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Fed's Austan Goolsbee discusses interest rate outlook, how AI fears are spreading beyond software
Youtube· 2026-02-13 22:00
Market Overview - Stocks are higher due to cooler than expected inflation data, although there has been a recent sell-off [1][2] - The Nasdaq composite and S&P 500 are up, with real estate, healthcare, and utilities leading the gains as investors rotate away from tech [2] - Walmart reached an all-time high, while Visa, Nvidia, and Apple saw declines [3] Inflation and Economic Indicators - January's consumer price index (CPI) showed slower inflation, the lowest since May, with improvements in food and energy prices [6][7] - Services inflation remains high, indicating persistent inflationary pressures [7][22] - The unemployment rate dropped to 4.3%, with job growth concentrated in healthcare and social assistance sectors [9][10] Federal Reserve Outlook - Chicago Fed President Austin Goulby emphasizes the need for more progress on inflation before considering further rate cuts [28][29] - Core inflation is projected to remain around 3%, which is above the Fed's target [30][31] - The Fed is cautious about making premature rate cuts, focusing on actual inflation and employment data [21][26] Sector Performance - Semiconductor and software stocks are showing mixed performance after a recent sell-off [4][5] - Defensive sectors like consumer staples and utilities are gaining traction as investors seek stability amid market volatility [57] - AI disruption fears are impacting various industries, including transportation and real estate, as companies adapt to new technologies [51][52] Company Highlights - Rivian reported better-than-expected Q4 results, achieving its first annual gross profit and strong guidance for future vehicle deliveries [63][64] - Applied Materials, a major supplier of chipmaking equipment, has seen significant stock gains due to increased demand driven by AI investments [70][71] - American Superconductor is focusing on enhancing grid reliability and power quality to meet rising electricity demands [81][82]
Rivian Shares Surge 20% After Revenue Beat and Strong Software Growth
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-13 21:38
Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive Inc. reported fourth-quarter revenue that surpassed analyst expectations, leading to a significant increase in share price despite a notable decline in automotive sales year-over-year [1] Financial Performance - The company recorded fourth-quarter revenue of $1.29 billion, slightly above the consensus estimate of $1.27 billion, but down from $1.73 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Rivian reported an adjusted loss of $0.54 per share, better than the expected loss of $0.68 per share [2] Automotive Sales - Automotive revenue fell 45% year-over-year to $839 million, attributed to a $270 million decrease in regulatory credit sales, lower vehicle deliveries due to the expiration of tax credits, and a reduced average selling price from a higher mix of commercial van deliveries [3] - The company produced 10,974 vehicles and delivered 9,745 vehicles during the quarter at its Normal, Illinois manufacturing facility [3] Future Guidance - For the full year, Rivian guided for vehicle deliveries between 62,000 and 67,000 units, with capital expenditures projected between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion [4] - The development of Rivian's R2 vehicle is on schedule, with initial customer deliveries expected in the second quarter of 2026 [4]
Rivian Stock Recharged—30% Rally On Q4 Earnings Report
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 20:18
Core Insights - Rivian has achieved a rare triple beat, surpassing revenue expectations, narrowing losses, and providing a significant 2026 delivery forecast that surprised Wall Street [1] Financial Performance - The primary driver of Rivian's stock surge is its newfound profitability, addressing long-standing skepticism about the viability of a pure-play EV startup [2] - The company reported over $1.3 billion improvement in full-year gross profit, marking 2025 as its first year of positive gross profit, driven by improved unit economics and strong software and services performance [3] Future Outlook - Rivian has guided for a 2026 delivery range of 62,000 to 67,000 vehicles, representing a nearly 60% increase from the previous year, primarily due to the launch of the R2, a $45,000 mass-market SUV [4] - The company plans to deliver approximately 9,000 to 11,000 vehicles per quarter in the first half of 2026, with a measured production ramp-up to ensure quality and long-term stability [5] Strategic Positioning - By achieving positive gross profit and preparing for the R2 launch, Rivian has transitioned from a high-risk startup to a legitimate contender in the automotive industry [6] - The stock price increased by 31.14% to $18.36, indicating strong investor confidence and marking a potential milestone for the company [6]
Rivian Q4 Earnings Top Expectations, Revenues Decline Y/Y
ZACKS· 2026-02-13 20:06
Core Insights - Rivian Automotive reported a narrower loss of 54 cents per share in Q4 2025, compared to a loss of 69 cents estimated by Zacks Consensus, but wider than the previous year's loss of 52 cents [1] - Revenues for the quarter were $1.29 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26 billion, but reflecting a year-over-year decline of 25.8% [1] Production and Deliveries - Total production for the quarter was 10,974 units, down from 12,727 units in the same quarter last year [2] - Total deliveries decreased to 9,745 units from 14,183 units a year ago [2] Financial Performance - Gross profit was $120 million, down from $170 million in the prior-year quarter, with a gross margin of 9% [3] - Adjusted operating expenses rose to $712 million from $620 million in the previous year [3] - Adjusted loss before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization was $465 million, compared to a loss of $277 million in Q4 2024 [3] Cash Flow and Expenditures - Net cash used by operating activities was $681 million, contrasting with net cash provided of $1.18 billion in the prior-year period [4] - Capital expenditures for Q4 were $463 million, up from $327 million a year ago [4] - Free cash outflow in the quarter was $1.14 billion [4] Segment Performance - The Automotive segment generated revenues of $839 million, a 45% year-over-year decline, primarily due to reduced regulatory credit sales and lower vehicle deliveries [5] - The Software and Services segment saw revenues of $447 million, more than doubling year-over-year, driven by new vehicle electrical architecture and software services [6] Financial Position - As of December 31, 2025, Rivian had cash and cash equivalents of $3.57 billion, down from $5.3 billion a year earlier [7] - Long-term debt remained relatively stable at $4.44 billion as of December 31, 2025, compared to $4.44 billion in the previous year [7] Future Guidance - For 2026, Rivian expects to deliver between 62,000 and 67,000 units, an increase from 42,284 in 2025 [8] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to remain negative, ranging from $1.80 billion to $2.10 billion [8] - Anticipated capital expenditures for 2026 are between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion [8]
Rivian Stock Ignores Trump’s Attacks on EVs and Cruises Up 25%
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 17:46
Rivian Stock Ignores Trump’s Attacks on EVs and Cruises Up 25% - Moby BREAKING NEWS Rivian (RIVN) is up over 25% to close the week after they reported a fourth-quarter beat and gave Wall Street some much-needed updates for their upcoming R2 SUV. The stock, which fell with the rest of the market from $22 in December 2025 to as low as $13.66 in early February, is now trading at $17.63. The company reported approximately $1.29 billion in revenue and announced a narrower-than-expected loss of 70 cents per ...
