Despite the recent flurry of tariff news and economic uncertainty portrayed by pundits, several key indicators are flashing bullish signals, including:Atlanta Fed GDPNOw Estimates 3.8% Q2 GDP GrowthThe “GDPNow Model” is a model created by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta to provide a real-time estimate of the current quarter’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth. Through its “Nowcasting” model, the GDPNow Model leverages a purely data-driven model that interprets current data to predict the future instea ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the current volatile earnings season and the uncertain macroeconomic environment, which has led investors to seek positive news, particularly from companies like C3.ai [1] - C3.ai is positioned as an enterprise AI platform that focuses on delivering AI and automation solutions, indicating its relevance in the technology sector [1] - The author, Gary Alexander, has extensive experience in covering technology companies and has been a contributor to Seeking Alpha since 2017, suggesting a knowledgeable perspective on industry trends [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide specific financial data or performance metrics for C3.ai or the broader industry [2][3]

Core Insights - C3.ai experienced a 12.3% increase in share price after reporting fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, which included a narrower-than-expected loss and revenues exceeding estimates [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the fiscal fourth quarter, C3.ai reported an adjusted loss of $0.16 per share, better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.20, and a non-GAAP loss of $0.11 in the same quarter last year [3]. - Revenues reached $108.7 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $108.3 million by 0.4% and marking a 26% year-over-year increase [3]. - Subscription revenues, which account for 80% of total revenues, increased by 9% year-over-year to $87.3 million, while professional service revenues surged to $21.4 million [4]. Operational Highlights - The non-GAAP gross margin for the reported quarter was 69%, slightly down from 70% in the previous year [5]. - Research and development expenses rose by 15.4% to $58.4 million, while general and administrative expenses increased by 36.6% to $27.4 million [5]. - Sales and marketing expenses also saw an increase of 11.8% year-over-year, totaling $70.7 million [5]. Annual Performance - For fiscal 2025, total revenues were $389.1 million, up from $310.6 million in fiscal 2024 [7]. - The non-GAAP loss from operations for fiscal 2025 was $52.4 million, an improvement from a loss of $56.2 million in fiscal 2024 [7]. - Adjusted loss per share for fiscal 2025 was $0.41, down from $0.47 in the previous year [7]. Balance Sheet - As of April 30, 2025, C3.ai had total cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments of $742.7 million, a slight decrease from $750.4 million at the end of fiscal 2024 [8]. Future Guidance - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, C3.ai expects revenues between $100 million and $109 million, with a projected non-GAAP loss from operations of $23.5 million to $33.5 million [9]. - For the full fiscal 2026, the company anticipates revenues between $447.5 million and $484.5 million, with a non-GAAP loss from operations expected to be in the range of $65 million to $100 million [10].

Market Overview - US stock index futures rose before the market opened, with Dow futures up 0.39%, S&P 500 futures up 0.88%, and Nasdaq futures up 1.34% [1] - European indices also showed positive movement, with Germany's DAX up 0.13%, UK's FTSE 100 up 0.05%, France's CAC40 up 0.63%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up 0.50% [2][3] Commodity Prices - WTI crude oil increased by 0.40% to $62.09 per barrel, while Brent crude oil rose by 0.26% to $64.49 per barrel [3][4] Corporate News - Nvidia (NVDA.US) reported Q1 revenue of $44.1 billion, a 69% year-over-year increase, with data center revenue at $39.1 billion, up 73% year-over-year [11] - Salesforce (CRM.US) exceeded Q1 expectations with revenue growth of 8% to $9.8 billion and raised its revenue guidance for FY2026 [12] - C3.ai (AI.US) reported a 26% increase in revenue to $10.87 million for Q4 FY2025, with a positive outlook for FY2026 [13] - HP (HPQ.US) lowered its full-year earnings forecast due to tariff costs and economic weakness, with Q2 revenue of $13.2 billion, exceeding expectations but EPS falling short [14] - Li Auto (LI.US) reported a net profit of 647 million RMB for Q1 2025, a 9.4% increase year-over-year, with total vehicle deliveries of 92,864 units [15] - Futu Holdings (FUTU.US) saw Q1 revenue grow by 81.1% to 4.695 billion HKD (approximately $603 million), with net profit increasing by 97.7% [16] Economic Data and Events - Upcoming economic data includes the revision of the US Q1 GDP annualized rate and initial jobless claims for the week ending May 24 [17]

