Group 1 - Morgan Stanley reports that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) will continue to experience strong revenue and profit growth until Q3 2025, driven by a robust average daily trading volume (ADV) of HKD 286 billion and high turnover rates [1] - The report maintains an "overweight" rating for HKEX with a target price of HKD 508, citing increased trading activity in the Hong Kong capital markets as evidence of a financial system cycle bottoming out [1] - For Q3 2025, Morgan Stanley expects core business growth to remain strong, with trading fees and clearing fees increasing by 75% and 97% year-on-year, respectively [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley slightly raised its average daily trading volume assumptions for HKEX from 2025 to 2027, while lowering net investment income forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 0.2%, 5.5%, and 5.6%, respectively, due to new margin guarantee arrangements effective from Q4 2025 [2] - The firm anticipates a decline in interest rates in 2026 due to Federal Reserve rate cuts, predicting a drop in net investment income of 18% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027 [2] - Consequently, Morgan Stanley has increased its earnings per share (EPS) forecast for HKEX in 2025 by 5.8%, while maintaining EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027 largely unchanged [2]

智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，香港交易所(00388)强劲的收入和利润增长将持续至2025年 第三季度，这得益于2,860亿港元的强劲日均交易量(ADV)和高流通速度驱动。伴随着更多证据显示金 融体系周期触底，交易活动在香港资本市场活跃；维持港交所"增持"评级，目标价508港元。 大摩轻微上调港交所2025至2027年的日均交易量假设；并将其2025、2026、2027财年的净投资收入预 测，分别下调0.2%、5.5%、5.6%，以纳入自2025年第四季生效的新保证金担保安排；大摩仍预期利率 在2026年会因美联储降息而下降，并预期净投资收入于2026年下降18%，及2027年下降4.3%。 因此，大摩对港交所的2025年每股盈利预测上升5.8%，2026年与2027年基本保持不变。大摩现在预 期，港交所 2025年的每股盈利同比增长 32%，之后在 2026财年下滑 0.5%，受净投资收益拖累。 大摩预期，港交所第三季核心业务增长持续强劲，交易费用和清算费用分别年增75%及97%；在强劲的 日均成交量带动下，预计2025年第三季度收入和利润分别同比增长47%和59%，EBITDA利润率同比增 长 ...

Group 1 - The 2025 Bund Summit will be held from October 23 to 25 in Shanghai, focusing on the theme "Embracing Change: New Order, New Technology" [2] - The summit is co-hosted by the China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) and Tsinghua University (THU), featuring discussions among global policymakers, entrepreneurs, and scholars on the reshaping of the global economy and financial landscape [2] Group 2 - Hong Kong's stock market rebound is attributed to ongoing economic stimulus policies from mainland China and a resurgence of global investor confidence in the Chinese market [4] - As of the first three quarters of this year, the average daily trading volume in Hong Kong exceeded 250 billion HKD, with over 60 companies listed, raising a total of 182.9 billion HKD, making it the top global market for IPOs [4] - Approximately 300 companies are currently in the queue for listing, with about half from new economy sectors such as electric vehicles, renewable energy, artificial intelligence, new materials, and biotechnology [4] Group 3 - The "secret weapon" of Hong Kong is its connectivity mechanisms, including the Stock Connect programs, which allow for two-way capital flow between global and mainland markets [5] - Both southbound and northbound capital flows are active, with increasing participation from global investors in mainland markets and vice versa [5] Group 4 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange aims to build a more diversified multi-asset ecosystem, expanding beyond its traditional strengths in equities to include bonds, commodities, and other asset classes [6] - The shift from a "single listing center" to a "multi-asset ecosystem platform" is underway, highlighting Hong Kong's pivotal role in the global financial landscape as new economy enterprises emerge and global capital seeks new balance [6]

