HSBC HOLDINGS(HSBC)
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大行评级丨花旗:汇丰控股私有化恒生银行是战略优先考量 维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-10 05:40
Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's report indicates that HSBC Holdings announced plans to acquire a 37% minority stake in Hang Seng Bank at a price reflecting a 30% premium and a price-to-book ratio of 1.8 times [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition is expected to impact HSBC's capital by 125 basis points, with the funding coming from a suspension of stock buybacks for three quarters [1] - The acquisition premium is considered substantial, especially as Hang Seng Bank's stock price has risen by 24% over the past 12 months [1] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The move reflects the new management's strategic priorities under CEO Noel Quinn, focusing on restructuring HSBC according to a new business framework [1] - The strategy emphasizes a focus on Hong Kong and the UK, as well as Corporate and Investment Banking (CIB) and Individual Wealth Management (IWPB) [1] - The management is also advancing a cost-cutting plan and strategic asset disposals, which are progressing steadily [1]
瑞银:汇丰控股私有化收购恒生银行有积极意义
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 03:39
Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that HSBC Holdings (00005) has proposed to privatize Hang Seng Bank (00011) at HKD 155 per share, with HSBC believing there will be no significant regulatory obstacles to the acquisition [1] Group 1: Financial Impact - If the acquisition is successful, HSBC's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio is expected to decrease by 125 basis points [1] - HSBC anticipates restoring the CET1 ratio to a target range of 14%-14.5% through organic growth, and plans to suspend share buybacks for the next three quarters while maintaining a 50% payout ratio based on underlying earnings for 2025 [1] - The CET1 ratio for HSBC was 14.6% in Q2 of this year, and the bank expects the transaction to enhance earnings per share, although no additional financial data regarding the transaction has been provided [1] Group 2: Operational Perspective - From a customer standpoint, Hang Seng Bank will continue to operate under its existing model [1] - UBS previously expressed concerns regarding provisions for commercial real estate loans at Hang Seng Bank, but now believes that increasing exposure to this high Return on Tangible Equity (ROTE) market while reducing internal operational complexity is a correct strategy [1]
瑞银:汇丰控股(00005)私有化收购恒生银行(00011)有积极意义
智通财经网· 2025-10-10 03:34
Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that HSBC Holdings (00005) has proposed to privatize Hang Seng Bank (00011) at HKD 155 per share, with HSBC confident that there will be no significant regulatory obstacles [1] Group 1: Financial Implications - If the acquisition is successful, HSBC's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio is expected to decrease by 125 basis points [1] - HSBC anticipates restoring the CET1 ratio to a target range of 14%-14.5% through organic growth, and plans to suspend share buybacks for the next three quarters while maintaining a 50% payout ratio based on underlying earnings for 2025 [1] - HSBC's CET1 ratio was 14.6% in Q2 of this year, and the bank expects this transaction to enhance earnings per share, although no additional financial data regarding the transaction has been provided [1] Group 2: Customer Perspective - From a customer standpoint, Hang Seng Bank will continue to operate under its existing model [1] - UBS previously expressed concerns regarding provisions for commercial real estate loans at Hang Seng Bank, but believes that increasing exposure to this high Return on Tangible Equity (ROTE) market while reducing operational complexity within the group is a correct move [1]
标普:汇丰控股私有化恒生银行将强化两者联系,预计资本影响可控
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-10 02:33
Core Viewpoint - S&P Global Ratings anticipates that HSBC's acquisition of Hang Seng Bank at a 30.3% premium will strengthen the ties between the two banks, enhance governance consistency, and promote closer operational collaboration [1] Group 1: HSBC and Hang Seng Bank Relationship - The privatization is expected to reinforce the relationship between HSBC and Hang Seng Bank, facilitating tighter cooperation in business and operations [1] - S&P believes that Hang Seng Bank will continue to operate under its independent brand post-privatization, reflecting HSBC's long-term commitment to the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - S&P estimates that the capital pressure faced by HSBC due to the buyback of all outstanding shares of Hang Seng Bank will remain manageable [1] - The transaction is projected to be completed in the first half of 2026, which will lead to a decrease in HSBC's risk-adjusted capital (RAC) ratio by approximately 2%, bringing it to around 11% to 12% by the end of 2026, still above S&P's strong capital threshold of 10% [1]
中金:予汇丰控股“跑赢行业”评级 目标价111.9港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 01:36
Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings plans to acquire 680 million shares of Hang Seng Bank at HKD 155 per share, totaling HKD 106 billion (approximately USD 13.6 billion), increasing its stake from 63% to 100% [1] Group 1: Acquisition Purpose - The acquisition aims to enhance synergy, simplify operations, and capture growth opportunities while maintaining Hang Seng Bank's brand and independent status [2] - HSBC's CEO expressed confidence in the Hong Kong market and Hang Seng's operational capabilities, indicating that the acquisition will lead to cost savings and improved product offerings for customers [2] Group 2: Financial and Regulatory Impact - The acquisition is expected to reduce HSBC's core Tier 1 capital ratio by approximately 165 basis points, but the removal of minority interest deductions will increase it by about 40 basis points, resulting in a net impact of 125 basis points [4] - HSBC's ordinary share EPS is projected to increase post-acquisition, leading to a rise in dividend per share (DPS) and an increase in dividend yield from 5.3% to 5.4% [3] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Short-term impacts include a decline in share price due to reduced dividend and buyback returns, with a noted 6% drop following the announcement [5] - The acquisition is expected to decrease net assets by approximately 4%, affecting the company's valuation, which is already reflected in the recent share price drop [6] - The projected return from dividends and buybacks for 2026 is expected to decrease to 7.5%, compared to Standard Chartered's 8.8%, indicating a potential decline in attractiveness [6]
中金:予汇丰控股(00005)“跑赢行业”评级 目标价111.9港元
智通财经网· 2025-10-10 01:32
智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研报称,10月9日早8点,汇丰控股(00005)公告计划以每股155港币的价格 以现金收购恒生银行6.8亿股(前一日恒生银行收盘价119港币,对应1.4x P/B,收购价较公开价溢价 30%,对应1.8x P/B;收购价高于2022年3月以来恒生银行最高收盘价154港币),收购总价1060亿港币(约 136亿美元),收购后汇丰对恒生的持股比例由此前的63%提升至100%。该收购待恒生少数股东中"75% 持股者同意"+"少于10%持股者反对"方可推进。若进展顺利,公司预计2026年中之前逐步完成私有化。 予汇丰"跑赢行业"评级,目标价111.9港元。 综合考虑股息率的提升和回购回报率的减少,2026E股权回报率由此前的9.4%降至7.5%,4Q25-3Q26E 股权回报率由此前的9.3%降至6.2%。 1)汇丰普通股EPS提升。收购完成后,作为分红基准的汇丰普通股EPS(不包括重大特殊项目)因不再扣除 归属于恒生少数股东的利润而提升,公司承诺会维持50%的分红率,则意味着汇丰普通股DPS增加,股 息率提升。该行测算加回归属恒生少数股东净利润至汇丰普通股净利润相当于提升股息率约3%,相 ...
Should You Hold, Sell or Buy HSBC Shares After the $12.4bn Announcement?
International Business Times· 2025-10-09 20:50
HSBC Holdings Plc has stunned markets with a $12.4 billion USD proposal to acquire the remaining 37 per cent stake in Hang Seng Bank, a move that would fully privatise the Hong Kong lender and cement HSBC's dominance in Asia.The deal—positioned as a strategic long-term bet on Hong Kong's role as a global financial bridge—has triggered sharp market reactions, with investors now split over whether to hold, sell, or buy into the volatility.Market Reaction: Shares Slide on Buyback PauseHSBC's London-listed shar ...
FTSE banks suffer £16bn slump
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-09 17:07
Group 1: Market Overview - The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.5%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by 0.4% [1] - Despite recent declines, the stock market remains strong, with expectations of a pullback at some point [2] - The S&P 500 reached a record closing high recently, indicating overall market buoyancy [3] Group 2: Banking Sector Developments - Lloyds Banking Group announced it may need to set aside more than £1.2 billion for compensation related to a finance scandal, causing its shares to drop by as much as 3.9% [4][53] - HSBC's shares fell significantly after it revealed plans to take its Hong Kong-listed Hang Seng Bank private in a deal valued at 290 billion Hong Kong dollars (£27.9 billion) [5][52] - The FTSE 100 index fell by 0.3% as the banking sector faced challenges, with over £16 billion wiped off the value of major banks [6][51] Group 3: Regulatory and Economic Concerns - The Bank of England warned of a potential bubble in AI stocks, which could lead to a significant market correction [60][64] - Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, expressed concerns about overvaluation in financial markets, particularly in AI-related stocks [62][63] Group 4: Commodity Market Insights - Silver prices surged to their highest level since the 1980s, climbing over 70% this year, driven by increased demand for precious metals [31][32] - Gold prices have also seen significant gains, recently testing the $4,000 mark, indicating strong market interest [20][21]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-09 16:08
HSBC has made a $14 billion bet on Hong Kong. But would it do the same for London? Get the Readout with Ruth David. https://t.co/1t9mzRxA5r ...
HSBC’s Top Boss Bets $14 Billion on Hong Kong in Push for Growth
MINT· 2025-10-09 15:37
Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings Plc is shifting its strategy from cost-cutting to revenue growth, exemplified by its $14 billion buyout of Hang Seng Bank, marking a significant change in approach under CEO Georges Elhedery [1][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - HSBC has made an offer to take Hang Seng Bank private, valuing the subsidiary at $37 billion, which includes a 30% premium over its recent share price [3]. - The acquisition process was expedited, taking about four weeks, with significant involvement from major banks like Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America [2][5]. - The deal is seen as a strategic investment aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and growth potential for HSBC [4][12]. Group 2: Market Context and Strategic Implications - Elhedery has expressed a bullish outlook on Hong Kong's financial future, predicting it will become the world's largest cross-border wealth hub by the end of the decade [6]. - The acquisition comes at a time when Hang Seng Bank is facing challenges, including a significant rise in credit impaired loans, which increased by 85% to HK$25 billion ($3.2 billion) [9]. - The deal has raised questions regarding its timing, especially as HSBC has been involved in pushing Hang Seng to offload bad real estate debt [8]. Group 3: Financial Considerations and Market Reactions - HSBC will not engage in share buybacks for at least three quarters to maintain capital levels during the acquisition, leading to a stock price drop of up to 7% [11]. - Analysts have expressed concerns about the high acquisition multiple relative to Hang Seng's profitability, suggesting potential political motivations behind the deal [10][12]. - Historical context indicates that HSBC has faced challenges with major acquisitions in the past, which adds a layer of scrutiny to this transaction [13][14].