Core Viewpoint - C3.ai has reported strong performance driven by the increasing demand for enterprise-level AI applications, with revenue projections for fiscal year 2026 exceeding analyst expectations, indicating robust growth in both AI infrastructure and software applications [1][2] Financial Performance - For the fourth fiscal quarter of 2025, C3.ai achieved total revenue of $108.7 million, a 26% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations of $107.9 million [2] - The company expects fiscal year 2026 revenue to range between $447.5 million and $484.5 million, aligning with analyst forecasts [1] - C3.ai's subscription revenue for the fourth quarter was approximately $87.3 million, a 9% increase from the previous year, accounting for 80% of total revenue [2] - The company anticipates a Non-GAAP operating loss of $23.5 million to $33.5 million for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, which is better than the analyst average expectation of a $35.2 million loss [2] Product and Market Position - C3.ai is a leader in the enterprise-level AI application market, offering a comprehensive suite of generative AI solutions that enhance operational efficiency across various industries [3][4] - The company has integrated large language models (LLMs) into its AI software products, launching the C3 Generative AI suite [4] - C3.ai has established a strong foothold in high-barrier industries such as energy and defense, benefiting from the growing interest in AI among enterprise customers [3][4] Strategic Partnerships and Growth - C3.ai has expanded its strategic partnership with Baker Hughes, focusing on joint product sales and investment in AI solutions to enhance operational efficiency in the energy sector [6] - The company has secured long-term contracts with major clients, including the U.S. Department of Defense and large energy firms like Shell and ExxonMobil [6] - C3.ai signed 69 agreements in the fourth quarter, including 36 initial production deployment agreements, indicating strong market demand [7] Industry Trends - The AI application software market is expected to experience significant growth, with the AI agent market projected to expand from $7.8 billion in 2025 to approximately $52.6 billion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 46% [9] - The emergence of AI agents is anticipated to transform AI applications from information assistance tools to highly intelligent productivity tools, significantly enhancing operational efficiency [8][9]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q4 reached $108.7 million, reflecting a 26% increase compared to $86.6 million in the same quarter of the prior year [41] - Subscription revenue for the quarter was $87.3 million, up 9% from $79.9 million a year ago [41] - For the full fiscal year 2025, total revenue was $389.1 million, a 25% increase compared to $310.6 million in fiscal 2024 [42] - Non-GAAP gross profit for Q4 was $75.2 million, equating to a gross margin of approximately 69% [41] - The company closed Q4 with $742.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, remaining largely unchanged from a year ago [41][68] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from the sale of software licenses that are demonstration versions of C3AI applications was $33.8 million during the quarter [64] - Professional services revenue was $21.4 million, with prioritized engineering services accounting for $17 million [65] - Non-Baker Hughes revenue grew by 37% year over year during the quarter and by 40% during the year [65] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Non-oil and gas revenue increased by 48% year over year, reflecting successful expansion into 19 different industries [44] - Revenue in state and local government grew over 100% in fiscal 2025, with 71 agreements closed across organizations in 24 states [45] - The life sciences and healthcare sector is emerging as a strength, with traction from customers like GSK and Quest Diagnostics [46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building a robust partner ecosystem, with 73% of agreements delivered in collaboration with partners [48] - The renewed partnership with Baker Hughes is expected to drive innovation and opportunity in the energy sector [44] - The company aims to capitalize on the growing market for generative AI and Agentic AI, with over 100 solutions deployed [30][59] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving non-GAAP profitability during the second half of fiscal 2027, with expectations of being free cash flow positive in Q4 of fiscal 2026 [71] - The company highlighted the importance of geopolitical stability for its revenue guidance, acknowledging potential risks [71] - Management emphasized the unique position of C3AI as the only enterprise AI application pure play, with a focus on delivering turnkey solutions [60] Other Important Information - The company has delivered over 130 applications to date, with a focus on addressing real-world business challenges [60] - The partnership with PwC targets key industries such as financial services and manufacturing, enhancing AI-driven transformation [50] - The company has a strong cash position, maintaining approximately $750 million in cash over the past year [35][68] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company activate Azure sales reps to deliver C3AI? - The company is charting its salespeople to partner with Azure sales reps, focusing on joint sales calls and providing necessary tools for effective demonstrations [73][75] Question: Can you provide details on the economics of the new Baker Hughes deal? - Specifics are covered under NDA, but the partnership has broadened significantly, continuing to develop solutions together [82] Question: How did the company construct its revenue guidance for FY26? - The guidance reflects awareness of geopolitical risks and the need for stability, with expectations of revenue growth exceeding expense growth [85][87]

