We recently published 10 Stocks Lost This Big While Wall Street Celebrates. Celsius Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CELH) is one of the worst performers on Monday. Shares of Celsius Holdings dropped for a third consecutive day on Monday, shedding 6.19 percent to close at $51.34 apiece as investor funds fled to artificial intelligence stocks amid new developments in the booming sector. Additionally, Celsius Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CELH) lacked fresh catalysts to bolster investing appetite during the session. Celsi ...

Group 1 - Celsius Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CELH) has experienced a pullback after reaching 52-week highs at the end of August, but is still up 94.4% year to date, indicating potential for a short-term bounce [1] - AIG is currently near its 50-day moving average, with historical data showing that similar conditions have led to a 67% chance of a price increase one month later, averaging a 9.4% gain [2] - The stock's 80-day trendline is positioned below $50, which aligns with previous support levels from late 2023 to early 2024 [3] Group 2 - There is significant short squeeze potential for AIG, with short interest at 11.4% of the stock's float, equating to three days of buying power [4] - Options trading for CELH indicates low volatility expectations, as reflected by a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 47%, ranking in the low 8th percentile of its annual range [4]

Group 1 - Significant bullish interest in Celsius Holdings (CELH) from deep-pocketed investors, indicating potential upcoming developments [1][2] - Among the notable options activities, 60% of investors are bullish while 30% are bearish, with a total of $391,928 in puts and $171,815 in calls [2] - Predicted price range for CELH is between $42.5 and $60.0 over the last three months based on trading activity [3] Group 2 - Current average open interest for CELH options is 2008.43, with total volume at 4,453.00, indicating active trading [4] - Recent options activity includes a mix of bullish and bearish trades, with notable trades involving both puts and calls [9] - Celsius Holdings operates in the energy drink segment, with 95% of revenue from North America, focusing on natural ingredients and appealing to fitness enthusiasts [11] Group 3 - Analysts have a positive outlook on Celsius Holdings, with an average target price of $71.4 from five experts [13] - Various analysts maintain buy ratings with target prices ranging from $69 to $75, indicating strong market confidence [14] - Current stock price of CELH is $54.0, reflecting a decrease of -1.33%, with earnings expected in 44 days [16]

Core Insights - Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) is focusing on flavor innovation as a key driver of its growth strategy, with new flavor platforms showing promising early results [1][4] Product Innovation - In Q2 2025, Celsius launched two fizz-free options, Pink Lemonade and Dragon Fruit Lime, aimed at expanding its product appeal while maintaining a zero-sugar profile [2] - The company plans to introduce its first limited-time offering later this year, indicating a commitment to regular flavor innovation to keep consumers engaged [4][10] Market Performance - Celsius achieved the number one position among ready-to-drink (RTD) energy brands on Amazon during Prime Day, capturing an 18.4% market share for one week, reflecting strong consumer demand and repeat purchases [3][10] - The brand's flavor innovation is not only attracting new customers but also reinforcing consumer loyalty, encouraging repeat purchases rather than one-time trials [5] Competitive Landscape - Monster Beverage Corporation reported Q2 2025 net sales of $2.11 billion, up 11.1% year-over-year, attributing growth to a continuous stream of new flavors [6] - The Coca-Cola Company reported Q2 2025 revenues of $12.62 billion, with a 5% increase in organic revenues, highlighting the importance of flavor-led innovation in driving consumer excitement and repeat purchases [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - CELH shares have increased by 76.3% over the past year, contrasting with a 16.4% decline in the industry [8] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for CELH is 42.45, significantly higher than the industry average of 13.73, indicating strong market expectations [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts year-over-year earnings growth of 54.3% for 2025 and 28.6% for 2026 for CELH [15]

Group 1 - Celsius Holdings, Inc. is recognized for its strong performance and positive outlook by notable figures such as Jim Cramer, who appreciates the leadership of John Fieldly [1] - The company specializes in energy and hydration products under the CELSIUS brand, offering a variety of drinks, powders, and ready-to-drink options [1] - Celsius reported excellent financial results in February and announced the acquisition of Alani Nu, which is expected to boost annual revenues to over $2 billion post-deal [1] - Management anticipates that the acquisition will be accretive to earnings in the first year and aims for $50 million in synergies within the first two years [1]

Company Overview - Celsius Holdings, Inc. has emerged as the third-largest energy drink manufacturer, following Monster Beverage Corporation and Red Bull [1] Market Position - The company's beverages are particularly popular among athletes, indicating a strong market presence and potential for growth in the sports nutrition segment [1]

