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Better Growth Stock: Coupang vs. Sea Limited
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-22 08:15
Core Viewpoint - Coupang and Sea Limited, once popular growth stocks, are now being evaluated for their potential as turnaround plays in the current market environment [1][3]. Coupang Overview - Coupang operates South Korea's largest e-commerce platform and went public at $35 in March 2021, reaching an all-time high of $50.45 shortly after [2]. - The stock currently trades at approximately $27, having retreated from its peak due to slowed growth and rising interest rates [3]. - Coupang's active customer base grew from 14.9 million at the end of 2020 to 23.4 million in Q1 2025, with Wow subscribers increasing from 6 million in 2020 to 13 million in 2023 [6]. - The company has expanded its marketplace to Taiwan and acquired Farfetch to diversify beyond South Korea, achieving a revenue CAGR of 26% from 2020 to 2024 [7]. - Coupang turned profitable on a GAAP basis in 2023 and 2024, driven by higher-margin marketplace expansion and automation [8]. - Analysts project Coupang's revenue and GAAP EPS to grow at CAGRs of 13% and 130% from 2024 to 2027, respectively, with a current valuation of 1.4 times this year's sales [9]. Sea Limited Overview - Sea Limited, based in Singapore, operates Shopee, the leading e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia, and went public at $15 in October 2017, reaching a peak of $366.99 in October 2021 [2]. - The stock currently trades at around $163, facing challenges as growth has slowed and competition has intensified [3][12]. - Sea's strategy relied on Garena's gaming profits to subsidize Shopee's losses, but the gaming segment has faced setbacks, including the ban of Free Fire in India [11]. - Despite these challenges, Sea's revenue grew at a CAGR of 40% from 2020 to 2024, and it also turned profitable on a GAAP basis in 2023 and 2024 [14]. - Analysts expect Sea's revenue and GAAP EPS to grow at CAGRs of 20% and 97% from 2024 to 2027, with plans to enhance Shopee's features and expand into Vietnam [15]. Investment Comparison - Coupang is viewed as a more balanced investment with a cheaper valuation compared to Sea, which is heavily reliant on a single aging video game for profits [16]. - While Sea is growing faster, its higher forward price-to-sales ratio makes it less attractive than Coupang [16].
Sea Limited: Becoming Self-Evident
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-21 22:10
Core Insights - Louis Stevens is a highly regarded investment analyst with a background as a former U.S. Army engineer officer, holding an MBA and a BA in political science [1] - He has established L.A. Stevens Research, which includes the LAS Index, a stock basket selected through a proprietary investment method that has consistently outperformed market indices since its inception [2] Company Overview - L.A. Stevens Research is focused on providing investment research and analysis, catering to a diverse audience from beginners to seasoned professionals [2] - The LAS Index is a key product of the company, showcasing a selection of stocks that have demonstrated superior performance compared to traditional indices [2]
Sea Stock Could Soon Extend Rally
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-20 19:09
Core Viewpoint - Sea Ltd (NYSE:SE) is experiencing a significant rally, recently reaching a three-year high of $165.31, with current trading at $162.51, following support at the $100 level [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock has shown a strong upward trend, hitting a peak amid low implied volatility, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 35%, which is in the 6th percentile of its annual range [2]. - Historical data indicates that after similar low volatility conditions, the stock was higher one month later 83% of the time, with an average gain of 8.7%, suggesting potential for further price appreciation [2]. Group 2: Earnings and Analyst Ratings - Following a positive first-quarter report, Sea Ltd achieved its sixth consecutive post-earnings win, attracting bullish attention [4]. - Among the 21 analysts covering the stock, five maintain a "hold" rating, indicating potential for upward price target adjustments if the stock continues to rally beyond the 12-month consensus price target of $173.40 [4].
Sea Limited: Still Cheap Despite The Monstrous Rally - Maintain Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-20 15:11
I am a full-time analyst interested in a wide range of stocks. With my unique insights and knowledge, I hope to provide other investors with a contrasting view of my portfolio, given my particular background.If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me via a direct message on Seeking Alpha or leave a comment on one of my articles.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AMZN either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myse ...
Sea: Improved Gaming Trends On Top Of Record E-Commerce Margins (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-20 11:15
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of reallocating a larger portion of investment portfolios towards international stocks, particularly in light of the recent rebound in U.S. stocks and their high valuation multiples. It highlights the potential of both value and growth opportunities in international markets [1]. Group 1 - The current market environment shows a significant rebound in U.S. stocks, which have reclaimed high valuation multiples [1]. - There is a strong focus on value in international stocks, but growth stories should not be overlooked [1]. - The author, Gary Alexander, has extensive experience in technology and startup sectors, providing insights into current industry trends [1].
