Core Insights - ON Semiconductor is currently in the 17th phase of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, indicating a potential lack of a major high in the near future [1] - The monthly chart shows ON in Phase 7, with a significant decline pausing just above the Nirvana level, suggesting a key support zone [10] Weekly Chart Analysis - The Guna Triads in phases 14, 15, and 16 are critical for determining the potential for achieving Nirvana, but ON shows no clear signs of a bullish move [4][5] - The absence of a bullish structure indicates that Phase 18, starting August 25, 2025, is unlikely to deliver a euphoric top [5] Monthly Chart Analysis - ON is in Phase 7, marked by a decline characterized by three strong red bars followed by sideways movement and additional red bars [8][9] - The decline halted at $31.04, just above the Nirvana level of $27.23, indicating a gravitational support level during downturns [9] Conclusion and Recommendations - The weekly chart suggests ON is unlikely to reach a new major high, while the monthly chart indicates a more optimistic outlook due to the stock's alignment with key support levels [10] - Existing investors can hold, as the long-term structure remains intact, while new entrants may consider waiting until the completion of Phase 18 to avoid stagnation [11]

Core Viewpoint - The automotive imaging market is projected to grow from $5.9 billion in 2024 to $8.9 billion by 2030, driven by an increase in camera quantity and system complexity, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.6% [1] Market Size and Growth - The automotive imaging market is expected to reach $5.9 billion in 2024 and grow to $8.9 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 6.6% [1] - By 2030, the shipment volume is anticipated to increase to 400 million units, primarily driven by surround view, satellite ADAS, and in-cabin applications [1] Key Market Segments - The most valuable segment remains the front ADAS cameras, but side and satellite cameras are growing faster due to the shift towards centralized computing [1] - The Driver Monitoring System (DMS) is the fastest-growing segment in in-cabin applications, driven by EU regulations, while the Occupant Monitoring System (OMS) is gaining traction due to emerging safety use cases [1] Competitive Landscape - Omnivision and Onsemi continue to dominate the automotive CIS market, with Omnivision excelling in cost-sensitive surround and ADAS camera applications [4] - Sony is expanding its market share, particularly in high-resolution camera segments [4] - Valeo leads the smart and viewing camera market, followed by Bosch, ZF, and Magna [5] Supply Chain Dynamics - China is building a fully integrated supply chain from sensors to modules, supporting OEMs like BYD [5] - After the chip crisis, OEMs and tier-one suppliers are adopting multi-sourcing for CIS to enhance supply chain resilience [5] Technology Trends - The trend is shifting towards higher resolution and reliability in automotive image sensors, with ADAS moving towards 8-megapixel resolution [7] - The market is transitioning to centralized fusion architectures, with companies like Sony integrating serializers directly into image sensors [7] Camera Architecture - The trend of distributed camera architecture is reshaping the ADAS market, moving away from single front cameras to multiple side, rear, and panoramic cameras [10] - 360° surround cameras are major contributors to sales, especially with parking assistance and L2+ autonomous driving becoming standard [10]

Group 1 - The company "Chip Superman" has a 1,600 square meter intelligent warehouse for chips, with over 1,000 stock models and around 100 brands, totaling 50 million chips with a stock value exceeding 100 million [1] - The company operates an independent laboratory in Shenzhen, ensuring quality control (QC) for each material [1] - The company has served a total of 19,200 users and can complete transactions in as fast as half a day [4] Group 2 - The company is actively seeking to purchase specific chip models, including TI's INA139NA/3K (50K units) and ON's NCP1096PAG (9K units) among others [2] - The company is also offering discounted sales on surplus materials, including TI's UCC28083DR (15K units) and NXP's PESD5V0S1BSF,315 (540K units) [3] - The company provides a platform for users to find unsold inventory and better pricing options through its mini-program and website [5][6]

Core Insights - The company "Chip Superman" operates a 1,600 square meter smart warehouse for chips, with over 1,000 stock models and around 100 brands, holding a total of 50 million chips valued at over 100 million [1] Group 1 - The company has an independent laboratory in Shenzhen where each material undergoes QC inspection [1] - The company has served a total of 19,200 users [4] - The company offers discounted inventory clearance, with transactions completed in as fast as half a day [5] Group 2 - The company is actively seeking to purchase specific chip models, including TI, ST, ON, IR, INF, and TOSHIBA, with quantities ranging from 800 to 12,000 units [2] - The company is also selling advantageous materials at special prices, with quantities for sale including 20,000 units of ADI's MAX96701AGTG/V+T and 540,000 units of NXP's PESD5V0S1BSF,315 [3] - The company provides a platform for users to check for unsold items and better pricing options through its mini-program and web portal [6][7]

