Key Takeaways SE to report Q2 2025 earnings on Aug. 12, with EPS estimate of 99 cents and revenues of $5.12B.Competitive pressure and high logistics costs may have weighed on SE's e-commerce margins.Shopee's GMV growth and surging ad revenues are expected to have boosted SE's Q2 performance.Sea Limited (SE) is set to report second-quarter 2025 results on Aug. 12.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SE’s second-quarter earnings is pegged at 99 cents per share, down four cents over the past 30 days. Sea Limited r ...

Core Viewpoint - The average brokerage recommendation (ABR) for Sea Limited is 1.52, indicating a consensus leaning towards a "Buy" rating, but caution is advised as brokerage recommendations may not reliably predict stock performance [2][5][10]. Brokerage Recommendations - Sea Limited has an ABR of 1.52, which is between "Strong Buy" and "Buy," based on recommendations from 22 brokerage firms [2]. - Out of the 22 recommendations, 15 are classified as "Strong Buy" (68.2%) and 2 as "Buy" (9.1%) [2]. Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Brokerage recommendations often exhibit a positive bias due to the vested interests of the firms, leading to a higher number of "Strong Buy" ratings compared to "Strong Sell" [6][10]. - The ABR may not be up-to-date, and brokerage analysts tend to be overly optimistic, which can mislead investors [10][12]. Zacks Rank Comparison - Zacks Rank is a proprietary tool that categorizes stocks based on earnings estimate revisions, showing a strong correlation with near-term stock price movements [8][11]. - The Zacks Rank for Sea Limited is currently 4 (Sell), indicating a negative outlook based on recent earnings estimate revisions, which have declined by 3.8% to $4.07 [13][14]. Investment Implications - Given the declining earnings estimates and the Zacks Rank of 4, it is advisable to approach the "Buy" recommendation from the ABR with caution [14].

Core Insights - Sea Limited is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.99 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 115.2% and revenues of $5.12 billion, which is a 31.1% increase compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 3%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3] Revenue Projections - The consensus estimate for 'Revenue- E-Commerce' is projected at $3.62 billion, representing a year-over-year change of +28.4% [4] - 'Revenue- Digital Financial Services' is expected to reach $799.75 million, indicating a year-over-year change of +54% [5] - 'Revenue- Other Services' is projected to be $36.66 million, reflecting a +19.4% change from the prior year [5] User Metrics - Analysts forecast 'Quarterly active users' to be 664, up from 648 in the same quarter last year [6] - The estimate for 'Quarterly paying users' is 60, compared to 53 in the previous year [6] EBITDA Estimates - 'Adjusted EBITDA- Digital Entertainment' is expected to reach $357.85 million, up from $302.80 million year-over-year [6] - 'Adjusted EBITDA- Digital Financial Services' is projected at $249.39 million, compared to $164.68 million in the same quarter last year [7] Stock Performance - Shares of Sea Limited have decreased by 3.4% in the past month, contrasting with a +1.2% move of the Zacks S&P 500 composite [7]