1 Glorious Growth Stock Down 57% You'll Wish You'd Bought on the Dip in 2025
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-19 08:19
Core Insights - Sea Limited operates the largest e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia, along with a successful mobile game studio and a growing digital financial services business [1][2] - The company's stock has increased by 52% year-to-date but remains 57% below its all-time high from 2021, indicating potential for recovery [2] E-commerce Segment - Sea's e-commerce platform, Shopee, processed 3.1 billion orders worth $28.6 billion in Q1 2025, positioning it as a leading player in the region [4] - New features like "instant delivery" and VIP memberships have been introduced in Indonesia, with 1 million customers signing up for the membership program [5] Digital Financial Services - The digital financial services platform, Monee, has a loan book of $5.8 billion, reflecting a 75% year-over-year increase, and serves 28 million users, up 50% [6] - Monee provides loans to Shopee sellers and consumers, enhancing spending power and business growth [6] Digital Entertainment - Garena, the mobile game development studio, has seen a sequential and year-over-year increase in quarterly active users to 661.8 million, although still below its peak [7][8] - Revenue from the digital entertainment segment increased by 8.2% to $495.6 million due to the uptick in active users [10] Financial Performance - Sea generated $4.8 billion in total revenue in Q1, a 29.6% increase year-over-year, with Shopee contributing $3.5 billion [9] - Monee's revenue grew by 57.6% to $787.1 million, highlighting its status as the fastest-growing segment [10] - The company reported a net income of $410.8 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $23 million in the previous year [11] Valuation and Future Outlook - Despite a 52% increase in stock price in 2025, Sea's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio stands at 5.7, below the historical average of 9.2 [12] - The company has a strong balance sheet with $10.3 billion in cash and equivalents, allowing for reinvestment into growth initiatives [14] - Sea stock is considered a good value, especially as the broader market approaches record highs [15]
华泰证券今日早参-20250516
HTSC· 2025-05-16 02:29
Key Insights - The report indicates that the intersection of financial reports and macroeconomic improvement is evident, with April's overall industry prosperity index continuing to decline but at a slower rate [1] - The sectors showing potential for growth include TMT components such as storage chains, communication equipment, computer devices, and software development [1] - Certain manufacturing industries are reportedly surpassing capacity cycle inflection points, with signs of demand stabilization, particularly in military electronics, aviation equipment, general machinery, agricultural machinery, batteries, wind power equipment, and photovoltaic equipment [1] - Consumer staples and discretionary goods are experiencing a recovery in prosperity rates, including dairy products, dining-seasoning products, and personal care items [1] - Price increases or stabilization is noted in some cyclical goods, including precious metals, rare earths, steel, and cement [1] Company-Specific Insights - Tencent Holdings reported a 13% year-on-year revenue growth in Q1, exceeding consensus expectations by 2.5%, with value-added services, advertising, and fintech revenues growing by 17%, 20%, and 5% respectively [2] - The adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 22% year-on-year, also surpassing expectations by 2.5% [2] - Capital expenditures for Q1 reached 27.5 billion, aligning with the company's capex progress, which is expected to account for 11-13% of revenue in 2025 [2] - The long-term outlook for Tencent's gaming operations remains positive, with the WeChat mini-store expected to drive growth in commissions and advertising [2] Additional Company Insights - SEA's Q1 revenue was reported at $4.84 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 29.6%, slightly below the consensus expectation of 31.2% due to deferred gaming revenue and lower-than-expected e-commerce revenue [5] - Adjusted EBITDA for SEA was $0.95 billion, outperforming the consensus estimate of $0.7 billion [5] - Management maintains a 20% growth guidance for e-commerce GMV in 2025, with expectations for double-digit growth in active users and bookings in the gaming segment [5]
老虎环球基金Q1持仓:Meta(META.US)稳坐头号重仓股 清仓Arm(ARM.US)、高通(QCOM.US)等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 00:49
Core Insights - Tiger Global's total market value for Q1 2025 reached $26.6 billion, a slight increase from $26.5 billion in the previous quarter, reflecting a quarter-over-quarter growth of 5.36% [1][2] - The fund added 5 new stocks to its portfolio, increased holdings in 14 stocks, reduced holdings in 2 stocks, and completely exited 9 stocks during the quarter [1][2] - The top 10 holdings accounted for 62.74% of the total portfolio value [1][2] Holdings Overview - The largest holding is Meta (META.US) with approximately 7.47 million shares valued at about $4.3 billion, representing 16.18% of the portfolio [2][3] - Microsoft (MSFT.US) is the second-largest holding with around 6.24 million shares valued at approximately $2.3 billion, which is 8.81% of the portfolio, showing a 16.78% increase in shares from the previous quarter [3][4] - Other significant holdings include Sea (SE.US), Google (GOOGL.US), and Amazon (AMZN.US), with respective portfolio percentages of 7.87%, 5.99%, and 4.71% [3][4] Trading Activity - The top five new purchases included Applovin (APP.US), Zillow-C (Z.US), GE Vernova (GE.US), Block (XYZ.US), and Zillow-A (ZG.US) [4][5] - The top five sold-out positions were Apollo Global Management (APO.US), Qualcomm (QCOM.US), Uber (UBER.US), Datadog (DDOG.US), and Atlassian (TEAM.US) [5][6] - The turnover rate for the portfolio was 25.93%, indicating a relatively active trading strategy [2]
