Workflow
Moderna(MRNA)
icon
Search documents
Moderna(MRNA) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-30 12:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The meeting discussed the election of directors and the approval of executive compensation, indicating a stable governance structure and commitment to management accountability [10][13]. - The appointment of Ernst and Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified, reflecting confidence in financial oversight [14][17]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company highlighted a robust pipeline with several dozen products in clinical development across various therapeutic areas, including respiratory viruses and oncology [20][23]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The management emphasized the importance of driving the use of approved vaccines, which is critical for both patient outcomes and shareholder returns [20]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three key priorities: driving the use of approved vaccines, aiming for the approval of ten products over the next few years, and delivering cost efficiencies across the business [20][21]. - Management expressed confidence in their ability to navigate the regulatory environment by maintaining constructive engagement with regulatory agencies [22]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management plans to provide a full update on quarterly performance and pipeline developments in the upcoming earnings call, indicating transparency and ongoing communication with investors [19][24]. - The company believes that focusing on science and data will demonstrate the potential of its medicines and their positive impact on patients [22]. Other Important Information - The meeting was conducted with a quorum present, allowing for the official business to proceed smoothly [7][10]. - The company will report final voting results and a current report to the SEC within four business days, ensuring compliance and transparency [17]. Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the status of the product pipeline beyond COVID vaccines? - The company has a robust pipeline with several dozen products in clinical development across various therapeutic areas, with updates to be provided in the upcoming earnings call [20][23]. Question: What actions are being taken to improve stock performance? - The company believes that executing on its three key priorities will deliver returns for shareholders [20]. Question: How is the company addressing the regulatory environment in the U.S.? - Management highlighted a strong record of working with administrations and emphasized the importance of focusing on science and data to demonstrate the potential of their medicines [22].
Down 36%, Is Moderna a Buy on the Dip?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-28 10:21
Core Viewpoint - The pandemic's fading impact has led to a significant decline in Moderna's stock, down 36% year to date, contrasting with the S&P 500's 9% drop, raising questions about its future despite ongoing developments in its pipeline [1] Group 1: Pandemic Performance - Moderna gained prominence with the emergency use authorization of its Spikevax vaccine in late 2021, becoming a household name during the pandemic [2] - The company's revenue surged from $803 million in 2020 to over $18.4 billion in 2021, with a net income of $12.2 billion [3] Group 2: Current Challenges - Moderna faces a significant challenge as it lacks other products to offset the decline in Spikevax sales as the pandemic subsides [4] - The lengthy development process for new vaccines means that the company has not yet seen substantial returns from its mRNA technology beyond Spikevax [5] Group 3: Future Prospects - Moderna is exploring a range of mRNA-based vaccines for various diseases, with many in mid- to late-stage clinical trials, indicating potential for future regulatory approvals [5] - The only other FDA-approved vaccine, mRESVIA for RSV, has seen disappointing sales since its rollout in mid-2024 [6] Group 4: Financial Outlook - The company is projected to end 2025 with $6 billion in cash, significantly lower than the $19 billion it held during the peak of the pandemic [8] - Concerns about potential dilutive secondary share issues or burdensome debt arrangements are raised if new products do not gain traction [9]
Market Sell-Off: 2 Stocks Down 17% and 36% This Year to Buy and Hold
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-26 13:30
Group 1: Market Context - During stock-market corrections, investors are encouraged to take advantage of discounted stocks, as bull markets typically follow downturns, leading to potential long-term gains [1] - Companies often trade at steep discounts during corrections due to panic-selling by investors, creating opportunities for savvy investors [1] Group 2: Moderna - Moderna gained prominence by rapidly developing a COVID-19 vaccine but has faced revenue declines and returned to unprofitability as the pandemic recedes [3][8] - The company has made significant clinical advancements, including the approval of a vaccine for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and successful phase 3 studies for a combination COVID/influenza vaccine [5] - Moderna targets high unmet medical needs with a late-stage pipeline that includes a cytomegalovirus (CMV) vaccine and a personalized cancer vaccine, showcasing its innovative capabilities in the mRNA vaccine field [6][7] Group 3: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals - Regeneron Pharmaceuticals is experiencing uncertainty due to biosimilar competition for its key product Eylea, despite strong financial results last year [9][10] - The company’s Dupixent, an eczema treatment, has expanded its label to include chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), potentially adding billions in sales [11] - Regeneron is developing a new formulation of Eylea with a more convenient dosing schedule, which may mitigate losses from biosimilar competition [12] - The company has a promising pipeline in oncology, weight loss, and gene therapy for hearing loss, along with a new dividend and share-buyback program to reward shareholders [12][13]
Moderna (MRNA) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-04-25 22:55
In the latest trading session, Moderna (MRNA) closed at $27.19, marking a -0.75% move from the previous day. This change lagged the S&P 500's 0.74% gain on the day. On the other hand, the Dow registered a gain of 0.05%, and the technology-centric Nasdaq increased by 1.26%.The biotechnology company's stock has dropped by 14.73% in the past month, falling short of the Medical sector's loss of 7.7% and the S&P 500's loss of 4.77%.Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance of Moderna in its upcoming ...
