Celsius(CELH)
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Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) Presents at Morgan Stanley Global Consumer & Retail Conference 2025 Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-03 23:43
Core Insights - Celsius is the 3 player in the U.S. energy drink category with a market share exceeding 20% following the acquisition of Alani Nu and Rockstar [2] Company Developments - Celsius has been a leading driver of growth in the energy drink category [2] - The company recently acquired Alani Nu and Rockstar, enhancing its market position [2] Leadership and Team - The presentation featured Celsius's Chief of Staff, Toby David, and CFO, Jarrod Langhans [2]
Celsius (NasdaqCM:CELH) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-12-03 21:47
Summary of Celsius Holdings Conference Call Company Overview - Celsius is the third-largest player in the U.S. energy drink category with over 20% market share following acquisitions of Alani Nu and Rockstar [1][2][30] Key Financial Insights - Q3 2023 was strong in terms of gross margin and EBITDA margin, but there was a disconnect in net sales expectations [2][3] - Volume increased by approximately 10%-11% from Q3 2023 to Q3 2025 [2] - Promotional activities led to a lower net sales per case, contributing to the disconnect in expected performance [3] Fourth Quarter Expectations - The integration of Alani into the Pepsi system is progressing well, with over 80% of the DSD system transitioned [5] - The fourth quarter is expected to be noisy due to various integrations and inventory management [4][6] - Alani's integration will be methodical, with a ramp-up expected in Q1 2024 [8][9] Market Dynamics - The energy drink category has shown resilience compared to other CPG sectors, with Celsius and Alani driving growth [13][14] - The focus on healthier, sugar-free options is attracting new consumers, particularly females [15][48] Pricing Strategy - There is potential for price elasticity in the market, with plans to optimize pricing across the multi-brand portfolio [16][17] - Revenue growth management (RGM) is a key focus for 2026 and beyond [18] Margin Outlook - Gross margins are expected to return to the low 50s% in the second half of 2024, with further expansion anticipated into 2027 [20][22] Brand Performance - Celsius has regained momentum with double-digit growth, particularly in convenience stores [24][25] - Market shares in South Florida are in the low to mid-20% range, with opportunities for growth in under-indexed markets [28][29] Innovation and Product Development - The Spritz Vibe LTO was successful, providing valuable insights for future LTOs [31][32] - Alani Nu's growth strategy includes leveraging LTOs to drive trial and frequency of consumption [40][41] Rockstar Integration - The acquisition of Rockstar aims to strengthen the energy portfolio within the Pepsi system, with plans for SKU rationalization and stabilization [43][44][45] Competitive Landscape - Celsius is well-positioned against competitors like Monster and Red Bull, focusing on health trends and younger demographics [60][61] - The company aims to gradually increase market share without expecting to catch up to the leaders in the short term [62] Capital Allocation - A $300 million open-ended repurchase authorization was announced, with a focus on investing in business growth and paying down debt [50][51] - Strong cash generation supports ongoing investments and share repurchases [52] Leadership and Team Expansion - Recent hires are expected to enhance relationships with Pepsi and drive growth across the multi-brand portfolio [53][54][55] Marketing Strategy - The restructuring of the marketing department aims to ensure each brand maintains its unique voice while benefiting from shared resources [56][57][58] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the Celsius Holdings conference call, highlighting the company's performance, strategic initiatives, and market positioning.
Why Celsius Stock Is Starting to Look Like a Screaming Buy Right Now
247Wallst· 2025-12-03 13:53
Core Viewpoint - The current market presents limited options for investors seeking top growth stocks due to valuation concerns [1] Summary by Relevant Categories - **Investment Opportunities** - There are not many great options available for growth stocks from a valuation perspective [1]
Celsius Expects A Noisy Q4 But Will Still Grow Rapidly In 2026 (NASDAQ:CELH)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-03 10:26
Core Viewpoint - Celsius Holdings (CELH) is considered undervalued, with investors overreacting to short-term challenges [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - The stock price of Celsius Holdings does not reflect its full growth potential [1] - The author has a background in writing about restaurants, retailers, and food manufacturers, focusing on growth opportunities and valuation metrics [1] Group 2: Investment Perspective - The author typically seeks long-term investment opportunities, planning to hold stocks for several years [1]
Celsius Expects A Noisy Q4 But Will Still Grow Rapidly In 2026
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-03 10:26
Core Viewpoint - Celsius Holdings (CELH) is considered undervalued, with investors overreacting to short-term challenges [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - The stock price of Celsius Holdings does not reflect its full growth potential [1] - The author has a background in writing about restaurants, retailers, and food manufacturers, focusing on growth opportunities and valuation metrics [1] Group 2: Investment Perspective - The author typically seeks long-term investment opportunities, planning to hold stocks for several years [1]
Celsius Holdings Posts 51.3% Gross Margin in Q3: Is It Sustainable?
