 60 billion yuan in sales by 2027 [5]

7月24日，海南自贸港概念股表现强劲，多只个股触及涨停。中国中免、海南机场、海南高速、海汽集 团、海南发展、凯撒旅业等纷纷封板涨停。与此同时，王府井、南宁百货、丽尚国潮、武商集团等相关 个股亦呈现跟涨态势。 免税购物政策的持续实施为相关企业带来长期发展机遇。财政部副部长廖岷表示，将继续实施离岛免税 购物政策，进一步优化调整政策安排。据统计，离岛免税新政实施五年来，免税购物金额累计达1958.2 亿元，购物人数达2858.9万人次。 旅游产业链相关企业将从封关政策中获得长期收益。海南加快建设国际旅游消费中心的步伐将带动景 区、酒店、旅游零售商、出行服务商等经营主体的业务增长。基础设施升级和营商环境改善为当地旅游 产业提供良好发展基础。 跨境资金流动的便利化措施也为金融服务业创造新的发展空间。海南自贸港建设中的税制改革将继续深 化，企业所得税和个人所得税优惠政策将持续落实。这些政策安排有助于吸引更多符合自贸港建设需要 的高端人才和优质企业落户海南。 随着封关运作时间的临近，海南自贸港的政策红利正逐步释放。市场对相关概念股的关注度持续升温， 投资者对海南自贸港建设带来的发展机遇抱有较高期待。 来源：金融界 海南本地 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of the specific date for the closure of Hainan Free Trade Port on December 18, 2025, has led to a significant rise in local stocks, particularly in the tourism and retail sectors, indicating strong market optimism about the future economic benefits of the policy [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Hainan local stocks have seen substantial increases, with Kangzhi Pharmaceutical reaching a 20% limit up, and other companies like HNA Holding and Haixia Co. also experiencing significant gains [1][2]. - The stock performance of various companies includes: - Kangzhi Pharmaceutical: +20.00% - HNA Holding: +10.14% - Hainan Airport: +10.11% - Haide Co.: +10.08% - Hainan Expressway: +10.01% - Hainan Bus Group: +10.01% - Haixia Co.: +49.99% - Caesar Travel: +9.98% - Haima Automobile: +7.61% - Shennong Seed Industry: +7.68% [2]. Group 2: Policy Details - The closure policy includes four key measures: 1. Implementation of a more favorable "zero tariff" policy, increasing the proportion of zero-tariff goods from 21% to 74% for "first-line" imports, allowing tax-free circulation among eligible entities within the island [3][4]. 2. More relaxed trade management measures, opening up certain previously restricted imports [3]. 3. Enhanced convenience in transportation, with eight existing open ports designated as "first-line" ports and ten additional "second-line" ports for smoother import processes [3]. 4. A more efficient and precise regulatory model to ensure smooth implementation of the open policies [3]. Group 3: Industry Implications - The closure is expected to significantly benefit the tourism industry in Hainan, helping to establish it as an international tourism consumption center, with long-term advantages for related businesses such as scenic spots, hotels, and travel retailers [4]. - The continued implementation of duty-free policies will maintain the competitive edge of duty-free operators, while the increased attractiveness of Hainan is anticipated to boost the overall development of the tourism retail market [4]. - The efficient management model and diverse consumer market in Hainan are projected to enhance its tourism appeal, driving growth in inbound tourism [4].

