Shares of Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) lost 9.06% over the past five trading sessions after gaining 17.25%% the five prior. ...

Group 1 - Zijin Mining (02899) rose nearly 3% after announcing the completion of the main construction and core equipment installation for the second phase of the Xizang Julong Copper Mine, marking a key step before production [1] - Asia Pacific Satellite (01045) increased over 5.4%, with a cumulative rise of nearly 30% over the past five trading days, as it operates multiple satellites under China Satcom [1] - Zhaoyan New Drug (06127) fell over 6% following an announcement that its actual controller plans to reduce holdings by up to 14.98 million shares, representing 20.0466% of his holdings and 1.99873% of the company's total share capital [1] - Zhongwei New Materials (02579) surged nearly 7% after signing a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Xinwanda for solid-state batteries [1] Group 2 - Dongyue Group (00189) rose nearly 5% as the long-term contract prices for refrigerants were confirmed, with R32 priced at 61,200 yuan/ton (+1,000 yuan) and R410A at 55,100 yuan/ton (+1,900 yuan) [2] - MicroPort Scientific Corporation (02252) increased over 1.2%, reporting that its core products' cumulative order volume exceeded 230 units [2] - Oil stocks saw gains, with CNOOC (00883) up 4.17%, PetroChina (00857) up 2.91%, and Sinopec (00386) up 1.31%, driven by a rise in international crude oil prices due to geopolitical tensions [2] - Baidu Group (09888) rose nearly 7% after announcing a partnership with Uber and Lyft to launch a robotaxi pilot project in the UK by 2026 [2] Group 3 - NIO (09866) rose over 2.4% after announcing that it successfully delivered over 40,000 units of its new ES8 model within 100 days of the official delivery start [3] - Damai Entertainment (01060) increased nearly 5%, with the total box office for the 2025 New Year’s season reaching 5.245 billion yuan as of December 28 [3] Group 4 - Copper mining stocks collectively declined, with Hudbay Minerals (HBM.US) down 4.01%, Taseko Mines (TGB.US) down 3.1%, and Ero Copper (ERO.US) down 1.64%, as international copper futures fell over 4% [5] - Some cryptocurrency-related stocks fell, with IREN Ltd (IREN.US) down 2.21% and Circle (CRCL.US) down 0.94% [5] - NIO (NIO.US) rose 4.71% in the US market, echoing its performance in Hong Kong [6] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index fell nearly 1%, with major Chinese concept stocks declining, including Alibaba (BABA.US) down 2.46% and Xpeng Motors (XPEV.US) down 1.35% [6]

Group 1 - Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) has experienced significant stock movement, attributed partly to a short squeeze, indicating a large number of short positions in the stock [1] - Jim Cramer advises investors to take some profits off the table while allowing the remaining shares to run, emphasizing the importance of maintaining gains in speculative stocks that are currently unprofitable [1] - Cramer expressed a negative outlook on Rivian during a recent episode, suggesting that investors should sell their shares rather than hold onto them, indicating a lack of confidence in the stock's future performance [2] Group 2 - Rivian manufactures electric vehicles and provides related software, charging, and maintenance services, positioning itself within the growing electric vehicle market [2] - The article suggests that while Rivian has potential, certain AI stocks may offer better upside potential and lower downside risk, indicating a competitive landscape for investment opportunities [2]

Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive's stock has shown significant growth recently, with a more than 40% increase in value over the past month, indicating potential for further gains in 2026 [1][2]. Company Performance - Rivian's stock price remained relatively stable from January 1 to November 1, 2025, with minimal fluctuations [1]. - The current stock price is $20.89, with a market capitalization of $26 billion [5]. Competitive Positioning - Rivian is positioned as a potential competitor to Tesla, especially with the upcoming launch of the R2 model, which will be priced under $50,000, allowing it to target a broader consumer base [12][13]. - Currently, Rivian's R1S and R1T models are priced above $70,000, limiting their market reach [13]. AI Investment and Market Trends - Rivian has been investing heavily in AI, similar to Tesla, which has contributed to its recent stock performance [9][8]. - The AI sector has seen strong performance in 2025, and Rivian's classification as an AI stock has positively impacted its share price [8][9]. Future Outlook - Rivian is expected to strengthen its AI capabilities and expand its vehicle offerings in 2026, which could enhance its competitive position against Tesla [10][14]. - The anticipated production of the R2 model and subsequent models (R3 and R3X) will provide Rivian with more real-world data, further enhancing its AI systems [13][14].

Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that investors who missed the long-term gains from Tesla stock may find a new opportunity with Rivian Automotive, an electric vehicle manufacturer [1] Company Summary - Rivian Automotive is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity in the electric vehicle sector, similar to Tesla's past performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive is approaching a critical inflection point, with significant stock performance driven by advancements in artificial intelligence and the introduction of new, more affordable vehicle models [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Rivian's stock has increased nearly 70% since the beginning of 2025, with most gains occurring in the last month or two [1] - The market's bullish sentiment is attributed to two main catalysts: advancements in AI and the launch of cheaper vehicle models [1] Group 2: Financial Position and Challenges - Rivian has a market capitalization of $26 billion, with a current stock price of $21.13 [2] - The company has been losing money each quarter but has recently achieved positive gross margins [8] - Rivian's dependency on external capital remains a concern, although a multibillion-dollar agreement with Volkswagen has alleviated some financial pressures [8] Group 3: Future Growth Catalysts - Rivian plans to begin production of the R2 model in early 2026, which will be priced under $50,000, making it accessible to a broader market [10] - The introduction of the R2 and other affordable models is expected to significantly improve production scale and financial sustainability [11] - While net profit margins may not be realized in the 2026 fiscal year, the new models are anticipated to enhance Rivian's market position and reduce reliance on capital markets [12]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **US automotive industry**, particularly the performance and outlook for **2026** [1] - The analysis includes insights on **D3 automakers** (Ford, GM, and Stellantis) and **US suppliers** [2] Core Insights and Arguments - **Performance Expectations**: US autos are expected to outperform the S&P 500 by **9%** for D3, **8%** for US suppliers, and **8%** for US autos during the trough to trend cycle phase [3] - **BEV Sales Decline**: The mix of Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) is projected to decrease to **5-6%** of total sales in 2026 from **8%** in 2025, with unit sales down approximately **33%** year-over-year due to the removal of the leasing loophole [2][4] - **New Launch Volumes**: New launch volumes in North America are expected to drop significantly, particularly for D3 automakers, with a **54%** year-over-year decline anticipated in 2026 [6] - **Emerging Risks**: Suppliers face risks as their traditional customer base in Europe loses market share to Chinese OEMs [8] Additional Important Insights - **Chinese OEM Growth**: The growth gap between domestic Chinese OEMs and multinational foreign OEMs is expected to narrow in 2026 compared to 2025, potentially reducing headwinds for US automakers [11] - **CEO Changes**: Speculation exists regarding potential CEO changes within major automakers, particularly GM [14] - **USMCA Negotiations**: Ongoing negotiations may lead to higher US content requirements for vehicles, which could introduce new tariffs as headwinds for the automotive sector [14] - **Supply Chain Pressures**: Increased pressure on the supply base may lead to higher distress levels and potential bankruptcies, impacting costs for OEMs and suppliers [14] Valuation Metrics - **Ford Motor Company**: Target price of **$12.50**, with a market cap of **$54.4 billion** and an EV/EBITDA of **4.2x** for 2025E [15] - **General Motors Company**: Target price of **$97**, with a market cap of **$79.5 billion** and an EV/EBITDA of **4.5x** for 2025E [15] - **Tesla, Inc.**: Current share price of **$480.44**, with a market cap of **$1.69 trillion** and an EV/EBITDA of **123.1x** for 2025E [15] Stock Performance - Recent stock performance shows varied results, with **GM** and **Rivian** showing significant gains over the past year, while **Tesla** and **Carvana** have faced declines [19][21] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, providing insights into the automotive industry's performance, challenges, and future outlook.

Core Viewpoint - Rivian has received a positive outlook from analysts, particularly with an upgrade from hold to buy, indicating potential for stock price growth despite challenges in the EV market [3]. Company Insights - Rivian's stock price was recently upgraded by Baird analyst Ben Kallo, with a new price target set at $25 per share, up from $14, reflecting confidence in the company's future [3]. - The anticipated launch of Rivian's R2 model in 2026 is seen as a pivotal moment for the company, potentially boosting brand demand and stock performance [3][4]. - Rivian's current market capitalization stands at $26 billion, with shares trading around $21.13, indicating room for growth towards the new price target [3]. Industry Context - The U.S. EV market is facing challenges due to reduced federal support, including the removal of the $7,500 tax credit, which may hinder expansion for new entrants like Rivian [1]. - Rivian's CEO RJ Scaringe highlighted the limited choices in the EV market compared to gasoline vehicles, suggesting that the lack of compelling options contributes to waning demand [4][7]. - Competitors like Ford are pivoting away from full-electric vehicles due to low demand in the high-end EV segment, which may increase pressure on Rivian to manage costs effectively [8]. Financial Performance - Rivian is working on improving its gross margins as it aims for profitability, although it continues to face cash burn and a long path to scaling its business [10]. - The company has made progress in cost reduction, but the competitive landscape and demand challenges remain significant hurdles [10].

Group 1: Tesla's Business Shift - Tesla's profit mix is increasingly driven by its energy segment, which has a gross margin of 31.4% and is growing rapidly, providing a buffer against declining automotive margins [3][4] - The analysis suggests that Tesla's premium valuation is more influenced by long-term potential in autonomy, energy, and AI infrastructure rather than current electric vehicle fundamentals [3] - The recommendation is to consider Tesla as a prudent buy, particularly during technical pullbacks, as the energy business leads profitability while the company invests in future technologies [4][7] Group 2: Rivian's Technical Analysis - Rivian's stock has increased approximately 65% from a mid-December base of around $12–13 to $21.38, but it now faces significant resistance levels at $22.83, $24.86, and $28.05 [5][6] - A decisive move above the first resistance level of $22.83 could lead to further gains, with $24.86 being a key psychological marker [5] - Traders are advised to look for entry points on dips near $20–21, with a stop-loss below $19, as failure to break through $22.83 could result in a decline back to the mid-teens [6][8] Group 3: Implications for EV Investors - The shift in Tesla's profitability towards energy and its investments in autonomy and AI present a long-term value proposition, while Rivian's near-term performance depends on overcoming resistance levels [7][8] - Investors are encouraged to monitor specific operating metrics for Tesla and price levels for Rivian to assess the momentum of each company's story [7] - The current market environment presents a choice for EV investors: Tesla's diversification offers resilience, while Rivian needs to demonstrate strength by converting resistance into support [8]

Key Points Rivian’s stock is up 67% in 2025 as I write this. The company’s R2 SUV is one of the most anticipated electric vehicles of 2026. 10 stocks we like better than Rivian Automotive › On Dec. 12, Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) shares reached $19 for the first time since Jan. 11, 2024, heading into the close of 2025 on a strong note. But investors can't ignore the stock's flat performance for the last three years. But there's reason to hope: The company's future electric SUV may be the spark it needs t ...