Core Viewpoint - The Nasdaq index experienced a decline, with major tech stocks falling significantly, amidst concerns over a Supreme Court ruling on Trump's tariffs, which could impact the stock market's recent gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Nasdaq index's decline reached 1.2%, with notable drops in major tech stocks such as Broadcom (AVGO) down over 10%, Micron Technology (MU) down over 5%, Oracle (ORCL) and AMD (AMD) down over 3%, TSMC (TSM) down 2.6%, Amazon (AMZN) down over 1%, and Meta (META) down over 0.8% [1] - The S&P 500 index has rebounded 39% since its low earlier this month, reaching a record high, supported by lower-than-expected tariffs and ongoing investment in artificial intelligence [1] Group 2: Legal and Economic Context - The U.S. Supreme Court is set to rule on the legality of Trump's comprehensive tariffs, which previously caused significant market declines [1] - If the Supreme Court rules against the tariffs, there is potential for uncertainty in the market, with estimates suggesting a 2.4% growth in earnings for S&P 500 companies by 2026, excluding interest and taxes [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Nasdaq index experienced a decline, with major tech stocks falling significantly, amidst uncertainty regarding the legality of comprehensive tariffs proposed by Trump, which could impact the stock market's recent performance [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Nasdaq index dropped by as much as 1.2%, with notable declines in major tech stocks such as Broadcom (AVGO) down over 10%, Micron Technology (MU) down over 5%, Oracle (ORCL) and AMD (AMD) down over 3%, and TSMC (TSM) down 2.6% [1] - The S&P 500 index has rebounded 39% since its low earlier this month, reaching a record high on Thursday, supported by lower-than-expected tariffs and ongoing investment in artificial intelligence [1] Group 2: Legal and Economic Context - The U.S. Supreme Court is set to rule on the legality of Trump's comprehensive tariffs, which previously caused a global market downturn; a ruling against the tariffs could introduce significant uncertainty [1] - The likelihood of a ruling this year is decreasing, with the court's next session scheduled for January 9 of the following year [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Ohsung Kwon, Chief Equity Strategist at Wells Fargo, estimates that if the tariffs are ruled invalid, S&P 500 companies' earnings before interest and taxes could grow by 2.4% by 2026 compared to this year's levels [1]

Core Viewpoint - Meta Platforms (META) stock is currently trading within a support zone of $620.07 to $685.35, where it has historically rebounded, averaging a peak return of 14.8% after three previous instances in the last decade [2]. Financial Performance - Meta's Q3 2025 earnings surpassed expectations, with a revenue growth of 26.2%, driven by improvements in AI-driven ad performance across its Family of Apps [4]. - The average analyst price target for Meta is above $818, indicating significant upside potential from current trading levels [4]. - The company has reported a revenue growth of 21.3% over the last twelve months (LTM) and an average growth of 17.3% over the past three years [10]. - Meta's free cash flow margin is approximately 23.7%, and its operating margin stands at 43.2% LTM [10]. - The lowest annual revenue growth recorded for Meta in the past three years was 7.5% [10]. - Currently, Meta shares are trading at a price-to-earnings (PE) multiple of 31.6 [10]. Strategic Initiatives - Meta is shifting its focus from metaverse spending to AI integration, which is enhancing ad efficiency and user engagement [4]. - Despite challenges from Reality Labs, the core business and advancements in AI are providing a supportive backdrop for growth, helping to mitigate regulatory and content-related issues [4]. Market Conditions - The stock has experienced significant declines in the past, including a 43% drop during the 2018 correction and a 77% decline during the inflation-driven downturn [6]. - Historical data indicates that Meta's stock can face sharp pullbacks even in healthy markets due to earnings surprises or shifts in outlook [7].

艾夫斯进一步补充道，该行政令一出，市场对"未来还要不要大举投入AI"的疑虑一扫而空，一直压在该 板块估值头顶的"监管乌云"也随之散去。 智通财经APP获悉，投资公司韦德布什指出，美国总统特朗普签署的旨在限制各州对人工智能领域实施 监管的行政命令，被业界视为包括微软(MSFT.US)在内的美国大型科技企业的一场"重大胜利"。 韦德布什分析师丹·艾夫斯在给客户的报告中提及："这一举措，对于OpenAI、谷歌(GOOGL.US)、微软 (MSFT.US)、Anthropic、Meta(META.US)等众多一直在积极游说以限制人工智能监管的AI企业来说，无 疑是一场重大胜利。要知道，相关监管措施若落地，将在所有业务层面，对该技术的创新研发与推广应 用构成重大阻碍。当前，已有数万亿美元投入到AI基础设施及其他相关技术的建设当中，此番行政命 令意在简化监管流程，助力美国在该行业确立主导地位。毕竟，越来越多的国外竞争对手正加速发力， 试图在AI革命浪潮中抢占先机、脱颖而出。" 该命令明确指示美国司法部长牵头组建"人工智能诉讼特别工作组"，其核心职责是针对那些与联邦政 策"存在偏差、不相契合"的各州人工智能相关法律发起挑战 ...