Sea Limited(SE):1Q25利润超预期,维持全年指引
SPDB International· 2025-05-15 07:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price raised to $170, indicating a potential upside of 19% from the current price of $142.45 [2][4][17]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of $4.84 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30%. Adjusted EBITDA reached $950 million, exceeding market expectations by 36%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.6% [1]. - E-commerce revenue grew by 28.3% year-on-year, with GMV increasing by 21.5%. The adjusted EBITDA margin for e-commerce improved to 7.5%, driven by scale expansion, cost optimization, and enhanced monetization capabilities [1]. - The digital financial services segment saw a 58% year-on-year revenue growth, with over 4 million new borrowers and a loan principal of $5.8 billion. The business has been rebranded as Monee, positioning it as one of Southeast Asia's largest unsecured consumer loan companies [2]. - The gaming segment experienced an 8% year-on-year revenue growth, with game revenue increasing by 51.4%, largely due to successful IP collaborations [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY25E, the company expects revenue to reach $21.14 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA of $3.59 billion and a net profit of $1.77 billion, reflecting significant growth from previous years [4][9]. - The adjusted net profit margin is projected to improve to 8.4% by FY25E, with a continued upward trend in profitability expected through FY27E [9]. Business Segments - E-commerce remains a key growth driver, with a focus on local market penetration and resilience against tariff uncertainties due to low cross-border trade exposure [1]. - The digital financial services segment is expected to continue its rapid growth, supported by effective credit risk management and adaptability to macroeconomic changes [2]. - The gaming segment is anticipated to maintain double-digit growth in users and revenue, bolstered by successful game launches and collaborations [2]. Market Position - The company is well-positioned in the market with strong competitive advantages, including localized operations and a robust product offering that minimizes the impact of discretionary spending fluctuations [1][2].
SEA(SE US):利润好于预期,电商规模效应显现
HTSC· 2025-05-15 04:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of $168.00 [7][8]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was $4.84 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 29.6%, slightly below the consensus estimate of 31.2%. The adjusted EBITDA was $950 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $700 million. Management maintains a guidance of 20% growth in e-commerce GMV for 2025, with expectations of double-digit growth in active users and bookings in the gaming segment [1][5]. Summary by Sections E-commerce - E-commerce revenue grew by 28.3% year-over-year to $3.52 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of 30.3%. The adjusted EBITDA for this segment was $260 million, with an EBITDA margin of 7.5%, improving by 8.3 percentage points year-over-year. The order volume and GMV increased by 19% and 22%, respectively. Management is focused on enhancing service quality for sellers to drive more usage of advertising tools, with the number of participating sellers and average ad spend increasing by 22% and 28%, respectively [2]. Digital Payments - Digital payments revenue surged by 57.6% year-over-year to $790 million, outperforming the consensus estimate of 51.3%. The adjusted EBITDA for this segment was $240 million, up 62.4%, with an EBITDA margin of 30.7%. As of the end of Q1 2025, the loan balance for Monee was approximately $5.8 billion, with a non-performing loan ratio of about 1.1%, showing a decrease quarter-over-quarter. The brand name was changed from SeaMoney to Monee to reflect synergy with Shopee [3]. Gaming - Gaming revenue increased by 8.2% year-over-year to $500 million, below the consensus estimate of 15.0%, primarily due to deferred revenue. The adjusted EBITDA for this segment was $460 million, up 56.8%, with an EBITDA margin of 92.5%. The net bookings reached $780 million, a year-over-year increase of 51.4%. The active user count for Q1 2025 was 660 million, up 11.3%, with paying users at 64.6 million, a 32.1% increase [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 has been raised by 15.7%, 14.7%, and 13.2% to $3.52 billion, $4.53 billion, and $5.39 billion, respectively. The target price has been adjusted to $168.00 based on a sum-of-the-parts valuation model [5][30]. Financial Metrics - The projected revenue for 2025 is $20.89 billion, with a year-over-year growth rate of 24.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach $1.89 billion, reflecting a significant increase of 325.79% year-over-year. The EPS for 2025 is projected at $3.20, with a PE ratio of 48.23 [6][39].