Group 1 - The company "Chip Superman" has a 1,600 square meter intelligent warehouse for chips, with over 1,000 stock models and around 100 brands, totaling 50 million chips in stock valued at over 100 million [1] - The company has an independent laboratory in Shenzhen where each material undergoes QC inspection [1] - The company has served a total of 19,200 users and can complete transactions in as fast as half a day [4] Group 2 - The company is currently seeking to purchase specific chip models, including ON's NCP1096PAG (9K), ST's STM32H750VBT6 (10K), and NEXPERIA's PESD3V3W1BCSFYL (110K) [2] - The company is offering discounted sales on advantageous materials, including Microchip's SY88349NDLMGTR (11K) and ROHM's BU27030NUC-E2 (24K) [3] - The company provides a platform for users to find unsold inventory and better pricing options through their mini-program [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the semiconductor industry, highlighting reassuring pricing trends and improving inventory levels [2][3]. Core Insights - The semiconductor market is experiencing a continued digestion of MCU inventory, with a 5% month-over-month decline and a 24% decrease compared to the previous month [3][4]. - Pricing across all product categories has remained stable, with an average increase of 1% month-over-month and 13% year-over-year [3][8]. - The report emphasizes the positive trends in pricing and inventory, particularly for companies like TI, Renesas, and Infineon, while also noting improvements for STM and other industrial MCU names [2][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Inventory Trends - MCU inventory has decreased by 5% month-over-month, following a 4% decline the previous month, indicating a healthy destocking process [3][4]. - Other categories such as Sensors and Diodes also saw inventory reductions of 5% and 4% respectively, while overall inventory trends are generally stable [3][4]. Pricing Trends - Pricing for MCUs remained flat month-over-month and year-over-year, while transistors saw a 2% increase month-over-month and a 17% increase year-over-year [4][14]. - Capacitors, Diodes, and Sensors experienced price increases of 2-3%, contributing to an overall stable pricing environment [4][14]. Company Observations - Infineon and STM showed varied pricing trends, with Infineon down 4% and STM up 4% in June compared to May, reflecting a mix-driven pricing environment [5][8]. - The report indicates that inventory levels are stable, with significant destocking in MCUs, previously driven by MCHP and now also by STM [5][11].

Group 1 - The analyst expresses a beneficial long position in ON shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2] - The article aims to provide unique insights and contrasting views on the analyst's portfolio, reflecting a diverse investment strategy [1] - The analysis is intended for informational purposes, emphasizing the importance of personal research before making investment decisions [3] Group 2 - The article does not provide specific company or industry performance metrics or forecasts, focusing instead on the analyst's perspective [4]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor stocks focused on the automotive industry are experiencing a recovery, with several companies seeing significant increases in share prices from their lows in 2025, indicating potential for further growth [1][2]. Group 1: ON Semiconductor - ON Semiconductor's stock has increased from a low of approximately $32 in early April 2025 to nearly $54 as of June 16, representing a recovery of nearly 69% [2][3]. - The stock is still about 32% below its 52-week high of almost $79 reached in July 2024 and around 50% below its all-time high of $108 from August 2023 [3]. - The company expects automotive chip demand to reach a bottom in Q2 2025, with signs of recovery in the industrial market, which is the second-largest for the company [4][5]. Group 2: Indie Semiconductor - Indie Semiconductor's stock has risen approximately 113% from its low of $1.60 in early April 2025, trading at $3.41 as of June 16 [6][7]. - Despite being down 54% from its 52-week high of $7.42 in July 2024, analysts see a potential upside of 76% based on price target updates [7][9]. - The company faces challenges due to potential tariff increases affecting vehicle prices, which could lower vehicle demand [8]. Group 3: STMicroelectronics - STMicroelectronics' stock has rebounded around 67% from its 2025 closing low in April, trading at nearly $30 as of June 16 [10][11]. - The stock is still down about 28% from its 52-week high and 45% from its all-time high [10]. - The company reported a book-to-bill ratio above parity, indicating growing demand, and believes Q1 will be the bottom of its revenue [12]. Group 4: Overall Market Sentiment - There is evidence of a recovery in the auto chip market, with stocks benefiting from this trend, yet they remain below their historical highs, suggesting further growth potential [13].

Core Viewpoint - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) increased by over 3% on June 16, indicating a positive trend in the semiconductor sector [1]. Market Performance - The SOX index reached a value of 5265.73, reflecting an increase of 153.49 points or 3.00% during trading on June 16 [1]. - The index opened at 5178.41 and recorded a high of 5265.83 and a low of 5178.35, with a trading volume of 127 million shares [1]. - The previous closing price was 5112.24, showing a significant upward movement [1]. Key Stocks Performance - Notable performers within the index included: - AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) with a price of 125.585, up by 8.11% [1]. - Coherent (COHR) at 81.895, increasing by 5.85% [1]. - Monolithic Power (MPWR) at 708.950, rising by 5.34% [1]. - Marvell Technology (MRVL) at 70.750, up by 5.30% [1]. - ON Semiconductor (ON) at 53.625, increasing by 5.11% [1]. - Arm Holdings (ARM) at 142.450, up by 5.09% [1]. - Entegris (ENTG) at 78.800, rising by 4.59% [1]. - Lam Research (LRCX) at 93.230, increasing by 4.14% [1]. - Teradyne (TER) at 86.445, up by 4.05% [1].

A month has gone by since the last earnings report for ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON) . Shares have added about 23% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is ON Semiconductor Corp. due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.How Have Estimates Been Moving Si ...