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Core Viewpoint - Expedia's third-quarter performance exceeded market expectations, showcasing strong growth in sales and adjusted earnings per share, indicating a positive outlook for the company and the online travel industry [1] Financial Performance - Third-quarter sales increased by 9% year-over-year to $4.41 billion, surpassing market expectations of $4.28 billion [1] - Adjusted earnings per share rose by 23% year-over-year to $7.57, exceeding the anticipated $6.97 [1] - Total bookings across platforms, including Hotels.com, Vrbo, and Expedia.com, grew by 12% year-over-year to $30.73 billion, higher than the expected $29.1 billion [1] Future Outlook - Expedia forecasts a median sales growth of 7% for the fourth quarter, significantly above the expected 2.6% [1] - The company has raised its full-year sales growth forecast to a median of 6.5%, up from the previous expectation of 4% [1]

Core Insights - Expedia Group reported third-quarter results that exceeded expectations, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), automation, and enhanced partner connectivity, marking the strongest momentum in over three years and leading to an increase in full-year guidance [1][3][11] Financial Performance - Gross bookings rose 12% to $30.7 billion, while revenue increased 9% to $4.4 billion, attributed to higher lodging and air prices, improved demand, and enhanced marketing efficiency [3][11] - Free cash flow reached $3 billion, with the company ending the quarter with $6.2 billion in cash and short-term investments, indicating operational discipline amid investments in automation [3][14] AI and Technology Integration - AI is central to Expedia's travel ecosystem, enhancing how customers search, plan, and book trips through intelligent recommendation models and automated review summaries [4][5] - The company has seen double-digit growth in vacation rentals and record attach rates on ancillary services due to AI-powered changes across its platforms [5] Consumer and B2B Growth - Consumer bookings increased 7% year-over-year, with notable growth outside the U.S. and strong performance in Europe, while the B2B segment saw bookings rise 26% and revenue increase 18% [5][7][13] - The travel-agency solutions business grew 25%, surpassing $3 billion in bookings year-to-date, supported by new automation tools [8] Cost Management and Efficiency - The cost base benefited from automation, with direct sales and marketing expenses falling 4% in the consumer segment and cost of revenue declining 3% [9] - Partnerships with major technology providers like Google and OpenAI are enhancing Expedia's adaptability to new travel discovery patterns [6] Future Outlook - For the fourth quarter, Expedia anticipates gross bookings and revenue growth between 6% and 8%, with full-year 2025 guidance projecting bookings growth of about 7% and revenue growth of 6% to 7% [10][15]

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Core Insights - Expedia reported revenue of $4.41 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, marking an 8.7% increase year-over-year and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.61% [1] - The company's EPS was $7.57, up from $6.13 in the same quarter last year, surpassing the consensus EPS estimate of $7.21 by 4.99% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Gross bookings totaled $30.73 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $29.18 billion by analysts [4] - Booked room nights were 108, slightly below the average estimate of 109 [4] - Gross bookings from the Merchant segment were $18.85 billion, surpassing the estimated $17.43 billion [4] - Agency gross bookings reached $11.88 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $11.76 billion [4] - International revenue was $1.88 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $1.75 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 15.4% [4] - U.S. revenue was $2.54 billion, slightly below the estimated $2.58 billion, but still reflecting a 4.2% year-over-year increase [4] - B2B revenue was $1.39 billion, above the average estimate of $1.35 billion, with an 18.2% year-over-year increase [4] - B2C revenue was $2.88 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $2.82 billion, representing a 3.7% year-over-year increase [4] - Revenue from Expedia Group (excluding Trivago) was $4.28 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $4.17 billion, with an 8% year-over-year increase [4] - Trivago revenue was $137 million, exceeding the average estimate of $120.36 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 34.3% [4] - Revenue from Lodging was $3.6 billion, above the average estimate of $3.51 billion, with an 8.7% year-over-year increase [4] - Revenue from Other services was $376 million, below the average estimate of $436.04 million, but still showing a year-over-year increase of 1.6% [4] Stock Performance - Expedia's shares returned +0.7% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating potential for outperformance in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Expedia reported quarterly earnings of $7.57 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.21 