Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Second quarter EBITDA increased to $135 per ton, indicating structural improvements and higher margins due to asset optimization and growth strategy [5][10] - Compared to the 2024 base, future normalized EBITDA is expected to be $2.1 billion, with one-third of this to be captured in the current financial year [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Calvert achieved a new shipment record in the second quarter, 10% higher than the first quarter and 10% above the same period last year [7] - Liberia posted record volume in the second quarter, with guidance for 10 million tonnes of shipments for the year [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The North American segment is expected to see marginally higher tariff costs, but this will be offset by the impacts of Calvert consolidation [18] - In Europe, the market is transitioning to a more favorable structure with the promise of trade defense mechanisms and carbon border adjustments [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Full ownership of Calvert is viewed as a positive development, enhancing the North American franchise [7] - The company is investing in a new world-class non-grain oriented electrical steel facility in Alabama, with a billion-dollar investment expected over the next few years [8] - The company aims to maintain growth momentum through strategic projects and an optimized asset portfolio [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining growth momentum and highlighted the importance of strategic projects in supporting EBITDA [6][10] - The company is optimistic about the European market's potential, contingent on the European Commission's actions regarding trade defense mechanisms [9][10] Other Important Information - The company has bought back 38% of its equity over the past four and a half years, enhancing shareholder value [11] - The company is focused on returning capital to shareholders while continuing to invest in growth [122] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk us through the different moving parts for EBITDA in Q3 2025? - Management discussed operational issues in Mexico impacting production, resulting in $40 million losses in Q2, but expected stable shipments moving forward [14][15][17] Question: How do you plan to mitigate the risk of tariffs on slab imports? - Management highlighted a new slab supply agreement with US Steel and indicated that tariff impacts have been largely captured in Q2 results [20][21] Question: What is the expected contribution margin from Liberia's increased shipments? - Management confirmed guidance for Liberia at 10 million tonnes for the year, with expected profitability increases as new products are introduced [30][31] Question: What is the company's strategy regarding M&A in the US? - Management stated that the US remains a key market, with ongoing plans for growth, but did not comment on specific M&A targets [65] Question: How does the company view the potential for capacity restructuring in China? - Management acknowledged the need for capacity reform in China and expressed cautious optimism based on recent statements from Chinese authorities [100][101] Question: What are the expectations for the European market regarding safeguards? - Management indicated that the industry is advocating for limits on imports to boost domestic utilization rates and investments [54][56]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Second quarter EBITDA increased to $135 per ton, reflecting structural improvements and benefits from asset optimization and growth strategy [5][11] - Future normalized EBITDA is expected to be $2.1 billion, with one-third to be captured in the current financial year [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Calvert facility achieved a new shipment record in Q2, 10% higher than Q1 and the same period last year [7] - Liberia posted record volume in Q2, with expectations to reach 10 million tonnes of shipments for the year [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The North American segment is expected to see marginally higher tariff costs, offset by the impacts of Calvert consolidation [18] - European market is transitioning to a more favorable structure with potential trade defense mechanisms and carbon border adjustments [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Full ownership of Calvert is seen as a positive development, enhancing the North American franchise [7] - Continued investment in strategic projects, including a billion-dollar electrical steel facility in Alabama, is underway [8] - The company aims to capitalize on defense and infrastructure investments, supported by low interest rates [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining growth momentum and highlighted the importance of strategic projects [6][11] - The company is optimistic about the European market's potential improvements due to anticipated trade protections [9][10] Other Important Information - The company has bought back 38% of its equity over the past four and a half years, enhancing shareholder value [12] - The impact of tariffs in Q2 was approximately $140 million, with ongoing efforts to mitigate these costs [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk us through the EBITDA building blocks into Q3 2025? - Management discussed operational issues in Mexico affecting production, leading to $40 million in losses in Q2 [15][16] - Anticipated impacts include seasonally lower volumes in Europe and marginally higher tariff costs in North America [18] Question: How do you plan to mitigate the risk of tariffs on slab imports? - Management highlighted a new slab supply agreement with US Steel and ongoing discussions with customers to share tariff costs [22] Question: What is the expected timing for the second EAF at Calvert? - Management indicated that a decision will be made in the next capital allocation cycle, likely in 2026 [25][28] Question: Can you provide an update on iron ore shipments from Liberia? - The company expects to achieve 10 million tonnes of shipments this year, with a changing mix towards higher-value products [30] Question: What is the impact of tariffs on your financials? - Management confirmed that the impact of tariffs in Q2 was around $140 million, with efforts to mitigate these costs ongoing [36] Question: How confident are you in maintaining your CapEx envelope? - Management reiterated confidence in maintaining a CapEx envelope of €4.5 billion to €5 billion, with significant projects nearing completion [39] Question: What is the outlook for the European market? - Management noted that demand in Europe remains sideways, but inventory levels are low, creating potential for price increases [51] Question: What is the company's strategy regarding Brazilian slab capacity? - Management emphasized that Brazil's growing flat demand positions the company well, with no immediate need for new upstream investments [95]

