Shift4 Payments(FOUR)
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Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 17:00
Core Viewpoint - Shift4 Payments (FOUR) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the correlation between changes in earnings estimates and stock price movements, suggesting that revisions in earnings estimates can lead to significant price changes [4][6]. - Shift4 Payments is projected to earn $5.46 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 40.4% [8]. Analyst Sentiment and Market Position - Analysts have raised their earnings estimates for Shift4 Payments, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 19.7% over the past three months [8]. - The upgrade to Zacks Rank 2 places Shift4 Payments in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10]. Zacks Rating System Overview - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks based on earnings estimate revisions, with a proven track record of performance, where Zacks Rank 1 stocks have generated an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - The system maintains a balanced distribution of ratings, ensuring that only the top 5% of stocks receive a 'Strong Buy' rating, while the next 15% receive a 'Buy' rating [9].
Wall Street Analysts Believe Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Could Rally 41.2%: Here's is How to Trade
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Shift4 Payments (FOUR) has seen a 13.6% increase in share price over the past four weeks, closing at $82.36, with a potential upside of 41.2% based on Wall Street analysts' mean price target of $116.29 [1] Price Targets - The average of 24 short-term price targets ranges from a low of $80 to a high of $150, with a standard deviation of $16.01, indicating variability among analysts [2] - The lowest estimate suggests a decline of 2.9% from the current price, while the highest estimate indicates an upside of 82.1% [2] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts show a consensus that FOUR will report better earnings than previously estimated, which supports the expectation of a stock price increase [4][11] - Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased by 17.3%, with seven estimates moving higher and one lower [12] Zacks Rank - FOUR holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, indicating strong potential for upside [13]
Shift4 Payments(FOUR) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-04-29 20:05
Financial Performance - Gross revenue for Q1 2025 was $848.3 million, a 19.8% increase from $707.4 million in Q1 2024[18] - Net income attributable to Shift4 Payments, Inc. for Q1 2025 was $16.7 million, down from $20.6 million in Q1 2024, representing a 19% decrease[18] - Comprehensive income attributable to Shift4 Payments, Inc. for Q1 2025 was $42.3 million, significantly up from $10.0 million in Q1 2024[20] - Net income for Q1 2025 was $19.5 million, a decrease of 31.6% from $28.5 million in Q1 2024[23] - Operating cash flow decreased to $96.6 million in Q1 2025 from $115.0 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a decline of 16.5%[23] - Payments-based revenue increased to $755.7 million in Q1 2025 from $655.1 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a growth of about 15.3%[66] - Subscription and other revenues rose significantly to $92.6 million in Q1 2025, compared to $52.3 million in Q1 2024, marking an increase of approximately 76.8%[66] Expenses and Liabilities - The company reported a cost of sales of $591.3 million in Q1 2025, compared to $519.6 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a 13.8% increase[18] - Depreciation and amortization increased to $85.2 million in Q1 2025, up from $66.1 million in Q1 2024, representing a rise of 28.5%[23] - Equity-based compensation expense increased to $26.0 million in Q1 2025 from $22.8 million in Q1 2024, an increase of 14.0%[23] - The TRA liability was $362.6 million as of March 31, 2025, slightly down from $365.5 million at the end of 2024[29] - Total liabilities as of March 31, 2025, included a Tax Receivable Agreement (TRA) liability of $362.6 million, slightly down from $365.5 million at the end of 2024[29] Cash and Investments - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 were $1,384.3 million, down from $1,438.6 million at the end of Q4 2024, a decrease of 3.8%[36] - Net cash used in investing activities rose to $85.0 million in Q1 2025 compared to $39.7 million in Q1 2024, indicating a significant increase of 114.1%[23] - The company reported a gain on investments in securities of $(0.3) million in Q1 2025, compared to a loss of $(11.0) million in Q1 2024[23] Acquisitions - The company completed the acquisition of Eigen Payments for a total purchase consideration of $115.0 million, net of cash acquired[41] - The company completed the acquisition of Givex Corp. for a total purchase consideration of $127.8 million, net of cash acquired[47] - The acquisition of Vectron Systems AG involved a total purchase consideration of $62.7 million, net of cash acquired, with the company owning approximately 75% of Vectron's common stock as of March 31, 2025[52] - The acquisition of Revel Systems, Inc. was completed for $245.3 million, net of cash acquired, enhancing the company's presence in the restaurant and retail markets[60] Stockholder Equity - The total stockholders' equity as of March 31, 2025, was $1,016.0 million, slightly down from $1,017.7 million at the end of 2024[21] - The company repurchased and retired 686,177 shares of Class A common stock, resulting in a reduction of $63.4 million in equity[21] - The company recognized equity-based compensation expense of $26.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to $22.8 million for the same period in 2024, reflecting an increase of approximately 14.0%[119] Debt and Financing - Total debt as of March 31, 2025, was $2,843.5 million, with a current portion of $687.8 million and long-term debt of $2,155.7 million[78] - The company has a $450.0 million senior secured revolving credit facility, with no borrowings as of March 31, 2025[84] - Future principal payments on the company's debt total $2,872.5 million, with $690.0 million due in 2025[81] - The company entered into a commitment letter for a 364-day bridge loan facilities totaling $1.795 billion, consisting of a $1.0 billion senior secured bridge loan and a $795.0 million senior unsecured bridge loan[86] Tax and Compliance - The Company's effective tax rate for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was (71)%, significantly different from the federal statutory rate of 21% due to noncontrolling interest allocations[99] - The Company was in compliance with all financial covenants under its debt agreements as of March 31, 2025[89] Other Financial Metrics - The company experienced a change in TRA liability resulting in a gain of $3.0 million in Q1 2025, compared to a loss of $1.2 million in Q1 2024[18] - The effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents resulted in a gain of $14.8 million in Q1 2025, compared to a loss of $(6.5) million in Q1 2024[23] - The company did not have any single customer accounting for more than 10% of its revenue during the reported periods, indicating a diversified customer base[130]