per share, and up from $6.13 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +4.99% [1] - The company generated revenues of $4.41 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.61% and increasing from $4.06 billion year-over-year [2] - Expedia has outperformed consensus EPS estimates three times in the last four quarters and has also topped revenue estimates three times during the same period [2] Earnings Outlook - The sustainability of Expedia's stock price movement will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and future earnings expectations [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $2.85 on revenues of $3.27 billion, while for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $14.33 on revenues of $14.34 billion [7] Industry Context - The Internet - Commerce industry, to which Expedia belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 41% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked using tools like the Zacks Rank [5][6]

Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $4,412 million, a 8.7% increase from $4,060 million in Q3 2024[8] - Operating income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, reached $1,451 million, up 31.6% from $1,103 million in the same period of 2024[8] - Net income attributable to Expedia Group, Inc. for Q3 2025 was $959 million, compared to $684 million in Q3 2024, representing an increase of 40.4%[10] - Basic earnings per share for Q3 2025 was $7.76, up 47% from $5.28 in Q3 2024[8] - Comprehensive income for Q3 2025 was $957 million, compared to $717 million in Q3 2024, reflecting a 33.5% increase[10] - Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,089 million, an increase from $923 million in the same period of 2024, representing a growth of 18.0%[20] - Total revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $11,186 million, a 6.4% increase from $10,507 million in the same period of 2024[95] - Adjusted EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $2,653 million, compared to $2,291 million for the same period in 2024, reflecting a 15.8% increase[95] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets as of September 30, 2025, were $25,108 million, an increase from $22,388 million as of December 31, 2024[14] - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $5,826 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $4,183 million at the end of 2024[14] - The company reported a total current liabilities of $17,262 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $13,611 million at the end of 2024[14] - The total stockholders' equity decreased to $2,593 million as of September 30, 2025, down from $2,799 million at the end of 2024[14] - Total outstanding debt as of September 30, 2025, was $6.216 billion, a slight decrease from $6.266 billion as of December 31, 2024[55] Cash Flow and Investments - Net cash provided by operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $3,576 million, compared to $2,887 million for the same period in 2024, indicating a 24.0% increase[20] - Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at the end of the period were $7,262 million, up from $6,046 million at the end of September 2024, representing a 20.1% increase[20] - The company experienced a net increase in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash of $1,688 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to an increase of $385 million in 2024[20] - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, net cash used in investing activities was $332 million, a decrease from $901 million in the prior year period[185] Shareholder Activities - The company paid dividends to stockholders totaling $151 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to no dividends paid in the same period of 2024[20] - The company repurchased treasury stock amounting to $1,603 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $1,641 million in 2024[20] - The company repurchased 7.9 million shares for a total cost of $1.4 billion under the 2023 Share Repurchase Program, with an average repurchase price of $179.05 per share[68] Revenue Segments - Lodging accounted for 82% of total worldwide revenue in Q3 2025, with room nights booked growing by 11% compared to 9% in 2024[111] - The B2B segment generated $1,392 million in revenue for Q3 2025, up from $1,178 million in Q3 2024, marking a 17.9% increase[93][94] - The trivago segment generated $137 million in revenue for Q3 2025, an increase from $102 million in Q3 2024, representing a 34.3% growth[93][94] - Merchant revenue model generated $7,766 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $7,228 million in 2024, indicating a 7.4% increase[99] Tax and Legal Matters - The company recorded a reserve of $107 million for potential settlement of Italian VAT obligations for the years 2016 to 2022, with an additional payment of $71 million made in November 2024[82] - A tax audit report from the Guardia di Finanza proposed unpaid withholding tax of €150 million ($175 million) for the years 2017 through 2023, with a reserve of $90 million recorded as of September 30, 2025[84][85] Market Conditions and Risks - The company experienced weaker