本文来自微信公众号：经济观察报观察家 （ID：eeoobserver），作者：陈永伟，原文标题：《稳定 币：锚定未来？——稳定币的机遇、风险与应对》，题图来自：AI生成 2025年6月17日，美国参议院以68票对30票的结果通过了《美国稳定币引导与创新法案》（Guiding and Establishing National Innovation in U.S.Stablecoins，以下简称《GENIUS法案》），由此，美国联邦层面 的首个稳定币监管框架正式确立。 几乎就在美国通过《GENIUS法案》的同时，其他国家和地区也在积极推进稳定币相关立法。例如，韩 国新任总统李在明上任不久，便宣布将允许本土企业发行稳定币；英国则于近期发布了关于稳定币发 行、加密资产托管及加密资产公司财务稳健性的监管提案。而更早之前，我国香港已通过《稳定币条例 草案》，建立了涵盖稳定币全生命周期的监管框架。一时间，承认稳定币合法地位、并将其纳入主流监 管体系，似乎已成全球共识。 随着各国态度日渐明朗，企业家们开始意识到稳定币所蕴含的巨大商业价值，纷纷着手布局稳定币业 务。比如，万事达卡（Mastercard）近日宣布将与金融科技公 ...

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation on August 1 is expected to transform the financial system, enhancing cross-border remittance efficiency and reducing reliance on traditional banking systems like SWIFT [1][3]. Group 1: Stablecoin Overview - Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency whose value is pegged to fiat currencies or commodities, making them less volatile compared to other cryptocurrencies [3]. - The global legislative interest in stablecoins is rising, with various countries, including the US and UK, advancing their own regulations [3]. Group 2: Advantages of Stablecoins - Stablecoins can mitigate geopolitical risks by providing a stable value without the need for traditional banking transactions, potentially serving as an alternative to SWIFT for cross-border transactions [3][5]. - Transactions using stablecoins are faster and cheaper compared to traditional banking systems, with blockchain technology enabling transaction confirmations in about one minute, significantly reducing settlement times and costs [6]. Group 3: Market Implications - The clarity in stablecoin regulations has led to increased interest in related stocks in both US and Hong Kong markets, with a list of companies involved in stablecoin issuance and technology emerging [7]. - Major companies like Circle, Coinbase, and PayPal are actively involved in the stablecoin space, indicating a growing market presence [7]. Group 4: Impact on the Renminbi - The development of stablecoins could bolster the international status of the Renminbi, with Hong Kong potentially serving as a testing ground for Renminbi-linked stablecoins [8][10]. - Recent data shows that the Renminbi's share in bilateral trade settlements has reached over 30%, suggesting a growing acceptance that could be further enhanced by stablecoin initiatives [10]. Group 5: Challenges and Considerations - Despite the potential benefits, the international recognition of the Renminbi still depends on its inherent attractiveness, which is currently challenged by concerns over China's debt levels and economic stability [10]. - Structural reforms and easing of currency controls are necessary to enhance the appeal of Renminbi assets in the global market [10].

证券研究报告 2025年07月06日 计算机 稳定币产业加速，数字金融进入新阶段 ——计算机稳定币研究专题 评级：推荐(维持) 刘熹(证券分析师) 郭义俊(联系人) S0350523040001 S0350124070015 liux10@ghzq.com.cn guoyj@ghzq.com.cn 最近一年走势 相关报告 -16% 4% 25% 45% 66% 86% 2024/07/04 2024/10/02 2024/12/31 2025/03/31 2025/06/29 计算机 沪深300 《模型性能不断提升，AI应用进入兑现期——计算机AI应用月度跟踪（2025- 05）（推荐）*计算机*刘熹》——2025-05-26 《计算机行业深度：大模型研究框架（2025）——"大模型"系列（5）（推 《域控制器研究框架——计算机"智能驾驶"系列专题二（推荐）*计算机*刘 熹》——2025-06-24 《计算机行业点评报告：特斯拉Robotaxi商业化时刻将至（推荐）*计算机*刘 熹》——2025-06-15 《计算机行业动态研究：稳定币头部企业Circle IPO，数字货币发展加速（推 荐）*计算机*刘熹》— ...

