I am a full-time analyst interested in a wide range of stocks. With my unique insights and knowledge, I hope to provide other investors with a contrasting view of my portfolio, given my particular background.If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me via a direct message on Seeking Alpha or leave a comment on one of my articles.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the ...

Core Insights - PayPal Holdings (PYPL) experienced a surprising over 10% drop in stock price following its Q2 2025 earnings report, despite beating earnings expectations and raising full-year guidance, indicating a disconnect between improving fundamentals and high market expectations [1][4]. Financial Performance - PayPal reported Q2 revenues of $8.3 billion, a 5.1% year-over-year increase, surpassing consensus estimates by 2.3% [3] - Total Payment Volume (TPV) increased by 6% to $443.5 billion, while non-GAAP EPS rose 17.6% year-over-year to $1.40, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.30 [3] - Non-GAAP operating income grew by 13%, and operating margins expanded by 132 basis points to 19.8% [3] - The company raised its full-year non-GAAP EPS guidance to $5.15-$5.30, up from $4.95-$5.10, and reaffirmed free cash flow guidance at $6-$7 billion [4] Market Reaction - The stock's decline was attributed to concerns over the sustainability of earnings drivers, particularly a one-time boost from a key payment partner's renewal [5] - Management noted a slowdown in branded checkout TPV growth, which increased only 5% year-over-year, raising doubts about future performance [6] Business Segments - Venmo showed strong growth, with revenues increasing over 20% and TPV rising 12%, marking the highest growth rate in three years [7] - Debit card TPV across PayPal and Venmo surged by 60%, and "Pay with Venmo" TPV increased by 45% [7][8] - Branded checkout remains a critical growth driver, with over 60% of U.S. branded volume now on PayPal's upgraded experience [8] Strategic Initiatives - PayPal is investing in future-proofing its business through the "PayPal World" initiative, which aims to unify various payment platforms under a cloud-native framework [10] - The company is exploring AI-powered commerce experiences and integrating its stablecoin PYUSD across platforms, positioning itself as a broader commerce platform [11] Valuation and Outlook - PayPal shares are currently trading at a forward P/E of 12.82X, significantly lower than the industry average of 21.83X and competitors like Visa and Mastercard [14] - Positive estimate revisions for 2025 and 2026 suggest an expected earnings growth of 11.4% and 11.0%, respectively [16] - The stock's recent decline presents a potential buying opportunity, as the fundamentals indicate a multi-year recovery trajectory [18]

Uh Malcolm, I'm going to come over to you. A stock that's actually down year to date, PayPal, and you're selling right now. >> Yeah, they had a decent earnings.Stocks off what 20% or something year to date at this point. I initially bought it just on the expectation that Alex Chris after I think he was in the job for about a year already when I bought the stock and I figured he'd figure out a way to squeeze some juice out of the Vinmo product. It's very rare that a company manages to jump from proper noun t ...

智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利最新研报显示，PayPal Holdings Inc.(PYPL.US)第二季度公司实现净收入 82.88亿美元，调整后息税前利润(EBIT)达16.44亿美元，非GAAP每股收益1.40美元。 尽管在支付领域展现多元增长动能，但核心业务优化进度不及预期，最终维持"Equal-weight"(持有)评 级，目标价从74美元小幅上调至75美元，对应2026年调整后每股收益(EPS)13倍市盈率。这一判断基于 公司在线支付生态的扩张成果与结构性挑战的并存现状。 业务增长呈现差异化表现 Venmo与PayPal主平台的整合成效显著，第二季度Pay With Venmo交易总额(TPV)同比激增45%，推动 Venmo整体收入增长20%。Branded Experiences业务保持8%稳健增长，涵盖先买后付(BNPL)、线下借记 卡及非接触式NFC支付等创新场景，其中NFC用户规模已达300万，下半年将拓展至英国市场。 值得关注的是，尽管研报未明确微信支付整合的具体财务贡献，但强调PayPal与现代结账系统的协同效 应正在深化。 财务数据印证运营效率提升 第二季度公司实现净收入82.8 ...

Since I last covered PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL ), the stock has hovered around the $72 mark. Despite reaching $78 the day before Q2 earnings, the stock saw almost a 9% slide on Tuesday. PayPal reported aI’m a retired Wall Street PM specializing in TMT; since kickstarting my career, I’ve spent over two decades in the market navigating the technology landscape, focusing on risk mitigation through the dot com bubble, credit default of ‘08, and, more recently, with the AI boom. In one word, what I’d l ...

PayPal Holdings PYPL reported better-than-expected second-quarter 2025 results on Tuesday. The company reported a quarterly revenue growth of 5% year-over-year to $8.29 billion, topping the analyst consensus estimate of $8.08 billion. The adjusted EPS was $1.40, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $1.29. Read This Next: Photo via Shutterstock PayPal expects a third-quarter adjusted EPS of $1.18-$1.22, compared to $1.20 for the previous year's period, and the analyst consensus estimate is $1.20. PayPal ...