AI只是加速了挤泡沫过程。 文 ｜ 冯叶 编辑 ｜ 赵子坤 来源｜ 凤凰网科技（ID： ifeng_tech) 封面来源 ｜ unsplash "AI的确是颠覆性的。"先后在亚马逊、Meta工作过的工程师阿汤表示。"就拿ChatGPT现在编程能力来看，每个组裁一半人，估计问题不大。" 疫情期间的盲目扩张、叠床架屋的组织结构，让硅谷大厂正在为"历史债务"买单。 "为一个淘汰自己的工具卖命" 如今，对技术性失业的恐慌正在整个硅谷蔓延。数据统计网站layoffs.fyi显示，2025年美国科技行业裁员已超11万人。 在亚马逊被曝出全球裁员14000人之前，Meta、微软、谷歌均宣布过裁员计划。微软曾在年中宣布，要裁撤近9000人。 在大厂高歌猛进，喊着"AllinAI"的口号烧钱买芯片、建数据中心的同时，超过一千名亚马逊员工签署公开信，抗议公司"不计成本以极速推进AI发展"。 然而，亲历者发现，大裁员的真相不全在AI，"AI只是加速了挤泡沫过程"。正如亚马逊CEO安迪贾西所说，裁员源于"文化臃肿"——过多的层级和官僚主义 削弱了组织敏捷性。他希望亚马逊"像运营全球最大的初创公司"。 "我不愿用'代替'这个词，我会说 ...

Market Overview - The US dollar index experienced fluctuations, initially rising due to expectations of a "hawkish rate cut" from the Federal Reserve, but later declined as markets deemed Powell's stance insufficiently hawkish [1] - Spot gold prices rose for four consecutive trading days, reaching a one-month high of over $4,330 per ounce, driven by a weaker dollar and increased risk aversion [1] - Silver prices doubled since January, with the World Silver Association predicting a supply deficit of approximately 117 million ounces in 2025, leading analysts to forecast silver prices could exceed $100 next year [1] - Non-USD currencies strengthened against the dollar, with expectations that several central banks are nearing the end of their easing cycles and may soon raise rates [1] - International oil prices showed a weak trend, influenced by India's oil purchases from Russia, Iraq's production recovery, and concerns over US actions against Venezuelan oil shipments [1] US Stock Market - The US stock market showed overall strength but with significant internal structural divergence, particularly influenced by the performance of bank stocks and cyclical sectors [2] Investment Bank Insights - Predictions from various investment banks suggest that the recent rate cut by the Federal Reserve may be the last under Powell's leadership, with future easing dependent on labor market conditions [5] - Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank forecast a decline in the dollar index by approximately 3% by the end of 2026 due to ongoing rate cuts and policy divergence among central banks [5] Major Events - The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50%-3.75% and initiated a short-term Treasury bond purchase plan, with a significant focus on maintaining adequate reserve supplies [6] - The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates, with a 90% probability of a 25 basis point increase, marking the highest borrowing cost since 1995 [9] - Other central banks, including the European Central Bank and the Reserve Bank of Australia, are also anticipated to raise rates in the coming years, contrasting with the Fed's potential continued easing [11] Geopolitical Developments - The US seized a Venezuelan oil tanker, marking a significant escalation in its sanctions against Venezuela, which the Venezuelan government condemned as "piracy" [14][15] - Ongoing negotiations regarding a peace plan for the Russia-Ukraine conflict have revealed significant disagreements, particularly concerning territorial and security arrangements [12][13] Corporate Developments - SpaceX plans to go public in 2026, with a target valuation of approximately $1.5 trillion, potentially raising around $40 billion [17][18] - Meta Platforms is shifting its strategy from open-source to closed-source AI models, with significant investments planned for AI development [21] - A bidding war has erupted between Netflix and Paramount over Warner Bros. Discovery, with Paramount making a cash offer significantly higher than Netflix's proposal [22][23] - OpenAI launched its latest AI model, GPT-5.2, and plans to end its "red code" alert in January, indicating a surge in enterprise AI applications [24]

