Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock market has experienced volatility in 2025, with some stocks outperforming despite macroeconomic uncertainties, presenting potential investment opportunities [2][3]. Group 1: Uber Technologies - Uber's share prices have increased by 42% since the beginning of 2025, boosted by a $2.3 billion investment from billionaire Bill Ackman [5]. - The company has transformed into a strong cash-generating business, doubling its free cash flow to $6.9 billion in 2024, with expectations for continued growth [6]. - Uber is positioned to benefit significantly from the rise of autonomous vehicles, leveraging its existing user base of 171 million monthly users to support AV companies [7][8]. - The stock trades at approximately 3.5 times analysts' 2025 sales estimates, with a P/E ratio of 35, and analysts project a 36% earnings growth in 2026 [9]. Group 2: Celsius Holdings - Celsius experienced a rough start in 2025, with share prices falling due to disappointing fourth-quarter results, but the stock rebounded after announcing the acquisition of the fast-growing Alani Nu brand [10][11]. - The acquisition is expected to yield $50 million in cost savings within two years, positioning Celsius for growth [11][13]. - Analysts have adjusted their earnings estimates downward by about 10% due to tariff concerns, but the stock is considered a buy at an enterprise-value-to-forward-EBITDA ratio of 16 [14]. Group 3: Netflix - Netflix's stock has risen by 28% in 2025, primarily driven by strong performance in April, with first-quarter revenue increasing by 12.5% and operating margin expanding to 31.7% [15][16]. - The company anticipates 15.4% revenue growth in the second quarter, while maintaining a full-year operating margin guidance of 29% [16]. - Netflix's pricing power and the success of its ad-supported tier are expected to enhance revenue, with management projecting ad revenue to double this year [18]. - Despite trading at about 45 times forward earnings, Netflix has generated significant free cash flow, primarily used for share buybacks, supporting future earnings growth [19][20].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, revenue totaled $329.3 million, a 7% decline compared to $355.7 million in the prior year period, attributed to slowed velocity, timing of distributor incentive programs, and increased retail promotions [9][18][20] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $69.7 million with a margin of 21.2%, down from $88 million and a 24.7% margin in Q1 2024 [9][19] - Gross margin expanded by 110 basis points to 52.3%, supported by sourcing efficiencies for raw and packaging materials [9][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue grew 41% to $22.8 million, indicating strong organic growth in both legacy and new markets [10] - The Celsius brand held a 10.9% dollar share in tracked channels for the 13 weeks ending March 30, 2025, with new retail sales increasing 88% year over year [10][11] - Combined, Celsius and Elani Nu accounted for approximately 20% of total energy drink category dollar growth in Q1 2025 [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., Celsius maintained steady category share despite increased competition and strong pricing actions from other players [11] - The sugar-free energy drink segment surpassed full sugar varieties for the first time in 2024, driving 86% of category growth in Q1 2025 [13] - The average items selling per store within the Celsius brand family increased by 4.1 items in the convenience channel during Q1 2025 [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to lead the modern energy category with a focus on functional beverages that align with health and wellness trends [6][17] - The acquisition of Elani Nu is expected to enhance the portfolio and drive growth, with plans for further innovation and marketing campaigns [7][12] - The company is committed to operational excellence and has appointed a new COO to drive efficiencies and scale [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the positive momentum heading into Q2, despite a challenging consumer environment [6][16] - The company is focused on improving velocity, expanding household penetration, and growing share across functional beverage occasions [21][22] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to consumer purchasing habits and maintaining a cautious approach to pricing and promotions [42][43] Other Important Information - The company plans to hold a public call to discuss modeling and financial considerations related to the Elani Nu acquisition [23] - The balance sheet remains strong with $977 million in cash and no outstanding debt prior to the acquisition [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on energy drinks category performance - Management noted that the energy category has shown resilience in both dollar and volume growth, driven by health and wellness trends and innovation [25][26] Question: Strategies to increase velocity - Management discussed a balanced approach to innovation and promotional activities, learning from previous years to drive consumer engagement [27][28] Question: Clarification on North America sales performance - Management acknowledged a slow start in Q1, impacted by increased competition and promotional activities, but expressed optimism for improvement moving forward [32][33] Question: Pricing strategies in the category - Management indicated a cautious approach to pricing, monitoring consumer behavior while being open to opportunistic pricing adjustments [40][42] Question: Shelf space expansion expectations - Management highlighted plans for new product launches and increased cooler placements to enhance visibility and drive sales [47][48] Question: Performance of Elani Nu compared to Celsius - Management noted minimal cannibalization between brands and emphasized opportunities for cross-promotion and distribution [76][77] Question: International market performance - Management reported strong acceptance and growth in international markets, with plans for further expansion [88][90]

