Dutch Bros (BROS) 2025 Conference June 05, 2025 12:15 PM ET Speaker0 Afternoon, everyone. Welcome to the session for Dutch Bros. I'm David Tarantino, the restaurant and coffee analyst at Baird. Dutch Bros is an operator and franchisor of just over a thousand beverage focused shops. The brand is very unique, mostly drive through operation and delivers that with exceptional hospitality. And that has led to really good returns on capital for their locations and a lot of room for growth in our view. We have two ...

Key Takeaways BROS' Q1 2025 shop margin fell 40 bps to 29.4% amid rising labor, coffee tariffs and opening costs. The company expects 110 bps of full-year COGS margin pressure despite fixed coffee prices and cost controls. BROS is boosting digital efforts while aiming for 2,029 stores by 2029, despite short-term margin strain.Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) continues to benefit from robust revenue growth and store expansion efforts. However, rising costs continue to challenge its path to higher profitability.In th ...

Dutch Bros (BROS) FY Conference June 03, 2025 03:40 PM ET Speaker0 In to the afternoon session. So really happy to have with us from today Dutch Bros. We have Christine Barone, CEO, and Joss Gensler, CFO. I'm Sharon Zackfia from William Blair. I should have said that to start, but we're getting late in day one. Hopefully, of you know Dutch. If you don't, I think you're going be really pleased with what you hear today. We're going to have Christine go over a little bit of a lay of the land and set the menu h ...

Key Takeaways BROS stock jumped 19.6% in a month, outperforming industry peers and major market benchmarks. Dutch Bros opened its 1,000th shop and plans to reach 2,029 locations by 2029 amid strong brand momentum. Order Ahead and Dutch Rewards drove higher engagement, with loyalty users making 72% of transactions.Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) stock has jumped 19.6% in a month, outpacing the industry and the S&P 500’s rallies of 1.9% and 4.6%, respectively. The company is capitalizing on its strong brand momentum ...

The market still doesn't know what to make of the new tariff impact, which makes a lot of sense because there's still so much uncertainty. Although the U.S. and China have agreed to a 90-day pause on the newest tariffs, which would slap significant tariffs on goods between U.S. and China, there's still an increase in tariffs on Chinese products that stands today at 30%. Tariffs have also been raised in various countries around the world.But you shouldn't be basing your investing decisions on such short-term ...

One of the great American growth themes throughout the years has been quick-service restaurant (QSR) expansion. Success stories are abundant, with companies like McDonald's and Starbucks growing to have more than 13,000 locations in the U.S. alone.Store growth is a powerful driver and has ultimately helped propel these stocks over the years. Now, not every restaurant expansion story is successful. Some restaurant operators struggle moving outside their region, like Jack in the Box. Others fail because they ...

Group 1: Dutch Bros - Dutch Bros is experiencing significant growth driven by its unique brand focusing on specialty beverages and friendly service [4] - The company has achieved a consistent revenue growth of around 30% year-over-year, with a 29% increase in the most recent quarter [5][6] - Management plans to open 160 new shops by 2025, aiming for a total of 2,029 shops by 2029, indicating strong expansion potential [8] - The introduction of new flavors and potential food offerings is expected to drive long-term demand and sales growth [6][7] Group 2: On Holding - On Holding is positioned as a high-growth footwear brand, with sales surging 43% year-over-year in the most recent quarter [10][11] - The company aims for an annualized sales growth rate of 26% through 2026 and is already ahead of schedule [11] - On Holding's profit margin exceeds 10%, indicating effective pricing strategies without aggressive discounting, contrasting with Nike's declining margins [12] - The brand is gaining traction with its Cloud shoes and apparel sales, which grew 40% year-over-year last quarter, reflecting increasing brand awareness [13][14]

Company Overview - Dutch Bros has recently celebrated its 1,000th store opening and plans to open another 1,000 stores by 2029, doubling its store count since going public in 2021 [3][5] - The company aims to reach a long-term goal of 7,000 stores, an increase from its previous target of 4,000 stores [5] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Dutch Bros reported a 29% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by the opening of 30 new stores and a 4.7% rise in comparable sales [6] - Transactions increased by 1.3%, indicating strong consumer engagement despite higher prices [6] Business Strategy - CEO Christine Barone attributes the company's success to innovation, marketing, and a robust rewards program [7] - Dutch Bros is known for its unique beverages, including recent successful launches like boba and protein coffee, and is piloting a new food menu to enhance beverage sales [8] Marketing and Customer Engagement - Paid advertising is crucial for building brand awareness as Dutch Bros enters new markets, while also being effective in established markets [9] - The rewards program has been enhanced with mobile ordering, with rewards members accounting for 72% of sales in Q1, up five percentage points from the previous year [10] Market Sentiment - Dutch Bros' stock experienced a decline due to concerns about a cooling economy and potential tariff impacts, although management estimated only 10% of costs would be affected [11] - With the recent easing of tariffs between the U.S. and China, market sentiment has improved, potentially alleviating concerns about consumer spending [12] Valuation - Despite a strong future outlook, Dutch Bros trades at a forward P/E ratio of 85, indicating a premium valuation [13] - The stock is considered susceptible to declines on negative news due to its high valuation, but it is viewed as a solid long-term investment opportunity [14]

Core Viewpoint - Dutch Bros Inc. has seen a significant increase in call options activity, indicating strong bullish sentiment among traders, with a notable 94.6% rise in call options volume, suggesting high conviction in the stock's potential for price appreciation [4][3][11] Group 1: Stock Performance - Dutch Bros stock has rallied by over 21.1% year-to-date and 76.2% over the past 12 months, outperforming major competitors like Starbucks by 25% in the last quarter [5][6][7] - The current stock price is $68.50, with a 52-week range between $26.96 and $86.88, and a price target of $75.21, indicating a potential upside of 10.24% [2][8] Group 2: Financial Metrics - Dutch Bros reports a gross profit margin of 26.3%, which is higher than Starbucks' 25%, highlighting its competitive edge despite being a smaller company with a market capitalization of $10.4 billion compared to Starbucks' $91.2 billion [8][9] - Deutsche Bank has increased its holdings in Dutch Bros by 12.2%, raising its net position to $37.8 million, supporting a bullish outlook for the stock [11] Group 3: Market Sentiment - Analysts have reiterated an Overweight rating for Dutch Bros, with a fair value estimate of $82 per share, suggesting a potential rally of up to 30% from current levels [12][13] - The stock's short interest has decreased by 9.8%, indicating a shift in market sentiment as bearish positions are being unwound in light of stronger financials and positive momentum [14]

So far during the tariff-driven pullback, few consumer-facing companies have been spared from investors' skittishness. Dutch Bros ( BROS ) is one of the few exceptions. The coffee chain, best known for its quick service and efficient drive-through lanes, has beenWith combined experience of covering technology companies on Wall Street and working in Silicon Valley, and serving as an outside adviser to several seed-round startups, Gary Alexander has exposure to many of the themes shaping the industry today. H ...