Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total Payment Volume (TPV) grew by 18%, revenue increased by 10%, and net income rose by 12% [3] - Excluding the impact of smartphone supply issues, revenue would have increased by 32% and net income by 16% [3][4] - The fintech segment showed a 16% growth in Total Financial Volume (TFV) and a 24% increase in revenue [4][41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Payments segment experienced a TPV growth of 18% and revenue growth of 10% [3][31] - Marketplace GMV grew by 12%, but would have been 20% without smartphone supply issues [3][34] - E-grocery business saw a GMV increase of 53% and transaction growth of 55% [7] - Advertising revenue grew by 56% year-over-year [13][38] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The smartphone supply disruption impacted GMV by approximately 8% and consolidated income by 3% [5][34] - The overall market environment is expected to improve as supply issues resolve, particularly for smartphones [6][34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing its core business performance while navigating external challenges [6][49] - Plans to initiate a $400 million ADS buyback program to return cash to shareholders while investing in growth [4][49] - Emphasis on improving user experience and expanding advertising services to drive revenue growth [13][66] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about recovering demand in the next year despite current supply constraints [5][6] - The competitive landscape remains stable, with a focus on quality service delivery rather than traditional competition [56] - Future growth is anticipated as supply issues resolve and the company continues to innovate [34][48] Other Important Information - The company is integrating new payment options and enhancing its advertising capabilities to drive engagement [12][66] - The introduction of innovative payment methods, such as "Pay by Palm," is expected to enhance consumer experience [12][13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Updates on Hepsiburada and investment levels - Management highlighted the focus on quality products and user experience as key priorities for growth, with no significant need for capital investments anticipated [53][55] Question: Advertising product growth and potential - Management indicated strong growth in advertising services, with expectations for continued acceleration as the company enhances merchant experiences [57][59] Question: Marketplace take rate increase - The increase in take rate is driven by additional services such as advertising and delivery, rather than higher seller fees [64] Question: Smartphone supply impact and trends - Management confirmed ongoing supply constraints for new smartphone models, with expectations for improvement in the coming months [70][72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total Payment Volume (TPV) grew by 18%, revenue increased by 10%, and net income rose by 12% year-over-year [3][4] - Excluding the impact of smartphone supply issues, GMV growth would have been 20%, with revenue up 32% and net income growth at 16% [3][4][5] - The fintech segment reported a 16% growth in Total Financial Volume (TFV) and a 24% increase in revenue [4][41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Payments segment showed robust growth with TPV up 18% and revenue growth of 10% [31][32] - Marketplace GMV grew by 12%, but would have been 20% without smartphone supply disruptions [33][34] - E-grocery business saw a GMV increase of 53% and transaction growth of 55% [7][8] - Advertising revenue grew by 56% year-over-year, indicating strong performance in the marketplace [13][38] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The smartphone supply disruption had an 8% impact on GMV and a 3% impact on consolidated income [5][6] - The competitive position in e-commerce remains strong, with expectations for recovery as supply issues resolve [35][36] - The travel segment's GMV grew by 13% in Q3, with a take rate increase of 50 basis points [37] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing user experience and product quality to drive growth [55][56] - Plans to expand the e-grocery business and integrate more banks into the payment platform [8][9] - The introduction of innovative payment methods, such as "Pay by Palm," aims to enhance consumer flexibility [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects a favorable recovery in smartphone supply starting March 2026, which will positively impact growth [35][49] - The high-interest rate environment is anticipated to normalize, providing additional performance positives for the next year [6][42] - The company is optimistic about the growth potential in advertising services, which are expected to outpace other revenue streams [57][59] Other Important Information - The company announced a $400 million ADS buyback program to return cash to shareholders [4][49] - The introduction of new technologies, such as Kaspi Ai, aims to improve merchant experiences and drive sales [16][22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Updates on Hepsiburada and competitive environment in Turkey - Management emphasized the focus on high-quality products and user experience as key growth drivers, with no significant need for capital investments anticipated [55][56] Question: Insights on advertising product growth and potential - Management highlighted the development of a full range of advertising services, with expectations for faster growth than other revenue streams [57][59] Question: Clarification on marketplace take rate increase - The increase in take rate is driven by additional services such as advertising and delivery, rather than higher seller fees [64] Question: Current trends regarding smartphone supply impact - Management noted that supply remains constrained, particularly for new models, but expects a favorable comp starting in March 2026 [70][71]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total Payment Volume (TPV) grew by 18%, revenue increased by 10%, and net income rose by 12% year-over-year [3] - Excluding the impact of smartphone supply issues, revenue would have increased by 32% and net income by 16% [3][5] - The fintech segment reported a 16% growth in Total Financial Volume (TFV) and a 24% increase in revenue [4][39] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The marketplace experienced a 12% growth year-over-year, with a 20% GMV growth when excluding smartphone impacts [3][33] - E-grocery GMV grew by 53%, with transaction growth at 55%, reaching 1.3 million customers [7] - Advertising revenue surged by 56% year-over-year, indicating strong growth in this segment [13][36] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The smartphone supply disruption had an 8% impact on GMV and a 3% impact on consolidated income [5][33] - The overall e-commerce market remains strong, with GMV growth of 12% in the third quarter, and 19% for the nine-month period, excluding smartphones [33][34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing its payment options, marketing, delivery, and user experience to drive growth [25][42] - Plans to expand into new cities and increase the number of dark stores for e-grocery services are underway [7][8] - The introduction of innovative payment methods, such as Pay by Palm, aims to enhance consumer flexibility [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about recovering demand in the next year despite current supply chain challenges [5][62] - The competitive position in e-commerce remains strong, with expectations for normalization of growth as supply issues resolve [34][62] - The company anticipates a favorable base effect starting in March 2026, which should support growth [46][62] Other Important Information - A $400 million ADS buyback program is set to commence, reflecting strong cash generation and performance [4][47] - The company is also exploring the introduction of dividend payments in the future [47] Q&A Session Summary Question: Updates on Hepsiburada and investment levels - Management emphasized the focus on quality services and consumer engagement as key priorities for growth, with no significant need for capital investments unless justified [51][52] Question: Insights on advertising product growth - Management highlighted the development of a full range of advertising services, with expectations for faster growth than overall revenue [54] Question: Marketplace take rate increase - The increase in take rate is driven by additional services, particularly advertising and delivery, rather than higher seller fees [56] Question: Smartphone supply impact - Management confirmed ongoing supply constraints for new smartphone models but expects normalization in the coming months, with strong growth in non-smartphone categories [60][62]

