Core Insights - The RealReal, Inc. reported better-than-expected third-quarter financial results, with an adjusted loss of 4 cents per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of a 6 cents loss [1] - The company achieved sales of $173.57 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $170.51 million [1] - The RealReal raised its full-year sales guidance to a range of $687 million to $690 million, up from the previous range of $667 million to $674 million [2] Financial Performance - The RealReal's fourth-quarter sales are expected to be between $188 million and $191 million, compared to the consensus estimate of $179.61 million [2] - The company reported a 20% increase in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and an Adjusted EBITDA that was ahead of expectations [3] Market Reaction - Following the earnings announcement, RealReal shares increased by 34.3%, trading at $15.07 [3] - Analysts have adjusted their price targets for RealReal, with BTIG analyst Marvin Fong raising the target from $11 to $15, and Baird analyst Mark Altschwager increasing it from $8 to $13 [6]

Group 1 - The Q3 earnings season has been characterized by a narrative of a weakening U.S. consumer, particularly affecting retail companies and restaurant chains [1] - There has been a notable decline in discretionary spending, especially among younger consumers, raising concerns about the potential ongoing impact on the macroeconomy [1] - The experience of analysts covering technology companies and working in Silicon Valley provides insights into the themes currently shaping the industry [1]

Group 1 - The Q3 earnings season has been characterized by a narrative of a weakening U.S. consumer, particularly affecting retail companies and restaurant chains [1] - There has been a notable decline in discretionary spending, especially among younger consumers, raising concerns about the potential ongoing impact on the macroeconomy [1] - The experience of analysts covering technology companies and working in Silicon Valley provides insights into the themes currently shaping the industry [1]

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Core Insights - The RealReal reported strong third-quarter results, with gross merchandise value (GMV) increasing by 20% to $520 million and revenue rising by 17% to $174 million, leading to an upward revision of full-year GMV guidance to over $2.1 billion [2][3] Sales Performance - The company’s internal report highlighted fine jewelry as the fastest-growing category, with first-time watch buyers increasing by 46% and searches for wedding dresses rising by 247% year-over-year [4] - Handbag searches for fair-condition items grew by 32%, indicating a shift towards practicality and value retention among consumers [4] Consumer Behavior - Economic conditions are influencing consumer behavior, with nearly 70% of Americans living paycheck to paycheck and 25% struggling to pay bills recently [5] - Almost half of U.S. shoppers now purchase secondhand items as frequently as new ones, suggesting that resale has become a regular purchasing behavior rather than a niche choice [5] Operational Efficiency - The company’s growth strategy emphasizes supply quality and operational discipline, with a revised compensation plan that increased average supply value per luxury manager by 12% [7] - The AI-enabled intake system, Athena, managed 27% of all items during the quarter and is projected to handle 40% by year-end, automating authentication and listing processes [8] Financial Metrics - Gross profit rose by 16% to $129 million, supported by higher-value sales and automation gains, while consignment margins improved to 89% and direct-sales margins rose to 21% [11] - Operating expenses decreased by 6% as a share of revenue, reflecting continued cost discipline, with the company ending the quarter with $123 million in cash and reducing debt by $86 million since early 2024 [11] Future Outlook - For the fourth quarter, The RealReal expects GMV between $585 million and $595 million, representing an approximate 17% increase, and revenue between $188 million and $191 million, up roughly 16% [12] - Management anticipates that efficiency improvements and sustained consumer demand for secondhand luxury will support steady growth into 2026 [12] Customer Engagement - Users who both buy and consign, referred to as "Flywheelers," are two to three times more valuable than single-side participants, driving higher transaction frequency and long-term loyalty [9] - The RealReal's high-value pop-up events generated over $2.6 million in supply within a few days, indicating strong engagement with luxury consignors [10]

分组1 - The RealReal reported a quarterly loss of $0.49 per share, significantly worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.14, marking an earnings surprise of -250.00% [1] - The company posted revenues of $173.57 million for the quarter ended September 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.39% and showing an increase from $147.76 million year-over-year [2] - The RealReal has surpassed consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters, while it has only beaten EPS estimates once in the same period [2] 分组2 - The stock has added about 0.6% since the beginning of the year, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's gain of 14.4% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.07 on revenues of $180.27 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$0.15 on revenues of $674.95 million [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Consumer Products - Discretionary is in the bottom 32% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stocks in this sector [8]

