Core Viewpoint - CVS Health reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter earnings and revenue, leading to an increase in its adjusted profit outlook, driven by the retail pharmacy business and improvements in its insurance unit [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company expects fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings to be between $6.30 and $6.40 per share, an increase from the previous guidance of $6 to $6.20 per share [2]. - CVS reported net income of $1.02 billion, or 80 cents per share, for the first quarter, down from $1.77 billion, or $1.41 per share, in the same period last year [5]. - Adjusted earnings for the quarter were $1.81 per share, exceeding the expected $1.46 per share [8]. - Revenue for the first quarter was $98.92 billion, an 8.4% increase from the previous year, surpassing the expected $94.50 billion [6][8]. Business Segments - The retail pharmacy business is performing well, attributed to new technology and investments in labor, which have improved operations and efficiency [4]. - The insurance unit, Aetna, is undergoing a multi-year recovery effort to address higher medical costs, contributing to the positive outlook [3]. - However, the strength in the retail pharmacy and insurance segments was partially offset by a decline in the health services segment [4]. Strategic Initiatives - CVS is pursuing a broader turnaround plan that includes $2 billion in cost cuts over the next several years, with plans to close additional locations while expanding in underrepresented areas like the Pacific Northwest [7].

Exhibit 99.1 CVS HEALTH CORPORATION REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2025 RESULTS AND UPDATES FULL-YEAR 2025 GUIDANCE Financial Highlights Operational Highlights 2025 Full-Year Guidance CEO Commentary "What people want most — a connected, simpler health care experience — is what CVS Health uniquely provides. For the 185 million people we serve, we deliver better access, greater affordability and aligned advocacy. Our strong performance demonstrates the continued focus we have on operational and financial improvement ...

Financial Highlights - Total revenues for the second quarter of 2025 reached $98.9 billion, an increase of 8.4% compared to the prior year [4][7] - Operating income decreased by 21.8% to $2.4 billion, primarily due to $833 million in litigation charges [8] - Adjusted operating income increased by 1.7% to $3.8 billion, driven by growth in the Health Care Benefits and Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segments [8] - Diluted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.80, down from $1.41 in the prior year, while adjusted EPS was $1.81, relatively stable compared to the previous year [4][7] Operational Highlights - The Health Care Benefits segment reported total revenues of $36.3 billion, up from $32.5 billion, with adjusted operating income increasing significantly [10] - The Health Services segment's total revenues rose to $46.5 billion, but adjusted operating income decreased due to litigation charges [12] - The Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment saw total revenues increase to $33.6 billion, with adjusted operating income rising significantly [16] 2025 Full-Year Guidance - The company revised its GAAP diluted EPS guidance range to $3.84 to $3.94, down from $4.23 to $4.43 [7] - Adjusted EPS guidance was raised to a range of $6.30 to $6.40, up from $6.00 to $6.20 [7] - Cash flow from operations guidance was increased to at least $7.5 billion, up from approximately $7.0 billion [7] CEO Commentary - The CEO emphasized the company's commitment to providing a connected and simpler health care experience, highlighting strong performance across various segments [1][2] - The focus remains on operational and financial improvement, particularly in the Aetna and CVS Caremark segments [1][5] Additional Insights - The company announced a commitment of $20 billion over the next decade to simplify the U.S. health system [13] - CVS Pharmacy agreed to acquire certain prescription files and store locations from Rite Aid, enhancing its market position [13] - The company is actively working on initiatives to improve the experience for both doctors and patients [13]

Core Insights - CVS Health and UnitedHealth have contrasting first-quarter results, with CVS showing strong growth and raising its full-year EPS guidance, while UnitedHealth missed earnings and revenue expectations, leading to a significant cut in its 2025 EPS outlook [1][19] Group 1: CVS Health Performance - CVS Health's Health Care Benefits segment reported an 8% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1, with medical membership stable at approximately 27.1 million [4] - The adjusted operating income for CVS Health surged to $1.99 billion from $732 million a year ago, driven by the strength in commercial insurance [4][8] - CVS's medical benefit ratio (MBR) improved to 87.3% from 90.4% year-over-year, aided by reserve releases and better Medicare Advantage star ratings [6] Group 2: UnitedHealth Challenges - UnitedHealth's medical care ratio (MCR) increased to 84.8%, up from 84.3% in 2024, due to elevated Medicare Advantage utilization, prompting a cut in 2025 adjusted earnings guidance to $26.00-$26.50 per share [10] - The company is facing significant cost pressures, particularly in outpatient and professional services, which are expected to continue affecting earnings throughout 2025 [10][19] - UnitedHealth's Optum segment saw a 14% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by rising script volumes and specialty pharmacy strength [9] Group 3: Valuation Comparison - CVS is trading at a forward P/E of 8.88X, below its 5-year median of 9.55X, while UnitedHealth is at 11.98X, also below its 5-year median of 19.20X, indicating that CVS is more attractively valued relative to UnitedHealth [16][17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CVS's Q2 2025 EPS suggests a 19.7% decline year-over-year, while UnitedHealth's estimate implies a 28.8% decline [11][14] Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - CVS is conducting a strategic review of Oak Street Health, which it acquired for $10.6 billion, focusing on capital allocation towards higher-return investments [5] - Despite pressures in Medicare Advantage, CVS is positioned as a stronger investment option ahead of Q2 earnings due to its stable commercial insurance performance and disciplined capital management [19]