Core Viewpoint - The partnership between Indonesia's largest streaming platform Vidio and Southeast Asian e-commerce giant Shopee marks a significant step in enhancing the digital ecosystem and creating a more attractive shopping experience for customers [1] Group 1: Shopee's New Fee Policy - Shopee Indonesia has introduced a new order processing fee of 1,250 Indonesian Rupiah (approximately 0.56 RMB) per completed transaction, applicable to all sellers on the platform [1][2] - New sellers and those without a Star rating are exempt from this fee for their first 50 orders, aimed at reducing the initial operational burden and encouraging more sellers to join [2] - The new fee structure is expected to pressure sellers, particularly those relying on low-price strategies, as they may struggle to absorb these additional costs without raising prices [2][3] Group 2: Financial Pressures and Strategic Shifts - Shopee's decision to implement these fees is driven by significant logistics costs, which account for approximately 17% of the total transaction value in Indonesia [3] - The company is transitioning from a "burning money" expansion strategy to a "profit-first" approach, reflecting a broader trend in the cross-border e-commerce industry [4][5] - Shopee aims to optimize its financial model by leveraging its scale and increasing fees, which is indicative of a shift towards profitability in the competitive landscape [5] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Competition - Shopee remains the market leader in Southeast Asia, holding a 46% market share in Indonesia, followed by local competitor Tokopedia at 23% [6] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, particularly with TikTok's acquisition of a majority stake in Tokopedia, which could significantly enhance TikTok's market presence [6][8] - The Indonesian e-commerce market is projected to grow rapidly, driven by a young population and government support for digital payments and logistics [6] Group 4: Challenges Ahead - Shopee faces challenges from increased regulatory scrutiny and rising compliance costs, which could impact its operations in Indonesia [9] - The company must adapt to a market where low-price competition is reaching its limits, necessitating a shift in strategy to maintain growth [9] - The rise of TikTok Shop, which has seen a significant increase in seller numbers and transaction volumes, poses a formidable challenge to Shopee's market dominance [8]

智通财经APP获悉，国际大行瑞银(UBS)在Sea Ltd (SE.US)2025年第二季度财报发布前夕继续看好其前景，维持对这家东南亚互联网巨头的"买入"评级，重 申目标股价200美元。相比7月29日收盘价，目标股价意味未来12个月内约24%潜在牛市上涨空间。这一乐观立场源于瑞银对Sea核心业务持续改善的信心： 电商业务竞争趋于理性、利润率提升，数字金融和游戏板块也展现稳健增长潜力。瑞银强调，公司当前估值水平将随着盈利增长而迅速消化，维持看涨评级 并给予高目标价体现了其对Sea后续业绩和估值扩张的乐观预期。 看涨这家业务范围覆盖游戏、电商以及数字金融等业务的东南亚互联网巨头的核心理由方面，瑞银指出区域电商竞争环境的改善是重要利好因素之一。尤其 是Shopee所在的东南亚电商市场价格战趋缓，意味着Sea有望在不牺牲利润率的情况下保持领先增速。 与此同时，瑞银指出Sea旗下三大板块形成协同效应：电商业务贡献高速增长，数字金融服务有望成为新盈利引擎，游戏平台业务提供稳定的现金流支持。 这种多元化的业务结构加上管理层持续的成本控制，使瑞银相信Sea在未来几年将实现盈利的跨越式增长。因此，在财报公布前瑞银保持乐观态度 ...

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1]. - The content may include advertisements and promotional materials, with the website potentially receiving compensation from third parties [1].