Q3 2025 Financial Performance - Kaspi.kz's Total Payment Value (TPV) increased by 18% year-over-year (YoY)[10] - Kaspi.kz's Revenue increased by 10% YoY[10] - Kaspi.kz's Net Income increased by 12% YoY[10] Marketplace Platform Growth - Marketplace purchases increased by 36% YoY in 3Q'25[93] - Excluding smartphones, Marketplace Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) increased by 20% YoY[96] - e-Commerce GMV increased by 25% YoY excluding smartphones[99] Fintech Platform Performance - Total Finance Value (TFV) increased by 16% YoY[114] - Average net loan portfolio increased by 30% YoY[117] - Deposits increased by 18% YoY[117] - Fintech revenue increased by 24% YoY adjusting for higher interest rates[122] Hepsiburada Performance - Hepsiburada purchases increased by 16% in 3Q'25[64, 128] - Hepsiburada GMV increased by 15% in 3Q'25[131] - Hepsiburada revenue increased by 22% YoY[134]

Core Insights - Kaspi.kz reported a 20% year-over-year revenue increase and a 12% net income increase for 3Q 2025, with underlying revenue and net income growth of 23% and 21% respectively when excluding smartphone GMV and regulatory changes [2][3] - The company anticipates a net income growth of 10-12% YoY for 2025, with underlying growth expected to be around 18-20% YoY, excluding smartphone GMV and regulatory impacts [3] Financial Performance - For 3Q 2025, total revenue increased by 20% YoY, while net income rose by 12% YoY; for the first nine months of 2025, revenue and net income both increased by 20% and 14% YoY respectively [2] - Monthly Transactions per Active Consumer stood at 76, indicating strong customer engagement [2] - Payments segment saw a total payment volume (TPV) increase of 18% YoY in 3Q 2025, with transactions up 14% YoY; for 9M 2025, TPV and transactions increased by 21% and 15% YoY respectively [2] Marketplace and E-Commerce - Marketplace revenue growth significantly outpaced GMV growth, with purchases up 36% YoY in both 3Q and 9M 2025; revenue increased by 24% YoY in 3Q 2025, while GMV grew by 12% [2] - Excluding smartphone GMV, Marketplace GMV increased by 20% and 21% YoY in 3Q and 9M 2025, with revenue growth of 32% and 34% respectively [2] - e-Grocery GMV grew by 53% YoY in 3Q 2025, showcasing rapid growth in this segment [2] Advertising and Innovation - Advertising revenue surged by 56% and 76% YoY in 3Q and 9M 2025, respectively, driven by new advertising services for merchants [2] - The company is set to roll out Kaspi Alaqan, a pay-by-palm innovation, in 4Q 2025, aimed at enhancing customer value [2] Strategic Developments - Kaspi.kz has integrated with six banks in Kazakhstan and expanded its partnerships with O!Bank in Kyrgyzstan and AliPay+ [2] - The company is working on acquiring Rabobank A.Ş. and has announced a modest share capital increase expected to raise approximately $100 million [3] - A $100 million ADS repurchase program has been initiated, reflecting the company's strong cash generation capacity and long-term growth prospects [3]

Core Insights - The article highlights three Fintech stocks to watch: Rocket Companies, LexinFintech, and Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz, which have shown the highest dollar trading volume recently [2] Company Summaries Rocket Companies (RKT) - Rocket Companies, Inc. is a fintech holding company that provides mortgage lending, title and settlement services, and other financial technology services in the U.S. and Canada [3] - The company operates through two segments: Direct to Consumer and Partner Network, offering solutions like Rocket Mortgage, Amrock, Rocket Homes, and Rocket Loans [3] LexinFintech (LX) - LexinFintech Holdings Ltd. offers online consumer finance services in China through its subsidiaries [4] - The company operates Fenqile.com, which provides installment purchase and personal installment loans, along with online direct sales with installment payment terms [4] Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz (KSPI) - Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz provides payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions for consumers and merchants in Kazakhstan [5] - The company operates through three segments: Payments Platform, Marketplace Platform, and Fintech Platform, facilitating transactions between customers and merchants [5]