Core Viewpoint - CVS Health is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - CVS Health is projected to post quarterly earnings of $1.47 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 19.7% [3]. - Revenues are anticipated to reach $93.72 billion, which is a 2.7% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.55% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight bullish sentiment among analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for CVS Health is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +2.06% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a higher likelihood of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [10][12]. - CVS Health has a Zacks Rank of 2, indicating a strong potential for beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, CVS Health exceeded the expected earnings of $1.71 per share by delivering $2.25, resulting in a surprise of +31.58% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, CVS Health has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Industry Context - In the Zacks Medical Services industry, Teladoc is expected to report a loss of $0.27 per share, with a year-over-year change of +3.6% [18]. - Teladoc's revenue is projected to be $620.91 million, down 3.4% from the previous year [18]. - The consensus EPS estimate for Teladoc has been revised down by 3.9% in the last 30 days, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -13.8% [19].

Core Insights - CVS Health Corporation is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with adjusted earnings in the last quarter exceeding estimates by 31.58% [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter revenues is $93.72 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 2.7%, while earnings per share are expected to decline by 19.67% to $1.47 [2][7] Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for CVS Health have decreased from $1.58 to $1.47 per share over the past 90 days due to various operational and regulatory challenges [3] - The current earnings estimates for the upcoming quarters are $1.42 for the next quarter, $6.12 for the current year, and $7.00 for the next year [4] Operational Challenges - CVS Health faces operational cost pressures, legal challenges, and regulatory scrutiny, which have negatively impacted earnings estimates [4] - The company has incurred one-time charges totaling $1.082 billion, including $387 million related to the Omnicare verdict and $448 million in ACA-related reserves [4] Segment Performance - The Health Care Benefits segment is expected to generate revenues of $34.6 billion, with a focus on margin recovery through benefit redesigns and pricing changes [6][8] - The Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment is projected to achieve revenues of $32.16 billion, benefiting from increased prescription volumes despite reimbursement pressures [11][12] - The Health Services segment is estimated to generate $43.52 billion in revenues, supported by the performance of Caremark, CVS's pharmacy benefit manager [10][9] Stock Performance - CVS Health shares gained 2.5% in the second quarter of 2025, underperforming the S&P 500's 10.7% rise [13] - Compared to peers, CVS outperformed Herbalife and UnitedHealth Group, which saw declines of 2.2% and 40% respectively [13] Valuation - CVS Health's forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 9.24X, which is a premium compared to Herbalife's 4.51X but undervalued relative to UnitedHealth's 12.27X [16] Strategic Initiatives - CVS is implementing strategies to improve profitability, including redesigning Aetna benefits and enhancing drug pricing transparency through new PBM models [17] - The company is also optimizing its retail footprint and has plans to close over 20 pharmacies in Arkansas due to new regulatory laws [4][5]

Core Insights - CVS Health's Health Care Benefits segment experienced an 8% year-over-year growth in Q1 2025, primarily driven by strong performance in Medicare and improved star ratings for Medicare Advantage [1][9] - Aetna is progressing towards its target margins, with enhancements across all business lines [1][9] - CVS plans to exit its individual exchange business in 2026 to focus on Medicare, commercial, and Medicaid sectors, creating a $448 million reserve for expected losses in 2025 [3][9] Financial Performance - Medical membership remained stable at 27.1 million, with the medical benefit ratio (MBR) improving by 310 basis points to 87.3% [4] - The Health Care Benefit adjusted operating income is projected to reach approximately $1.91 billion, an increase of around $400 million [5] - CVS shares have increased by 36.1% year-to-date, contrasting with a 10.3% decline in the industry [8] Competitive Landscape - UnitedHealth Group's UnitedHealthcare revenues grew by 12% in Q1 2025, driven by Medicare Advantage and fee-based commercial offerings [6] - Cigna Group reported strong revenues from Cigna Healthcare, although its medical care ratio rose due to higher MCR in divested Medicare businesses [7] Valuation Metrics - CVS shares are trading at a forward five-year price-to-earnings ratio of 9.24, significantly lower than the industry average of 13.59 [10] - Analyst estimates for CVS's 2025 earnings show a bullish trend, with current estimates for the next quarters remaining stable [11][12]