C3.ai (AI) Q4 2025 Earnings Call May 28, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company Participants Amit Berry - Senior Director - IRThomas Siebel - Founder, CEO & Chairman of the BoardHitesh Lath - SVP & CFOMatthew Calitri - Equity Research Associate Conference Call Participants Patrick Walravens - Analyst Operator Thank you for standing by, and welcome to c three a one's AI's Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, participants are in a listen only mode. After the speaker presenta ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q4 reached $108.7 million, reflecting a 26% increase compared to $86.6 million in the same quarter of the prior year [42] - Subscription revenue for the quarter was $87.3 million, up 9% from $79.9 million a year ago [42] - For the full fiscal year 2025, total revenue was $389.1 million, a 25% increase compared to $310.6 million in fiscal 2024 [43] - Non-GAAP operating loss was $31.2 million, which was within the guidance range of $30 million to $40 million [42][67] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $10.3 million, and the company closed Q4 with $742.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments [42][68] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Subscription and prioritized engineering services revenue totaled $104.4 million, representing 96% of total revenue and a 22% increase from $85.7 million in Q4 of the previous year [42][66] - Revenue from the sale of demonstration software licenses was $33.8 million during the quarter [64] - Non-Baker Hughes revenue grew by 37% year over year during the quarter and by 40% during the year [65] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Non-oil and gas revenue increased by 48% year over year, reflecting successful expansion into 19 different industries [45] - Revenue in state and local government grew over 100% in fiscal 2025, with 71 agreements closed across organizations in 24 states [46] - The life sciences and healthcare sector is emerging as a strength, with traction from customers like GSK and Quest Diagnostics [47] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has focused on building a robust partner ecosystem, with 73% of agreements delivered in collaboration with partners, resulting in a 68% increase in agreements closed through this network [49] - The renewed partnership with Baker Hughes is expected to drive innovation and opportunity in the energy sector, generating over $5 billion in revenue from this vertical [44] - The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the growing market for AI applications, with a focus on delivering secure, scalable, and production-grade solutions [60] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in crossing into non-GAAP profitability during the second half of fiscal 2027, with expectations of free cash flow positivity in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 [71] - The company anticipates continued revenue growth exceeding expense growth, driven by a robust suite of enterprise AI applications and an expanding partner ecosystem [71] - Management highlighted the importance of geopolitical stability for achieving revenue guidance, acknowledging risks in Europe and global trade [71] Other Important Information - The company has delivered over 130 applications to date, with 95% of bookings in fiscal 2025 driven by AI applications [61] - The company holds a patent for Agentic AI, positioning it uniquely in the market as the only enterprise AI application pure play [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company activate Azure sales reps to deliver C3 AI? - The company is focusing on engaging Azure sales reps through joint sales calls and providing them with the necessary tools to demonstrate solutions effectively [73][75] Question: Can you provide insights on the new Baker Hughes deal? - The specifics are under NDA, but the partnership has broadened significantly, continuing to provide solutions and enabling Baker Hughes to develop derivative works [82] Question: How was the revenue guidance for FY26 constructed? - The guidance reflects awareness of geopolitical risks and the need for stability, with a larger range due to potential market fluctuations [85]

Disclaimer This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The words "anticipate," "believe," "continue," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "may," "will" and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain these words. Forward-looking statements in this press release include, but are not limited to, statements regarding our market leadership position, ...

Core Insights - C3.ai projects revenue between $447.5 million and $484.5 million for 2026, with analyst expectations at $465.5 million [1] Group 1 - The company's revenue forecast for 2026 indicates a significant growth potential in the AI sector [1]