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UBS Remains Bullish on MercadoLibre (MELI), Cites Continued Momentum in Fintech Arm
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-31 13:58
Group 1 - Man GLG holds $28.29 million worth of MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) shares, representing 0.05% of its 13-F portfolio as of Q2 2025, and the company is included in Man GLG's list of 10 stock picks with the highest upside potential [1] - UBS reaffirmed its "Buy" rating on MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) with a $3,000 price target, despite a 20% decline in share prices following changes to its free-shipping policy [2] - UBS noted that the decline in share prices reflects market skepticism over potential margin pressure from the free-shipping policy and higher spending on the platform [2][3] Group 2 - UBS highlighted increasing competition and economic volatility in Argentina as factors impacting margins, but pointed to continued momentum in MercadoLibre's fintech arm supporting robust performance [3] - The stock's underperformance already incorporates consensus expectations of a nearly 160-basis-point quarter-over-quarter margin decline [3] - MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) is trading at roughly 33 times its expected 2026 earnings, which is about 20% below its one-year average, making the stock relatively cheaper compared to its previous valuations [4] Group 3 - MercadoLibre, Inc. offers marketplace, payments, and logistics solutions through its leading e-commerce and fintech platforms, operating across Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina [4]
MercadoLibre(MELI) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-10-30 20:01
Financial Performance - Net revenues and financial income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, reached $20,134 million, a 36.5% increase from $14,718 million in the same period of 2024[11] - Gross profit for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $9,074 million, reflecting a 33.0% increase compared to $6,828 million in the prior year[11] - Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,438 million, a 13.1% increase from $1,272 million in the same period of 2024[13] - Basic net income available to shareholders per common share for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $28.37, compared to $25.09 for the same period in 2024, indicating an increase of 9.1%[11] - Operating expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, totaled $6,762 million, an increase of 34.8% from $5,017 million in the same period of 2024[11] - Total comprehensive income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,867 million, significantly higher than $932 million in the same period of 2024[13] - The aggregate gain from financing transactions and sales of financial assets for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2025, was $1,641 million, compared to $1,274 million for the same period in 2024, representing a 28.8% increase[30] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased to $36,691 million as of September 30, 2025, up from $25,196 million at December 31, 2024, representing a growth of 45.5%[10] - Total current liabilities rose to $24,522 million as of September 30, 2025, up from $16,603 million at December 31, 2024, marking a 47.8% increase[10] - Total equity increased to $6,218 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $4,351 million at December 31, 2024, representing a growth of 43.0%[10] - Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at the end of the period were $9,199 million, compared to $3,478 million at the end of September 2024, representing a substantial increase of 164.36%[17] - Total liabilities as of September 30, 2025, amount to $344 million, a decrease from $229 million as of December 31, 2024[100] Currency and Inflation - The inflation rate in Argentina for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2025, was 22.0%, compared to 6.0% for the same period in 2024, indicating a significant increase in inflationary pressures[36] - The average exchange rate for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2025, was 1,180.36 Argentine Pesos per U.S. dollar, reflecting a 33.0% increase from 887.76 Pesos in the same period of 2024[37] - The Company’s estimated effective tax rate increased from 23.8% for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024, to 30.1% for the same period in 2025, primarily due to lower deductions related to tax inflation adjustments in Argentina[41] Investments and Financing - Investments in property and equipment, intangible assets, and intangible assets at fair value totaled $916 million in 2025, compared to $555 million in 2024, showing an increase of 64.95%[18] - The company created a global program for the issuance of debt securities with a maximum principal amount of $500 million[60] - The company has pending authorization requests in Mexico and Chile for new financial services, including an investment funds management company and cross-border transaction registration[56][61] - The company repurchased common stock worth $1 million in both 2025 and 2024, indicating a consistent approach to capital management[17] Loans and Receivables - The total loans receivable, net, increased to $8,192 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $4,895 million as of December 31, 2024[72] - The allowance for doubtful accounts for loans receivable was $2,859 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $1,678 million as of December 31, 2024[72] - The total past due loans receivable rose to $3,006 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $1,763 million as of December 31, 2024, indicating