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Down 88% From Its All-Time High, Here's 1 Big Reason Snap Stock Can Snap Back in 2025
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-08 08:48
Core Insights - Snap's stock has experienced a significant decline of 88% from its peak value, primarily due to privacy changes by Apple that affected its advertising effectiveness [2][5] - The company is showing signs of recovery, with improvements in its advertising technology and a growing user base [6][10] Group 1: Stock Performance - Snap's stock reached an all-time high of $83 in September 2021, representing a 388% gain from its IPO price of $17 [1] - Following the peak, Snap's stock has lost 88% of its value, indicating substantial volatility [2] Group 2: Advertising Challenges - Apple's privacy changes in 2021 required app developers to obtain user consent for tracking, which negatively impacted Snap's ability to sell targeted ads [4][5] - Meta Platforms adapted quickly to these changes, while Snap was slower but has made significant progress with a new machine learning-powered advertising engine [6] Group 3: Revenue Trends - Snap's annual revenue grew by 64% in 2021 but fell to 12% in 2022 and less than 1% in 2023 [8] - In 2024, Snap achieved record revenue of $5.4 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 16% [9] Group 4: User Engagement - As of the end of Q1 2025, Snapchat had 460 million daily active users, a 9% increase year over year, indicating strong user engagement [10] - The platform has gained approximately 140 million more daily users since the end of 2021, enhancing its attractiveness to advertisers [12] Group 5: Valuation and Investment Potential - Snap's current price-to-sales ratio is 2.8, near its lowest level since going public in 2017, suggesting a potentially undervalued stock [13] - If Snap successfully addresses its advertising challenges, it could lead to increased investor confidence and higher valuations in the future [15]
Where Will Snap Stock Be In 1 Year?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-08 08:00
Core Viewpoint - Snap has faced significant challenges over the past year, resulting in a substantial decline in its stock value, but there are signs of stabilization and potential growth in the near future [2][3][11]. Company Performance - Snap's stock has lost over 43% of its value in the past 12 months, trading 45% below its IPO price and nearly 89% below its all-time high due to slowing ad sales and increased competition [2][3]. - The company reported a flat revenue growth in 2023 after previous increases of 64% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, primarily due to Apple's iOS update, competition from TikTok and Instagram, and a challenging macroeconomic environment [5][6]. - In 2024, Snap's revenue rose by 16%, driven by growth in daily active users (DAUs) and improvements in average revenue per user (ARPU) in North America [7]. User Metrics - Snap has 460 million daily active users, but growth in North America has stagnated while overseas markets have shown stronger growth [3][6]. - DAU growth is projected to be 10% in Q1 2024, tapering to 9% in subsequent quarters, while ARPU growth is expected to decline from 10% in Q1 2024 to 5% by Q1 2025 [8]. Financial Metrics - Snap's operating margin remains negative but has improved year over year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin doubling to 8% in Q1 2025 [9][10]. - The operating margin is projected to improve from (28%) in Q1 2024 to (2%) in Q4 2024, while the adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to rise from 4% in Q1 2024 to 18% in Q4 2024 [10]. Future Outlook - Snap did not provide guidance for Q2 2024 due to uncertainties related to ad sales from Chinese e-commerce companies and broader trade headwinds affecting the advertising market [11]. - Analysts expect Snap's revenue to grow by 9% in 2025 and 11% in 2026, with adjusted EBITDA growth projected at 6% in 2025 and accelerating to 45% in 2026 [12]. - With an enterprise value of $15.6 billion, Snap's stock is considered reasonably valued, with potential for a 45% increase over the next 12 months if it meets expectations [13].
