【导读】科技股大涨，俄罗斯降息50个基点 中国基金报记者 泰勒 兄弟姐妹们啊，周五泰勒在香港拍了一天的视频，今晚回到深圳继续写稿，现在先关注一下晚间海外市场的表现。 科技股继续反弹 12月19日晚间，美股三大指数大涨，道指涨超200点，纳指涨近1%。 大型科技股带头反弹，投资者一边防着创纪录规模的期权到期可能引发的剧烈波动，一边重新押注风险资产。 超大盘股中，英伟达领涨，甲骨文大涨7%。过去几天，人工智能概念股的波动明显加剧。市场在重新评估美联储后续降息空 间的同时，股指也出现了较大幅度的来回拉扯。 | 了 筛选 | | 最新价 = | 涨跌幅 = □' | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Sandisk Corporation | | 234.86 | +7.02% | | us SNDK | | | | | 甲骨文 | | 192.49 | +6.92% | | us ORCL | | | | | 美光科技 | | 262.98 | +5.81% | | us MU | | | | | 美国超威公司 | | 210.22 | +4.55% | | US AMD | | | | | ...

I am an experienced Risk Management Business Analyst at a Systemic Greek Bank, with a strong background in finance and risk analysis. I hold an MSc in Applied Risk Management from the University of Athens and have completed the ACA Certificate Level. My expertise lies in financial analysis, risk management, data analysis using SQL, Python, and machine learning tools. I have worked in diverse roles, from assurance to financial analysis and trade operations, across leading firms like EY, PwC, Alpha Bank, and ...

Economic Outlook - New York Fed President John Williams expressed optimism about the economy, stating that some data is "pretty encouraging" and there is no sign of a sharp deterioration in jobs data [1] - He projected US GDP growth for this year to be between 1.5% and 1.75%, with expectations of growth picking up next year [1] Consumer Sentiment and Housing Market - The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for December was unexpectedly revised downward by -0.4 to 52.9, falling short of expectations [2] - Existing home sales in the US for November rose by +0.5% month-over-month to a 9-month high of 4.13 million, although this was below the expected 4.15 million [2][4] Stock Market Performance - Stock indexes showed positive movement, with the S&P 500 up by +0.67%, the Dow Jones up by +0.56%, and the Nasdaq 100 up by +0.94% [6] - A rally in cloud infrastructure stocks, particularly Oracle which rose by more than 7%, contributed to improved market sentiment [5][13] Bond Market Dynamics - Higher bond yields are limiting stock gains, with the 10-year T-note yield increasing by +2 basis points to 4.14% [3] - The yield curve has steepened since the last FOMC meeting, impacting T-note prices negatively due to increased demand for short-term government debt [10] International Markets - Overseas stock markets also experienced gains, with the Euro Stoxx 50 up by +0.40%, China's Shanghai Composite up by +0.36%, and Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 up by +1.03% [8] Company-Specific Movements - Carnival Corp reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 34 cents, exceeding consensus expectations of 24 cents, leading to a stock increase of more than +9% [16] - Whitefiber Inc saw a stock increase of more than +7% following a significant co-location agreement, representing around $865 million in contracted revenue [17] - Nike's stock fell by more than -8% after forecasting a decline in Q3 revenue and gross margins due to ongoing weakness in China [19] - Lamb Weston Holdings forecasted full-year net sales below consensus, leading to a stock decline of more than -23% [18]

甲骨文（ORCL）及其合作伙伴Silver Lake和MGX将持有新成立的TikTok美国合资企业主要股份，美国 用户数据将由甲骨文托管，董事会以美国人占多数，而字节跳动保留少数股权；受此消息推动，甲骨文 股价大涨。 责任编辑：张俊 SF065 甲骨文（ORCL）及其合作伙伴Silver Lake和MGX将持有新成立的TikTok美国合资企业主要股份，美国 用户数据将由甲骨文托管，董事会以美国人占多数，而字节跳动保留少数股权；受此消息推动，甲骨文 股价大涨。 责任编辑：张俊 SF065 ...