Core Insights - The RealReal reported $173.57 million in revenue for Q3 2025, a 17.5% year-over-year increase, and an EPS of -$0.49, compared to -$0.09 a year ago [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $169.53 million by 2.39%, while the EPS fell short of the consensus estimate of -$0.14 by 250% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Average Order Value (AOV) was $584.00, surpassing the estimated $554.00 [4] - The number of orders was 890, slightly below the estimated 900 [4] - Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) reached $519.81 million, exceeding the estimate of $498.3 million [4] - Consignment revenue was $134.43 million, below the estimate of $140.1 million but reflecting a 15% increase year-over-year [4] - Direct revenue was $22.93 million, significantly above the estimated $18.81 million, marking a 46.8% year-over-year increase [4] - Shipping services revenue was $16.22 million, in line with the estimate of $16.2 million, representing a 6.5% year-over-year increase [4] Stock Performance - The RealReal's shares have returned +16.3% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record quarterly GMV of $520 million, representing a 20% increase year-over-year [5][14] - Revenue for Q3 was $174 million, up 17% compared to the previous year, with consignment revenue increasing by 15% [14][15] - Adjusted EBITDA was $9.3 million, or 5.4% of total revenue, reflecting a 380 basis point increase year-over-year [5][16] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $14 million, a $12 million improvement year-over-year [16][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Direct revenue increased by 47% year-over-year, accounting for 13% of total revenue in Q3 [14][15] - Average order value rose to $584, a 12% increase from the previous year [15] - The take rate decreased by 70 basis points year-over-year to 37.9% due to a higher mix of direct revenue [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a significant shift in consumer behavior, with 58% of shoppers preferring the secondary market and 47% considering resale value before purchasing new items [4][5] - The active buyer base reached over 1 million, marking a new all-time high with a 7% year-over-year increase [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three strategic pillars: growth playbook, operational efficiency, and customer service [6][10] - Plans to expand retail locations by adding one to three stores per year, with a total addressable market of over $200 billion in the U.S. [7][9] - The introduction of AI-driven tools like Smart Sales and Athena aims to enhance supply acquisition and operational efficiency [6][10][57] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving a full-year GMV of over $2 billion, driven by strong market demand and operational improvements [4][19] - The company raised its full-year guidance, expecting GMV in the range of $2.10 billion to $2.11 billion, reflecting a 15% increase at the midpoint [18][19] - Management highlighted the importance of building trust with customers and enhancing the resale experience as key to future growth [10][62] Other Important Information - The company has reduced total indebtedness by over $86 million since the beginning of 2024, reinforcing its commitment to deleveraging [17] - The proprietary AI-enabled product intake process, Athena, is expected to touch 30%-40% of all items by year-end, improving efficiency and reducing costs [10][57] Q&A Session Summary Question: Confidence in Q4 GMV growth guidance - Management noted strong momentum from sales, marketing, and retail efforts, with early signs of success in referral and affiliate programs [23][24] Question: Guardrails for next year's growth rates - Management indicated a medium-term growth rate expectation of high single digits to low double digits, with potential for higher growth in the short term [26] Question: Update on DropShip initiatives - Management stated that this year was focused on testing and learning, with plans for meaningful contributions from DropShip in the medium term [30] Question: Revenue growth drivers - Management emphasized that revenue growth is primarily driven by increased supply coming through the door rather than processing speed [32] Question: Competitive dynamics in the resale market - Management highlighted the company's market leadership and strategic advantages in expertise, data, and customer trust [38][39] Question: Q4 EBITDA expectations - Management expects continued operating efficiencies and leverage in operations and tech, driven by AI initiatives [41] Question: Marketing investment and efficiency - Management confirmed increased marketing investment to drive growth, with a focus on balancing growth and profitability [81]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record quarterly GMV of $520 million, representing a 20% increase year-over-year [5][14] - Revenue for Q3 was $174 million, up 17% year-over-year, with consignment revenue increasing by 15% [14][15] - Adjusted EBITDA was $9.3 million, or 5.4% of total revenue, reflecting a 380 basis point increase year-over-year [5][14] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $14 million, a $12 million improvement year-over-year [16][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fine jewelry emerged as the fastest-growing category, with first-time watch buyers increasing by 46% [5] - Average order value rose to $584, a 12% increase compared to the previous year [15] - Direct revenue surged by 47% year-over-year, accounting for 13% of total revenue [14][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total addressable market for luxury resale is estimated at over $200 billion, indicating significant growth potential [6] - The company noted that 58% of shoppers now prefer the secondary market, with 47% considering resale value before purchasing new items [4][5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three strategic pillars: growth playbook, operational efficiency, and customer service [6][10] - The growth playbook emphasizes unlocking high-quality supply through data and strong consignor relationships [6][10] - The company plans to expand its retail presence by adding one to three stores per year, enhancing its market reach [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving a full-year GMV of over $2 billion, driven by strong market trends and operational efficiencies [4][19] - The company raised its full-year guidance, expecting GMV in the range of $2.10 billion to $2.11 billion, reflecting a 15% increase [18][19] - Management highlighted the importance of building trust and transparency with customers to enhance loyalty and drive growth [11][12] Other Important Information - The proprietary AI-enabled product intake process, Athena, is expected to touch 30%-40% of all items by year-end, improving efficiency and reducing costs [10][56] - The company has reduced its total indebtedness by over $86 million since the beginning of 2024, strengthening its balance sheet [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you speak to the confidence in the Q4 GMV growth guidance? - Management noted strong momentum from sales, marketing, and retail efforts, with early signs of success from referral and affiliate programs [22][23] Question: What guardrails can you provide for next year's growth rates? - Management indicated a medium-term growth rate expectation of high single digits to low double digits, with potential for higher growth in the short term [25] Question: How is the DropShip initiative performing? - Management stated that the DropShip initiative is in the testing phase, with plans for future expansion based on learnings [28][29] Question: What is driving the revenue growth, supply processing speed, or overall supply increase? - Management emphasized that the growth is primarily driven by increased supply coming through the door, supported by effective sales and marketing strategies [30][31] Question: Can you share insights on competitive dynamics in the resale market? - Management highlighted the growing attention to resale and the company's strong market position, leveraging expertise and data to maintain a competitive edge [36][39] Question: What are the plans for cash uses in the balance sheet going forward? - Management indicated that cash will primarily be used for investments in automation and technology to enhance operational efficiency [74]