Core Insights - PayPal (PYPL) shares have declined 13.7% year to date, primarily due to increased competition in the fintech sector from companies like Visa, Mastercard, Apple Pay, and Adyen [1][2] - Despite PayPal's struggles, Visa and Mastercard have seen share increases of 10.3% and 4.5% respectively, indicating PayPal's relative underperformance [2][7] - PayPal is transitioning from a payments provider to a comprehensive commerce partner, focusing on personalized experiences and a unified platform for consumers and merchants [3][18] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, PayPal's transaction margin dollars increased by 7% year over year to $3.72 billion, driven by strong performance in omnichannel commerce and Venmo, with Venmo revenues rising by 20% [4][10] - The Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) segment saw over 20% volume growth in Q1, with monthly active accounts up 18% year over year, indicating strong consumer engagement [5][7] - PayPal's forward 12-month P/E ratio is 13.74X, significantly lower than the industry average of 22.48X, suggesting the stock is undervalued compared to peers like Visa and Mastercard [11][13] Strategic Initiatives - PayPal is expanding its omnichannel strategy internationally, with plans to roll out NFC functionality in Germany and the UK [4][10] - The company is enhancing its partnerships with firms like Coinbase, Fiserv, and Shopify to bolster its growth outlook and expand the adoption of its PayPal USD stablecoin [9][18] - Investments in product modernization and geographic expansion are expected to impact margin improvement in the near term, but are essential for long-term growth [10][18] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PayPal's 2025 earnings is $5.08 per share, reflecting a 9.25% growth over 2024, with Q2 2025 earnings estimated at $1.30 per share, indicating a 9.2% increase year over year [14][15] - Recent estimate revisions show a positive trend for the second quarter and full years 2025 and 2026, although the outlook for Q3 is less favorable [14][19]

Key Takeaways MA was found to have violated European law by imposing anti-competitive interchange fees. The U.K. ruling may force MA to revise fee structures and expose it to potential merchant damage claims. Both MA and V face global legal scrutiny as fintech and stablecoin alternatives gain merchant interest.Mastercard Incorporated (MA) has been found in violation of European competition law for imposing excessive interchange fees on transactions made using its cards. The U.K.'s Competition Appeal Tribu ...

2025年6月24日，万事达宣布与Chainlink（区块链预言机网络，旨在弥合链下数据与链上智能合约 之间的差距）建立战略合作伙伴关系。有分析认为，这意味着传统支付网络正主动上"链"，在不拆 解合规架构的前提下，将 DeFi（去中心化金融）纳入自身轨道。 现在，一个用户无需理解区块链即可体验链上经济价值、推动Web3.0（基于区块链去中心化的第 三代互联网）从"极客工具"向"大众金融基础设施"转型的支付裂变时刻已至。 金融业正在经历"链改"而非"被颠覆"，最终是否会形成一种 混合型金融服务生态：底层是区块链技术作为新金融基础设 施；中间层是合规框架下的加密资产纳入主流体系；应用层则 由传统金融机构主导。 作者：欧阳晓红 封图：图虫创意 想 象 一 下 ： 2025 年 的 夏 天 ， 在 纽 约 一 家 咖 啡 馆 ， 一 位 年 轻 的 软 件 工 程 师 用 手 中 的 万 事 达 （Mastercard）信用卡轻轻一刷，购买了0.25枚以太坊。他既没有登录加密货币交易平台Binance 或Coinbase，也无需复制粘贴复杂的钱包地址，只是在一个名叫Swapper Finance（兑换者金融） 的小程 ...