Core Insights - CVS Health has opened a new Workforce Innovation and Talent Center (WITC) in Columbus, Ohio, aimed at providing free workforce training and health services to the community [1][4] - The WITC will offer training for roles such as pharmacy technicians, customer service associates, call center associates, and retail associates, including hands-on job training in a simulated retail environment [3][5] - Participants completing the WITC program will have the opportunity to apply for positions at CVS Health and access Aetna's Community Resource Center for health services [4][5] Company Initiatives - CVS Health has invested over $79 million in affordable housing across Ohio, contributing to the creation, preservation, and renovation of nearly 1,900 housing units [5] - The company has hosted 54 Project Health events in Ohio, providing over 5,000 health screenings to more than 1,400 participants last year [5] - CVS Health operates more than 9,000 retail pharmacy locations and serves approximately 88 million plan members through its pharmacy benefits manager [6]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's strategy team highlights 15 stocks with short-term catalytic potential, indicating that S&P 500 index earnings growth in Q2 may exceed expectations [1] Earnings Expectations - The market anticipates a 5% year-over-year increase in S&P 500 Q2 earnings per share and over 4% revenue growth, but actual growth may be stronger [1] - The seven major tech companies are expected to see a 14% increase in net profit, while the remaining 493 constituents may experience a 3% decline [1] - Despite analysts lowering earnings expectations from April to May, the earnings revision has rebounded from -25% to approximately 1%, suggesting Q2 earnings will likely exceed expectations, aligning with the historical average of 4%-5% [1] Recommended Stocks - **argenx SE (ARGX.US)**: undervalued R&D pipeline, target price $700 [2] - **Atlassian (TEAM.US)**: continuous revenue growth potential over 20% and expected margin expansion, target price $320 [3] - **Chewy (CHWY.US)**: benefits from marketing and product optimization, expected revenue to maintain or exceed Q1 levels, target price $50 [4] - **CVS Health (CVS.US)**: advantages from competitor store closures and growth in pharmacy benefit management, target price $80 [4] - **DraftKings (DKNG.US)**: potential earnings inflection point in Q2, with actual licensing rates offsetting tax and regulatory pressures, target price $52 [4] - **Eaton Corporation (ETN.US)**: benefits from improved profit margins in U.S. electrical business, target price $375 [5] - **Eli Lilly (LLY.US)**: core products Mounjaro and Zepbound expected to contribute $8.2 billion in revenue, exceeding expectations may lead to 2025 guidance upgrades, target price $1,135 [5] - **F5 (FFIV.US)**: positive outlook due to demand growth in cloud and load balancing products, target price $305 [6] - **NVIDIA (NVDA.US)**: strong end-user demand and accelerated shipments of rack-level products supporting supply-side growth, target price $170 [7] - **Omada Health (OMDA.US)**: operational leverage through technology empowerment and multi-disease sales, target price $25 [8] - **Southwest Airlines (LUV.US)**: potential stock rebound if internal guidance is met and baggage fee impacts are confirmed as limited, target price $38 [9] - **Valley National Bank (VLY.US)**: expected net interest income growth of 3% quarter-over-quarter, target price $11 [10] - **Western Digital (WDC.US)**: undervalued gross margin expansion prospects, target price $85 [11] Cautious Outlook - **National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA.US)**: cautious due to expected funds from operations (FFO) per share being below market and company guidance, target price $30 [12] - **Teradyne (TER.US)**: revenue and earnings per share forecasts for FY2026 are 7% and 14% below Wall Street expectations, target price $74 [13] Summary - Overall, Morgan Stanley's recommendations combine company fundamentals, industry trends, and market sentiment, providing diversified options for investors [14]

Core Viewpoint - CVS Health has experienced significant selling pressure, with a 7.7% decline over the past four weeks, but is now positioned for a potential trend reversal as it enters oversold territory, supported by analyst expectations of better-than-previously predicted earnings [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that helps identify whether a stock is oversold, with readings below 30 indicating oversold conditions [2]. - CVS has an RSI reading of 29.64, suggesting that the heavy selling may be exhausting itself, indicating a potential bounce back towards equilibrium in supply and demand [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - There is strong consensus among sell-side analysts to raise earnings estimates for CVS, with a 0.3% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, which typically correlates with price appreciation [7]. - CVS holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further indicating a potential turnaround [8].