With just one subscription to Beyond the Wall Investing , you can save thousands of dollars a year on equity research reports from banks. You'll keep your finger on the pulse and have access to the latest and highest-quality analysis of this type of information.I've been covering Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI ) since January 2024, initially rating the stock as a Buy, and then withdrawing that rating and assigning it again as the market conditions and theHe leads the investing group Beyond the Wal ...

Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is expected to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with projected revenues between $5.6 billion and $6.4 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 12.76% [1]. Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The company anticipates non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) between 40 cents and 50 cents, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at 44 cents, reflecting a decline of 30.2% from the previous year [2]. - The earnings estimates have remained unchanged over the past 60 days [2]. Recent Performance and Estimates - SMCI's earnings have beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate twice in the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 5.72% [3]. - Current EPS estimates for the upcoming quarters are 0.44 for Q4 2025 and 0.56 for Q1 2026, with a projected EPS of 2.07 for the current year and 2.51 for the next year [3]. Factors Influencing Q4 Results - The anticipated revenue growth is driven by strong demand for direct liquid cooling (DLC) servers and AI solutions, particularly from hyperscalers and high-performance computing customers [6][9]. - New product offerings, including Supermicro 4-Socket X14 Servers and collaborations with NVIDIA for AI deployments, are expected to contribute positively to revenue [7][9]. - SMCI holds approximately 70% market share in the DLC space, which is likely to provide stability to its revenue [8]. Margin Pressures - The company faces margin pressures due to higher costs, competitive pricing, and delays in customer purchases [9][10]. - Factors such as unfavorable product mix and increased costs associated with ramping up production for DLC technology are contributing to margin contraction [10]. Stock Performance and Valuation - SMCI shares have increased by 103.9% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Storage Devices industry, which gained 20.2% [11]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.71X, higher than the industry average of 19.94X [12]. Investment Thesis - SMCI is positioned as a key player in AI infrastructure, leveraging its liquid cooling technology and broad AI product portfolio for long-term growth [14]. - The company is enhancing its capabilities in AI training and inference infrastructure by integrating Intel and AMD technologies [15][16]. Demand Challenges - Customer purchasing delays due to anticipation of newer AI platforms are impacting revenue, alongside significant inventory write-downs related to older-generation GPUs [17]. - The company is experiencing a slowdown in revenue growth, raising concerns for investors [18].

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer Inc. operates in the AI infrastructure market, focusing on high-performance server and storage solutions [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The company has two main segments: Server and Storage Systems (SSS) and Subsystems and Accessories [1] Group 2: Market Position - Super Micro Computer Inc. is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI infrastructure, which is critical for various industries [1]

Company Overview - Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) is expected to announce its Q4 2025 earnings around August 5, 2025, with a stock performance increase of nearly 60% in the past three months [2] - The company's current market capitalization is $36 billion, with revenue for the past twelve months at $22 billion, operating profits of $1.3 billion, and a net income of $1.2 billion [4] Earnings Expectations - Revenues are anticipated to increase by approximately 11% year-over-year to $5.9 billion, while earnings are projected to be around $0.44 per share, slightly down from the previous year [2] - Revenue growth is likely driven by sustained demand from the AI, cloud computing, and data center sectors [2] Product Developments - New offerings such as high-memory X14 servers and advanced liquid-cooled GPU systems utilizing AMD Instinct MI350s are expected to significantly contribute to business performance during this quarter [3] - The company is prioritizing the development of liquid cooling technology for servers, which has put pressure on margins [3] Margin Analysis - As of Q3 FY'25, Super Micro's gross margin was 9.6%, down from 11.8% in Q2 FY'25 and 15.5% in Q3 FY'24 [3] Historical Performance Insights - There have been 20 recorded earnings instances in the last five years, with 10 positive and 10 negative one-day (1D) returns, indicating a 50% occurrence of positive returns [7] - The percentage of positive returns falls to 27% when considering data from the last three years [7] Correlation Analysis - Understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings can help in positioning trades effectively [8] - Historical data shows that the correlation between 1D and 5D returns can guide trading strategies post-earnings announcements [8]