Group 1: Earnings Performance - Celsius Holdings Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $0.18 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.20 per share, and down from $0.27 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -10% [1] - The company posted revenues of $329.28 million for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.62%, and down from $355.71 million year-over-year [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - Celsius shares have increased approximately 28.7% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of -3.9% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.29 on revenues of $633.89 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.99 on revenues of $2.18 billion [7] Group 3: Industry Context - The Zacks Industry Rank for Food - Miscellaneous is currently in the top 31% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating that the industry outlook can significantly impact stock performance [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, revenue totaled $329.3 million, a 7% decline compared to $355.7 million in the prior year period, attributed to slowed velocity, timing of distributor incentive programs, and increased retail promotions [19][20] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $69.7 million with a margin of 21.2%, down from $88 million and a 24.7% margin in Q1 2024 [20] - Gross margin expanded by 110 basis points to 52.3%, supported by sourcing efficiencies for raw and packaging materials [9][20] - Net income attributable to common shareholders was $34.4 million or $0.15 per diluted share, with non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS at $0.18 compared to $0.27 in the prior year [20][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue grew 41% to $22.8 million, indicating strong organic growth in legacy and new markets [10] - The Celsius brand held a 10.9% dollar share in tracked channels for the 13 weeks ending March 30, 2025, with new retail sales increasing 88% year over year [10][11] - Combined, Celsius and Elani Nu accounted for approximately 20% of total energy drink category dollar growth in Q1 2025 [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S. tracked channels, Celsius maintained a steady category share despite increased competition and strong pricing actions from other players [10] - The sugar-free energy drink segment surpassed full-sugar varieties for the first time in 2024, driving 86% of category growth in Q1 2025 [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to lead the modern energy category with a focus on functional beverages, operational excellence, and innovation [6][18] - The acquisition of Elani Nu is expected to enhance the portfolio and drive growth, with plans for further international expansion [6][10] - Marketing initiatives will focus on increasing consumer awareness and trial, with new campaigns launching in summer [15][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about improving business fundamentals and momentum heading into Q2, despite a challenging consumer environment [5][17] - The company is focused on improving velocity, expanding household penetration, and growing share across functional beverage occasions [22] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to consumer purchasing habits and being cautious with pricing strategies [44][46] Other Important Information - The company appointed Eric Hansen as President and COO to drive operational excellence and efficiency [7] - The company plans to hold a public call to discuss financial considerations related to the Elani Nu acquisition [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on energy drinks category performance - Management noted that the energy category has shown resilience in both dollar and volume growth, driven by health and wellness trends and innovation [26][27] Question: Strategies to increase velocity - The company is implementing a balanced approach to promotional activities and focusing on consumer-centric innovation to drive velocity [28][29] Question: Clarification on North America sales performance - Management acknowledged a slow start in Q1, with increased competition impacting sales, but expressed optimism for improvement as the quarter progressed [35][36] Question: Pricing strategies in the category - Management indicated that they are cautious about pricing, monitoring consumer behavior while being open to opportunistic pricing adjustments [44][46] Question: Shelf space expansion expectations - The company expects to gain additional shelf space through innovative product launches and strategic placements, particularly for the Elani Nu brand [49][50] Question: Performance of Alani Nu compared to Celsius - Management highlighted opportunities for both brands to coexist and leverage each other's strengths, with minimal cannibalization observed [78][81] Question: Update on international market performance - International expansion has exceeded expectations, with positive reception in new markets like Australia and New Zealand [92][93]

Financial Performance - Q1 2025 - Celsius Holdings' total revenue decreased by 7% year-over-year to $329.3 million[28] - North America revenue decreased by 10% year-over-year to $306.5 million[28] - International revenue increased by 41% year-over-year to $22.8 million[27, 28] - Net income decreased by 43% to $44.4 million[28] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 21% to $69.7 million, with an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 21.2%[28, 49] Market Position and Growth - Celsius Holdings is the 1 growth brand in RTD (Ready-to-Drink) energy[15] - Celsius Holdings' portfolio is the 3 energy drink portfolio in the U.S with a 15.5% market share in 2024[19] - The acquisition of Alani Nu closed on April 1, with the brand surpassing $1 billion in retail sales in the last 52 weeks[23] - Celsius Holdings portfolio drove approximately 20% of category growth in Q1[23] Key Metrics - Full Year 2024 - Revenue reached $1.36 billion[19] - Gross Margin was 50.2%[19] - Net Income was $145 million[19] - Adjusted EBITDA was $256 million, with an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 18.9%[19] Retail Sales - Total retail sales in the U.S reached $3.5 billion in 2024[16] - Brand CELSIUS® holds 98.7% ACV and is sold in over 241,000 U.S retail outlets[19]

