we are cto'ing rivian https://t.co/JkpkGGpGEp ...

Core Insights - Rivian Automotive Inc's shares are experiencing an increase due to the board's approval of a new 10-year performance-based compensation plan for CEO RJ Scaringe, which is linked to ambitious stock price targets and profitability goals, indicating confidence in the company's long-term strategy [1][3] Financial Performance - Rivian reported a strong third-quarter revenue of $1.56 billion, representing a 78% year-over-year increase, and achieved its first-ever consolidated gross profit of $24 million [2][3] - The stock price rose by 7.42% to $16.36 at the time of publication [5] Strategic Developments - The company announced the spinoff of its industrial AI unit, Mind Robotics, which secured $110 million in external seed funding, while Rivian retains a 40.6% minority interest [3] - Despite positive operational results, analysts have mixed views, with JPMorgan reiterating an Underweight rating [3] Market Sentiment - The stock is showing strong momentum with a score of 77.66, although it is balanced by a lower growth score of 32.31 [4]

Why Tesla And Rivian CEO Pay Deals May Sink $TSLA And $RIVN https://t.co/4OtsqaVZhx ...

Core Insights - The CEOs of Tesla and Rivian received substantial pay packages contingent on achieving ambitious stock market and operational targets, but the likelihood of meeting these targets is considered slim [3][8][21]. Tesla - Elon Musk's pay package could be worth $1 trillion by 2035 if he increases Tesla's market capitalization by 534% from $1.34 trillion to $8.5 trillion [7][23]. - Musk's performance targets include selling 20 million vehicles and deploying a million robotaxis, with significant operational milestones tied to adjusted EBITDA [10][11]. - Tesla's recent financial performance has been mixed, with Q3 revenue of $28.1 billion exceeding estimates, but a 4% drop in shares due to lower-than-expected profit and increased operating expenses [17][18]. - Analysts express skepticism about Tesla's ability to reach an $8.5 trillion market cap, citing unrealistic goals and previous failures to meet targets [24][25]. Rivian - RJ Scaringe's pay package could reach $4.6 billion by 2035 if Rivian's stock price increases by 800% from approximately $15 to $140 per share [13][14]. - Rivian's Q3 revenue grew by 78% to $1.56 billion, but the company reported a net loss of $1.1 billion and maintained a cautious outlook for 2025 [19][20]. - Rivian faces challenges such as reduced EV demand due to the loss of tax incentives and ongoing cash burn despite revenue growth [27]. - The market appears more skeptical of Rivian's potential upside compared to Tesla, with a short interest of 21% indicating investor concerns [28].

Core Insights - Rivian Automotive Inc. went public four years ago at a price of $78 per share, raising a total of $12 billion [1] - Following its IPO, the stock price peaked at $170 per share [1] Company Overview - Rivian Automotive Inc. is a publicly traded company listed on NASDAQ under the ticker symbol RIVN [1] - The company has experienced significant stock price volatility since its initial public offering [1]

Rivian Automotive (RIVN) has exhibited remarkable rallies. The stock experienced surges of over 50% within a two-month timeframe on four separate occasions, particularly in 2022 and 2024, while five rallies saw increases beyond 30% in less than two months during 2023 and 2024. If historical patterns repeat, forthcoming catalysts could propel Rivian stock to extraordinary new heights, providing substantial returns for investors.SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 08: A Rivian electric truck sits parked ...