Core Insights - Mastercard is transforming the payment landscape by enabling users to purchase cryptocurrencies directly using their credit cards through a new service called Swapper Finance, in partnership with Chainlink [1][2][3] - This collaboration signifies a shift where traditional payment networks are integrating decentralized finance (DeFi) without dismantling existing compliance structures [1][5] Group 1: Strategic Partnerships - Mastercard has partnered with major cryptocurrency platforms like MetaMask, Crypto.com, and Kraken, allowing users to spend stablecoins at 150 million merchants globally [2][3] - The partnership with Chainlink aims to provide a secure bridge between off-chain data and on-chain smart contracts, facilitating seamless transactions [3][4] Group 2: User Experience and Accessibility - Users can now purchase cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and stablecoins directly from decentralized exchanges (DEX) using their Mastercard, simplifying the process that previously required multiple steps [3][6] - The new system allows for a straightforward transaction process: input card number, select amount, and confirm payment, making it accessible to a broader audience [7][8] Group 3: Regulatory and Compliance Framework - The collaboration emphasizes compliance, consumer protection, and transparency, ensuring that on-chain activities are visible and off-chain identities are compliant [6][9] - The integration of stablecoins into mainstream payment channels represents a significant step towards bridging traditional finance and decentralized finance [5][10] Group 4: Future Implications - The partnership may signal a new era in digital currency competition, focusing on ecosystem connectivity rather than just payment efficiency [9] - The evolving landscape suggests a potential hybrid financial ecosystem where traditional financial services leverage blockchain technology for enhanced functionality [10]

Core Insights - The GENIUS Act, which aims to establish a regulatory framework for stablecoins, has passed the Senate with a vote of 68-30 and is expected to move to the House for further consideration, with a high likelihood of being signed into law by President Trump if approved [1][8] - Stablecoins are designed to maintain a stable value by pegging to existing assets, contrasting with the volatility of traditional cryptocurrencies [3][5] - The legislation removes oversight of stablecoins from the SEC, categorizing them as non-securities and placing regulatory authority under the U.S. Treasury, which is expected to enhance transparency and compliance in the industry [6][9] Industry Implications - The GENIUS Act opens new opportunities for financial institutions and public companies to leverage stablecoins for faster and cheaper transactions, potentially disrupting traditional payment systems like credit cards [2][10] - The bill includes provisions for federal and state-qualified issuers, requiring full backing of stablecoins with liquid assets and adherence to KYC and AML regulations [9] Company Developments - Fiserv has announced plans to launch its own stablecoin, FIUSD, by the end of 2025, aimed at streamlining transactions for its banking and retail clients, which will enhance operational efficiency and reduce transaction costs [11][12] - PayPal has positioned itself as a first mover in the stablecoin market with the launch of PYUSD in 2023, which is backed by low-risk liquid assets and focuses on high-friction transactions like cross-border transfers [13][15] - Walmart is exploring the potential benefits of issuing a stablecoin, which could reduce transaction fees, improve liquidity, and enhance customer loyalty through new rewards programs [16][22]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Yeahka (9923 HK) Core Insights - Stablecoins are reshaping the global cross-border payment landscape with advantages such as short settlement times, low costs, and resistance to exchange rate fluctuations, making them ideal for various payment scenarios [2][10] - Yeahka has expanded internationally since 2021, obtaining payment licenses in Singapore and the U.S., and launched its cross-border payment brand YeahPay in 2023, achieving an overseas transaction volume of over 1.1 billion RMB in 2024, a nearly 5-fold year-on-year increase [11][12] - The traditional cross-border payment model incurs fees of approximately 3-8% for merchants, while third-party payment platforms like Yeahka generate revenue through diverse models including transaction fees, currency conversion fees, and interest income from deposited funds [12][10] Summary by Sections Section: Stablecoins in Cross-Border Payments - Stablecoins enable peer-to-peer real-time settlement through distributed ledger technology, reducing transaction costs and compressing settlement times to minutes compared to the traditional banking system which relies on the SWIFT network [2][10] Section: Yeahka's Overseas Expansion - Yeahka has successfully launched its cross-border payment brand YeahPay and signed a global strategic cooperation memorandum with Alipay International, marking significant growth in its overseas business [11][12] Section: Existing Payment Industry Model - The revenue model for third-party payment platforms includes transaction fees, currency conversion fees, interest income from overseas payments, and technology output, showcasing a diverse approach to profitability [12][10] Section: Future Business Models for Third-Party Payment Providers - Stablecoins present new business opportunities for acquirers, allowing them to expand into overseas markets and diversify payment scenarios, such as providing one-stop services for merchants [13][14]

Key Takeaways Retail access to cryptocurrencies is steadily improving as platforms streamline onboarding, optimize user experiences and align more closely with regulatory standards. Fintech firms and exchanges are increasingly integrating crypto wallets and trading capabilities within their apps, simplifying digital asset management for everyday users. In this context, let's find out which of these two companies is better poised, Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) or PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) . Stablecoins, whi ...