Core Viewpoint - European stock markets are expected to overcome challenges posed by the US-EU trade war and geopolitical tensions, provided that the economic outlook supports strong performance and increased US capital flows into European equities [1][2]. Group 1: Market Predictions - Wall Street strategists predict that the Stoxx Europe 600 Index will rise approximately 4% by the end of 2026, reaching around 626 points from its recent closing level [1]. - HSBC has raised its target for the Stoxx 600 Index from 640 to 670 points, indicating a potential upside of about 11% for the remainder of the year [2]. - UBS anticipates that the Stoxx 600 Index could reach 650 points, driven by profit growth and strong economic performance in Europe [6]. Group 2: Economic and Policy Factors - The bullish outlook from Goldman Sachs and HSBC is based on European economic resilience, profit growth, loose monetary policy, and accelerated fiscal spending [2]. - Significant fiscal support is expected, including over €2 trillion (approximately $2.3 trillion) for AI and clean energy investments, along with a €500 billion infrastructure fund from the German government [9]. - The European stock market is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of around 15, suggesting double-digit earnings growth for the year [10]. Group 3: Sector Performance and Investor Sentiment - The Stoxx 600 Index has risen nearly 3% this year, following a 17% increase in 2025, with semiconductor, defense, and mining stocks leading the gains [9]. - A survey indicates that 95% of European fund managers expect the stock market to rise in the next 12 months, marking a record high [14]. - Investors are increasingly interested in diversifying their portfolios away from the US market, particularly favoring European value stocks [15].

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準 確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產 生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 本公告僅供參考，並不構成收購、購買或認購滙豐控股、滙豐亞太或恒生銀行證券的邀請 或要約或該等邀請或要約的一部分，亦不在任何司法管轄區構成任何投票或批准的招攬， 亦不構成於任何司法管轄區內任何收購、購買或認購滙豐控股、滙豐亞太或恒生銀行證券 的邀請、要約或招攬要約，亦不得在任何司法管轄區內違反適用法律進行銷售、發行或轉 讓滙豐控股、滙豐亞太或恒生銀行證券。若構成違反任何司法管轄區的適用法律或法規， 則本公告所載全部或部分資料不得於、向或從該司法管轄區發佈、刊發或分發。 滙豐控股有限公司 （香港股份代號：5） 恒生銀行有限公司 （股份代號：11（港幣櫃台）及 80011（人民幣櫃台）） 香港上海滙豐銀行有限公司 聯合公告 (1) 香港上海滙豐銀行有限公司根據《公司條例》第673條 以協議安排方式將恒生銀行有限公司私有化之建議 (2) 高等法院認許計劃 (3) 預期計劃生效日期 及 (4) 預期撤銷恒生銀行股 ...

Core Viewpoint - Barclays expects HSBC Holdings' earnings performance to significantly exceed its guidance and market expectations, driven by favorable factors in the Hong Kong market, the full integration of Hang Seng Bank, and strategic initiatives that can offset fluctuations in U.S. policies [1] Group 1: HSBC Holdings - Barclays assumes that U.S. interest rates will decline to around 3%, predicting that HSBC's net interest income for 2026 and 2027 will still be 4% to 5% higher than market expectations [1] - Even if U.S. interest rates drop to a lower level of 2%, HSBC's performance is still expected to meet market expectations [1] - Barclays maintains an "Overweight" rating on HSBC Holdings listed in London, raising the target price from £12.3 to £14 [1] Group 2: Standard Chartered - Barclays anticipates that Standard Chartered's tangible return on equity (RoTE) will continue to improve in the coming years, potentially reaching 15% by 2028, primarily driven by operational leverage [1] - However, 2026 may be a transitional year, with less pronounced upside risk to earnings compared to market expectations, and RoTE may decline to 13% [1] - Barclays reiterates a "Market Perform" rating for Standard Chartered listed in London, increasing the target price from £16 to £19 [1]