Rivian Automotive Stock Surges on Upbeat Delivery Forecast
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-02-13 17:22
Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:RIVN) stock is up 26% to trade at $17.64, after the electric vehicle manufacturer reported strong fourth-quarter results and issued an upbeat 2026 delivery forecast. The company expects deliveries to range from 62,000 to 67,000 units this year, which would be a 47% to 59% increase from 2025.In response, Deutsche Bank upgraded RIVN to "buy" from "hold," and hiked its price target to $23 from $16. The equity also attracted bull notes from three other analysts. Coming into today, ...
Rivian Predicts Big Jump in Sales as R2 SUV Set to Launch Soon. Its Stock Surges More Than 20%.
Investopedia· 2026-02-13 17:20
-- Rivian Predicts Big Jump in Sales as R2 SUV Set to Launch Soon. Its Stock Surges More Than 20%. [Stocks Steady After Tame Inflation Data][CPI Report Shows Inflation Cooled in January][It's So Cold Out You Can See It In Economic Statistics][Where Are Gas Prices The Cheapest?]- Top StoriesThe smaller, more-affordable R2 is expected to be available in the second quarter.Josh Lefkowitz / Getty ImagesClose### Key Takeaways- Plans to launch its R2 SUV are still on track for the second quarter, and Rivian said ...
Rivian stock soars on Q4 earnings: why UBS says it's as far as it goes in 2026
Invezz· 2026-02-13 16:57
Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ: RIVN) is pushing aggressively to the upside this morning after recording a blockbuster Q4 that signalled an "inflection point†, but UBS is keeping the champagne on ice. ...
Rivian Hasn't Stopped Losing Money on Its EVs, but Is It a Buy Anyway?
247Wallst· 2026-02-13 16:37
Core Insights - Rivian has reported its first consolidated gross profit of $144 million in 2025, marking a significant improvement from a loss of over $1.3 billion in 2024, driven by cost reductions and software revenue [1] - Despite this milestone, Rivian continues to face challenges with a $3.6 billion net loss in 2025 and expects adjusted EBITDA losses between $1.8 billion and $2.1 billion for 2026 [1] - The company is betting on the upcoming R2 midsize SUV, which is expected to launch in Q2 2026 at a starting price of $45,000, targeting a delivery growth of 47% to 59% in 2026 [1] Financial Performance - Rivian's automotive gross profit remained negative at $432 million for 2025, indicating ongoing losses on vehicle sales [1] - The stock has seen a decline of 82% from its IPO price of $78, closing at $14, and has delivered losses across various time frames, including a 29% drop year-to-date in 2026 [1] - The company anticipates pressure on automotive gross profit in the first half of 2026 due to the ramp-up of R2 production, with expectations for improvement later in the year [1] Market Context - The global EV market has cooled, with a 3% year-over-year decline in sales in January 2026, and significant drops in North America (33%) and China (20%) [1] - Rivian's R2 SUV aims to compete with Tesla's Model Y, but the company may have missed the optimal launch timing due to the current market conditions [1] - Overall new-vehicle sales are projected to decline by 2.4% in 2026, influenced by economic headwinds and policy uncertainties [1] Technological Developments - Rivian is venturing into AI hardware with its in-house Rivian Autonomy Processor (RAP1), which will debut on the R2, enhancing its advanced driver-assistance and autonomy features [1] - The RAP1 chip offers 2.5 times better performance per watt compared to previous Nvidia processors, supporting Rivian's goal of achieving Level 4 autonomy by the end of the year [1]
Why Rivian Stock Rocketed Higher Today
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 15:56
Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN) gave investors an update last night, and the stock is soaring on the news. Shares of the electric vehicle (EV) maker spiked 28% higher to start Friday's trading session. The company's earnings and 2026 guidance have shares holding onto a 20.5% gain as of 10:30 a.m. ET. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. ...