Shift4 Payments(FOUR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 17:46
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 35% year-over-year increase in volumes to $45 billion, with gross revenue less network fees rising 40% to $369 million [6][24] - Adjusted EBITDA increased 38% to $169 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins at 46%, slightly above the guidance of 45% [7][24] - Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.07 per share, reflecting strong performance [8][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Subscription and other revenue grew 77% year-over-year to $93 million, driven by success in SMB, SkyTab, and further penetration in the sports and entertainment vertical [24] - The company is focused on adding new merchants and expanding share of wallet, particularly in the restaurant sector with the introduction of SkyTab Air [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is experiencing stable volume trends across all end markets, with a slight deceleration attributed to seasonal factors [6][30] - International expansion is underway, with significant growth in markets like the UK, Ireland, and Germany, signing over 1,000 restaurants monthly [19][75] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is raising its full-year 2025 guidance, reflecting confidence in execution and growth drivers [6][29] - The acquisition of Global Blue is expected to unlock $80 million in revenue synergies by 2027, primarily through bundling payment solutions [21][90] - The company aims to replicate its successful U.S. model internationally, focusing on software and payment convergence [18][75] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding consumer spending trends, noting stability despite macroeconomic uncertainties [30][100] - The company has a proven track record of growing payment volumes during economic downturns, indicating resilience [22][30] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 686,000 shares for $63 million in Q1 and continued repurchases in April [27] - Total indebtedness has a weighted average cost of 3.4%, with net leverage at approximately 2.4 times [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: How would you describe the competitive environment in international markets? - Management noted that the international opportunity mirrors the U.S. market evolution, with a lack of convergence among software, hardware, and payment solutions [36][39] Question: Can you touch on what you're seeing in the market more broadly into April? - Management indicated stable trends in same-store sales across various segments, with modest compression in restaurants and hotels [42][46] Question: Where are you on the synergy update from recent acquisitions? - Management highlighted successful cross-sell opportunities from acquisitions like Revel, contributing significantly to the SkyTab development pipeline [50][51] Question: What was organic and inorganic growth in the 40% GR LNF growth in the quarter? - Management stated that organic revenue growth is expected to be north of 20% for the year, with acquisitions providing noise in quarter-to-quarter comparisons [56][57] Question: Can you provide any color on the current revenue split between U.S. and international? - Management indicated that international revenue is still developing, with significant contributions expected from enterprise customers and SMB products [72][73]
Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 14:35
Core Insights - Shift4 Payments reported a revenue of $368.5 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 39.7% and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.90% [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $1.07, significantly higher than the $0.54 reported in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of 50.70% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.71 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - End-to-End Payment Volume reached $45 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $44.53 billion from five analysts [4] - Gross Revenue from Subscription and other revenues was reported at $92.60 million, slightly above the average estimate of $92.56 million, marking a year-over-year increase of 77.1% [4] - Gross Revenue from Payments-based revenue was $755.70 million, below the average estimate of $797.60 million, but still showing a year-over-year growth of 15.4% [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Shift4 Payments have returned -2.5%, compared to a -0.8% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 13:25
Core Viewpoint - Shift4 Payments reported quarterly earnings of $1.07 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.71 per share, and showing an increase from $0.54 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 50.70% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $368.5 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.90%, compared to revenues of $263.7 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Shift4 Payments has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Shift4 Payments shares have declined approximately 23.2% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has decreased by 6% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.10 on revenues of $406.49 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $4.70 on revenues of $1.71 billion [7] Industry Context - The Financial Transaction Services industry, to which Shift4 Payments belongs, is currently ranked in the top 28% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8]
