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Dow Presents at Deutsche Bank Global Industrials & Materials Conference Jim Fitterling, Chair and CEO June 5, 2025 High Macro Uncertainty Driving Slower Global Demand Rest of Market Vertical China NAA LAA EMEAI World (% of Revenue1) Packaging ~30% ~40% Source: Based on internal and third-party markers Moderate/Mixed 2025 GDP Projections Continue to be Revised Down Monitoring potential effects from higher tariffs in Mobility, ♣ following auto makers' recent reports of sizeable impacts and withdrawn FY guidan ...

Dow (NYSE: DOW ) has been paying dividends continuously since 1912 and today it’s yielding nearly 10%. That’s no coincidence. In a stock market full of pessimism, geopolitical tensions, and demand shortages, Dow stands out as a dividend giant in dire straits. I was intriguedI'm a passionate investor from the Netherlands with 12 years of stock market experience. My articles usually contain a good overview of important investment criteria. A stock for my portfolio is of interest to me if the company has the f ...

Summary of Dow Inc. FY Conference Call (June 05, 2025) Company Overview - **Company**: Dow Inc. (DOW) - **Industry**: Chemicals Key Points and Arguments Macroeconomic Environment - The company continues to face a prolonged downturn in the chemicals industry, with slower global growth and increasing macro uncertainty due to tariffs and geopolitical tensions [3][4] - Trade negotiations between the US and China remain volatile, impacting economic conditions in both nations and globally [4] - The global manufacturing PMI fell into contraction in April, indicating a decline in new orders, particularly in durable goods markets [5] Market Performance - Demand for packaging remains solid despite a sluggish start to Q2, with a $0.05 per pound price increase for polyethylene announced for June [5][6] - Infrastructure and housing demand are persistently soft, with US building permits at their lowest since May 2024 [6] - Consumer spending in electronics and pharmaceuticals shows stability, while building and construction markets are experiencing below-normal seasonal demand [7][21] Strategic Actions - Dow has finalized a strategic partnership with Macquarie Asset Management, resulting in $2.4 billion in initial cash proceeds from the sale of a minority equity stake in US Gulf Coast infrastructure assets [8][9] - The company expects to generate over $1 billion from the resolution of damages related to a jointly owned ethylene asset in Canada [10] - Dow aims to achieve $1 billion in targeted annual cost savings by 2026, with $300 million expected by year-end 2025 [10][11] Growth Initiatives - Two growth projects in the US Gulf Coast are set to come online, enhancing production capacity in packaging and specialty plastics [12][13] - The company is transitioning to higher-value ethylene oxide derivatives, which are expected to deliver significantly higher margins [14] - Recent divestitures have generated approximately $200 million, supporting Dow's balanced capital allocation approach [15] European Market Strategy - Dow is reviewing its European asset footprint, identifying upstream assets for potential idling or shutdown due to demand challenges [16][17] - The company is focused on optimizing its operations in higher-cost regions like Europe, where demand remains about 20% below pre-COVID levels [43] Financial Outlook - Dow's EBITDA guidance for Q2 is approximately $950 million, with more headwinds than tailwinds anticipated [34] - The company maintains a healthy dividend policy, with a payout of around $1.9 to $2 billion annually, while considering the impact of ongoing macroeconomic conditions [36][37] Long-term Strategy - Dow is open to M&A opportunities, particularly in packaging, specialty plastics, and industrial solutions, while evaluating strategic partnerships in Europe [40][41] - The company aims to achieve a mid-cycle EBITDA of $9 billion by 2030, contingent on market recovery and strategic asset management [49][50] Sustainability Initiatives - Dow's Transform the Waste initiative aims for a target of 3 million metric tons of recycled materials by 2030, with ongoing demand for low-emission products [66][67] Additional Important Insights - The company is closely monitoring ethane prices and their impact on integrated polyethylene margins, with a focus on maintaining competitive pricing [26][60] - Dow's nuclear ambitions are progressing, with a construction permit filed for a small modular nuclear facility in Texas [62][64] - The demand for recycled materials is strong, although price competition with virgin plastics remains a challenge [67][68]