Group 1 - Xiaomi reported two incidents of vehicle fires, emphasizing that the battery status was normal during both events [3][5] - In the first incident on January 19, a vehicle in Haikou experienced a fire shortly after being parked, but no injuries were reported [3] - The second incident involved a collision on a highway in Henan, where the vehicle caught fire after the accident, with no casualties [5] Group 2 - Gree Electric plans to mass-produce silicon carbide chips for automotive use, with expectations that half of the chips used by GAC Group will come from Gree [4] - The company is expanding its production capabilities to include chips for photovoltaic storage and logistics vehicles [4] Group 3 - OpenAI's CFO announced that the company's annual revenue for 2025 is projected to exceed $20 billion, a significant increase from $6 billion in 2024 [16] - The growth is attributed to the expansion of computing capabilities and the introduction of advertising in ChatGPT [16] Group 4 - Hikvision reported a net profit of 14.188 billion yuan for 2025, representing an 18.46% year-on-year increase [22] - The company's total revenue reached 92.518 billion yuan, with a slight growth of 0.02% [22] Group 5 - Zhaoyan New Drug expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a rise of approximately 214% to 371% [23] - The company anticipates a decrease in revenue, estimating between 1.573 billion to 1.738 billion yuan, a decline of about 13.90% to 22.10% [23] Group 6 - Hongyuan Green Energy forecasts a turnaround in net profit for 2025, estimating between 180 million to 250 million yuan [24] - The improvement is attributed to a vertically integrated supply chain and the sale of equity in a subsidiary, contributing approximately 291 million yuan to profits [24] Group 7 - Bright Dairy expects a net loss of 120 million to 180 million yuan for 2025, a significant decline from a profit of 722 million yuan in the previous year [25] - The loss is primarily due to production issues at its overseas subsidiary, leading to increased costs and inventory write-offs [25]

Core Viewpoint - Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced the dissolution of the House of Representatives on January 23, with early elections scheduled for February 8, emphasizing the need for bold investment in risk management and a departure from excessive tightening [1] Group 1: Economic Policies and Market Reactions - Kishida's administration is characterized by expansionary fiscal and monetary policies, raising concerns about rapid government spending and the resurgence of inflation [1] - The traditional correlation between the yen and U.S. Treasury yields is breaking down, prompting HSBC strategists to revise their forecasts for the yen's performance in the coming months [1] - Since early October, the yen has depreciated approximately 7% against the dollar, despite a narrowing yield gap of nearly 60 basis points between Japanese and U.S. 10-year bonds [1] Group 2: Currency Dynamics and Predictions - HSBC strategists noted a "wedge difference" reflecting an expanded "risk premium" for the yen, driven by concerns over debt monetization, declining purchasing power, and persistent inflation with negative real interest rates [1] - The recent sell-off in Japanese government bonds has led to a spike in yields, prompting calls for market participants to remain calm from Japan's Finance Minister [4] - HSBC now predicts the yen will depreciate to around 160 yen per dollar by mid-year, a shift from previous expectations of strengthening to 150 yen per dollar [4] Group 3: Potential Factors Influencing the Yen - Factors that could potentially prevent further short-term depreciation of the yen include a slowdown in the U.S. economy, positive real yields on Japanese bonds, credible fiscal consolidation plans, and checks on aggressive fiscal expansion within the parliament [5][6] - The Bank of Japan's upcoming interest rate decision is expected to maintain the current benchmark rate, which may not provide direct support for the yen [6] Group 4: Government Intervention and Market Sentiment - Traders are on high alert for potential intervention by Japanese authorities if the yen continues to weaken, especially as it approaches critical levels [7] - Japan's Finance Minister indicated that all options, including direct market intervention, are on the table to address excessive volatility [7] - The upcoming press conference by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda is anticipated to provide insights into the central bank's stance amid the yen's depreciation [8]

Core Viewpoint - The market's concerns over Japan's significant increase in government spending and the resurgence of inflation are leading to a breakdown in the traditional correlation between the yen and the dollar, prompting HSBC strategists to revise their forecasts for the yen's trajectory in the coming months [1] Group 1: Economic Factors - Two catalysts for the "sudden revaluation" of the yen are identified: the substantial rise in Japanese inflation that began in 2022 and the ascension of Prime Minister Kishi Matsumoto in October [1] - HSBC now predicts that the yen will fall to 160 yen per dollar by mid-year, contrary to previous expectations of strengthening to 150 yen [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The complexity of the situation is highlighted by the potential for Japanese authorities to intervene in the foreign exchange market if the yen falls below 160 [1] - Several potential factors that could halt the yen's recent decline are noted, with the most feasible being an economic slowdown in the United States, which is beyond the control of Japanese policymakers [1]

Group 1 - President Trump is expected to meet with global business leaders, including CEOs from financial services, cryptocurrency, and consulting industries, at the World Economic Forum in Davos [1] - OpenAI's policy head, Chris Leonne, announced plans to release the company's first hardware device in the second half of 2026, although no commitment was made for a formal launch this year [3] - HSBC's corporate and investment banking head stated that the company's market value is now aiming to exceed £300 billion (approximately $402 billion) after recently surpassing £200 billion (approximately $268 billion) [8] Group 2 - JPMorgan's strategists downgraded their outlook on emerging market currencies from "overweight" to "neutral," citing that short-term positions have become "overbought" after a year of strong gains [9]