Core Thesis - Kaspi.kz (KSPI) is viewed as a strong investment opportunity due to its dominant position in Kazakhstan's fintech market and robust financial metrics, despite facing some risks related to currency volatility and geopolitical factors [1][5][6]. Company Overview - Kaspi.kz is a leading fintech company in Kazakhstan, operating a widely adopted Super App that integrates various services such as digital payments, online loans, deposits, and e-commerce solutions [2]. - The company has a significant market presence, with nearly every adult in Kazakhstan holding a Kaspi account, which enhances customer loyalty and operational efficiency [2][3]. Financial Performance - Kaspi.kz boasts impressive financial metrics, including a return on equity (ROE) of 67.7% and a return on invested capital (ROIC) estimated above 40% [3]. - The company has a cash-rich balance sheet and is projected to achieve an earnings per share (EPS) growth rate of 31% year-over-year through 2026 [3]. Valuation - The stock is currently trading at a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.66 and a forward P/E of 5.95 for 2026, suggesting potential undervaluation given its growth prospects [4]. - The market dominance and growth profile of Kaspi.kz imply a possible mispricing in the current stock valuation [4]. Expansion Plans - Kaspi.kz is expanding internationally by acquiring a controlling stake in Turkey's Hepsiburada and Rabobank Turkey, aiming to replicate its successful super-app model and increase its total addressable market [4]. - This expansion presents potential upside if the company can successfully navigate the Turkish market [4]. Risks - The volatility of the Kazakhstani tenge poses a risk to dollar-denominated earnings, which could impact returns for global investors [5][6]. - Geopolitical uncertainties, particularly regarding Kazakhstan's regulatory environment and economic ties with Russia, introduce additional risks [5][6]. - The Turkish expansion may face challenges due to a difficult regulatory landscape and high inflation, which could limit predictability [6]. - Market saturation in Kazakhstan and recent allegations of misconduct could also affect the company's reputation and regulatory standing [6].

Core Viewpoint - Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz (NASDAQ:KSPI) is considered one of the most profitable software stocks, with a recent upgrade to Buy from Neutral by Goldman Sachs, despite a price target reduction to $107 from $114, indicating a potential upside of nearly 42% from the current price [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Kaspi.kz has experienced significant challenges this year, particularly due to regulatory costs affecting its Marketplace and banking operations, alongside a prolonged period of high interest rates [2]. - The stock has declined by 25% over the past twelve months, leading analysts to believe it is trading at a "significant discount" compared to its three-year forward earnings multiple average [2]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The upcoming third-quarter earnings call scheduled for November 10, 2025, is anticipated to provide deeper insights into the company's performance [3]. - Market sentiment appears favorable, with a one-year price target from Yahoo Finance suggesting a potential gain of 48% [3]. Group 3: Company Overview - Kaspi.kz, headquartered in Almaty, Kazakhstan, offers payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions for consumers and merchants, aiming to enhance lives through innovative products [4].

Core Insights - Kaspi.kz will report its financial results for the quarter and nine months ending September 30, 2025, on November 10, 2025, with a conference call scheduled for 8.00am EST [1][2] Company Overview - Kaspi.kz aims to improve people's lives through innovative mobile products and services, operating a unique two-sided Super App model for consumers and merchants [3] - The Super Apps provide access to leading Payments, Marketplace, and Fintech Platforms, facilitating transactions between consumers and merchants [4] Business Model and Growth - The combination of a large, engaged consumer and merchant base, along with best-in-class digital products and a capex lite approach, results in strong top-line growth and a profitable business model [5] - In January 2025, Kaspi.kz acquired a 66.35% stake in Hepsiburada, a leading e-commerce company in Türkiye, enhancing its market position [5] Academic Recognition - Harvard Business School has developed two case studies on Kaspi.kz, which are used in its MBA curriculum [6] - Kaspi.kz has been listed on Nasdaq since January 2024, indicating its growth and recognition in the financial markets [6]

Core Insights - Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz (NASDAQ:KSPI) is recognized as a promising technology stock by hedge funds, with its fiscal Q2 2025 results showing a revenue increase of 41.41% to $1.79 billion, exceeding analyst expectations by $337.07 million, although EPS of $2.50 fell short of consensus by $0.11 [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 2025 reached $1.79 billion, marking a 41.41% year-over-year growth, surpassing analyst expectations by $337.07 million [1] - Payment total processing volume (TPV) and transactions increased by 21% and 14% year-over-year, respectively [2] - Payment revenue and net income rose by 16% and 19% year-over-year, respectively [2] - The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, anticipating approximately 15% growth in net income [2] Analyst Ratings - J.P. Morgan maintained a Hold rating on KSPI following the earnings release, setting a price target of $96 [3] - The company is identified as a Kazakhstan-based financial technology firm providing online payments, e-commerce, and digital banking services [3]