Larry Ellison Retakes No.3 Richest Spot From Jeff Bezos As Oracle Shares Rise On TikTok Dealhttps://t.co/qxF8cfLSUp https://t.co/GkNm4VWHgP ...

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Group 1 - Michigan regulators approved DTE Energy's request to power a large data center development by Oracle and OpenAI, despite public opposition [1][2] - DTE's plan involves a multi-billion dollar, 1.4-gigawatt facility in Saline Township, with contracts designed to protect the power grid and ensure financial stability for DTE's other customers [2][4] - The rapid expansion of data centers in the US is causing significant changes in the energy industry, leading to increased scrutiny and controversy over their energy consumption [3][5] Group 2 - The agreement between DTE and Oracle includes minimum monthly charges and a termination fee, with Oracle contributing to a $14 billion debt deal for the project [4] - Analysts noted that the regulatory process surrounding data centers is contentious, and there is a risk of public opposition affecting future projects [5] - OpenAI's Stargate campus in Saline Township is part of a larger plan for 8 gigawatts of capacity in the US, with over $450 billion in investments planned over the next three years [5]

Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced a rebound on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising about 0.6%, the S&P 500 gaining roughly 0.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite climbing more than 1% [18][19] - Despite Friday's gains, major indexes remained slightly lower for the week, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq struggling in December amid a rotation out of large technology stocks [5][19] Economic Indicators - Inflation data indicated that consumer prices are cooling faster than expected in November, reviving hopes for multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026 [18][19] - Signs of a softening job market reinforced expectations for easier monetary policy [18] Sector Performance - Tech stocks led the market advance, with Nvidia shares climbing over 3% following reports of U.S. government reviews for H200 chip exports to China, which boosted confidence in the AI sector [7][19] - Oracle's shares surged nearly 8% after ByteDance signed deals for a U.S.-based TikTok joint venture, alleviating recent uncertainties [7][19] - Other chip stocks also saw gains, with AMD up nearly 5%, Intel rising about 3%, Broadcom adding roughly 2.5%, and Micron jumping another 7% after a previous 10% surge [8][19] Treasury Yields - The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose to approximately 4.15% as investors reacted to the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, the highest since 1995 [9][19] - Despite the increase in yields, stocks continued to advance, indicating that investors are focused on the broader outlook for U.S. rate cuts rather than immediate global tightening [9][19] Investor Sentiment - Analysts noted that recent market volatility reflects uncertainty around interest rates and earnings growth, leading investors to favor value and defensive sectors over high-growth names [6][19] - Seasonal hopes for a "Santa Claus rally" have diminished, but improving inflation trends and renewed strength in AI-linked stocks could provide support later in the month [11][19]

Core Insights - The year 2025 is marked by a broadening artificial intelligence rally, alongside increasing concerns about potential stock market bubbles and the disruptive nature of AI technology [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - Tech giants like Alphabet Inc. and Nvidia Corp. reported strong gains, while sectors such as memory chips and hard disk drives outperformed expectations for investors [2] - The ongoing bull market in US stocks has raised concerns regarding the sustainability of heavy investments in AI computing and whether these investments will yield adequate returns [3] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Predictions - There is a mix of optimism and skepticism surrounding AI, with experts suggesting that 2026 will focus on the return on investment (ROI) for companies heavily investing in AI [4] - Neocloud companies, which provide AI-focused cloud-computing services, are increasingly viewed as indicators of potential AI bubble risks as they head into 2026 [5] Group 3: Company-Specific Concerns - OpenAI's lack of profitability has led to scrutiny over its ability to meet significant spending commitments, including a $300 billion cloud-computing deal with Oracle Corp. over five years [6] - Oracle's stock has declined over 45% since its peak in September, primarily due to concerns regarding its exposure to OpenAI, although it saw a 6% increase in early trading following news of a TikTok acquisition [6] - The uncertainty surrounding OpenAI's commitments is causing fear among investors, making it challenging for companies like Oracle to regain their previous market strength [7]