Business Expansion - Robinhood explores expanding its prediction markets product beyond the US [1] - The expansion broadens the fast-growing, often controversial industry [1]

Prediction Market Super CycleAlso happy $HOOD all time high to those who celebrate.$200 then split.zoomer (@zoomerfied):[ ZOOMER ]ROBINHOOD EXPLORES LAUNCHING AN OFFSHORE PREDICTION MARKET OUTSIDE THE US: BBG ...

Core Insights - TimesSquare Capital Management's "U.S. Mid Cap Growth Strategy" reported a gross return of 13.13% and a net return of 12.91% for Q2 2025, underperforming the Russell Midcap® Growth Index which returned 18.20% [1] - The fund's performance was influenced by double-digit returns in equities due to improved global economic activity [1] Company Highlights - Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD) was highlighted as a key stock, achieving a one-month return of 35.58% and a remarkable 534.03% increase over the past 52 weeks, closing at $136.72 per share with a market capitalization of $108.223 billion on September 29, 2025 [2] - The financial services platform's growth was attributed to steady U.S. interest rates and increased activity in cryptocurrencies, with revenues and earnings exceeding expectations [3] - Robinhood reported revenues of $989 million in Q2 2025, reflecting a 45% year-over-year growth driven by strong business performance [4] Investment Strategy - The fund prefers asset managers, specialized insurance companies, and financial technology providers over traditional banks facing credit deterioration or rising deposit costs [3] - The brokerage holdings, including Robinhood, benefited from increased equity trading volumes and a growing customer base, leading to a 124% increase in stock value [3] - Despite Robinhood's potential, the fund suggests that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential with less downside risk [4]

高盛将Robinhood Markets的目标价从134美元上调至152美元，维持"买入"评级。(格隆汇) ...

格隆汇9月30日｜德意志银行：将Robinhood(HOOD.US)目标价上调至140美元，此前为128美元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is expected to have mixed effects on Robinhood Markets, potentially reducing income from idle cash while increasing trading activity from retail investors chasing volatility [1] Group 1: Market Performance and Valuation - Robinhood's stock is currently trading around $136.72, with a market value of $82.6 billion and a price-to-earnings multiple of approximately 46 times trailing earnings, a significant increase from sub-$10 lows two years ago [2] - The company's inclusion in the S&P 500 on September 22 has driven a nearly 16% spike in stock price, as passive funds are now required to hold the stock [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - In the second quarter, Robinhood reported a 45% year-on-year revenue increase to $989 million, with net income of $386 million and earnings per share of $0.42, surpassing Wall Street expectations [5] - The company has achieved seven consecutive GAAP-positive quarters, demonstrating consistent profitability and a shift from its previous reputation as a loss-making disruptor [4] Group 3: Business Model Innovations - Robinhood Gold, the paid membership tier, has over 3.5 million subscribers, providing higher yields on idle cash and lower margin rates, contributing to customer retention [6] - The launch of the Gold Card, offering cashback rewards, has attracted over 300,000 users, enhancing customer engagement within Robinhood's ecosystem [7] Group 4: New Market Opportunities - Robinhood has partnered with Kalshi to offer prediction markets, allowing users to trade contracts on various events, which has seen over four billion contracts traded historically, with two billion in the third quarter alone [8][9] - The company is expanding internationally, launching tokenized versions of over 400 U.S. stocks and ETFs in the EU, and preparing a fee-free Stocks & Shares ISA in the UK [12][13] Group 5: Competitive Positioning - Robinhood's assets under custody have increased to $279 billion, with funded accounts rising to 26.5 million, reflecting a 10% growth [16] - The company differentiates itself by being the most retail-friendly mobile ecosystem, focusing on customer engagement through multiple revenue streams [18] Group 6: Regulatory Environment - An SEC investigation into Robinhood Crypto was closed with no action, alleviating a significant regulatory risk [14] - However, the company faces ongoing scrutiny regarding its reliance on payment for order flow, which could be impacted by potential regulatory changes [15]

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is expected to open cautiously, with major index futures indicating a slight pullback due to concerns over a potential government shutdown and upcoming economic data releases [1][2] - September has been a positive month for major indexes, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining approximately 5.3%, the S&P 500 advancing around 3.1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising about 1.7% [3] Premarket Trading and Futures Movements - S&P 500 futures were down approximately 0.18% to 0.2%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures declined around 0.18% to 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 futures edged lower by about 0.16% to 0.21% [2] Corporate Earnings and Stock Movements - Nvidia (NVDA) shares rallied over 2% on Monday, settling above the $180 level, and rose 1% in premarket trading [6] - Electronic Arts (EA) surged after reports of a $55 billion going-private leveraged buyout deal, with the stock jumping 15% on Friday and climbing a further 4.5% on Monday [6] - Intel (INTC) shares were down almost 3% on Monday after a significant 20% surge last week [10] - Robinhood Markets (HOOD) saw its shares surge over 12% on Monday, closing at an all-time high [10] - Western Digital (WDC) rose 9.2% and Seagate Technology (STX) added 5.3% after analysts raised price targets due to growing demand for hard drives to support AI [10] - Coinbase Global (COIN) gained 6.8% as major cryptocurrencies moved higher [10] - Lam Research (LRCX) shares rose 3.3% after Deutsche Bank upgraded the company to a "Buy" rating [10] - Novo Nordisk (NVO) dropped 3% after receiving a downgrade to "Underweight" [10] - The energy sector was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500 on Monday, declining 1.9% [10] Upcoming Economic Data - Key reports to be released include the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for August, Consumer Confidence Report for September, and Chicago Region's Business Activity Data for September [6] - The JOLTS report is expected to provide insights into labor market health, while the Consumer Confidence Report will reflect household sentiment amidst inflation concerns [6]

Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in overall market sentiment, remaining in the "Neutral" zone with a reading of 52.4, down from 53.6 [5] - U.S. stocks settled higher on Monday, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining more than 100 points during the session [1] Company Performance - Nvidia Corp. shares closed higher by around 2%, with other AI stocks like Advanced Micro Devices and Micron Technology also recording gains [1] - Robinhood Markets Inc. surged 12% after the CEO announced over four billion event contracts traded on the platform since launch [2] Economic Indicators - U.S. pending home sales surged by 4% in August, marking the sharpest gain in five months, compared to a 0.4% decline in the previous month [3] - Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed positively, with information technology, financial, and consumer discretionary stocks showing the biggest gains, while energy and communication services stocks closed lower [3] Index Performance - The Dow Jones closed higher by around 69 points to 46,316.07, the S&P 500 rose 0.26% to 6,661.21, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.48% at 22,591.15 during Monday's session [4] - Major indices recorded losses last week, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 0.7%, the S&P 500 losing 0.3%, and the Dow falling 0.2% [2] Upcoming Earnings - Investors are awaiting earnings results from Lamb Weston Holdings Inc., Paychex Inc., and Nike Inc. [4]

Stock Market Overview - U.S. stocks advanced, with the Nasdaq rising 107 points (0.48%) to 22,591.15, S&P 500 up 0.26% to 6,661.21, and Dow Jones increasing 0.15% to 46,316.07 [1] Wolfspeed Inc. (NYSE: WOLF) - Wolfspeed's stock surged by 1,726.45%, closing at $22.10, with an intraday high of $22.10 and a low of $8.05; it reached a 52-week high of $22.10 and a low of $0.39 [2] - The surge followed the announcement of a reorganization plan under Chapter 11 bankruptcy, which will reduce debt by 70% and cut interest payments by 60% [3] Tilray Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: TLRY) - Tilray's shares increased by 60.87%, closing at $1.85, with a high of $1.86 and a low of $1.34; the stock's 52-week high and low are $1.86 and $0.35, respectively [4] Robinhood Markets Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) - Robinhood's stock rose 12.27%, closing at $136.72, with an intraday high of $136.84 and a low of $123.78; it achieved a new all-time high of $136.84, with a 52-week low of $22.05 [5][6] - The rally followed the CEO's announcement that event contracts on the platform topped four billion, with half traded in the third quarter alone, and a strong August report showing assets surged 112% year-over-year to $304 billion [6] Etsy - Etsy's shares climbed 15.83%, closing at $74.34, with a high of $75.77 and a low of $63.64; the stock's 52-week high and low are $75.77 and $40.05, respectively [6] - The increase was driven by OpenAI's unveiling of the "Buy it in ChatGPT" feature, allowing users to purchase directly from Etsy sellers [7] MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (NASDAQ: MLTX) - MoonLake's stock plummeted by 89.93%, closing at $6.24, with a high of $7.14 and a low of $5.95; the stock's 52-week high is $62.75, with a low of $5.95 [8] - The decline occurred despite positive results from MoonLake's Phase 3 VELA trial, which showed statistically significant HiSCR75 responses in patients with moderate to severe hidradenitis suppurativa [8]

除预测市场外，Robinhood核心业务仍聚焦股票、期权及加密货币交易领域，形成传统金融与新兴预测 市场的双轮驱动格局。 该公司通过与受美国商品期货交易委员会监管的Kalshi合作，提供预测市场合约交易服务，并于2025年 8月将业务拓展至职业橄榄球及大学橄榄球赛事领域。 周一的上涨使Robinhood股价创下历史新高，年内累计涨幅已超260%，本月公司更被正式纳入标普500 指数。 智通财经APP获悉， 在线股票经纪公司Robinhood(HOOD.US)首席执行官Vladimir Tenev在X平台发布消 息称，Robinhood已强势切入预测市场领域，用户可在此类市场中对选举、体育赛事等高关注度事件进 行投注，此举推动该公司周一股价单日涨超12%。据Tenev透露，Robinhood客户已累计交易超40亿份预 测市场合约，仅第三季度就达成20亿份交易量，占累计量的一半。 预测市场在2024年美国总统大选期间曾引发广泛关注，当时Kalshi、Polymarket等平台促成数百万美元 规模的预测投注。Robinhood将此视为增长新引擎，而预测市场的扩张正逐步模糊金融市场与博彩行业 的边界。 ...