证券日报网讯 12月12日，宜安科技在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司与Meta有过业务合作，但 其最新发布的产品公司并未供货。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Core Insights - The article discusses how AI is becoming a crucial driver for advertising revenue in major internet companies, particularly Baidu and Kuaishou, as they seek to counteract declines in traditional advertising revenue [2][3][4][5]. Group 1: AI's Impact on Advertising Revenue - Baidu's AI native marketing service revenue reached 2.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 262%, contributing significantly to its core online marketing revenue [5]. - Kuaishou reported online marketing service revenue of 20.1 billion yuan, a 14% year-on-year growth, with AI-driven initiatives like OneRec contributing approximately 4%-5% to Q3 revenue [5][7]. - Meta also benefits from AI, with a 26% year-on-year increase in advertising revenue, highlighting the trend of AI enhancing advertising efficiency across platforms [8]. Group 2: AI as a Growth Engine - Baidu's core online marketing services account for 53% of total revenue, making AI a vital narrative for growth as traditional search advertising declines [3][4]. - Kuaishou's AI initiatives are seen as a means to generate new revenue streams, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from online marketing services [7]. - The integration of AI in advertising is viewed as a transformative force, allowing for dynamic content generation and improved targeting [10][12]. Group 3: Broader Industry Trends - AI is reshaping the marketing landscape, with companies like Meta and Kuaishou leveraging AI to enhance user engagement and advertising effectiveness [10][15]. - The global advertising market is experiencing a shift towards AI-driven solutions, with projections indicating substantial growth in AI advertising spending [18]. - Despite the promising outlook, challenges remain, including consumer skepticism towards AI-generated content and the need for a balance between investment and return [20][21].

当前，全球科技竞争格局加速演进，以人工智能、空间计算、人机协同为代表的前沿技术正深刻重塑生 产生活方式与国家竞争力版图。党的二十届三中全会明确提出，要"加快发展新质生产力""强化企业科 技创新主体地位"，并将"科技金融"置于金融强国建设的首要任务。在此背景下，下一代智能终端作为 人机交互的物理接口与数字身份的具象载体，不仅关乎产业竞争力，更承载着构建未来科技生态的战略 意义。 增强现实（AR）眼镜，作为通向"空间计算"时代的关键入口，一度被视为继智能手机之后最具潜力的 通用计算平台。然而，过去十余年，消费级AR眼镜始终未能突破商业化瓶颈——2024年全球销量仅约 50万台，远低于早期市场预期。其根本症结，并非技术不可行，而在于传统"一步到位"的发展范式，陷 入了"高研发投入—高成本定价—低用户接受—难规模放量—供应链不成熟—成本难以下降"的负向循 环。这一路径，本质上是以技术决定论主导产品逻辑，忽视了市场接受度、用户行为惯性与资本耐心等 关键变量，难以与当前"投早、投小、投长期、投硬科技"的科技金融新范式相适配。 值得欣喜的是，2024年以来，一种以AI智能眼镜为先导的"渐进式迭代"新范式正在加速验证。以 M ...

2026年被视为AI商业化成败的关键节点，高盛提出十大行业主题：从生成式AI与代理式搜索的崛起，到广告、电商与社 交电商的深度融合；从高位资本开支与云回报考验，到自动驾驶出行加速落地；再到空间计算、互动娱乐、健康科技与企 业在增长和投入间的再平衡，共同构成新一年的产业主线。 硬·AI 作者 | 张雅琦 编辑 | 硬 AI 在经历了多年的基础设施建设后，2026年将成为AI技术验证的关键年份，市场焦点将从单纯的资本支出转 向应用层的实际效用与商业化回报。 高盛全球投资研究团队Eric Sheridan等分析师于10日发布了2026年互联网行业展望报告。报告提出，随 着通用大语言模型（LLM）代理和聊天机器人使用率在2025年的提升，2026年或将成为消费者计算领域 的转折点。 市场关注的焦点将从单纯的付费订阅模式，转向包括广告、电商及代理功能在内的多元化变现途径。高盛 强调，AI技术必须在基础设施、模型平台及应用层持续交付动力并实现资本回报，以避免落入Gartner技 术成熟度曲线中的"幻灭低谷期"（Trough of Disillusionment）。 资本开支方面，尽管市场对"过度建设"存有疑虑，但高盛预计 ...