Core Insights - Deere & Company is a prominent manufacturer in the agricultural, construction, and forestry machinery sectors, known for its green and yellow equipment, and is preparing for its quarterly earnings release on November 26, 2025 [1] Financial Performance - Analysts project Deere's earnings per share (EPS) at $3.96, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 12.97%, while net sales are expected to reach $9.99 billion, indicating a 7.69% increase from the previous year [2][6] - The company's stock closed at $487.24, marking a 2.29% increase from the previous day, and has risen by 1.47% over the past month, outperforming major market indices [3][6] Valuation Metrics - Deere's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is approximately 25.33, and the price-to-sales ratio is about 3.04, indicating the market's valuation of the company's earnings and sales [4] - The enterprise value to sales ratio stands at around 4.37, providing insight into the company's valuation relative to its revenue [4] Financial Health - The debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 2.65, highlighting the proportion of debt used to finance assets, while the current ratio of around 2.31 suggests a strong ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets [5]

Core Insights - The road grader industry in China is experiencing a strong recovery in 2024 after a brief decline in 2023, driven by infrastructure projects and agricultural development [2][14] - The global market is characterized by high concentration, with major players like Caterpillar, Komatsu, and John Deere dominating alongside rising domestic companies in China [3][16] - Key technological trends include automation, green energy solutions, and product diversification, with a focus on enhancing efficiency and meeting environmental standards [4][6][19] Industry Current Status - The Chinese market is rebounding due to increased demand from road construction, urban renewal, and high-standard farmland projects, alongside robust export growth fueled by the Belt and Road Initiative [2][14] - The global market for road graders is projected to reach $1,435.24 million in sales by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.46% expected from 2025 to 2031 [12] Competitive Landscape - The global market is dominated by major manufacturers such as Caterpillar, Komatsu, and John Deere, which together hold approximately 42.52% of the market share [16] - Chinese companies like XCMG and SANY are emerging as strong competitors, particularly in the high-end and mid-range markets [3][16] Technological Development Trends - Automation and smart technology are central to the evolution of road graders, with advancements in AI, remote monitoring, and GPS systems enhancing operational efficiency [4][5] - The industry is shifting towards electric and hydrogen-powered solutions to meet stricter environmental regulations, with manufacturers focusing on low-emission technologies [6][19] Market Opportunities and Drivers - Environmental policies are driving the demand for equipment upgrades, with cities implementing bans on high-emission machinery [17] - Domestic infrastructure projects and strong overseas demand are expected to boost sales, particularly for companies that have upgraded their technology to meet international standards [18] Policy Analysis - Policies are being implemented to phase out older, high-emission equipment, with cities like Beijing planning to ban non-compliant machinery by the end of 2026 [25] - Support for electric and hydrogen-powered equipment is being encouraged through subsidies and tax incentives in various regions [25]

Group 1 - The Q3 earnings season for S&P 500 companies has started positively, with 95% of companies reporting results as of November 21, and analysts expecting a 13.4% increase in earnings per share for the quarter [2] - This anticipated growth would represent the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth, accelerating from the 12% growth rate reported in Q2 [2] - Initial expectations for Q3 were lower, with analysts predicting only a 7.9% increase in earnings per share as of September 30 [3] Group 2 - Upcoming earnings reports from companies such as Abercrombie & Fitch, Dick's Sporting Goods, and Burlington Stores will provide insights into the impact of consumer sentiment on purchasing decisions [4] - Additional reports from technology and other sectors are expected from companies including Zoom, Dell, Workday, HP Inc., Deere, and Pony AI [4]

Earnings Reports Overview - The current earnings season is nearing its end, with notable companies reporting during the holiday-shortened week [1] - Retail investors are particularly focused on earnings reports from major companies [1] Company-Specific Earnings Reports - WeRide Inc. (NASDAQ:WRD) and LexinFintech Holdings Ltd. (NASDAQ:LX) reported before the market opened on November 24, both showing better-than-expected results, leading to stock price increases [2] - Zoom Communications Inc. (NASDAQ:ZM) is expected to report third-quarter results after the market closes on November 24, with analysts predicting earnings of $1.44 per share and revenue of $1.21 billion [3] - Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE:BABA) will release its Q2 earnings report before the market opens on November 25, with expectations of adjusted earnings of 81 cents per share and revenue of $34.43 billion [3] - Retailers Kohl's Corp. (NYSE:KSS) and Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE:BBY) are anticipated to provide insights into consumer behavior with their reports on November 25 [4] - Cleanspark Inc. (NASDAQ:CLSK), Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL), and Zscaler Inc. (NASDAQ:ZS) are set to report after the market closes on November 25 [5] - Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) and EHang Holdings Ltd. (NASDAQ:EH) will report their results before the market opens on November 26, alongside Deere & Co. (NYSE:DE), which has consistently beaten analyst expectations for 12 consecutive quarters [6] Market Schedule - U.S. stock markets will be closed on November 27 for the Thanksgiving holiday [8] - The stock market will have an early closure at 1 p.m. ET on November 28 [9]

Group 1 - Deere & Company (NYSE:DE) is highlighted as a stock with resilience, described as "made of Teflon," indicating its ability to withstand market fluctuations [1] - The company operates in the farming sector, which is historically supported by government subsidies during tough times, benefiting sales of farm equipment [1] - Recent declines in commodity prices raise questions about their impact on Deere's sales, suggesting a cautious approach to investment in the stock [1] Group 2 - Deere & Company manufactures a range of equipment including farming, turf, construction, and forestry machinery, along with supporting parts and tools [2]

