International Paper Company (NYSE:IP) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 30, 2025 10:00 AM ET Speaker6Good morning and thank you for standing by. Welcome to International Paper Company's third quarter 2025 earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, you will have an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star one again. As a reminder to ask a question, press star ...

Third Quarter 2025 Earnings October 30, 2025 Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in this presentation that are not historical in nature may be considered "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking or conditional words such as "expects," "anticipates," "believes," "estimates," "could," "should," "can," "forecast," "intend," "look," "may," "will," "rema ...

Core Insights - International Paper reported a quarterly loss of $0.43 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.53, and compared to earnings of $0.44 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -181.13% [1] - The company posted revenues of $6.22 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.68%, and compared to year-ago revenues of $4.69 billion [2] - The stock has underperformed the market, losing about 17.8% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 gained 17.2% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.59 on revenues of $6.54 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.53 on revenues of $26.09 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for International Paper was unfavorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Paper and Related Products industry is currently in the bottom 6% of the Zacks industries, suggesting that the outlook for the industry can significantly impact stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]

Exhibit 99.1 International Paper Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results MEMPHIS, Tenn. – October 30, 2025 – International Paper (NYSE: IP; LSE: IPC) (the "Company") today reported third quarter 2025 earnings (loss) from continuing operations of $(426) million and adjusted operating earnings (loss) (non-GAAP) of $(224) million. Third quarter 2025 earnings (loss) from continuing operations and adjusted operating earnings (loss) (non-GAAP) include $675 million of accelerated deprecation associated with our mill cl ...

Key Takeaways International Paper will report 3Q25 results on Oct. 30 before market open.Q3 revenues are estimated at $6.89B, suggesting 47% y/y growth, while EPS will likely dip 20.5%.The DS Smith acquisition boosts Packaging Solutions, offsetting soft demand and inventory cuts.International Paper Company (IP) is scheduled to report third-quarter 2025 results on Oct. 30, before the opening bell.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IP’s third-quarter revenues is pegged at $6.89 billion, indicating 47% growth fr ...

Company Overview - International Paper (IP) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings, with a projected EPS of $0.53, reflecting a +20.5% change, and revenues anticipated at $6.89 billion, up 47% from the previous year [3]. Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for October 30, and the stock may rise if results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 6.45% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4][12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for International Paper is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.63%, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting a neutral outlook [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, International Paper was expected to post earnings of $0.38 per share but only achieved $0.20, resulting in a surprise of -47.37% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14]. Industry Comparison - Another player in the paper industry, Smurfit Westrock (SW), is expected to report earnings of $0.68 per share, indicating a year-over-year change of +41.7%, with revenues projected at $7.98 billion, up 4% [18]. - Smurfit Westrock's consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 6.2% in the last 30 days, but it currently has a positive Earnings ESP of +2.94%, suggesting a higher likelihood of beating the consensus [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - International Paper Company (NYSE:IP) is recognized for its potential in profit growth and strategic transformation, leading to a positive outlook for investors [2][3][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - International Paper manufactures a diverse range of products including paper, packaging, and cellulose fiber, which are essential in everyday items like diapers and feminine hygiene products [2]. - The company has a strong dividend history, maintaining uninterrupted payments since 1986, currently offering a quarterly dividend of $0.4625 per share with a yield of 3.88% as of October 21 [5]. Group 2: Recent Developments - On October 17, Stifel upgraded International Paper's rating from Hold to Buy, setting a new price target of $57.80, citing the company's strategic transformation as a key factor for expected profitability and margin expansion [3]. - The firm noted tangible progress in the company's turnaround efforts, including the $1.5 billion sale of its underperforming Global Cellulose Fiber business [4]. Group 3: Strategic Direction and Challenges - Analysts highlighted that while the initial optimism around CEO Andy Silvernail's appointment has stabilized, the company now has a clearer strategic direction [4][5]. - Challenges remain, particularly regarding the integration of the DS Smith acquisition, but ongoing initiatives are expected to help the company reach its 2027 adjusted EBITDA goal of $5.5 billion to $6.0 billion [4][5].

Group 1 - ProAmpac is a global flexible packaging specialist headquartered in Cincinnati, operating under Pritzker Private Capital since 2016, with over 50 manufacturing sites [2] - The company generates a little over two-thirds of its total revenue from recyclable products, as stated in its 2025 Impact Report [2] - ProAmpac's recent acquisitions include PAC Worldwide, a specialist in e-commerce packaging, and UP Paper, a recycled kraft paper producer, along with Gelpac, which produces multiwall paper and poly-woven packaging [2] Group 2 - ProAmpac's "fiberization" strategy aims to expand into less common applications for fiber-based packaging, such as frozen foods and overwraps, while also offering to-go food containers and cold cuts packs [3] - The acquisition of International Paper's bag converting operations marks ProAmpac's first expansion into California, enhancing its portfolio in kraft paper bags [4] - This expansion allows ProAmpac to provide more customized solutions for grocery, convenience store, and quick-service restaurant customers, including handled shopping bags and self-opening sacks [4]

Upgrades - Baird upgraded Zions Bancorp (ZION) to Outperform from Neutral with an unchanged price target of $65, advising investors to take advantage of the selloff in shares [2] - Stifel upgraded International Paper (IP) to Buy from Hold with an unchanged price target of $57.80, noting that initial exuberance following the CEO's appointment has been replaced by more realistic expectations [2] - HSBC upgraded Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) to Buy from Hold with a price target of $50, up from $43, citing record-high precious metal prices and copper's outperformance due to supply disruptions [2] - KeyBanc upgraded AppFolio (APPF) to Overweight from Sector Weight with a $285 price target, indicating renewed confidence in the company's momentum following customer conversations at its annual conference [3] - UBS upgraded Deere (DE) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $535, down from $545, expecting 2026 to be the last year of earnings downturn before recovery in 2027 [4] Downgrades - TD Cowen downgraded Booz Allen (BAH) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $105, down from $125, anticipating a reduction in fiscal 2026 guidance [5] - Barclays double downgraded AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) to Underweight from Overweight with an unchanged price target of $60, citing excessive stock valuation despite attractive opportunities [5] - Raymond James downgraded Bank OZK (OZK) to Market Perform from Outperform without a price target, reducing next year's EPS forecast by roughly 12% due to softer loan growth expectations and higher expenses [5] - Raymond James downgraded Graphic Packaging (GPK) to Market Perform from Outperform without a price target, indicating that recent share weakness limits differentiation [5] - Raymond James downgraded Silgan Holdings (SLGN) to Outperform from Strong Buy with a price target of $53, down from $60, while still constructive on the company, taking a more conservative approach due to caution from Q2 items [5]

Core Insights - International Paper's CEO Andy Silvernail will present at the Baird 2025 Global Industrial Conference on November 11, 2025, at 9:30 a.m. ET, followed by a Q&A session [1] - Interested parties can access the webcast on the company's website, with a replay available approximately three hours after the presentation [2] - International Paper is a global leader in sustainable packaging solutions, headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, with operations in over 30 countries and employing more than 65,000 team members [3] - The company reported net sales of $18.6 billion for 2024 and acquired DS Smith in 2025, enhancing its position in the North American and EMEA markets [3] - A quarterly dividend of $0.4625 per share has been declared for the period from October 1, 2025, to December [4] - The company will release its third-quarter earnings on October 30, 2025, before the opening of the New York Stock Exchange [5]