Workflow
C3.ai(AI)
icon
Search documents
C3.ai Trading at a Premium at 6.39X: Time to Hold or Sell the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 17:56
Core Viewpoint - C3.ai, Inc. is currently trading at a slight premium compared to its sector but at a discount to historical metrics, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 6.39X, higher than the sector's 6.18X, yet below its three-year average [1] Group 1: Share Price Performance - C3.ai's shares have increased by 20.7% in the past month, but this performance lags behind the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Computers - IT Services industry [2] - The current stock price reflects a 48.6% discount from its 52-week high of $45.08 and a 36.1% premium to its 52-week low of $17.03 [2] Group 2: Growth Drivers - Partnerships with major players like Amazon AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, and Booz Allen Hamilton are significant growth multipliers, resulting in 28 closed deals across nine industries, indicating a 460% quarter-over-quarter increase [5] - C3.ai has expanded its customer base in both commercial and government sectors, securing notable clients such as Flex, Sanofi, ExxonMobil, Shell, and the U.S. Department of Defense [6] - The company has a robust federal pipeline, particularly with the U.S. Department of Defense, citing 39 active pilots that are gaining traction in areas like predictive maintenance and logistics optimization [10] Group 3: Financial Challenges - C3.ai reported a GAAP net loss of 62 cents per share in the fiscal third quarter, with a non-GAAP loss of 12 cents per share [11] - The company signed 50 new pilots in the fiscal third quarter, totaling 310 pilots, which carry higher upfront costs and pressure on gross margins [12] - C3.ai anticipates some moderation in gross margins due to the increased mix of costly pilots and expects elevated operating losses due to ongoing investments in sales and R&D [13] Group 4: Estimate Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 loss per share remains unchanged at $2.29, while the estimate for fiscal 2026 loss per share has widened to $2.41 [14] - Sales growth estimates for fiscal 2025 and 2026 are projected at 29.6% and 22.4%, respectively [14] Group 5: Overall Assessment - Despite high-profile partnerships and a strong pipeline, C3.ai's ongoing lack of profitability, margin pressures, and increasing cost structure raise concerns [17] - The company operates at a steep GAAP loss with over 300 active pilots that have yet to convert into significant revenues, which may further impact margins [16] - The forward Price/Sales ratio of 6.39, while above the sector average, does not indicate an improved long-term financial outlook, leading to an unfavorable risk-reward profile for investors [17]
C3.ai Earnings Preview: Investors Wait For Its Cash Burn Story To Change
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-20 07:32
Group 1 - Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor, focusing on buying undervalued companies at pivotal moments when their profitability is expected to increase significantly over the next year [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes technology and the Great Energy Transition, including uranium, with a concentrated portfolio of approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months [1] - Michael has over 10 years of experience analyzing companies in tech and energy sectors, and has built a following of over 40,000 on Seeking Alpha [2] Group 2 - The Investing Group Deep Value Returns, led by Michael, offers insights through its concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, and a weekly webinar for live advice [3] - The group provides "hand-holding" support for both new and experienced investors, fostering an active and kind community accessible via chat [3]
Should You Buy C3.ai Stock Before May 28?
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-17 09:36
Company Overview - C3.ai was founded in 2009 and is a leader in artificial intelligence, offering over 130 applications to help businesses adopt AI technology [1][5] - The company serves 19 different industries, including oil and gas, transportation, telecommunications, healthcare, and manufacturing [5] Financial Performance - C3.ai generated $98.7 million in total revenue during the fiscal 2025 third quarter, marking a 26% increase year-over-year [9] - Management forecasts $113.6 million in revenue for the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter, representing a 31% year-over-year growth [12] - The company has experienced a shift from a subscription revenue model to a consumption-based pricing model, which has led to faster customer onboarding and revenue growth [10][11] Market Potential - The addressable market for enterprise AI could exceed $1.3 trillion by 2032, presenting significant growth opportunities for C3.ai and its competitors [2][13] - C3.ai's current price-to-sales ratio (P/S) is 8.3, which is a 14% discount to its three-year average of 9.6, indicating an attractive valuation [14][15] Customer Applications - Shell, a major client, has over 100 AI applications in production, utilizing C3.ai's technology to improve efficiency and reduce carbon emissions [6] - C3.ai's applications can be accessed through major cloud platforms like AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud, allowing businesses to scale without maintaining their own infrastructure [7][8] Financial Health - The company reported a net loss of $209 million based on GAAP through the first three quarters of fiscal 2025, but only $30.4 million on a non-GAAP basis [17] - C3.ai has approximately $724 million in cash and marketable securities, providing a buffer for continued investment in growth [19]