Shift4 Payments(FOUR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 12:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 35% year-over-year increase in volumes to $45 billion [8] - Gross revenue less network fees increased by 40% to $369 million, driven by stable spreads and subscription revenue [8][23] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 38% to $169 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins at 46%, slightly above guidance [9][23] - Adjusted EPS was reported at $1.07 per share, reflecting strong performance [9][27] - The company raised its full-year 2025 guidance for gross revenue less network fees to between $1.66 billion and $1.73 billion, representing 23% to 28% growth [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Subscription and other revenue grew by 77% year-over-year to $93 million, driven by success in SMB and sports and entertainment verticals [24] - The company continues to focus on adding new merchants and expanding share of wallet, particularly in the restaurant sector with new offerings like SkyTab Air [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is experiencing stable volume trends across all end markets, with a slight deceleration attributed to seasonal factors [8][29] - International expansion is underway, with significant growth in markets like the UK, Ireland, and Germany, signing over 1,000 restaurants monthly [18][73] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on unlocking synergies from recent acquisitions, achieving over $20 million in EBITDA synergies in Q1 alone [13] - The strategy includes bundling unique capabilities with payment processing expertise to enhance competitiveness [14] - The company is expanding its footprint globally, now operating in six continents, and is optimistic about signing marquee clients in Latin America [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate economic uncertainty, noting a proven track record of growing payment volumes during challenging times [21][30] - The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with guidance not relying on improvements in market conditions [29] Other Important Information - The company has a strong cash position with $1.2 billion in cash and equivalents, well-positioned to manage its $690 million convertible debt maturing in December [27] - The CEO transition is anticipated, with the current CEO expected to step down pending Senate approval for a new position [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: How would you describe the competitive environment in international markets? - Management noted that the international opportunity mirrors the U.S. market evolution, with a lack of convergence among software, hardware, and banking solutions [33][34] Question: Can you touch on what you're seeing in the market more broadly into April? - Management indicated stable consumer spending trends, with modest same-store sales compression across various sectors [40][41] Question: Where are you on the synergy updates from recent acquisitions? - Management highlighted strong cross-sell opportunities, particularly with Revel and Eigen, contributing positively to the overall strategy [46][48] Question: What was organic and inorganic growth for the 40% GR LNF growth in the quarter? - Management stated that organic revenue growth is expected to be over 20% for the year, aligning with their full-year metric [53][54] Question: Can you provide any color on the current revenue split between U.S. and international? - Management indicated that international revenue is still developing, with significant potential for growth in various markets [70][72] Question: Is there any material difference in take rate versus U.S. merchants? - Management confirmed that while there are differences, the path to achieving the 60 bps net take rate target remains consistent across markets [100]
Shift4 Payments(FOUR) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-04-29 11:14
Exhibit 99.1 crypto.com @ crypto.com crypto.com SHIFT@ Q1 2025 SHAREHOLDER LETTER INVESTORS.SHIFT4.COM Forward-Looking Statements This letter contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Shift4 Payments, Inc. ("we. "our," the "Company." o "Shift4") intends such forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended and Section 21 ...
Curious about Shift4 Payments (FOUR) Q1 Performance? Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-04-28 14:21
Group 1 - Shift4 Payments (FOUR) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.71 per share, reflecting a 31.5% increase year-over-year [1] - Analysts forecast revenues of $347.81 million, indicating a year-over-year increase of 31.9% [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 5% lower over the last 30 days, showing a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [1][2] Group 2 - Analysts estimate 'Gross Revenue- Subscription and other revenues' to reach $92.56 million, representing a 77% increase from the previous year [4] - 'Gross Revenue- Payments-based revenue' is expected to be $797.60 million, indicating a year-over-year change of 21.8% [4] - The average prediction for 'End-to-End Payment Volume' is $44.53 billion, up from $33.40 billion reported in the same quarter last year [5] Group 3 - Shift4 Payments shares have decreased by 5.1% in the past month, compared to a 4.3% decline in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [5] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to closely follow overall market performance in the near term [5]
PAGS or FOUR: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-18 16:45
Core Insights - The article compares two stocks in the Financial Transaction Services sector: PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) and Shift4 Payments (FOUR) to determine which is more attractive to value investors [1] Valuation Metrics - PAGS has a forward P/E ratio of 6.85, while FOUR has a forward P/E of 16.18 [5] - PAGS has a PEG ratio of 0.61, and FOUR has a PEG ratio of 0.62, indicating similar expected earnings growth rates [5] - PAGS has a P/B ratio of 1.03, compared to FOUR's P/B ratio of 6.72, suggesting PAGS is more undervalued relative to its book value [6] Analyst Outlook - PAGS currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a more favorable earnings estimate revision trend compared to FOUR, which has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - PAGS has a Value grade of B, while FOUR has a Value grade of C, further supporting PAGS as the superior value option [6]