Financial Performance - The RealReal achieved a record quarterly GMV of $520 million, a 20% year-over-year increase[20, 24] - Revenue reached $174 million, up 17% year-over-year, with Consignment Revenue increasing by 15% and Direct Revenue by 47%[29] - Adjusted EBITDA was $9.3 million, representing 5.4% of Total Revenue, a 380 basis points year-over-year increase[20, 31] - The company generated $14 million in Free Cash Flow[20] Operational Efficiency and Scalability - Athena, the company's AI-enabled product intake process, scaled to approximately 27% of all units and is on track for 30-40% by year-end[20] - Consignment Gross Margin increased by 70 basis points year-over-year to 89.3%[20] - Operating Expenses improved by 620 basis points year-over-year as a percentage of revenue due to operating efficiencies, AI and automation, and fixed cost leverage[20, 34] Customer Engagement - Active Buyers reached an all-time high of 1.024 million, a 7% increase on a trailing 12-month basis[20, 26] - Supply value per existing Luxury Manager increased by 12% year-over-year, driven by a new compensation plan and AI investments[20] - Over 80% of GMV comes from repeat customers[44] Outlook - The company raised its Full-Year 2025 Guidance[20] - The FY25 Adjusted EBITDA outlook reflects approximately 400 basis points margin expansion versus 2024 at the guidance midpoint[20] - Full year GMV is projected to be between $2.099 billion and $2.109 billion[36] - Full year Revenue is projected to be between $687 million and $690 million[36] - Full year Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $37.7 million and $38.7 million[36]