Financial Performance - Celsius Holdings reported Q1 2025 revenue of $329.3 million, a 7% decline from $355.7 million in Q1 2024[2] - Net income fell by 43% to $44.4 million, with diluted EPS decreasing by 44% to $0.15[2][9] - Revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was $329.276 million, a decrease of 7.4% compared to $355.708 million in the same period of 2024[18] - Gross profit for the same period was $172.373 million, down from $182.207 million, reflecting a gross margin of 52.4%[18] - Net income for Q1 2025 was $44.419 million, a decline of 42.8% from $77.811 million in Q1 2024[18] - Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $69.689 million, compared to $87.982 million in Q1 2024, resulting in a Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 21.2%[20] - Diluted earnings per share (GAAP measure) decreased to $0.15 in Q1 2025 from $0.27 in Q1 2024[21] - Comprehensive income for Q1 2025 was $36.668 million, compared to $63.492 million in Q1 2024[18] Revenue Breakdown - North American revenue decreased by 10% to $306.5 million, while international revenue increased by 41% to $22.8 million[2][6] - International revenue growth was driven by strong performance in EMEA markets and new markets like the UK and Australia[6] - Celsius Holdings captured a 16.2% dollar share of the U.S. energy drink category in Q1 2025, reflecting an increase of 81 basis points year over year[10] - Retail sales for Celsius declined by 3% year over year, while Alani Nu's retail sales surged by 88%[10] Expenses and Costs - Selling, general and administrative expenses rose by 22% to $120.3 million, primarily due to acquisition-related costs[8] - Selling, general and administrative expenses increased to $120.342 million in Q1 2025, up from $99.017 million in Q1 2024[18] - The company incurred $9.112 million in acquisition costs during the first quarter of 2025[20] - Interest income for Q1 2025 was $7.846 million, down from $9.612 million in Q1 2024[18] Strategic Developments - The acquisition of Alani Nu was completed on April 1, 2025, adding a second billion-dollar brand to Celsius Holdings[1][11] - The company anticipates positive momentum heading into Q2 2025, supported by retail shelf space gains and international growth[4] Other Financial Metrics - Gross margin improved to 52.3%, up 110 basis points from 51.2% in the prior year[2][7] - The company reported a foreign currency translation gain of $2.249 million in Q1 2025, contrasting with a loss of $1.354 million in Q1 2024[18]

Revenue Performance - For the three months ended March 31, 2025, revenue was approximately $329.3 million, a decrease of $26.4 million, or 7.4%, from $355.7 million for the same period in 2024[152] - North American revenue declined by $33.0 million, or 9.7%, compared to the prior year, attributed to the timing of promotional efforts and lower velocity[153] - European revenues increased by $4.5 million, or 31.9%, reaching approximately $18.7 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025[154] - Total international revenue grew 41% year-over-year, primarily driven by the company's continued international expansion[154] Profitability - Gross profit decreased by $9.8 million to $172.4 million, a decrease of 5.4%, while gross profit margin improved to 52.3% from 51.2%[156] - Net income attributable to common stockholders for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was $34.4 million, with basic earnings per share of $0.15[161] Expenses - Selling, general and administrative expenses increased by $21.3 million, or 22%, totaling $120.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025[157] Acquisition Details - On February 20, 2025, the company announced the acquisition of Alani Nutrition LLC for a total consideration of $1,275.0 million in cash and stock[151] - The acquisition of Alani Nu was completed on April 1, 2025, alongside a debt financing arrangement including a $900.0 million Term Loan B[151] - The company entered into a secured credit agreement providing a term loan facility of up to $900 million and a revolving credit facility of up to $100 million to fund the acquisition of Alani Nu[167] Cash Flow and Liquidity - As of March 31, 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of approximately $977.3 million and working capital of $993.6 million[162] - Cash flows from operating activities for the three months ended March 31, 2025, totaled $103.4 million, a decrease of $31.2 million compared to $134.6 million for the same period in 2024[170] - Cash flows used in investing activities increased to $6.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to $4.5 million for the same period in 2024, due to increased purchases of property, plant, and equipment[171] - Cash flows used in financing activities totaled $10.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, an increase of $4.7 million from $5.9 million in the same period in 2024, primarily due to higher stock repurchases and debt issuance costs related to the Alani acquisition[172] - The company believes its current liquidity position and access to financing facilities are sufficient to meet near-term and long-term obligations following the acquisition of Alani Nu[169] Risk Management - The Term Loan Facility and Revolving Facility are secured by a first priority security interest in cash, accounts receivable, and intellectual property[168] - The company does not currently use hedging agreements to manage risks associated with commodity prices and may consider doing so in the future[176] - The company is exposed to market risks related to fluctuations in commodity prices, which may affect the costs of raw materials[176] Accounting Policies - There have been no material changes to critical accounting policies or estimates from those described in the 2024 Annual Report[175]

Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) is likely to register a top and bottom-line decline when it reports first-quarter 2025 earnings on May 6.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $341.7 million, which indicates almost a 4% decrease from the year-ago period's level.Although the consensus mark for quarterly earnings has moved up a penny in the past 30 days to 20 cents per share, the projection indicates a 25.9% decrease from the year-ago quarter’s figure. CELH has a trailing four-quarter negative e ...

One analyst tracking the fortunes of Celsius Holdings (CELH -1.28%) is no longer enjoying the taste of the stock. He downgraded his recommendation on the natural ingredients energy drink maker, compounding that with a rather drastic price target cut. Is it time for investors to bail from the stock?Losing its fizz?In an update on the stock published toward the end of April, CFRA's Garrett Nelson changed his Celsius recommendation from "buy" to "sell," bypassing the middle-ground "hold" tag entirely. Accordin ...