Core Insights - Celsius Holdings Inc. is enhancing its position in the energy drink market through a new distribution agreement with PepsiCo, which grants it category captain status and improved control over shelf space and product placement [1][2] - The partnership includes the addition of Alani Nu and Rockstar to Celsius' portfolio, which is expected to unlock new growth opportunities [1][3] Distribution and Market Presence - The revamped deal with PepsiCo secures guaranteed visibility for Celsius, allowing control over planograms and SKU prioritization in designated coolers [2] - Alani Nu is anticipated to benefit from larger displays, while Rockstar will have an optimized assortment focused on faster-selling products [3] Sales Performance - Celsius experienced a significant surge in U.S. retail sales, with a 120.8% increase in the four weeks ending August 10 [4] - The energy drink category is witnessing a shift in consumer preferences, with sales climbing 16.7% over the past 12 weeks as consumers move away from higher-priced iced coffee [4] Financial Metrics - Celsius reported strong profitability with second-quarter EBIT margins of 27.2% and gross margins of 51.5% [5] - The company aims for mid-50% gross margins and 30% EBITDA margins, which are considered achievable with potential upside [5] Competitive Landscape - Rockstar is facing challenges, with U.S. retail sales down 11.1% in the 12 weeks ending August 10, following a 14% decline in the previous period [6] - Despite these challenges, the inclusion of Rockstar in the PepsiCo partnership is expected to enhance Celsius' bargaining power and distribution scale [6] Future Projections - Piper Sandler projects Celsius' revenue to reach $2.42 billion and earnings of $1.02 per share in fiscal 2025, increasing to $3.32 billion and $1.35 per share in 2026 [7]

Core Thesis - Celsius Holdings, Inc. is positioned for accelerated growth following a transformative strategic deal with PepsiCo, enhancing its market presence in the energy drink sector [2][4] Strategic Partnership - The agreement with PepsiCo allows Celsius to leverage Pepsi's logistics network for Alani Nu distribution, addressing gaps in convenience store coverage, which is crucial for energy drink sales [2] - Celsius secures a "category captain" role for energy drinks, gaining control over planograms, SKU prioritization, and promotion strategy, optimizing marketing across its brands [2] Acquisition of Rockstar Energy - Celsius acquired U.S. and Canadian rights to Rockstar Energy from Pepsi for $585 million, a significant discount due to Pepsi's mismanagement of the brand [3] - The refocus of Rockstar towards party, festival, and extreme sports segments aims to reclaim market share from competitors like Monster and Red Bull [3] Growth Potential - The deal enhances Celsius's scale, marketing power, and negotiating leverage with Pepsi, creating opportunities for operational improvements and brand revitalization [4] - Robust organic growth in Alani Nu and successful integration of acquisitions position Celsius for expanded market penetration and a strengthened competitive profile [4] Market Reaction - The stock has reacted positively to these developments, indicating investor confidence in Celsius's long-term value creation potential [4] - The stock has appreciated approximately 56% since a previous bullish thesis, reflecting strong brand equity and resilience amid distribution disruptions [5]

Core Insights - Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) has significantly outperformed the market in 2025, with shares more than doubling year to date, establishing itself as a category leader with strong fundamentals [1][19] - The acquisition of Alani Nu has enhanced Celsius' market presence and scale, contributing to robust revenue growth and solid second-quarter results [1][10] - Investors are now assessing whether the stock still has upside potential following its sharp rally [1] Stock Performance - Celsius Holdings has surged 112.9% year to date, contrasting with a 6.8% decline in the broader industry [2] - The company's performance has outpaced the Zacks Consumer – Staples sector's growth of 3.1% and the S&P 500's rise of 12.7% during the same period [2] - Compared to peers, Celsius has significantly outperformed Monster Beverage (22.4% increase), Coca-Cola (6.3% increase), and PepsiCo (7.5% decrease) [3] Financial Highlights - Closing at $56.07, CELH stock is 13.3% below its 52-week high of $63.50 reached on August 29, 2025 [7] - The company reported revenues of $739.3 million for Q2 2025, an 84% increase year over year, with Alani Nu contributing $301.2 million [10][9] - International sales rose 27%, driven by growth in the U.K., France, and Australia [9][13] Growth Drivers - The energy drink category is one of the fastest-growing beverage segments, appealing to health-conscious consumers seeking zero-sugar alternatives [11] - Celsius and Alani Nu have strong household penetration rates of 34% and 22%, respectively, with repeat purchase rates exceeding 65% [11] - Product innovation is central to Celsius' strategy, with new flavors and offerings driving sales and brand relevance [12] Market Expansion - North America remains the primary growth engine, while international sales are also increasing, with foodservice distribution volume up 9.8% in Q2 [13] - The integration of Alani Nu is expected to create meaningful synergies and expand distribution channels [15] Valuation and Analyst Sentiment - Celsius trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 43.18, significantly above the industry average of 15.67, reflecting strong market confidence [18] - Analysts have raised earnings forecasts for the current and next fiscal year, indicating growing confidence in the company's trajectory [15]

Group 1 - Associated British Foods PLC (ASBFY) is currently outperforming its peers in the Consumer Staples sector with a year-to-date return of approximately 5.7%, compared to the sector average of 3.1% [4] - The Zacks Rank for ASBFY is 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook and improving analyst sentiment, as the consensus estimate for its full-year earnings has increased by 1.1% in the past quarter [3][4] - ASBFY is part of the Food - Miscellaneous industry, which has seen an average loss of about 6.8% this year, further highlighting ASBFY's relative strength within its industry [6] Group 2 - Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) is another strong performer in the Consumer Staples sector, with a year-to-date return of 119.5% and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [5] - The consensus estimate for CELH's current year EPS has increased by 33.5% over the past three months, indicating strong growth potential [5] - Both ASBFY and CELH are positioned well within the Consumer Staples sector, suggesting continued solid performance for investors to monitor [7]