Core Insights - Sea Limited has successfully rebuilt its business after a significant decline in stock value, dropping 91% from its peak in late 2021 [1][2] - The company is now a more disciplined and profitable enterprise, with all three core segments—Shopee, Monee, and Garena—generating positive operating income [2][14] - The focus for long-term investors is on the next phase of growth, which may be more sustainable than previous growth periods [3] Segment Summaries Shopee: E-commerce Growth - Shopee holds a dominant 48% market share in Southeast Asia's e-commerce sector and is focusing on deepening monetization rather than merely increasing user numbers [5][6] - Strategies for improving take rates include enhanced seller ads, logistics services, financial products, AI-driven personalization, loyalty programs, and category expansion [7][5] - The leadership position of Shopee allows for increased monetization without losing users, potentially making it a reliable source of profit growth [6] Monee: Fintech Expansion - Monee, Sea's fintech arm, is rapidly evolving into a significant profit contributor, offering a range of digital financial services [8] - The digital lending business has grown substantially, with over 28 million active borrowers and $5.8 billion in outstanding loans, generating $787 million in revenue and $241 million in adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2025 [9][10] - Monee is expanding into adjacent verticals such as buy now, pay later, insurance, SME lending, and investments, enhancing its role in Sea's digital ecosystem [10] Garena: Gaming Recovery - Garena, once Sea's flagship business, is showing signs of stability after a decline, with bookings increasing by 51% year over year to $775 million in Q1 2025 [11] - The core title, Free Fire, remains the top mobile battle royale game globally, and the company is investing in content refreshes and esports events to sustain growth [11][12] - Garena is also exploring new game development and potential reentry into the Indian market, which could unlock significant growth opportunities [13] Investor Implications - Despite the previous hype fading, Sea's stock is on a recovery path with improved fundamentals across its multi-engine business [14] - Efficient monetization in Shopee, scaling in Monee, and a rebound in Garena suggest that Sea still has growth potential [14]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reliability of brokerage recommendations, particularly focusing on Sea Limited Sponsored ADR (SE), and suggests that while the average brokerage recommendation (ABR) indicates a favorable outlook, investors should exercise caution and validate these recommendations with other tools like Zacks Rank [1][5][10]. Brokerage Recommendation Summary - Sea Limited has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.52, which is between Strong Buy and Buy, based on recommendations from 22 brokerage firms [2]. - Out of the 22 recommendations, 15 are Strong Buy and 2 are Buy, accounting for 68.2% and 9.1% of all recommendations respectively [2]. Zacks Rank Insights - The Zacks Rank, a proprietary stock rating tool, categorizes stocks from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) and is based on earnings estimate revisions, which have shown a strong correlation with near-term stock price movements [8][11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Sea Limited remains unchanged at $4.23, indicating steady analyst views on the company's earnings prospects [13]. - Sea Limited currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting a cautious approach despite the favorable ABR [14].

Company Overview - Sea Limited 成立于 2009 年，是第三家成立的公司 [1]

Group 1: Shopee Site Selection Strategy - Southeast Asia core markets exhibit both maturity and potential, with Indonesia projected to reach a $65 billion e-commerce scale by 2025, focusing on high-cost performance products like 3C accessories and baby products [1][3] - Thailand's e-commerce is rapidly growing, with beauty and personal care, women's clothing, and food and beverage as hot-selling categories, suggesting a focus on fashion and health products [1][3] - Vietnam's beauty and personal care dominate, with a significant 14% annual growth in 3C electronics and home goods, especially during the rainy season [3] - Brazil's GMV is expected to reach $10 billion by 2025, with a 50% reduction in logistics costs through local warehousing [3] - Taiwan's consumer habits are similar to mainland China, making it suitable for high-end operations with a 1-2 day delivery time [3] Group 2: Advantages of Daifa Tong's Overseas Warehouse Services - Logistics efficiency is enhanced with over 20 self-operated warehouses across Southeast Asia and Brazil, processing 200,000 orders daily, and reducing delivery times from 15-30 days to 3-7 days [5] - Cost savings are achieved through a combination of bulk sea freight and local delivery, with logistics costs for 3C accessories reduced by 50% [5] - Real-time inventory management and automated order processing significantly reduce manual handling time and error rates [6] - Localized value-added services, including customized packaging and local customer support, improve customer satisfaction and reduce damage rates [7] Group 3: Practical Recommendations and Resource Integration - Initial testing should involve 2-3 sites, such as Thailand, Vietnam, and Brazil, to identify high-potential categories [9] - A cost control strategy combining local warehousing for popular products and cross-border direct shipping for long-tail SKUs can optimize logistics costs by 40% [11] - Data-driven operations can enhance inventory turnover rates to over 4 times per month and reduce unsold inventory by 30% [12] Group 4: Overall Strategy and Conclusion - Shopee's site selection should consider product characteristics, operational capabilities, and policy benefits, prioritizing markets like Indonesia and Thailand while seizing opportunities in Brazil and Vietnam [15] - Daifa Tong's overseas warehouse services provide a comprehensive solution through improved logistics, cost optimization, and local support, enabling sellers to achieve scalable growth [15]