a significant increase of 70.4%[77] Tax and Legal Matters - The Company recorded an income tax benefit of $50 million for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2025, compared to $6 million for the same period in 2024[44] - A provision of $501 million was recorded for disputed tax amounts as of September 30, 2025, net of judicial deposits of $450 million[111] - The Company recorded a social security benefit of $17 million during the nine-month period ended September 30, 2025, compared to $31 million for the same period in 2024[44] Operational Highlights - The fintech platform, Mercado Pago, is operational in multiple countries, including Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia, enhancing the company's market presence in Latin America[21] - The company is actively engaged with the CBA regarding its banking license application in Argentina, which is currently under review[59] - The company held digital assets valued at $65 million for Bitcoin and $13 million for Ether as of September 30, 2025, compared to $6 million for Bitcoin and $10 million for Ether as of December 31, 2024[83]
MercadoLibre Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 17:30
Core Insights - MercadoLibre (MELI) reported Q3 2025 earnings of $8.32 per share, missing estimates by 11.77% but increasing 6.26% year over year. Revenues rose 39.5% year over year to $7.41 billion, surpassing estimates by 2.15% [1][9] Revenue Breakdown - Total revenues were driven by strong growth in commerce and fintech segments, which grew 33% and 49% year over year to $4.17 billion and $3.24 billion, respectively [2] - Brazil generated $4.01 billion in net revenues (54.1% of total), up 37.6% year over year. Mexico's revenues reached $1.65 billion (22.3% of total), increasing 44.2% year over year. Argentina's revenues were $1.44 billion (19.4% of total), reflecting a 39.5% year-over-year increase [5] - Other countries contributed $308 million (4.2% of total revenues), representing a growth of 39.4% year over year [6] Key Metrics - Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) was $16.5 billion, increasing 28% year over year and 35% on a foreign exchange-neutral basis [7] - Items sold grew 39.3% year over year to 635.2 million, with unique buyers increasing by 26% to 76.8 million [3] - Fintech Monthly Active Users rose 29% year over year to 72.2 million, with Assets Under Management growing 89% to $15.1 billion [3] Advertising and Market Performance - Revenues from advertising services rose 56% year over year on a reported basis and 63% on a foreign exchange-neutral basis [4] - MELI's shares appreciated 35% year-to-date, outperforming the Internet-Commerce industry's return of 12.1% [4] Operating Details - Gross margin contracted to 43.3%, while operating margin declined 70 basis points to 9.8% [9][11] - Operating expenses increased 32% year over year to approximately $2.5 billion, but as a percentage of revenues, it contracted to 33.5% [11] Financial Position - As of September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $2.58 billion, down from $3.01 billion as of June 30, 2025. Net debt increased to $4.6 billion [13]
MercadoLibre (MELI) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 14:35
Core Insights - MercadoLibre reported $7.41 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, a year-over-year increase of 39.5% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $8.32, compared to $7.83 a year ago, but fell short of the consensus estimate of $9.43, resulting in an EPS surprise of -11.77% [1] Revenue Performance - Gross merchandise volume reached $16.54 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $16.22 billion [4] - Total payment volume was $71.22 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $71.07 billion [4] Geographic Revenue Breakdown - Mexico: Revenue of $1.65 billion, slightly below the estimate of $1.67 billion, with a year-over-year change of +44.2% [4] - Argentina: Revenue of $1.44 billion, below the estimate of $1.56 billion, with a year-over-year change of +39.5% [4] - Brazil: Revenue of $4.01 billion, exceeding the estimate of $3.92 billion, with a year-over-year change of +37.6% [4] - Other countries: Revenue of $308 million, above the estimate of $293.12 million, with a year-over-year change of +39.4% [4] Segment Performance - Fintech revenue was $3.24 billion, slightly above the estimate of $3.22 billion, with a year-over-year change of +48.9% [4] - Commerce revenue was $4.17 billion, exceeding the estimate of $4.08 billion, with a year-over-year change of +33% [4] Stock Performance - MercadoLibre shares returned +5.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.6% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3]
MercadoLibre, Inc. 2025 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:MELI) 2025-10-30
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-30 09:06
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content or key points related to a company or industry [1]
MercadoLibre (MELI) Misses Q3 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 22:36
Core Insights - MercadoLibre reported quarterly earnings of $8.32 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.43 per share, but showing an increase from $7.83 per share a year ago [1] - The earnings surprise was -11.77%, and the company had a previous quarter surprise of -14.15% [2] - The company posted revenues of $7.41 billion for the quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.15%, and up from $5.31 billion year-over-year [3] - MercadoLibre shares have increased by approximately 34.7% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [4] Earnings Outlook - The earnings outlook for MercadoLibre is uncertain, with current consensus EPS estimates at $14.38 for the next quarter and $42.53 for the current fiscal year [8] - The estimate revisions trend was unfavorable prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [7] Industry Context - The Internet - Commerce industry, to which MercadoLibre belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 41% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [9] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and earnings estimate revisions, which could impact investor sentiment [6]