Financial Performance & Strategic Growth - ArcelorMittal reported $3.4 billion EBITDA in 1H'25, with a margin of $125/tonne, exceeding the long-term average of $89/tonne[6] - Strategic growth projects and recent M&A are expected to increase EBITDA potential by $2.1 billion, with $0.2 billion already captured in 1H'25 and an additional $0.5 billion expected in 2H'25[6, 24] - M&A activities, including the full consolidation of Calvert, Tuper, and AMTBA, are projected to contribute $0.5 billion to incremental EBITDA[28] - Strategic projects are expected to further boost Group EBITDA potential by $2.1 billion[24] Calvert Acquisition & Expansion - ArcelorMittal secured 100% ownership of Calvert, recognizing a $1.7 billion gain on consolidation[6, 20] - Calvert's EBITDA was $614 million in 2024, which will now be fully consolidated within the North America segment[20] - Calvert achieved record steel shipments in 2Q'25, with a +5% increase in 1H'25 shipments compared to 1H'24 (2.398 million tonnes vs 2.276 million tonnes)[17] - A new 1.5Mt EAF was commissioned at Calvert, with the first slabs produced in Jun'25[6, 20] AMNS India Expansion - Phase 1 capacity expansion to 15 million tonnes at AMNS India is on track by the end of 2026[35] - AMNS India commissioned CGL3 in Jul'25, enhancing downstream capabilities and automotive steel leadership[38, 41] Capital Allocation & Balance Sheet - The company generated $2.3 billion in investable cash flow over the past 12 months[55] - Shareholder returns amounted to $1.1 billion, including $0.7 billion in share buybacks and $0.4 billion in dividends[55] - Net debt increased due to acquisitions and growth investments, with liquidity at $11.0 billion at the end of the quarter[55] - Consistent buybacks have enhanced book value by $18/share[56, 64]

Core Viewpoint - The contract signed between China Steel International's subsidiary and ArcelorMittal Tubular Products Al-Jubail marks a significant step in expanding high-end seamless steel pipe production capacity in the Middle East and North Africa region [1] Group 1: Contract Details - China Steel Equipment Co., a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Steel International, has signed a contract with ArcelorMittal Tubular Products Al-Jubail for a seamless steel pipe heat treatment and finishing line project [1] - The project includes the construction of a 200,000 tons per year seamless steel pipe heat treatment line and a 150,000 tons per year seamless steel pipe finishing line [1] Group 2: Market Focus - The project is aimed at producing high-end seamless steel pipe products to serve strategic industrial sectors such as oil and gas, shipbuilding, and offshore engineering in the Middle East and North Africa [1] - ArcelorMittal Tubular Products Al-Jubail is a joint venture between ArcelorMittal Group and the Saudi Public Investment Fund, focusing on seamless steel pipe production and is the largest producer in the Middle East [1]

Group 1 - The world's largest steel company, ArcelorMittal, has lowered its forecast for apparent steel demand globally (excluding China) for 2025 [1]

Core Insights - ArcelorMittal reported strong financial results for 2Q 2025, with EBITDA of $1.9 billion and net income of $1.8 billion, driven by strategic growth investments and operational improvements [2][4][27] - The company completed significant acquisitions, including full control of AM/NS Calvert and Tuper, enhancing its position in North America [3][58] - The company is focused on safety, achieving a lost time injury frequency (LTIF) rate of 0.68x, and is undergoing a three-year transformation program to improve safety culture [2][12][13] Financial Performance - Sales for 2Q 2025 increased by 7.6% to $15.9 billion compared to 1Q 2025, primarily due to a 6.8% rise in average steel selling prices [25] - Operating income for 2Q 2025 was $1.9 billion, significantly higher than $825 million in 1Q 2025, aided by exceptional items [25][27] - Adjusted net income for 2Q 2025 was $1.0 billion, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.32 [5][27] Operational Highlights - Record quarterly iron ore production and shipments from Liberia, on track to achieve a full expanded capacity of 20 million tonnes by the end of 2025 [2][9] - The company’s North America segment saw a significant increase in operating income due to the acquisition of AM/NS Calvert, contributing to a total EBITDA of $614 million in 2024 [33][45] - The company’s mining operations reported a 16.6% increase in sales to $857 million in 2Q 2025, driven by higher iron ore shipments [52][53] Strategic Developments - The company is investing in organic growth projects, with a targeted EBITDA increase of $2.1 billion from recent M&A and strategic initiatives [3][19] - The Steel and Metals Action Plan in Europe aims to restore competitiveness in the steel industry, with anticipated updates in 2H 2025 [10][19] - The company plans to maintain a minimum of 50% return of post-dividend annual free cash flow to shareholders, alongside ongoing share buybacks [3][11] Market Outlook - Steel demand in Brazil is expected to grow by up to 2.0% in 2025, while India remains the fastest-growing major steel market with a projected increase of 6.0% to 7.0% [60] - The company anticipates challenges from ongoing tariff impacts and subdued economic activity, particularly in the U.S. market [57][58] - Free cash flow is expected to remain positive in 2025, supported by a release of working capital in the second half of the year [62][63]