Snap (SNAP) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 23:01
Company Performance - Snap's stock closed at $9.27, reflecting a -1.17% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.83% [1] - Over the past month, Snap's shares increased by 11.01%, outperforming the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 8.25% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.99% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Snap's upcoming EPS is projected at $0, indicating a 100.00% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $1.34 billion, representing a 7.96% increase from the previous year [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, earnings are projected at $0.25 per share, a decrease of -13.79% from the previous year, while revenue is expected to be $5.82 billion, an increase of +8.59% [3] Analyst Estimates and Valuation - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Snap reflect evolving short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating optimism about the business outlook [3] - Snap has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a Forward P/E ratio of 38.29, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 28.74 [5] Industry Metrics - Snap's PEG ratio is 1.09, which is lower than the Internet - Software industry's average PEG ratio of 2.22 [6] - The Internet - Software industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 46, placing it in the top 19% of over 250 industries [6][7]
Snap's Quiet Comeback: Finally Getting Its Act Together?
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-03 14:46
Group 1 - Snap Inc. has experienced a significant decline, down over 40% in the past year [1] - The company faces challenges from the rise of TikTok and changes in Apple's privacy policy [1] - Despite these headwinds, there are indications of recent positive developments for Snap Inc. [1]
Snapchat: Margin Expansion Will Power The Snap-Back
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-03 09:43
Core Insights - Snapchat (SNAP) is facing significant challenges, indicated by its low stock valuation which is at a deep discount compared to close peers [1] - The company is less profitable and has a more leveraged balance sheet than its competitors [1] Company Analysis - Snapchat's stock valuation suggests potential trouble, as it is trading at a significant discount relative to similar companies in the industry [1] - The profitability of Snapchat is lower compared to its peers, which raises concerns about its financial health [1] - The company's balance sheet shows higher leverage, indicating increased financial risk [1] Investment Perspective - The article highlights the importance of identifying undervalued companies with strong growth potential, which is a principle followed by the investing group led by Julian [1] - The focus is on companies with robust balance sheets and effective management teams, particularly in sectors with long-term growth opportunities [1]
Snap (SNAP) Surges 7.6%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?
ZACKS· 2025-07-02 13:35
Company Overview - Snap's shares increased by 7.6% to $9.35 in the last trading session, with a higher-than-average trading volume, compared to a 6% gain over the past four weeks [1] - The company is approaching its goal of 1 billion monthly active users (MAU), having surpassed 900 million MAU in April, with significant growth in markets like India, where MAU exceeded 250 million [2] Financial Performance - Snap is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.00 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 100%, while revenues are projected to be $1.34 billion, an 8% increase from the previous year [3] - The consensus EPS estimate for Snap has been revised 1.6% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive trend that may lead to price appreciation [4] Industry Context - Snap operates within the Zacks Internet - Software industry, where Tuya Inc. also competes, having closed the last trading session at $2.33 with a -4.6% return over the past month [4] - Tuya's consensus EPS estimate remains unchanged at $0.03, representing a 25% decline compared to the previous year, and it holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [5]
Apple Sues Ex-Engineer Over Alleged Theft Of Vision Pro Secrets As Snap Prepares AR Glasses Launch
Benzinga· 2025-07-01 23:30
Core Viewpoint - Apple, Inc. has filed a lawsuit against former senior design engineer Di Liu for allegedly stealing confidential information before joining competitor Snap Inc. [1][2] Group 1: Legal Allegations - Apple claims that Liu downloaded thousands of sensitive files and stored them in personal cloud accounts during his final days at the company [1][3] - Liu reportedly did not disclose his new employment with Snap, a competitor in the smart glasses market, when he resigned [2] - During a standard two-week transition period, Liu allegedly accessed and copied proprietary files using his company credentials [3] Group 2: Potential Impact on Competitors - Apple suggested that the information Liu took could benefit Snap's augmented reality products, although no legal action was taken against Snap itself [4] - Snap has stated that they found no evidence linking Liu's alleged actions to his work at their company [4] Group 3: Industry Context - Snap announced plans to launch Specs, a pair of lightweight AR glasses, in 2026, which may be influenced by the information Liu allegedly took [4] - Specs are described as an ultra-powerful wearable computer integrated into a lightweight glasses frame, featuring see-through lenses [5] - Meta is also preparing to launch a new version of its smart glasses, priced between $1,000 and $1,400, intensifying competition in the market [5]
Buy, Sell, Or Hold SNAP Stock At $9?