ZACKS· 2025-12-01 15:16
Core Insights - Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) reported a strong third-quarter 2025 gross margin of 51.3%, an increase of 530 basis points from the previous year, despite managing two acquisitions and significant distribution changes [1][8] - The margin improvement was driven by lower promotional spending, favorable product and channel mix, and higher volumes that provided better cost leverage on raw materials [2][8] - However, challenges such as increased cost of goods sold due to recent acquisitions, lower margin profiles of Alani Nu and Rockstar, tariff pressures, and higher freight costs were noted, which may impact future performance [3][4][8] Financial Performance - CELH's stock has increased by 55.4% year to date, contrasting with a 12.6% decline in the industry [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 27.37, significantly higher than the industry average of 14.87 [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CELH's earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 80% for 2025 and 20.7% for 2026 [12] Industry Comparisons - PepsiCo (PEP) reported a third-quarter gross margin of 53.6%, down from 55.4% year-over-year, affected by supply-chain cost pressures and tariffs, although pricing and mix efforts provided some offset [5] - Monster Beverage (MNST) achieved a third-quarter gross margin of 55.7%, up 250 basis points year-over-year, attributed to pricing, supply-chain optimization, and favorable mix [6]
PEP vs. CELH: Which Beverage Stock Is the Better Bet Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 14:32
Core Insights - The beverage industry is witnessing a shift towards healthier, performance-oriented drinks, with PepsiCo and Celsius Holdings emerging as key players to monitor [1] Company Overview - PepsiCo has a market capitalization of approximately $200 billion and offers a diverse range of products, including soft drinks, sports hydration, teas, coffees, and snacks, providing significant breadth in the beverage and food categories [2] - Celsius Holdings, valued at around $10.4 billion, is rapidly growing in the performance-energy sector, driven by its clean-label, fitness-oriented CELSIUS product line that appeals to health-conscious consumers [2] Growth and Performance - PepsiCo's growth is characterized by consistent top-line gains, bolstered by improving beverage sales and stabilizing trends in convenient foods, with international operations showing mid-single-digit organic growth for over four years [4][7] - Celsius Holdings reported a remarkable 173% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, driven by strong performance across its brands, capturing over 20% of the U.S. energy drink market [8] Strategic Partnerships - Celsius's growth is significantly supported by its partnership with PepsiCo, which enhances its distribution and visibility in the market [9][10] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PepsiCo's current fiscal-year sales indicates a 1.8% year-over-year increase, while Celsius Holdings is projected to achieve approximately 80% growth in both sales and EPS for the current fiscal year [13][16] Stock Performance - Over the past year, PepsiCo's shares have decreased by 9.9%, while Celsius Holdings has seen a 46.4% increase, reflecting investor confidence in Celsius's growth potential in the energy drink category [19] Valuation Metrics - PepsiCo's forward P/E ratio is 17.12, indicating it is fairly valued for a stable business, while Celsius Holdings has a forward P/E of 27.08, suggesting it is trading at a relative discount compared to its recent growth-driven valuation [20][22] Investment Outlook - Both companies present unique strengths: Celsius with its rapid growth and PepsiCo with its established portfolio and reliable execution. However, PepsiCo is viewed as the better investment option currently due to its stability and predictable growth trajectory [23][24]
CELH Strengthens Its Portfolio With Alani Nu: Will 2026 Keep the Pace?
ZACKS· 2025-11-24 16:08
Core Insights - Celsius Holdings, Inc. has significantly accelerated its growth trajectory through the acquisition and expansion of Alani Nu, which reported record revenues of $332 million in Q3 2025, driven by successful limited-time flavors and sustained organic growth [1][8] Group 1: Alani Nu Performance - Alani Nu's retail sales increased by 114% year over year and 15% sequentially, capturing a 7.2% share of the U.S. energy category, up 3.3 points from the previous year [2][8] - Seasonal flavors like Witches Brew have performed exceptionally well, enhancing the brand's cultural impact and consumer influence [2][3] - Retailers are increasingly embracing Alani Nu for its appeal among female consumers, with seasonal innovations boosting core SKU velocity [3] Group 2: Distribution and Transition - A significant transition of Alani Nu's U.S. DSD network to PepsiCo's distribution system is set to begin on December 1, 2025, which is expected to enhance ACV and create unified execution across Celsius, Alani Nu, and Rockstar [4][5] - PepsiCo is funding approximately $247 million in distributor termination fees, ensuring the transition remains cash-neutral [4] Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - Despite anticipated challenges in Q4 2025 due to inventory returns and warehousing shifts, management remains confident in Alani Nu's ability to maintain momentum and support Celsius Holdings' growth into 2026 [5] - Celsius Holdings' stock has surged 48% year to date, contrasting with a 13.5% decline in the industry [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Celsius Holdings' earnings indicates a year-over-year rise of 80% for 2025 and 20.7% for 2026, with recent upward revisions in earnings estimates [13][14] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Celsius Holdings trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 26.15, significantly higher than the industry average of 14.70, and carries a Value Score of A [10]
What to Know Before Buying Celsius Stock
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-23 15:35
Core Insights - Celsius stock has experienced a significant decline of 58% from its peak in March 2024, despite a remarkable 7,330% increase over the previous five years [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2023, Celsius reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 173%, reaching $725 million, largely due to the acquisition of Alani Nu [3] - The Celsius brand itself achieved a sales growth of 44% in the same quarter [3] Market Dynamics - The stock's decline may be attributed to slower revenue growth compared to previous years, with a 25-fold increase from 2018 to 2023, and a notable slowdown in scanner growth at just 13% [4] - There are concerns about potential inventory accumulation despite the revenue increase [4] Growth Opportunities - Celsius has significant potential for international expansion, as international revenue currently represents a small portion of total sales [5] - Analysts project a compound annual revenue growth rate of 21% for Celsius from 2025 to 2027 [5] Competitive Landscape - Celsius faces strong competition from established brands like Monster Beverage and Red Bull, which have greater brand recognition and loyalty [8] - The lack of a strong economic moat raises concerns about Celsius's long-term growth potential [8][9]
Why Is Celsius Stock Falling, and Is It a Buying Opportunity?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-21 11:15
Core Insights - The article discusses the investment positions and recommendations of The Motley Fool, specifically highlighting its stance on Celsius [1] Company Analysis - The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Celsius, indicating a positive outlook on the company's stock performance [1] - Parkev Tatevosian, CFA, is affiliated with The Motley Fool, suggesting that his insights may be influenced by the company's investment strategies [1]