Key Takeaways HD expects a 5% drop in 2025 EPS, revising guidance due to weak housing trends and low storm-driven demand.The GMS acquisition is set to add $2B in sales, fueling HD's 3% fiscal 2025 revenue growth.Online comps rose 11% in Q3, as HD leans on digital tools to attract high-value Pro customers.The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) faces a challenging fiscal 2025, as the company, on its last earnings call, guided a 5% decline in adjusted earnings per share from $15.24 in fiscal 2024. This downward revision fr ...

Market Overview - Stocks are showing gains after two weeks of decline, with the Dow up about 320 points or 0.67% [1] - The NASDAQ Composite is up over 0.5%, while the S&P 500 is performing similarly [2] - The Russell 2000, which had a record 14-day outperformance, is down approximately 0.3% [3] Bond Market and Currency - Yields in the bond market are down, with the 10-year Treasury yield at 4.21%, down three basis points [3] - The US dollar index has decreased by 0.5% amid potential currency intervention by the Bank of Japan [4] Sector Performance - Technology is leading the large-cap sectors, with notable performances from companies like Apple and Broadcom [4][5] - Consumer stocks are facing challenges, particularly in large-cap, with Nvidia down 0.7% and AMD down 3% [6] - Utilities and communication services are outperforming the S&P 500, while consumer discretionary and energy sectors are slightly in the red [5][6] Commodities - Natural gas prices have surged by 25% today, rising from $3 to $6.50 per unit due to increased heating demand [7][8] - Gold futures are above $5,000 an ounce, with Goldman Sachs raising their price target for gold [9] Corporate Developments - Microsoft has announced its new AI chip, the Maya 200, aimed at competing with Google and Amazon's chips, and reducing reliance on Nvidia [29][30] - GameStop's stock is seeing a boost after investor Michael Burry disclosed his bullish stance on the company [58][60] - CoreWeave has received a $2 billion investment from Nvidia to expand its AI cloud capabilities [63] Economic Outlook - Analysts expect a potential hit to US GDP in Q1, estimating a decrease of 0.5% to 1.5% [13] - The Fed is anticipated to maintain interest rates steady, with no cuts expected until at least June [92][94] CEO Responses to Social Issues - CEOs from major companies are publicly calling for de-escalation in response to unrest in Minneapolis, marking a rare moment of corporate intervention [39][40]

But in an internal memo obtained by The Associated Press , ICE leadership stated administrative warrants were sufficient for federal officers to forcibly enter people's homes if there’s a final order of removal. Hahn and other immigration rights lawyers say this upends years of precedent for federal agents’ authority in private spaces — and violates “bedrock principles” of the U.S. Constitution.Judicial warrants should not be confused with administrative warrants, which are signed by immigration officers.Bu ...

AI technology quickly generates project material lists from voice prompts, text or existing documents ATLANTA, Jan. 26, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- The Home Depot, the world's largest home improvement retailer, introduced Material List Builder AI, a new capability that helps professional renovators, remodelers, builders and specialty tradespeople create actionable project material lists within minutes. Material List Builder AI leverages AI technology to interpret the project intent and generate an accurate, groupe ...

Core Insights - The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) is recognized as a top stock in the Dividend Contenders List [1] - TD Cowen has raised its price target for Home Depot from $410 to $450, maintaining a Buy rating, indicating strong confidence in the stock's performance [2] - Home Depot is leveraging AI tools to enhance its appeal to professional contractors, showcasing a commitment to innovation in the home improvement sector [3] AI and Digital Tools - Home Depot has introduced AI-powered BluePrint Takeoffs, which streamlines the process of generating material lists for project quotes, allowing contractors to purchase items directly [4] - The integration of AI tools with the trade credit system from the acquisition of SRS Distribution is expected to provide significant advantages for contractors, improving cash flow and operational scalability [5] Company Overview - Home Depot operates as a home improvement specialty retailer, offering a wide range of products including building materials, home improvement items, and lawn and garden supplies through both physical stores and online platforms [6]

Group 1 - The former CEO of Home Depot, Bob Nardelli, expressed that President Trump's energy and enthusiasm revitalized the Davos conference, which was perceived as tired [1] - Nardelli highlighted Trump's hard work and success, referencing a strong track record during his presidency [2] - Nardelli noted that CEOs appreciate Trump's approach, emphasizing his ability to implement rapid changes and decisions within a 24-hour timeframe [3] Group 2 - German Chancellor Friedrich Mertz criticized Europe's bureaucracy and overregulation, stating that it has hindered growth and entrepreneurial freedoms [4][5] - Mertz called for substantial reductions in bureaucracy to restore Europe's competitive edge in the global market [5] - Nardelli found Mertz's candid remarks refreshing, indicating a recognition of past mistakes in Germany's immigration and energy policies [7]