Why I'm Expecting A 20% Gain In 2025
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 19:06
Group 1: Market Reactions to Tariff News - The initial announcement of a tariff plan on April 2 led to significant market declines, with the Dow down 13.9%, S&P down 17.8%, and Nasdaq down 23.4% at their worst [1][3] - Following a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs (excluding China) announced on April 9, the S&P experienced its largest one-day gain in over 15 years, rising by 9.52% [2] - Major indexes have since rebounded significantly, with the Dow up 15.6%, S&P up 22.3%, and Nasdaq up 28.9% from their lows on April 7 [3] Group 2: Trade Agreements - The U.S. and U.K. signed a trade deal that removed auto, steel, and aluminum tariffs on the U.K., while maintaining a 10% base tariff on the U.K. and some existing tariffs from the U.K. on the U.S. [4] - An agreement between the U.S. and China included a 90-day pause on escalated tariffs, with the U.S. reducing tariffs on China from 145% to 30%, and China reducing theirs from 125% to 10% [5][6] Group 3: Economic Indicators and Earnings Outlook - Recent inflation reports indicate progress towards the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with core inflation at 2.8% year-over-year, down from 3.1% [23][24] - The earnings outlook remains positive, with Q1'25 S&P earnings expected to increase by 12.2%, and forecasts for Q2, Q3, and Q4 at 5.9%, 5.1%, and 6.3% respectively [28] Group 4: Historical Market Trends - Historical data shows that pullbacks and corrections are common, with pullbacks occurring 3-4 times a year and corrections about once a year [8] - The S&P has historically shown gains following significant declines in March, with an average gain of 5.92% in April after being down by 3% or more [12][13] - The S&P 500 saw back-to-back annual gains of over 20% in 2022 and 2023, a rare occurrence that could indicate continued growth [16] Group 5: Investment Strategies - Stocks with a Zacks Rank 1 Strong Buy have outperformed the market in 29 of the last 37 years, with an average annual return exceeding 24% [30] - Proven strategies such as focusing on stocks making new highs and small-cap growth stocks have historically yielded significant returns, with average annual returns of 37.6% and 44.3% respectively [35][36]
Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation Announces Election of Directors
Newsfile· 2025-05-14 20:00
Group 1 - Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation held its annual meeting of shareholders where all eight director nominees were elected [1] - The voting results showed high approval rates for the nominees, with Robert H. DeGasperis receiving the highest percentage of votes at 99.34% [1] - The directors will serve until the next annual meeting, ensuring continuity in leadership [1] Group 2 - Atrium is recognized as a non-bank provider of residential and commercial mortgages in major urban centers in Canada [2] - The company's objectives include providing stable and secure dividends to shareholders while preserving equity through conservative lending practices [2] - As a Mortgage Investment Corporation (MIC), Atrium is not taxed on income if it distributes taxable income to shareholders as dividends within 90 days after year-end [3]
C3.ai, Inc. (AI) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investors
ZACKS· 2025-05-13 22:50
C3.ai, Inc. (AI) closed the most recent trading day at $23.99, moving -0.87% from the previous trading session. The stock's change was less than the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.73%. At the same time, the Dow lost 0.64%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 1.61%.The the stock of company has risen by 20.64% in the past month, leading the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 11.93% and the S&P 500's gain of 9.07%.Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance of C3.ai, Inc. in its upcoming earnings disc ...
Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation Announces a Strong Start to 2025
Newsfile· 2025-05-13 21:10
Core Insights - Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation reported strong first quarter results, with earnings per share exceeding dividends and a significant increase in new loan origination despite a challenging market [3][4] - The company has successfully reduced its loan-to-value ratio and increased the percentage of conventional mortgages, contributing to a resilient portfolio [4][6] Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, Atrium reported total assets of $852.8 million, a decrease from $864.3 million at the end of 2024 [6] - Net income for the first quarter was $11.9 million, down 1.2% from the same period last year [6] - Basic and diluted earnings per share were $0.25, a decrease of 7.4% compared to $0.27 in the prior year [7][10] - The mortgage portfolio stood at $875.0 million, with mortgages receivable at $851.6 million, down from $863.2 million at the end of 2024 [8][10] Portfolio Quality - The loan-to-value ratio improved from 64.0% to 61.1% over the past year, with 96.3% of the portfolio being conventional mortgages [4][10] - Stage 3 loans decreased to 2.2% of the mortgage portfolio, the lowest since Q2 2023 [4] - The weighted average interest rate on the mortgage portfolio was 9.56%, down from 9.98% at the end of 2024 [8][10] Mortgage Portfolio Breakdown - As of March 31, 2025, the mortgage portfolio comprised 75.9% residential and 24.1% commercial properties [12] - The majority of the portfolio (88.8%) is located in the Greater Toronto Area, with a weighted average loan-to-value of 60.3% [14]
C3.ai vs. UiPath: Which AI Automation Stock Is the Better Buy in 2025?