Wall Street analysts forecast that ArcelorMittal (MT) will report quarterly earnings of $1.31 per share in its upcoming release, pointing to a year-over-year increase of 107.9%. It is anticipated that revenues will amount to $15.74 billion, exhibiting a decrease of 3.1% compared to the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 5.4% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This reflects how the analysts covering the stock have collectively reevaluated their initia ...

Core Viewpoint - ArcelorMittal has published its second quarter 2025 sell-side analyst consensus figures, which reflect the aggregated expectations of approximately 15 brokers covering the company [1][2]. Financial Estimates - The consensus estimates for Q2 2025 are as follows: - EBITDA is projected at $1,850 million - Adjusted net income is expected to be $811 million - Adjusted earnings per share are estimated at $1.06 [3]. Analyst Participation - A total of 11 sell-side analysts contributed to the consensus estimates, indicating active participation from various financial institutions [4][6]. Company Overview - ArcelorMittal is a leading integrated steel and mining company with operations in 60 countries and primary steelmaking in 15 countries. It is the largest steel producer in Europe and has significant operations in the Americas and Asia [8]. - In 2024, ArcelorMittal generated revenues of $62.4 billion, produced 57.9 million metric tonnes of crude steel, and 42.4 million tonnes of iron ore [8]. - The company aims to produce innovative steels that are energy-efficient, low in carbon emissions, and cost-effective, supporting the transition to renewable energy infrastructure [8].

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher" rather than traditional strategies of "buying low and selling high" [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Strategy - Momentum investors often face challenges in determining the right entry point for fast-moving stocks, which can lead to investments with limited upside or potential downside [2] - A safer approach may involve investing in bargain stocks that have recently shown price momentum, utilizing tools like the Zacks Momentum Style Score to identify promising candidates [3] Group 2: ArcelorMittal (MT) Analysis - ArcelorMittal has shown a price increase of 9.3% over the past four weeks, indicating growing investor interest [4] - The stock has gained 27.6% over the past 12 weeks, with a beta of 1.63, suggesting it moves 63% more than the market [5] - MT has a Momentum Score of B, indicating a favorable time to invest based on momentum [6] Group 3: Earnings Estimates and Valuation - An upward trend in earnings estimate revisions has contributed to MT earning a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), which is associated with strong momentum effects [7] - MT is currently trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.46, suggesting it is undervalued as investors pay only 46 cents for each dollar of sales [7] Group 4: Additional Investment Opportunities - Besides MT, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, presenting further investment opportunities [8] - Various Zacks Premium Screens are available to assist in identifying winning stock picks based on different investing styles [9]

Core Viewpoint - ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT) shares have increased approximately 39.1% over the past three months, indicating strong momentum and positive prospects for investors to consider adding the stock to their portfolios [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - MT has outperformed its industry over the past year, with shares rising 41.9% compared to a 23.6% decline in the industry [2][8] - The company’s stock has shown a significant rally of 39.1% in the last three months, reflecting strong investor confidence [1] Group 2: Earnings Growth - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ArcelorMittal's earnings for 2025 is projected at $4.23 per share, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 43.4% [3][8] - MT reported earnings of $1.16 per share for the first quarter of 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 71 cents [4] Group 3: Strategic Expansion - ArcelorMittal is enhancing its steel production capacity with a focus on higher-value offerings, particularly in the automotive steel sector by introducing advanced high-strength steels (AHSS) [5] - The company plans to build a fully owned non-grain-oriented electrical steel (NOES) plant in Alabama to meet the growing demand for premium electrical steel and to provide a reliable domestic supply [9] Group 4: Shareholder Value - ArcelorMittal is committed to enhancing shareholder value through share repurchase initiatives and has increased its base dividend by 10% to 55 cents per share [10] - The company plans to distribute at least 50% of its post-dividend free cash flow to shareholders via ongoing share buybacks, reinforcing its commitment to returning value [11]