Core Insights - Rivian Automotive reported a significant 78% increase in revenue for the third quarter, reaching $1.56 billion, surpassing estimates of $1.49 billion, driven by higher-than-expected deliveries [2][3] - The surge in sales was influenced by the expiration of federal tax credits for new EV purchases, prompting potential buyers to finalize their decisions [3][4] - Rivian's existing models did not qualify for federal tax credits, but consumers could still access subsidies through lease deals, which likely contributed to the overall increase in EV interest [4] - The company anticipates that the sales spike may not be replicated in future quarters due to the "pull forward" effect, as there were no new product releases or special deals to sustain this momentum [5][6] Future Outlook - Rivian is set to release its R2 model, priced under $50,000, which is expected to begin production in early next year, addressing a significant market opportunity as 70% of Americans prefer vehicles in this price range [7][8] - The average new vehicle purchase price in the U.S. is over $50,000, with a strong demand for 5-seat SUVs or crossovers, making the R2 model particularly attractive [9] - While the sales ramp for the R2 model may be slow initially, timely production is viewed as a positive development for the company [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive's share price has surged nearly 50% over the past year due to a return to gross-margin positivity and optimistic projections for the upcoming R2 SUV launch, prompting a reassessment of the stock's investment potential [1]. Group 1: R2 SUV Launch - The R2 SUV, priced around $45,000, is expected to broaden Rivian's market appeal compared to the luxury R1 SUV, which starts at over $100,000 [2]. - The R2 is anticipated to have improved gross margins due to lower material costs and higher production volumes, which will reduce the cost per vehicle [3]. - Management plans to start manufacturing R2 SUVs for validation by year-end, with sales expected in the first half of next year and production ramping up in the second half of 2026 [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q3, Rivian's revenue increased by 78% year over year to $1.6 billion, despite a decrease in vehicle deliveries [5]. - Automobile revenue rose by 47% to $1.14 billion, while software and service revenue surged 324% to $416 million, with half coming from a joint venture with Volkswagen [5]. - The company achieved a gross profit of $24 million, marking a return to positive gross margins after a significant operational revamp [6]. Group 3: Cost Management and Forecast - Rivian reduced its adjusted EBITDA loss from $757 million to $602 million and decreased free cash outflows to $421 million from $1.15 billion [7]. - The delivery forecast has been narrowed to between 41,500 and 43,500 units, with an expected adjusted EBITDA loss of $2 billion to $2.25 billion [7]. - A new factory in Georgia is planned to produce 400,000 vehicles annually, expected to be operational by late 2028 [8]. Group 4: Market Position and Challenges - Rivian's partnerships with Volkswagen and Amazon, along with a significant government loan, provide a strong financial foundation for scaling production [9]. - The company faces challenges from tariffs and the expiration of the $7,500 federal EV tax credit, although the impact of tariffs is reportedly minimal [10]. - The stock is characterized as high risk/high reward, suggesting caution after the recent price surge [11].

Core Insights - Rivian's CEO RJ Scaringe is receiving a significant salary increase and a performance-based stock options award potentially worth up to $4.6 billion to retain and incentivize him during a critical phase for the company [1][2][4] Compensation Package Details - Scaringe's salary will rise from $1 million to $2 million, and he will have the option to purchase up to 36.5 million shares of Rivian stock [1][2] - The previous compensation package allowed Scaringe to buy about 20.4 million shares, with the new package providing more favorable stock price hurdles [2][4] - The new stock options are structured in tranches, with the first tranche accessible if Rivian's stock reaches $40 per share, compared to the previous requirement of $110 [4] Stock Performance Expectations - Rivian's stock was trading at $15.23, indicating an approximate 820% increase is needed for Scaringe to realize the maximum value of his pay package [3] - If the entire award is earned, Rivian shareholders could see around $153 billion in value creation [3] Company Context and Strategic Moves - Rivian is preparing for the launch of the R2 SUV, priced at $45,000, which aims to broaden its market appeal [5][6] - The company recently announced layoffs of over 600 employees, about 4.5% of its workforce, to align with the upcoming R2 launch and the need for profitable scaling [11] Market Environment - Rivian's previous pay package goals were deemed unrealistic in the current market, reflecting broader challenges faced by companies during the post-COVID period [5] - Rivian reported a 78% year-over-year revenue increase but also posted a net loss of $1.1 billion for the third quarter [11]

Core Insights - Rivian announced a compensation plan for CEO RJ Scaringe valued at up to $4.6 billion, linking rewards to the company's performance over the next decade [1] Group 1: Compensation Structure - The compensation plan includes options to purchase up to 36.5 million shares of Class A common stock at an exercise price of $15.22 per share, which is an increase of approximately 16 million shares compared to previous awards [1] - The options will vest over the next ten years, contingent upon the company's stock price reaching various target levels between $40 and $140 per share [1] Group 2: Performance Metrics - In addition to stock price targets, the plan requires Rivian to achieve new operational revenue and cash flow metrics over the next seven years [1]