Core Insights - Earnings season is beginning to slow down, providing some relief after recent market volatility, with key companies like Alibaba, Zscaler, Deer & Company, and Dell Technologies set to report this week [1] Earnings Reports - This week features earnings reports from: - Alibaba (BABA) with an expected move of 7.2% - Dell Technologies (DELL) with an expected move of 9.4% - Zscaler (ZS) with an expected move of 9.9% - Deer & Company (DE) with an expected move of 5.5% [4] Implied Volatility - Implied volatility tends to be high before earnings reports due to market uncertainty, leading to increased demand for options [2] - After earnings announcements, implied volatility typically decreases to normal levels [2] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize expected moves to structure trades: - Bearish traders may consider selling bear call spreads outside the expected range - Bullish traders might sell bull put spreads or look at naked puts for higher risk tolerance [4] - Neutral traders can explore iron condors, ensuring short strikes remain outside the expected range [5] Stock Screening - A stock screener can identify stocks with high implied volatility, using filters such as: - Total call volume greater than 5,000 - Market cap greater than 40 billion - IV Rank greater than 40% [6][7] Previous Earnings Performance - Last week's earnings move for TCOM was +2.2%, compared to an expected move of 6.2% [9]

Market Overview - The market dynamics have shifted, with algorithmic trading dominating, leading to unpredictable selling patterns that disregard traditional holiday trends [2][3] - Investors are facing a lack of reliable data due to the government shutdown, impacting decision-making [3] Economic Indicators - The delayed September retail sales report is anticipated to be weak, which could increase the likelihood of interest rate cuts [3] - A soft retail sales report could lead to rising bond prices and falling yields, unless countered by a significant increase in the producer price index [4] - Housing turnover is at its lowest in 40 years, negatively affecting various industries reliant on housing sales [4] Company Insights Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) - Deere is viewed positively due to government support for farmers during tough times, which can lead to increased sales of farm equipment [9] - The company is expected to be resilient, but investors are advised to wait for the quarterly results before making purchases [9] Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE: BURL) - Burlington is considered the weakest among its peers in the off-price retail sector, with recent performance lagging behind competitors [10] - The company reported a 2.5% comparable sales growth in the first half, with a notable difference in growth rates between the first and second quarters [10][11] - Management's cautious guidance for the second half of the year reflects concerns over weather-related sales impacts, particularly in outerwear [11][13] - The stock trades at a higher valuation compared to its peers, with a PEG ratio of 1.4, and recent buyback activity has been limited [11][12]

Economic Data Releases - The delayed September retail sales report will be released just before Black Friday, indicating consumer spending trends leading into the holiday season [2][7] - Other economic data to be released includes weekly jobless claims, pending home sales, durable-goods orders, and the Producer Price Index for September, which will provide insights into inflation [2][7] Earnings Reports - Key companies reporting earnings this week include John Deere, Alibaba, Applied Digital, Dell Technologies, and others, with significant attention on their performance amid rising costs and market conditions [4][5][6] - Workday is expected to report quarterly earnings for the first time since Elliott Investment Management took a stake in the company, indicating potential shifts in company strategy or performance [5] Market Activity - Stock markets will close early on Friday at 1 p.m. ET, and bond markets will close at 2 p.m. ET due to the Thanksgiving holiday, impacting trading volumes and market dynamics [2][11] - The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision on December 10 may be influenced by the delayed economic data, complicating the outlook for monetary policy [7]

Core Insights - Investors will have a break next week due to the market closure on November 27 for Thanksgiving, allowing time for assessment and reflection after a challenging week for Wall Street [2] - Despite the end of the U.S. government shutdown, some key economic reports are still being canceled due to insufficient survey data, impacting market expectations [3] Earnings Reports - Several companies are scheduled to report earnings next week, including Alibaba Group (BABA), Dell (DELL), Deere & Company (DE), Analog Devices (ADI), Best Buy (BBY), HP (HPQ), and DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) [4] - Specific earnings highlights include: - Monday: Agilent Technologies (A), Zoom Communications (ZM), Symbotic (SYM) [5] - Tuesday: Alibaba, Analog Devices (ADI), Dell Technologies, Best Buy (BBY), Autodesk (ADSK), Workday (WDAY), Zscaler (ZS), HP (HPQ), DICK'S Sporting Goods, J.M. Smucker (SJM), and NIO (NIO) [5] - Wednesday: Deere, Li Auto (LI) [5] - Thursday: Intuitive Machines (LUNR) [6] - Friday: Frontline Plc (FRO), Buckle, Inc. (BKE) [6]

Core Insights - The Q3 earnings season for S&P 500 companies is showing positive results, with 95% of companies having reported by November 21, and an expected 13.4% increase in earnings per share, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [2] Group 1: Earnings Performance - Analysts had initially expected a 7.9% increase in earnings per share for Q3 as of September 30, indicating a significant upward revision in expectations [3] - If the anticipated 13.4% growth holds, it represents an acceleration from the 12% growth rate reported in Q2 of this year [2] Group 2: Upcoming Reports - Recent retail earnings reports from Walmart, Home Depot, Lowe's, and Target will be followed by upcoming reports from Abercrombie & Fitch, Dick's Sporting Goods, and Burlington Stores, which will provide insights into consumer sentiment and purchasing behavior [4] - Additional earnings reports from tech and other sectors are expected from companies such as Zoom, Dell, Workday, HP Inc., Deere, and Pony AI [5]