than expected travel demand in the U.S. during the first half of 2025, but conditions improved in the third quarter[106] - The online travel market remains highly competitive, with emerging markets presenting attractive growth opportunities despite increased competition from various players[109] - The company is facing potential risks from new taxes and aggressive enforcement of existing tax laws, which could impact liquidity[107]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 12% increase in bookings and a 9% increase in revenue for Q3 2025, with EBITDA margin expanding by over two points [5][14][15] - Gross bookings reached $30.7 billion, with a 12% year-over-year growth, benefiting from foreign exchange [15][20] - Adjusted EBITDA was $1.4 billion, with a margin of 33%, reflecting revenue and expense leverage [17][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - B2B bookings increased by 26%, marking the 17th consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, while advertising revenue grew by 16% [6][15] - B2C gross bookings were $21.3 billion, growing 7% year-over-year, with B2C revenue at $2.9 billion, up 4% [15][16] - The company saw strong performance in its consumer brands, particularly in Europe, with Expedia being the largest and fastest-growing brand [6][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., room nights increased by high single digits, marking the fastest growth in over three years, while EMEA saw low double-digit growth and Asia over 20% [6][14] - The company experienced strong demand for premium travel, with growth in both high-end and lower-end segments [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on delivering more value to travelers through personalized experiences and enhanced loyalty programs [7][9] - Investment in B2B and advertising continues to be a priority, with new tools and AI integration driving growth [10][11] - The company is leveraging AI to improve operational efficiencies and enhance customer service [12][37] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to execute and create value for stakeholders, despite monitoring economic indicators [12][20] - The company raised its full-year guidance based on strong Q3 results and ongoing trends [5][20] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $6.2 billion in unrestricted cash and short-term investments, maintaining a strong cash position [19] - Free cash flow on a trailing 12-month basis was $3 billion, reflecting the strength of the operating model [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on B2B growth and competitive environment - Management highlighted exceptional B2B performance, driven by strong supply and technology, with a focus on signing new partners and enhancing product offerings [24][25] Question: Sources of margin expansion - Management identified sales and marketing optimization, cost of sales management, and overhead control as key sources for future margin expansion [31][33] Question: Update on replatforming and brand performance - Management noted that replatforming has enabled better scale and performance across brands, with Hotels.com and Vrbo showing strong results [41][44] Question: Direct bookings and marketing efficiency - Management reported that direct bookings account for about two-thirds of consumer business, with ongoing improvements in conversion rates [68][70] Question: Outlook for Q4 and government shutdown impact - Management expressed confidence in Q4 guidance while monitoring potential impacts from the government shutdown [86][88] Question: International travel dynamics - Management indicated that inbound travel to the U.S. is nearly back to last year's levels, with healthy growth across various corridors [95]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Bookings increased by 12% and revenue grew by 9%, with EBITDA margin expanding by over 2 points [5][16][17] - Gross bookings reached $30.7 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase, with a 1-point benefit from foreign exchange [17] - Adjusted EBITDA was $1.4 billion, with a margin of 33%, driven by revenue and expense leverage [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - B2C gross bookings were $21.3 billion, growing 7% year-over-year, while B2C revenue increased by 4% to $2.9 billion [18] - B2B gross bookings surged by 26% to $9.4 billion, with B2B revenue growing by 18% [18] - Advertising revenue rose by 16%, marking another double-digit growth quarter [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., room nights increased by high single digits, marking the fastest growth in over three years [7][16] - EMEA saw low double-digit growth in room nights, while Asia experienced over 20% growth [7] - B2B bookings increased for the 17th consecutive quarter, with a 26% rise [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on delivering more value to travelers through personalized experiences and enhanced product offerings [8][10] - Investment in growth opportunities, particularly in B2B and advertising, is a key strategic priority [10][11] - The integration of AI into products is expected to drive engagement and improve operational efficiencies [9][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to execute and create value amidst a dynamic macro environment [14][15] - The company raised its full-year guidance based on strong demand trends observed in Q3 [6][22] - Economic indicators are being monitored closely, with a focus on maintaining agility in operations [14][22] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $6.2 billion in unrestricted cash and short-term investments [21] - Free cash flow on a trailing 12-month basis was $3 billion, reflecting a strong operating model [21] - The company has $1.8 billion remaining in its share repurchase program [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on B2B growth and competitive environment - Management highlighted exceptional B2B performance, emphasizing strong supply and technology as key growth drivers [26][28] Question: Sources of margin expansion - Margin expansion is expected from optimized sales and marketing, improved cost of sales, and overhead management [34][35] Question: Update on replatforming and brand performance - Replatforming has enabled better scale and performance across brands, with Hotels.com and Vrbo showing strong growth [41][44] Question: Direct bookings and marketing efficiency - Direct bookings account for about two-thirds of consumer business, with ongoing improvements in conversion rates [68][70] Question: U.S. room nights acceleration drivers - Room nights growth was driven by strong performance across both consumer and B2B segments [73][75] Question: Outlook for Q4 amidst potential government shutdown - Guidance reflects stable trends, with monitoring of the government shutdown's potential impact on travel demand [86][89]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Bookings increased by 12% and revenue grew by 9%, with EBITDA margin expanding by over two points [4][14] - Gross bookings reached $30.7 billion, up 12%, while revenue was $4.4 billion, reflecting a 2.5-point benefit from foreign exchange [15][19] - Adjusted EBITDA was $1.4 billion, with a margin of 33%, and adjusted EPS grew by 23% to $7.57 [17][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - B2C gross bookings were $21.3 billion, growing by 7%, while B2C revenue increased by 4% to $2.9 billion [15][16] - B2B gross bookings surged by 26% to $9.4 billion, with B2B revenue growing by 18% [16][19] - Advertising revenue rose by 16%, marking another double-digit growth quarter [15][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., room nights increased by high single digits, marking the fastest growth in over three years [5][14] - EMEA saw low double-digit growth in room nights, while the rest of the world, including Asia, experienced high teens growth, with over 20% in Asia [5][14] - B2B bookings increased for the 17th consecutive quarter, reflecting strong demand across all regions [5][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on delivering more value to travelers through personalized experiences and enhanced loyalty programs [6][8] - Continued investment in B2B growth opportunities and advertising, leveraging AI for improved targeting and measurement [9][10] - The company aims to drive operational efficiencies and margin expansion, with a focus on marketing leverage and cost management [11][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to execute and create value for stakeholders, despite monitoring economic indicators [12][20] - The demand environment improved, with expectations for continued momentum into Q4, although growth may moderate due to tougher comparisons [19][78] - The company is prepared for potential impacts from external factors, such as government shutdowns, while maintaining a strong outlook for Q4 [79][80] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $6.2 billion in unrestricted cash and short-term investments, with a commitment to maintaining investment-grade debt levels [18] - Free cash flow for the trailing 12 months was $3 billion, reflecting a strong operating model [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on B2B growth and competitive environment - Management highlighted exceptional B2B performance, driven by strong supply and technology, with a focus on signing new partners and enhancing product offerings [23][25] Question: Sources of future margin expansion - Future margin expansion is expected from optimized sales and marketing, improved cost of sales, and overhead management [27][30] Question: Update on replatforming and brand performance - Replatforming has enabled better scale and performance across brands, with Hotels.com and Vrbo showing strong growth due to recent enhancements [37][41] Question: Direct bookings and marketing efficiency - Direct bookings account for about two-thirds of consumer business, with improvements in conversion rates and traffic metrics noted [60][62] Question: Outlook for Vrbo and market share - Vrbo is believed to have maintained or grown market share in the U.S., with positive growth in bookings and room nights [75] Question: Impact of government shutdown on guidance - Guidance reflects stable trends observed in October, with preparations for potential impacts from external events factored into the outlook [78][80]