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is hosting the 2025 Open Storage Summit, focusing on the evolving landscape of storage workloads and AI's impact on storage infrastructure [1][2] - The summit will feature nine sessions, forty expert speakers, and participation from 23 companies, highlighting specific storage use cases and providing actionable advice for data center managers [2][6] Event Details - The Open Storage Summit will run from August 12 to August 28, 2025, and will include discussions on topics such as agentic AI, storage-as-a-service, and modernizing enterprise applications for AI [2][6] - Returning participants include industry leaders like AMD, Intel, NVIDIA, and new additions such as EDB and MinIO [3][4] Session Highlights - Key sessions include "Tiered Storage for AI Workloads," "Agentic AI Storage Solutions," and "Storage to Enable Inference at Scale," among others [5][8] - Each session aims to address technical challenges and provide insights into best practices for implementing AI and storage solutions [4][10] Industry Collaboration - The summit emphasizes the need for collaboration among leaders in hardware, software, and storage to deliver optimal customer solutions [3][4] - The event aims to foster innovative thinking and outcomes by bringing together experts from various fields [4]

Core Viewpoint - U.S. stock market shows mixed performance with significant gains for Microsoft and Meta, while Qualcomm faces a decline due to weak mobile business [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Microsoft shares increased nearly 9% in pre-market trading [1] - Meta's stock rose by 12% [1] - Qualcomm's stock dropped by 4.7% due to weak performance in its mobile business [1] - AMD shares saw a rise of 3% [1] - NVIDIA's stock increased by 2% [1] - Supermicro's shares rose by over 2% [1]

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Parkev Tatevosian is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through his link, he will earn some extra money that supports his channel. His opinions remain his own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool. ...

Seattle, WA, July 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- RAVEL, a leader in IT and workload orchestration software, today announced major updates to its flagship AI offering, RAVEL Orchestrate AI, as well as the launch of solutions leveraging Supermicro Turnkey AI Workload Solution—a powerful and ready-to-deploy AI offering. These products simplify the adoption of scalable AI for organizations across industries, such as data centers, content creation studios, research labs and innovation hubs, and large enterprises. ...

Stock Performance Analysis of Super Micro Computer (SMCI) - SMCI experienced a significant price increase, rising from approximately $30 to over $120 in about two and a half months, resembling an amplified Nvidia in 2023 [1] - The stock faced downward pressure following the "Deep Seek" event, aligning with the downturn in AI-related stocks [2] - A golden cross pattern emerged in late June, coinciding with the stock consolidating above its 200-day moving average [4] - The stock is currently overbought based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) [5] Key Resistance and Support Levels - The swing high from February represents a critical resistance level for SMCI [7] - The $70 level is identified as a significant confluence of resistance, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, the February swing high, and a previous support area from early 2024 [10][11] - A potential support level is identified around $59, coinciding with a Fibonacci level and potentially the 50-day moving average [17] Trading Strategy and Market Outlook - A conservative approach suggests waiting for a failure at the $70 level before considering a short position [12][17] - The analyst suggests caution due to the market being near all-time highs and the potential for increased volatility during earnings season [12][13] - The analyst notes that SMCI may not be as volatile as it matures as a stock, with trading volume having decreased compared to when the stock was initially rising rapidly [15][16]

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has seen a significant share price increase of 97% in 2025, outperforming NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) which gained 31.6% [2][10] - The company has secured a $20 billion deal with Saudi Arabian data center operator DataVolt, enhancing investor confidence [4][10] - Supermicro's shares rose 10% following the announcement of a provisional patent for its ARMS 200 modular data center, with SMCI as the exclusive server supplier [2] Financial Performance - Supermicro's stock rebounded with a 60.8% increase after a new auditor confirmed the fairness of its financial statements, clearing it of fraud allegations [3] - In the March quarter, revenue growth fell short of expectations due to shipment delays of NVIDIA's Blackwell chips, but no delays are anticipated for the June quarter [5] - The company's non-GAAP gross margin for the fiscal 2025 third quarter was 9.7%, down from 11.8% in the previous quarter and 15.5% in the same quarter last year, indicating margin pressure [8] Market Position and Competition - Supermicro holds an 8% share in the AI server market, significantly lower than NVIDIA's over 80% share in the AI GPU market, making it premature to compare Supermicro to NVIDIA [7][10] - Major technology vendors are intensifying competition against Supermicro, which is affecting its margins [8] - The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 38.1%, higher than the industry average of 32.5%, indicating greater financial risk [9] Future Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's earnings per share (EPS) is projected at $2.07, down by 39.7% from a year ago, reflecting slowing EPS estimates amid tough competition [12]