智通财经APP获悉，汇丰银行(HSBC.US)企业及投资银行部门负责人迈克尔·罗伯茨称，继其市值历史性 地首次突破2000亿英镑(2680亿美元)数周后，该行目前的市值有望突破3000亿英镑。 尽管地缘政治危机正在酝酿，罗伯茨在接受采访时表示，这家欧洲最大的银行可能会变得更加庞大，并 展望了公司股价在目前接近历史高位的基础上再上涨超过50%的前景。 汇丰企业及机构银行CEO罗伯茨表示，"从2000亿英镑到我们今天的位置……达到3000亿无疑是触手可 及的，""在我们看来，鉴于我们认为能够产生利润的领域，确实值得更高的估值。" 汇丰银行的股价——最新交易价格约为1223便士——持续走高，使其目前的估值达到约2100亿英镑，这 也使其稳居欧洲最大金融机构的宝座，领先于西班牙桑坦德银行、瑞士瑞银集团和法国巴黎银行等同 行。 汇丰在过去一年里对其全球业务进行了大规模重组，作为首席执行官乔治·埃尔赫德里简化银行架构和 削减成本行动的一部分，该行裁减了数千个工作岗位，合并并关闭了一些业务线，同时出售了其他业 务。罗伯茨表示，重组阶段现已基本完成，银行正在寻找推动增长的方法。 他说，"我们真的在展望未来，"同时他也警告称， ...

Core Viewpoint - HSBC is on track to increase its market capitalization from £210 billion to potentially over £300 billion, driven by a successful restructuring and growth strategies despite geopolitical challenges [1][8]. Company Restructuring - HSBC has undergone a significant restructuring over the past year, which included job cuts, merging and closing certain business lines, and selling others to simplify operations and reduce costs [1][8]. - The revamp phase is largely complete, and the bank is now focused on driving future growth [1][8]. Market Position - HSBC's current share price is approximately 1,223 pence, positioning it as the largest financial institution in Europe, surpassing competitors like Banco Santander, UBS, and BNP Paribas [1][8]. Technological Integration - The bank is exploring the integration of artificial intelligence and digital assets into its operations, with the belief that AI will enhance productivity rather than lead to mass layoffs [5][9]. - HSBC is also a leader in adopting quantum computing technology, which has shown potential to improve asset pricing in trading [7][8][9]. Future Outlook - The bank anticipates a fundamental change in trading across all asset classes due to the increasing use of digital assets and tokenization in financial markets [7][9]. - HSBC's leadership is optimistic about the company's growth potential, suggesting that the current valuation does not fully reflect its profit-generating capabilities [1][8].

Core Viewpoint - The recent statement by President Trump linking tariffs to the purchase of Greenland has escalated tensions between the U.S. and its European allies, marking a significant shift from traditional trade negotiations to geopolitical coercion [1][2]. Group 1: Tariff Implications - Trump announced a 10% tariff on goods exported from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland starting February 1, until an agreement on the "complete and total purchase of Greenland" is reached [1]. - HSBC noted that this represents a major escalation, as tariffs are now being used as a tool for territorial negotiations rather than just trade discussions [2]. Group 2: European Response - European leaders, including EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and French President Emmanuel Macron, have condemned the tariffs, warning of potential damage to transatlantic relations [6]. - There is a serious discussion within Europe about potential countermeasures, including the suspension of a previously negotiated EU-U.S. trade agreement and the implementation of reciprocal tariffs [6][7]. Group 3: Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI) - The EU is considering activating the Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI), designed to counter economic coercion from third countries, which could involve a range of non-tariff measures [7][8]. - The initiation of ACI signals a shift in strategy, moving beyond simple tariff retaliation to a broader consideration of capital and regulatory responses [8]. Group 4: Economic Impact - Goldman Sachs estimates that a 10% tariff could reduce the GDP of affected countries by approximately 0.1% to 0.2%, with Germany facing a larger impact [9]. - The potential for tariffs to rise to 25% could increase the GDP impact to 0.25% to 0.5% [9]. Group 5: Market Uncertainty - The primary concern for markets is not the immediate tariff changes but the resurgence of trade and geopolitical uncertainty, which could lead to increased risk premiums and volatility in asset pricing [12]. - Geopolitical risk premiums are already being factored into asset prices, with the euro declining against the dollar and increased volatility expected as deadlines approach [12].