Can Moderna Keep the Beat Streak Alive This Earnings Season?
ZACKS· 2025-04-25 17:00
Core Viewpoint - Moderna is expected to report first-quarter 2025 earnings on May 1, with a consensus estimate of $127 million in sales and a loss of $2.91 per share, reflecting a significant decline in revenue primarily due to lower demand for its COVID-19 vaccine [1][2]. Revenue Expectations - The majority of Moderna's revenue is anticipated to come from COVID-19 vaccine sales, estimated at $112 million, which indicates a substantial decrease from the previous year [1]. - Minimal sales are expected from the RSV vaccine mResvia, projected at $10 million, significantly lower than competitors' products [2]. Regulatory Filings and Approvals - Moderna submitted three regulatory filings to the FDA in Q4 2024, including requests for approval of mRNA-1283 (next-generation COVID-19 vaccine) and mRNA-1083 (COVID-19 plus influenza combination vaccine), with decisions expected by May 31 and June 12, respectively [3]. - mResvia is currently approved for older adults, and a label expansion for high-risk adults is under review [3]. Clinical Development Pipeline - The company is advancing over 40 mRNA-based investigational candidates across various clinical stages, including late-stage studies for mRNA-4157 (cancer therapy), mRNA-1647 (CMV vaccine), mRNA-1010 (influenza vaccine), and mRNA-1403 (norovirus vaccine) [4]. - mRNA-4157 is being evaluated in collaboration with Merck in pivotal phase III studies for melanoma and non-small cell lung cancer [5][6]. Earnings Performance - Moderna has consistently beaten earnings estimates over the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 31.79% [7]. - Year-to-date, Moderna's shares have declined by 34%, contrasting with a 6% decline in the broader industry [7]. Earnings Prediction - Current models do not predict a definitive earnings beat for Moderna, with an Earnings ESP of -8.13% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [10].
Moderna (MRNA) May Report Negative Earnings: Know the Trend Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-04-24 15:08
Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on lower revenues when Moderna (MRNA) reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 1, 2025, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. ...
Where Will Moderna Be in 5 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-20 19:10
Core Viewpoint - Moderna has experienced significant fluctuations in stock performance and earnings since the peak of its COVID-19 vaccine sales, but it has a promising pipeline of products that could lead to future growth [1][4][10] Group 1: Current Performance - Demand for COVID vaccinations has declined, impacting Moderna's revenue, which fell from a peak of over $19 billion in 2022 to $3.2 billion last year [4][2] - Moderna's stock has dropped more than 90% since its peak in 2021 due to disappointing earnings and performance [4][1] Group 2: Future Prospects - The company aims to bring as many as 10 products to market by 2027, including vaccines for cytomegalovirus (CMV), personalized cancer, and norovirus, all currently in phase 3 trials [5][6] - Moderna's clinical trial success rate is higher than the industry average, with an 83% probability of success for phase 3 trials compared to 69% for traditional biopharma [7] - The company predicts a compound annual growth rate of 25%, potentially increasing revenue to $6 billion by 2028 as new products are launched [8] Group 3: Research and Development Strategy - Moderna is adjusting its R&D investments, with respiratory vaccine research accounting for half of its investment from 2024 to 2025, and oncology research expected to rise significantly from 2026 to 2028 [9] - By 2030, Moderna is likely to have multiple products across various treatment areas, indicating a potential new phase of revenue growth [10]
Why Moderna Stock Was Down 31.8% in Q1 as the S&P 500 Had Its Worst Quarter Since 2022
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-08 23:25
Core Insights - The first quarter of 2025 was challenging for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, with losses of 4.6% and 10.4% respectively, impacting shares of Moderna which fell by 31.8% [1] - Moderna's revenue has significantly declined post-pandemic, with 2022 sales of $19.3 billion dropping to just $3.2 billion in 2024, reflecting a more than 50% year-over-year decline [2] - The company has lowered its sales guidance for 2025 to a range of $1 billion, down from previous expectations of $2.5 billion to $3.5 billion, indicating weakened demand for its vaccines [3] Financial Performance - Moderna's sales have plummeted since the pandemic, with a stark contrast between 2022 and 2024 figures [2] - The company is now projecting sales for 2025 to be between $1.5 billion and $2.5 billion, a significant reduction from earlier forecasts [3] Cost-Cutting Measures - In response to declining revenues, Moderna is accelerating cost-cutting plans aimed at reducing expenses by $1 billion in 2025 [4] Regulatory Environment - The resignation of Peter Marks, a key FDA official, has raised concerns among investors, as it may lead to delays in vaccine development programs [5][6] - The political climate surrounding the FDA has been described as a "significant negative" for biotech and biopharma companies, particularly for vaccine manufacturers like Moderna [6]