Core Insights - Dow Inc. (DOW) has agreed to sell its 50% stake in DowAksa Advanced Composites Holdings BV to its joint venture partner Aksa Akrilik Kimya Sanayii A.S. for an estimated $125 million, reflecting an enterprise value of approximately 10 times the projected 2025 operating EBITDA [1][9] - The divestiture aligns with DOW's strategy to focus on its core, high-value downstream businesses, and is expected to close in the third quarter of 2025 [2][9] - DOW's stock has experienced a significant decline of 47.1% over the past year, compared to a 24.9% decline in the industry [3] Financial and Strategic Actions - DOW remains committed to disciplined execution and enhancing profitability while addressing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties, including delaying the construction of the Fort Saskatchewan Path2Zero project [4] - The company is expanding its review of European assets, particularly in polyurethanes, to tackle challenging demand conditions and regulatory issues, with expected cash support of around $6 billion from these actions [5] Market Position - DOW currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), while other companies in the Basic Materials sector, such as Akzo Nobel N.V. and Newmont Corporation, have higher rankings, indicating better market performance [6]

Group 1 - Dow announced the sale of its 50% stake in the joint venture DowAksa to its partner Aksa for $125 million, aligning with its strategy to focus on core high-value downstream businesses [2] - The enterprise value of DowAksa is estimated to be around 10 times its projected EBITDA for 2025, indicating a strong valuation [2] - Dow has made several strategic adjustments this year, including the sale of its Telone soil fumigation product line for $121 million and plans to close three high-cost European plants due to a 65.9% drop in profits compared to the previous year [3] Group 2 - BASF has officially initiated the sale of its coatings business, with an expected sale price of up to €6 billion (approximately $6.8 billion) [4] - The decision to sell is part of BASF's strategy to concentrate on areas closely related to its core chemical business, as the coatings business has a lower correlation with its value chain [4] - Major paint companies, including Sherwin-Williams and AkzoNobel, have shown strong interest in acquiring BASF's coatings business, which generated sales of €4.3 billion in 2024 [4]

Core Insights - Dow Inc. is set to launch a wider range of skin, hair, and color cosmetics, including its first low-carbon silicone elastomer blends under the Decarbia platform at the New York SCC Suppliers' Day 2025 [1][7] - The new product offerings are designed for various applications such as conditioning, styling, cleansing, and sun care, emphasizing sustainable and high-performance formulations [1][7] Product Launch Details - The company will introduce four low-carbon DOWSIL Silicone Elastomers Blends, achieved through the decarbonization of silicon metal feedstocks, supported by verified carbon compensation certification and third-party environmental assessments [2] - Additional prototypes will be unveiled under the theme 'From Shower to Sensational,' including a formulation kit, low viscosity conditioning agent DEXCARE CD-2 Polymer, hair styling polymer ACUDYNE 2000, and ACULYN F1 Polymer for smooth flow and clarity [3] - The launch will also feature the "ProtecTress 2.0 program," which focuses on effective hair heat protection options [3] Market Performance - Dow Inc.'s stock has experienced a significant decline of 46.9% over the past year, compared to a 25.7% decline in the industry [5] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), indicating underperformance relative to peers [6]

Group 1 - Dow has signed a sale and purchase agreement to sell its 50% interest in DowAksa Advanced Composites Holdings BV to Aksa Akrilik Kimya Sanayii A.Ş. for expected proceeds of $125 million, reflecting an enterprise value of approximately 10x the estimated 2025 operating EBITDA [1][2] - The decision to exit the joint venture aligns with Dow's strategy to focus on core, high-value downstream businesses, and the proceeds will support the company's balanced capital allocation approach [2][4] - The sale is anticipated to close in the third quarter of 2025, pending customary regulatory approvals and other closing conditions [2] Group 2 - Dow is a leading materials science company with a focus on high-growth markets such as packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications, delivering sales of approximately $43 billion in 2024 [3] - The company operates manufacturing sites in 30 countries and employs around 36,000 people, emphasizing its commitment to sustainability and profitable growth [3]

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Group 1 - The article highlights that among the Dow Industrials, Verizon (VZ) is identified as one of the ten lowest priced stocks that is considered a buying opportunity [1] - It notes that most stocks in this collection are deemed too expensive and offer minimal dividends [1] Group 2 - The Dividend Dogcatcher initiative features a live video series on Facebook, focusing on portfolio candidates and encouraging audience interaction regarding stock preferences [2] - The program aims to spotlight underperforming stocks that may present investment opportunities [2]