Core Viewpoint - The 10th Pharmaceutical Innovation and Investment Conference, organized by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, will be held from October 26 to 27 in Nanjing, focusing on the theme "Innovation. Ten Years. Investment. Future" [1] Group 1 - The conference will adopt a new roadshow recruitment format [1] - It aims to explore new trends in innovative development by integrating the latest domestic and international political and economic environments [1] - The event will create a dialogue platform covering the entire industry chain, including government, industry, academia, research, application, and investment [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) have taken disciplinary action against former directors of Star Universe Holdings Limited for failing to disclose significant financial liabilities in the company's prospectus during its IPO in May 2019 [1][2]. Group 1: Disciplinary Actions - Former non-executive director Lu Qingxing and former executive director Lu Zhufeng faced disciplinary actions due to their failure to disclose 13 outstanding loans totaling approximately RMB 49 million related to Star Universe's subsidiary [1]. - The SFC's investigation revealed that Lu Qingxing received at least RMB 44 million from these loans, which remained unpaid as of August 2020, constituting a significant financial liability not disclosed in the IPO prospectus [1]. - The HKEX issued a "statement of investor rights damage" against the two individuals, stating that their continued presence on the board would harm investor interests [2]. Group 2: Regulatory Compliance - The SFC emphasized the importance of directors fulfilling their fiduciary duties and ensuring compliance with relevant rules and regulations enforced by the SFC and HKEX [2]. - The actions of the two former directors raised serious questions about their suitability to serve on the board, highlighting the need for high transparency and diligence in financial disclosures and conflict of interest management [2]. - Star Universe's shares were listed on the HKEX on May 16, 2019, and are set to be delisted on January 26, 2024 [2].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is actively preparing for optimization measures in the mutual market access mechanism, including the inclusion of REITs and a block trading mechanism [1] - In the first half of the year, the average daily trading volume for both Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached new highs, with Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect averaging daily trading volumes of RMB 206.4 billion, a 68% year-on-year increase [1] - The average daily trading volume for Hong Kong Stock Connect reached HKD 126 billion, more than double that of 2024 [1] Group 2 - The Bond Connect's northbound trading continues to grow, with an average daily trading volume of RMB 44 billion as of August this year [2] - The average daily settlement amount for the Swap Connect reached a new high of RMB 22 billion, a 69% year-on-year increase [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange aims to deepen collaboration and optimize listing arrangements, expanding the mutual market access mechanism and enhancing market efficiency [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is actively preparing for optimization measures in the mutual market access programs, including the inclusion of REITs and a block trading mechanism [1] - In the first half of the year, the average daily trading volume for both Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached new highs, with the daily average trading volume for Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect at RMB 206.4 billion, a 68% year-on-year increase [1] - The daily average trading volume for the Hong Kong Stock Connect reached HKD 126 billion, more than double that of 2024 [1] Group 2 - The Bond Connect's northbound trading continues to show growth, with an average daily trading volume of RMB 44 billion as of August this year [2] - The average daily settlement amount for the Swap Connect reached a new high of RMB 22 billion, a 69% year-on-year increase [2] - The HKEX aims to deepen collaboration with various parties to continuously optimize listing arrangements and expand mutual market access mechanisms, enhancing product offerings and market efficiency [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is expected to report strong earnings growth for Q3 2025, driven by high trading activity and increased revenue from main fee categories, despite a decline in investment income due to margin pressures [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Forecast - Q3 2025 earnings are projected to increase by 49% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter, reaching HKD 46.8 billion [1]. - Total revenue for Q3 2025 is expected to rise by 40% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 75.3 billion, with main fee income increasing by 57% year-on-year and 18% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 65.1 billion [1]. Group 2: Trading Activity - Trading activity remains robust, with Q3 average daily turnover (ADT) expected to rise by 141% year-on-year and 20% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 2,864 billion [1]. - Southbound ADT is anticipated to increase by 285% year-on-year and 36% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 1,525 billion, accounting for 26.6% of Hong Kong stocks [1]. - Northbound ADT is projected to grow by 144% year-on-year and 77% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 2,687 billion, representing 7.1% of A-shares [1]. Group 3: Investment Income and Margin Pressure - Investment income for Q3 2025 is expected to decline by 18% year-on-year and 36% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 9.9 billion due to margin pressures [2]. - The narrowing of margin interest spreads is anticipated as long-term yields decline while short-term costs rise, alongside a decrease in derivative margin requirements due to lower market volatility [2]. Group 4: Market Conditions and Future Outlook - The basic fundamentals of the market remain solid, with October ADT reaching HKD 2,880 billion, indicating sustained high trading activity [2]. - The potential for a rapid interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in Q4 could support liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market [2]. - The company is advised to focus on the valuation adjustments following changes in risk appetite among investors [2]. Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 has been raised by 3% to HKD 171 billion, while the 2026 forecast remains unchanged [2]. - The current trading multiples are at 31x for both 2025 and 2026 earnings, with a target price maintained at HKD 500, indicating an 18% upside potential [2].

Core Insights - The number of listing applications in Hong Kong is rapidly increasing, with nearly 300 applications being processed by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange as of the end of September 2023 [1] - In the first three quarters of 2025, Hong Kong's new stock market welcomed 69 new listed companies, raising over HKD 180 billion, which is more than double the amount from the same period last year, making it the top globally [1] - More overseas issuers are choosing to list in Hong Kong, with over half of the companies listed this year having international business operations, averaging about 50% of their revenue from overseas markets [1] Market Developments - The GEM (Growth Enterprise Market) has seen 4 companies listed since its reform in 2024, raising HKD 280 million, with 11 applications from small and medium-sized enterprises received this year [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the Securities and Futures Commission are working on further optimizing the system to enhance market vitality and competitiveness [1] Revenue Projections - The stock stamp duty revenue for the fiscal year 2024-2025 is projected to be approximately HKD 52 billion, an increase of about 43% compared to the previous year [1] - For the first two quarters of 2025-2026, the stock stamp duty revenue is expected to be around HKD 44 billion, reflecting a 143% increase compared to the same period last year [1]

10月22日，香港交易所发布通告称，根据华夏纳斯达克100指数每日反向(-2x)产品("产品")的基金经理 所发布的基金单位合并时间表，产品的每10个现有基金单位合并为1个合并基金单位的单位合并("单位 合并")，将于2025年10月24日生效。 | 單位合併前 | 單位合併後 | | --- | --- | | 未經調整的收市價 | 經調整的前收市價 | | (2025年10月23日) | (2025年10月24日) | | (HK$) | (HKS) | | 0.4992 | 4.992 | | 0.4994 | 4.994 | | 0.4996 | 4.996 | | 0.4998 | 4.998 | | 0.5000 | 5.000 | | 0.5005 | 5.005 | | 0.5010 | 5.010 | | 0.5015 | 5.015 | | 0.5020 | 5.020 | | 0.5025 | 5.025 | | 0.5030 | 5.030 | | 0.5035 | 5.035 | | 0.5040 | 5.040 | | 0.5045 | 5.045 | | 0.5050 | 5.0 ...