Market Performance - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept declined by 4.19%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors as of July 23 [1] - Notable stocks that hit the daily limit down include Hainan Ruize and Caesar Travel, while Hainan Strait Holdings and Hainan Highway experienced significant declines [1] - Only two stocks within the sector saw price increases, with Lishang Guochao rising by 5.18% and Hainan Huatie by 1.04% [1] Capital Flow - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept experienced a net outflow of 3.679 billion yuan, with 27 stocks seeing net outflows and 13 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net outflows [1] - Hainan Huatie led the outflow with 920 million yuan, followed by Hainan Development, Caesar Travel, and Hainan Highway with outflows of 297 million yuan, 288 million yuan, and 254 million yuan respectively [1] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included Lishang Guochao and ST Huawen, with inflows of 36.78 million yuan and 1.12 million yuan respectively [1] Stock Performance Details - Hainan Huatie had a price change of 1.04% with a turnover rate of 23.47% and a net outflow of 919.67 million yuan [2] - Hainan Development saw a decline of 3.64% with a turnover rate of 18.83% and a net outflow of 296.70 million yuan [2] - Caesar Travel experienced a significant drop of 9.94% with a turnover rate of 23.44% and a net outflow of 288 million yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery sector shows significant divergence in June data, with a focus on the industry's anti-involution process [3] - The express logistics market is expanding, supported by the national strategy to boost domestic demand, with a year-on-year growth of 15.8% in express delivery volume in June 2025 [5] - The performance of major express companies varies, with SF Express maintaining a business volume growth rate of over 30%, while other companies like YTO Express and Yunda Express show slower growth [4][5] Summary by Sections Express Logistics - In June 2025, the total express delivery volume reached 16.87 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%, with total revenue of 126.32 billion yuan, up 9.0% [5][24] - Major express companies' performance in June: YTO Express (2.627 billion pieces, +19.34%), Yunda Express (2.173 billion pieces, +7.41%), SF Express (1.460 billion pieces, +31.77%) [4][28] - The market share for these companies is 15.6% for YTO, 12.9% for both Yunda and Shentong, and 8.7% for SF Express [4] Air Transportation - The air travel sector is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 4.4% in passenger transport volume in June 2025 [52] - Major airlines are projected to improve their performance in Q2 2025 due to better supply-demand dynamics and lower oil prices [8] Shipping and Ports - The shipping sector is anticipated to benefit from OPEC+ production increases and a favorable economic environment, with a focus on crude oil transportation [16] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) increased by 27.8% week-on-week, indicating a recovery in the bulk shipping market [11][68] - Container throughput at Chinese ports showed a slight increase in cargo volume but a decrease in container throughput [81] Road and Rail - In June 2025, road freight volume increased by 2.86% year-on-year, while rail freight volume rose by 7.36% [45] - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with a slight increase in freight truck traffic [14] Supply Chain Logistics - Companies like Shenzhen International and Debon Logistics are expected to benefit from strategic transformations and improved profitability [15]

[Estimated Performance for the Current Period](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%80%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E8%AE%A1%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) The company projects a net loss attributable to shareholders of **24 million to 35 million yuan** for H1 2025, a significant year-on-year decline from the prior period's profit Performance Forecast Summary | Item | Current Reporting Period (Jan 1 - Jun 30, 2025) | Same Period Last Year | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders of Listed Company** | Loss: 24 million – 35 million yuan | Profit: 29.204 million yuan | | Year-on-year Change | Decrease: 182.18% – 219.85% | - | | **Net Profit After Deducting Non-recurring Gains and Losses** | Loss: 26 million – 37 million yuan | Profit: 25.3566 million yuan | | Year-on-year Change | Decrease: 202.54% – 245.92% | - | | **Basic Earnings Per Share** | Loss: 0.024 yuan/share – 0.035 yuan/share | Profit: 0.030 yuan/share | [Communication with Accounting Firm](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%BA%8C%E3%80%81%E4%B8%8E%E4%BC%9A%E8%AE%A1%E4%BA%8B%E5%8A%A1%E6%89%80%E6%B2%9F%E9%80%9A%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) The company states that the financial data in this performance forecast is preliminary and unaudited by a certified public accountant - The financial data in this performance forecast is unaudited by a certified public accountant[4](index=4&type=chunk) [Explanation of Performance Change](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%89%E3%80%81%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E5%8F%98%E5%8A%A8%E5%8E%9F%E5%9B%A0%E8%AF%B4%E6%98%8E) The significant year-on-year decline in performance is primarily attributed to decreased investment income from associate companies - The primary reason for the company's performance decline compared to the same period last year is a decrease in investment income from associate companies[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Risk Warning](index=1&type=section&id=%E5%9B%9B%E3%80%81%E9%A3%8E%E9%99%A9%E6%8F%90%E7%A4%BA) The company confirms no significant uncertainties affect the accuracy of this performance forecast, and its stock faces no delisting or risk warning - The company states there are no significant uncertainties that may affect the accuracy of this performance forecast[6](index=6&type=chunk) - The company's stock is not at risk of delisting or being subject to delisting risk warnings or other risk warnings[7](index=7&type=chunk) [Other Relevant Information](index=2&type=section&id=%E4%BA%94%E3%80%81%E5%85%B6%E4%BB%96%E7%9B%B8%E5%85%B3%E8%AF%B4%E6%98%8E) The company emphasizes this forecast is a preliminary estimate, with final data subject to the 2025 semi-annual report, advising investors to note investment risks - This performance forecast is a preliminary estimate by the company's finance department, with specific data subject to the 2025 semi-annual report[8](index=8&type=chunk) - Investors are reminded to be aware of investment risks[8](index=8&type=chunk)