MercadoLibre(MELI) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues grew by 39% year on year, marking the 27th consecutive quarter of growth above 30% [4][99] - Operating income reached $724 million, growing by 30% year on year, demonstrating the ability to balance growth, investments, and profitability [7][99] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mercado Pago experienced strong growth with monthly active users accelerating and record high NPS in Brazil [6][12] - The credit card portfolio grew significantly, with older cohorts becoming profitable, while maintaining a healthy credit quality [35][76] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Argentina, revenues grew by 39% year on year in US dollars and 97% in local currency, despite macroeconomic challenges [12] - GMV growth in Mexico accelerated, with unit shipping costs in fulfillment continuing to decline [6][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to invest in free shipping, logistics, and credit card offerings to drive long-term growth [8][66] - Strategic investments are aimed at enhancing financial inclusion and capturing growth opportunities in commerce and fintech [4][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic about Argentina's long-term growth potential despite current macro challenges [12][13] - The company is focused on long-term value creation rather than short-term margin pressures, indicating confidence in future profitability [39][40] Other Important Information - The company is exploring the potential of Agentic AI to enhance user experience and operational efficiency [90] - The competitive landscape in Brazil remains intense, but the company believes its strategies are rational and effective [94][95] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on Argentina's macro challenges and growth plans - Management acknowledged macro challenges but emphasized ongoing investments and optimism for long-term growth in Argentina [11][12] Question: Breakdown of new active users and marketing spend - The company reported 7.8 million new buyers in the quarter, with marketing spend remaining consistent at around 11% of revenues [15][19] Question: Merchant adherence to pricing strategies and competition - Management discussed the introduction of a price monitoring system to enhance buyer and seller experiences, indicating a rational approach to competition [22][25] Question: Shipping cost reductions and automation investments - Shipping costs in Brazil decreased by 8% due to better utilization and efficiency, with ongoing investments in robotics and automation [28][31] Question: Profitability of the credit card business - Older credit card cohorts are profitable, and the company maintains strict underwriting discipline while expanding card issuance [34][35][76] Question: Growth of acquiring TPV in Brazil - The company is gaining market share in Brazil, with a focus on direct-to-consumer strategies and improved payment solutions [78][81] Question: Performance in other Latin American markets - Strong GMV growth in Chile and Colombia driven by improved logistics and promotional activities, with a focus on consolidating market leadership [84][86] Question: Response to OpenAI's entry into e-commerce - The company is excited about the potential of AI to enhance its platform and is focused on building the best user experience [90][91] Question: Competitive environment in Brazil - Management believes the competitive dynamics are rational and emphasizes a user-focused strategy to maintain market leadership [94][95]
MercadoLibre(MELI) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues grew by 39% year-on-year, marking the 27th consecutive quarter of growth above 30% [4][99] - Operating income reached $724 million, growing by 30% year-on-year, demonstrating the ability to balance growth, investments, and profitability [7][99] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mercado Pago experienced accelerated growth in monthly active users, with record high NPS in Brazil [6][12] - The credit card portfolio grew significantly, with older cohorts becoming profitable, while maintaining a healthy credit quality [36][40] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Argentina, revenues grew by 39% year-on-year in U.S. dollars and 97% in local currency, despite macroeconomic challenges [12] - GMV growth in Mexico accelerated, with unit shipping costs in fulfillment continuing to decline [5][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to invest in free shipping, logistics, and credit card offerings to drive long-term growth [8][40] - Strategic investments are aimed at enhancing financial inclusion and capturing growth opportunities in commerce and fintech [4][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic about Argentina's long-term growth potential despite current macro challenges [12][13] - The company is focused on maintaining user acquisition investments while ensuring profitability and growth [20][21] Other Important Information - The company is exploring the potential of Agentic AI to enhance user experience and operational efficiency [91][92] - The competitive landscape in Brazil