ZACKS· 2025-05-13 17:40
Core Insights - C3.ai and UiPath are significant players in the AI automation sector, with C3.ai focusing on enterprise AI applications and UiPath on robotic process automation [1][2] - Both companies are positioned at the intersection of AI and digital transformation, making them attractive for long-term investment [2] - A comparative analysis of their fundamentals is necessary to determine the better investment option [3] C3.ai Overview - C3.ai offers a suite of over 100 pre-built AI applications aimed at large organizations, focusing on predictive analytics and operational optimization [4][5] - The company has established strong partnerships with major cloud providers, including Microsoft, Google Cloud, and Amazon Web Services, enhancing its market reach [5] - In fiscal Q3, C3.ai reported total revenues of $98.8 million, a 26% year-over-year increase, with subscription revenues growing 22% to $85.7 million [6] - C3.ai's federal revenues grew over 100% in fiscal 2024, indicating strong demand from government clients [5] - The company faces challenges in achieving sustainable profitability, reporting a GAAP net loss of $0.62 per share in fiscal Q3 [7][8] - Cash reserves stand at $724.3 million, but ongoing losses raise concerns about potential dilution or spending pressure [8] UiPath Overview - UiPath specializes in robotic process automation, focusing on automating repetitive digital tasks, which has led to broad adoption across various sectors [10] - The company reported revenues of $1.43 billion for fiscal 2025, a 9% year-over-year increase, with a strong annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $1.666 billion [11] - UiPath generated a GAAP operating profit of $34 million in fiscal Q4, indicating a shift towards profitability [11] - The company has a robust cash position of approximately $1.7 billion and initiated a $500 million share buyback program [11] - Despite its strengths, UiPath's revenue growth has slowed, with rates declining to 5% in fiscal Q4 [12] Share Price Performance & Valuations - Year-to-date performance shows UiPath's stock up 3%, while C3.ai's stock is down 29.7% [13] - C3.ai trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 6.7X, above the sector average of 5.74X, while UiPath's forward earnings multiple is 4.63X [16][17] - C3.ai's higher valuation premium and lack of current profitability present greater investment risk compared to UiPath's more balanced profile [17] EPS Projections - EPS estimates for C3.ai have remained unchanged, suggesting a 4.3% improvement for 2025, while UiPath's estimates indicate a decline of 1.9% [19] Conclusion - C3.ai offers higher growth potential but is unprofitable and faces significant competition [24][25] - UiPath, while growing more slowly, has a proven business model, strong cash flow, and reasonable valuation, making it a more resilient investment option [25]
2 Beaten-Down AI Stocks to Buy in May
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-11 08:10
Group 1: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) - AMD shares have fallen 56% from their previous peak, presenting an attractive valuation opportunity [4] - The company reported a 36% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1, with a 57% increase in its data center segment [5][6] - AMD's adjusted earnings rose 55% year-over-year, and its forward price-to-earnings multiple of 22 suggests significant undervaluation [8] - Amazon invested $84 million in AMD stock, indicating confidence in AMD's technology ahead of the launch of new data center chips [7] Group 2: C3.ai - C3.ai's stock is down 35% in 2025, despite reporting a 26% year-over-year revenue increase in its fiscal third quarter [10][11] - The company has seen a 460% year-over-year increase in new agreements since partnering with Microsoft, with 71% of recent agreements through collaborations [13] - C3.ai's revenue is expected to increase by 25% next quarter, bolstered by partnerships with major cloud services [12] - The stock trades at a modest 8 times trailing revenue, presenting a significant valuation gap compared to competitors like Palantir [15]
AI Stocks Retreat, but the AI Revolution is Firmly Intact
ZACKS· 2025-05-09 18:15
Group 1: AI Market Growth - The generative AI market is expected to grow from $40 billion in 2022 to $1.3 trillion over the next 10 years, representing a CAGR of 42% [1] - AI will continue to provide significant profit opportunities despite short-term fluctuations, indicating an early investment opportunity [1] Group 2: Data Centers and AI - Data centers are essential for AI development, providing the necessary computational power and storage for large language models [3] - The global data center market was valued at $279.53 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $565.49 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.3% [7] - Electricity consumption by data centers is expected to triple by 2030, accounting for 7.5% of U.S. domestic energy use [9] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competition in the AI market is intense, with many companies vying for dominance, similar to the internet boom where only a few became successful [8] - The U.S. currently leads in AI development but faces competition from China, which has a significant advantage in energy production capacity [10] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - There are stocks with high upside potential in the AI sector that are currently overlooked by many investors [2] - The focus on energy solutions for AI is highlighted as a promising investment area, as energy is crucial for sustaining AI advancements [11]