Well, let's get to the other big story of the day and this weekend, and that would be the massive winter storm. Americans across the country are preparing for what could be an historic weather event with freezing temperatures, ice, and heavy snow. Our next guest says the impact on businesses could last well past the weekend.Let's bring in Paul Walsh, publisher at G2 Weather Intelligence. Paul, great to have you with us. Um, and what I learned from from a meteorologist in the last hour is that it's not snow, ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that U.S. furniture retailers are actively restocking, while wholesalers are entering a passive destocking cycle by September 2025. If the U.S. continues to lower interest rates, the real estate sector, which is highly correlated with interest rates, is expected to recover, leading to improved retail sales year-on-year and an increase in furniture import amounts, which will boost midstream manufacturing orders [1][3]. Group 2 - Retailers are in a destocking cycle from April 2025 to July 2025, with sales growth outpacing inventory growth. By August-September 2025, inventory growth is expected to exceed sales growth, indicating a shift to an active restocking cycle [1]. - Wholesalers are in a restocking cycle from October 2024 to August 2025, with inventory growth surpassing revenue growth. By September 2025, revenue growth is projected to exceed inventory growth, marking a transition to a passive destocking cycle [1]. Group 3 - The inventory-to-sales ratio for furniture brands is at historically low levels, aligning with the trend of retailers reducing inventory since May 2023. Meanwhile, the inventory levels of furniture and building material channel merchants are generally higher than those of brand merchants, consistent with wholesalers restocking more than they are destocking since September 2024 [2]. - Home Depot's inventory-to-sales ratio has returned to historical normal levels, with further restocking intentions being constrained by demand. In Q3 2025, inventory growth is expected to exceed revenue, indicating a restocking cycle [2]. Group 4 - The improvement in home demand is anticipated to be driven by the real estate sector, with retailers accelerating sales and initiating restocking. If interest rates continue to decline, the real estate market is likely to recover, leading to improved year-on-year retail sales and an increase in furniture imports, which will positively impact midstream manufacturing orders [3].

Core Insights - Home Depot, Inc. is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 25.23, which is above the industry average of 23.09 and the S&P 500's 23.28, indicating a premium valuation [1] - The stock has shown resilience with a 9.8% increase over the past month, although it lags behind key peers like Lowe's and Floor & Decor Holdings [4][6] - Home Depot's long-term growth strategy is supported by its expanding Pro ecosystem, which includes new AI-powered tools aimed at enhancing project planning for professional contractors [7][8] Valuation and Market Position - Home Depot's P/E ratio of 25.23 is higher than its 12-month median of 23.83 and compared to peers like Lowe's (21.38) and Williams-Sonoma (23.31), but lower than Floor & Decor Holdings (35.19) [2][6] - Despite the stock's recent gains, the company faces challenges such as weak comparable sales growth and a cut in its 2025 EPS outlook due to margin pressure and lower growth expectations [10][16] Recent Performance and Challenges - The company reported a modest 0.2% increase in comparable sales in Q3, with U.S. comps up only 0.1%, significantly down from previous quarters [10] - High interest rates and affordability concerns have stalled home improvement spending, impacting demand for Home Depot's products [11] - The lack of storm-related sales has been a vulnerability, contributing to missed expectations in Q3 and leading to lowered growth forecasts for the recently acquired SRS business [12][15] Future Outlook - Home Depot anticipates slightly positive comparable sales growth for fiscal 2025, down from a previous forecast of 1% growth [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings per share has been revised down by 45 cents to $14.51, with expectations for the next fiscal year also lowered [17] - The company remains a market leader with a strong brand and strategic initiatives, but current premium valuation reflects these strengths, while near-term fundamentals face significant pressure [18]

Core Insights - Home Depot is expected to report a profit of $2.53 per share for Q4 2025, reflecting a 19.2% decrease from $3.13 per share in the same quarter last year [2] - The company's fiscal 2025 EPS is projected to be $14.51, a decline of nearly 4.8% from $15.24 in fiscal 2024, but is anticipated to grow by 4% year over year to $15.09 in fiscal 2026 [3] - Home Depot's shares have declined by 7.1% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming the S&P 500 Index's 16.9% rise [4] Financial Performance - For fiscal 2025 Q3, Home Depot reported revenue of $41.35 billion, a 2.8% year-over-year increase, which narrowly exceeded Wall Street estimates [5] - Adjusted EPS for the same quarter slipped by 1.1% to $3.74, falling below expectations, leading to a 6% intraday stock drop [5] Market Sentiment - Following a positive announcement from President Donald Trump regarding mortgage bond purchases, Home Depot's stock rose over 4% on January 9, indicating a brief turnaround in sentiment within the housing sector [6] - Analysts maintain a "Moderate Buy" consensus on Home Depot, with 21 out of 34 analysts recommending a "Strong Buy" and an average price target of $397.34, suggesting a 4.5% upside from current levels [7]