Core Viewpoint - PayPal Holdings experienced a significant stock price decline despite exceeding earnings expectations and raising full-year profit guidance, primarily due to concerns over slowing growth in branded checkout Total Payment Volume and a noted softening in U.S. retail spending [1][7]. Financial Performance - PayPal reported an adjusted EPS of $1.40, exceeding analyst estimates by $0.09 and the midpoint of its guidance range by $0.10 [4]. - Total Payment Volume (TPV) reached $443.5 billion, approximately 3% higher than projections, while transaction margin dollars exceeded forecasts by 2% (or $78 million) [5]. - Active accounts totaled 438 million, with a slight sequential improvement in monthly active users of 52% [5]. - Management raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $5.15–$5.30, indicating a 12.5% growth at the midpoint, up from prior guidance of $4.95–$5.10 [5]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Patrick Moley of Piper Sandler maintained a Neutral rating with a price forecast of $74 [2]. - Andrew Boone of Citizens JMP Securities reiterated a Market Outperform rating but adjusted his price forecast down from $110 to $100 [3]. Growth Concerns - The slowdown in branded checkout TPV growth to 5% from 6% in the previous quarter and the CFO's comments on softening U.S. retail spending contributed to the stock's nearly 9% drop post-earnings [7]. - Analysts noted that while TPV growth was strong, transaction margin dollars showed signs of deceleration, which may impact future performance [10]. Strategic Outlook - Moley expressed cautious optimism regarding PayPal's strategic shift to become an omnichannel commerce hub, though he warned that this transformation may require continued investment that could pressure margins [8]. - Boone highlighted ongoing product innovation and improvements in consumer and merchant experiences as key to future growth, projecting gradual reacceleration in growth [14]. Venmo Performance - Venmo's TPV grew 45% year-over-year, with monthly active accounts for Venmo debit cards rising 40%, indicating its critical role in PayPal's long-term growth strategy [9].

PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL )'s shares crashed 9% on Tuesday after the Fintech submitted its earnings scorecard for its second quarter that showed some weakness for the platform's branded business, but otherwise was really solid. For the fourth quarter in a row Analyst's Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of PYPL, SOFI, XYZ either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it ( ...

Core Insights - PayPal is strategically innovating in the crypto space and expanding its global payment solutions, positioning itself for long-term growth in the $3 trillion crypto market [2][3][4][6] Group 1: Strategic Innovations - The launch of "Pay with Crypto" allows merchants to accept over 100 cryptocurrencies, converting them to stablecoins or fiat instantly, reducing international transaction fees by up to 90% [2] - PayPal World connects major digital wallets, facilitating seamless international transactions and enhancing the shopping experience for consumers while simplifying operations for merchants [3] - The expansion of PayPal's stablecoin, PYUSD, to Arbitrum enhances its utility in the DeFi space and supports developers with efficient tools for dApps and smart contracts [4] - Integration with Wix Payments provides US merchants with a streamlined experience for managing PayPal transactions [5] Group 2: Financial Performance and Outlook - PayPal raised its full-year 2025 earnings guidance, expecting GAAP EPS between $4.90 and $5.05 and non-GAAP EPS between $5.15 and $5.30, indicating strong profitability and business acceleration [6] - The stock is trading near long-term support levels, forming bullish patterns that suggest potential recovery, with a breakout above $120 likely to trigger significant upward movement [10][11] Group 3: Market Position and Competitive Landscape - PayPal's broader ecosystem strategy, combined with innovations in digital currencies and payment solutions, is driving renewed optimism around its growth outlook [6] - Despite strong Q2 2025 results, there are concerns about moderate growth in total payment volume (TPV) at 6%, indicating potential saturation in core markets [7] - Competitive pressures from other digital wallets like Apple Pay and Block may impact PayPal's market share and transaction volumes [8]

Core Insights - PayPal Holdings reported second-quarter 2025 non-GAAP earnings of $1.40 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.7% and reflecting a 17.6% year-over-year increase, driven by better-than-expected revenue growth [1] - Despite the positive earnings report, PayPal's stock fell over 8% due to a decline in transaction margin dollars and a 5% decrease in payment transactions during the quarter [1] Revenue Performance - Total payment volume (TPV) reached $443.5 billion, marking a 6% year-over-year increase on a reported basis and 5% on a forex-neutral basis [3] - Net revenues amounted to $8.3 billion, up 5.1% year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate by 2.3% [2] - Transaction revenues were $7.4 billion, accounting for 89.8% of net revenues, with a 4% year-over-year increase [4] - Value Added Services revenues rose to $847 million, representing 10.2% of net revenues and a 15.7% year-over-year growth [4] Active Accounts and Transactions - Total active accounts increased by 2% year-over-year to 438 million [5] - Payment transactions per active account decreased by 4% year-over-year to 58.3 million [5] Guidance and Future Expectations - For 2025, PayPal raised its non-GAAP earnings guidance to a range of $5.15 to $5.30 per share, indicating an 11-14% growth year-over-year [6] - The company expects transaction margin dollars to be between $15.35 billion and $15.5 billion, suggesting a growth of 5-6% [6] - Free cash flow is projected to be between $6 billion and $7 billion, with share repurchase expected to be around $6 billion [7] ETF Exposure - PayPal stock has a 6.1% exposure to Amplify Digital Payments ETF (IPAY), a 5.7% weight in Global X FinTech ETF (FINX), and a 4.2% exposure to Madison Covered Call ETF (CVRD), indicating potential investor interest in these ETFs amid PayPal's stock decline [8]