remains intense, but the company believes its strategies are rational and effective [94][96] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on Argentina's macro challenges and growth plans - Management acknowledged macro challenges but emphasized continued investment in Argentina, including opening a new fulfillment center and launching a credit card [11][12] Question: Breakdown of new active users and marketing spend - The company reported adding 7.8 million new buyers, with a focus on maintaining marketing spend at around 11% of revenues [16][20] Question: Merchant adherence to pricing strategies and competition - Management discussed the introduction of a price monitoring system to enhance buyer experience and seller adherence [24][25] Question: Shipping cost reductions and automation investments - Shipping costs in Brazil decreased by 8% due to improved logistics efficiency, with ongoing investments in robotics and automation [30][32] Question: Profitability of the credit card business - Older credit card cohorts are profitable, and the company maintains strict underwriting discipline while expanding card issuance [36][78] Question: Growth of acquiring TPV in Brazil - The company is gaining market share in Brazil, with a strategic shift to direct sales and improved online payment systems [81][83] Question: Performance in other Latin American markets - Strong GMV growth in Chile and Colombia attributed to improved logistics, demand generation, and promotional activities [86][88] Question: Response to OpenAI's entry into e-commerce - The company is excited about the potential of AI to enhance its platform and is focused on building the best user experience [91][92] Question: Competitive environment in Brazil - Management believes the competitive dynamics are rational and that their strategies are effectively enhancing market share [94][96]
MercadoLibre(MELI) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues grew by 39% year on year, marking the 27th consecutive quarter of growth above 30% [4][91] - Operating income reached $724 million, growing by 30% year on year, demonstrating the ability to balance growth, investments, and profitability [6][91] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mercado Pago experienced strong growth with monthly active users accelerating and NPS hitting record highs in Brazil [5] - The credit card portfolio grew rapidly, with all-time low first-paying defaults and a healthy credit quality maintained [6][12] - GMV in Argentina grew by 39% year on year in US dollars and 97% in local currency, with items sold increasing by 34% [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Brazil, unit shipping costs decreased by 8% due to higher transaction volumes and better utilization of logistics [5][30] - Mexico saw strong GMV growth, with fulfillment costs continuing to decline [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to invest in free shipping, logistics, and credit card offerings to drive long-term growth [7][64] - Strategic investments are focused on enhancing the value proposition for users and expanding market share in Latin America [4][91] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic about Argentina's long-term growth potential despite macroeconomic challenges [12][13] - The company is focused on capturing growth opportunities in both commerce and fintech, with a disciplined investment approach [64][66] Other Important Information - The company is exploring the potential of Agentic AI to enhance user experience and operational efficiency [85] - The competitive landscape in Brazil remains intense, but the company believes its strategies are rational and effective [87][89] Q&A Session Summary Question: Argentina's macro challenges and growth outlook - Management acknowledged macro challenges but emphasized continued investment and optimism for long-term growth in Argentina [11][12] Question: Active user growth breakdown - The company reported 7.8 million new buyers in the quarter, with a healthy mix of new and returning users [17][51] Question: Merchant adherence to pricing initiatives - Management discussed the introduction of a price monitoring system to enhance buyer experience and seller performance [21][23] Question: Shipping cost dynamics and automation investments - Shipping costs in Brazil decreased by 8% due to better utilization, with ongoing investments in robotics and automation [26][30] Question: Credit card profitability and cohort performance - Older credit card cohorts are profitable, and the company maintains strict underwriting discipline while expanding issuance [32][73] Question: Competitive dynamics in Brazil - Management expressed confidence in their competitive position and rational strategies in the Brazilian market [87][89]
Mercado Libre's Strategic Investments Drive Net Revenue to $7.4 Billion in Q3 2025, Marking the 27th Consecutive Quarter of Growth Above 30% YoY
Businesswire· 2025-10-29 21:33
Core Insights - Mercado Libre reported a net revenue growth of 39% year-over-year, reaching US$7.4 billion in Q3 2025, marking the 27th consecutive quarter of growth above 30% year-over-year [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a net revenue of US$7.4 billion, reflecting a 39% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1] - This growth represents the 27th consecutive quarter where the company has maintained growth rates exceeding 30% year-over-year [1] Competitive Position - Market share and Net Promoter Score (NPS) data indicate that the company has significantly strengthened its competitive position during the same period [1] - The company has made further investments in the expansion of free shipping to enhance its market presence [1]