Better Beaten-Down Stock to Buy: Pfizer Vs. Moderna
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-03 12:30
Core Insights - Pfizer and Moderna were the two leading companies in developing effective coronavirus vaccines, achieving significant financial success during the pandemic [1] - Both companies have experienced a substantial decline in revenue and share prices as the pandemic has receded, raising questions about their future performance [2] Pfizer - Pfizer has made strategic moves, including the approval of new medicines and vaccines, and a significant acquisition of Seagen for $43 billion, enhancing its oncology pipeline [3] - In 2024, Pfizer reported a revenue of $63.6 billion, a 7% increase from the previous year, with adjusted earnings per share of $3.11, reflecting a 69% year-over-year growth [4] - The company continues to generate sales from its COVID-19 products, Comirnaty and Paxlovid, which contributed approximately $11.1 billion in sales in 2024 [4] - Pfizer is expected to navigate upcoming patent cliffs successfully, supported by its ongoing product approvals and a strong dividend yield of 6.8%, with a 53.6% increase in payouts over the past decade [5][6] Moderna - Moderna's total revenue in 2024 fell nearly 53% year-over-year to $3.2 billion, with a net loss per share of $9.28, although this was an improvement from the previous year's loss [7] - The company has received approval for an RSV vaccine and is awaiting further label expansions, indicating potential growth opportunities [8] - Moderna's combination COVID/influenza vaccine showed promising results in a phase 3 study, and the company is pursuing multiple late-stage studies for innovative products, including a personalized cancer vaccine [9][10] - The mRNA platform has demonstrated success, and if Moderna continues to achieve positive clinical results and regulatory approvals, its financial performance may improve [10] Comparative Analysis - Pfizer is characterized as a well-established pharmaceutical giant with consistent revenue from a diverse product portfolio, while Moderna is a smaller biotech company with fewer profitable products [11] - Pfizer outperforms Moderna in key financial metrics such as total sales, profits, and free cash flow, and it also offers dividends, making it attractive for income-seeking investors [12] - While Pfizer is viewed as the better investment option for most investors, Moderna may present higher upside potential for those willing to accept greater risk and volatility [13]
FDA News Just Shook Moderna. Is the Stock One to Avoid or a Bad-News Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-03 08:08
Core Viewpoint - Moderna is attempting to diversify its product offerings beyond its coronavirus vaccine, with a full pipeline of programs in various therapeutic areas, including cancer, despite facing significant stock price declines and regulatory uncertainties [1][5][12]. Financial Performance - Moderna experienced a dramatic increase in earnings during the early pandemic, generating over $19 billion in revenue at its peak in 2022, but reported only $3.2 billion in revenue last year, resulting in a GAAP loss of $3.6 billion [3][4]. Product Pipeline - The company has launched a second product, an RSV vaccine, but sales have not met expectations. Moderna aims to introduce up to 10 new products utilizing its mRNA technology by 2027, which could significantly impact its financial performance [5][12]. Regulatory Environment - The recent resignation of Peter Marks from the FDA has created uncertainty regarding the regulatory landscape for vaccines, which is critical for Moderna as it prepares for multiple vaccine approval requests [6][9]. - Marks' departure is linked to disagreements with the new HHS Secretary, raising concerns about the future of vaccine funding and development under the current administration [8][9]. Market Sentiment - Moderna's stock has fallen 74% over the past year, reflecting investor skepticism amid the changing regulatory environment and recent leadership changes at the FDA [2][4]. - Despite the current challenges, there is optimism about the potential of Moderna's pipeline, suggesting that it may be a suitable long-term investment for aggressive investors [12].