Forbes· 2025-06-30 13:50
Core Insights - Snap's stock rose 7% on June 27, 2025, due to positive comments on its direct response advertising, potentially allowing it to exceed earnings estimates for the quarter [2] - Despite the recent increase, Snap's stock is down 20% year-to-date, currently valued around $9, presenting a buying opportunity [2] - Snap's financial health shows moderate operating performance, with a focus on growth, profitability, financial stability, and downturn resilience [3] Valuation - Snap has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2.6, which is lower than the S&P 500's ratio of 3.1, indicating it is relatively inexpensive compared to the market [4] Revenue Growth - Snap's revenues have grown at an average rate of 9.4% over the past three years, outperforming the S&P 500's growth of 5.5% [7] - In the last 12 months, Snap's revenues increased by 16.4%, from $4.6 billion to $5.4 billion, compared to a 5.5% growth for the S&P 500 [7] - Quarterly revenues rose 14.4% to $1.6 billion from $1.4 billion year-over-year, again outperforming the S&P 500's 4.8% increase [7] Profitability - Snap's operating income over the last four quarters was -$787 million, resulting in an operating margin of -14.7%, which is significantly lower than most companies in the Trefis coverage universe [6][12] - The company's net income for the last four quarters was -$698 million, reflecting a net income margin of -13.0%, compared to 11.6% for the S&P 500 [12] Financial Stability - Snap's balance sheet appears robust, with total assets of $7.6 billion, including $3.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents, leading to a strong cash-to-assets ratio of 42.5% [8][12] - The company's debt stands at $4.2 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 30.0%, which is moderate compared to the S&P 500's 19.4% [12] Downturn Resilience - Snap's stock has underperformed the S&P 500 during recent downturns, indicating weak resilience in challenging market conditions [9][13] - The stock has experienced significant declines in the past, including a 90.7% drop from its peak in September 2021 to October 2022, compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 [13]
IAS Launches First-to-Market AI-Powered Social Attention Measurement for Snap
Prnewswire· 2025-06-30 12:00
Core Insights - Integral Ad Science (IAS) has formed a strategic partnership with Snap Inc. and Lumen Research to introduce a customized attention measurement tool for Snapchat campaigns, enabling advertisers to gain social attention metrics through a unique Snapchat attention score within the IAS Signal platform [1][3][5] Company Developments - The Snap Attention Measurement combines Lumen's eye-tracking technology with IAS's AI-powered media quality data, allowing advertisers to move beyond traditional viewability metrics and obtain deeper insights into consumer behavior [4][6] - IAS's CEO, Lisa Utzschneider, emphasized the importance of understanding consumer engagement with media, highlighting the partnership's role in providing a comprehensive view of attention to enhance media performance on social platforms [3][5] Industry Impact - This partnership is seen as a significant advancement in the Attention Economy, providing advertisers on Snapchat with the ability to measure how attention influences consumer actions [5] - The new attention measurement tool will be integrated into IAS Signal, which is designed to deliver essential data and insights for optimizing digital campaigns across various channels [5][9]
Why Snap Stock Soared Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-27 18:16
Core Viewpoint - Snap's stock has shown a recent increase, but analysts express caution regarding its future performance and valuation [1][4]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - Snap's Q1 earnings report in April exceeded expectations with a profit of $0.08 per share, doubling consensus forecasts [3]. - For the upcoming Q2 report on July 31, forecasts predict a significant slowdown, with earnings expected to be only $0.01 per share and sales growth projected at high-single digits, approximately $1.3 billion [3][4]. Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - Edgewater Research believes that the consensus forecasts for Snap are overly pessimistic and sees potential for an earnings beat due to the company's momentum in direct-response advertising [4]. - Despite this optimism, Edgewater maintains a neutral rating on Snap, reflecting concerns about the broader economic environment's impact on advertising revenues [4]. Group 3: Valuation Concerns - Snap's current valuation exceeds 46 times its trailing free cash flow, which raises questions about its sustainability given the company's recent sales growth of only 8% and negative GAAP earnings [5]. - To justify such a high valuation, Snap would need to demonstrate significant growth in both sales and earnings, rather than merely avoiding further declines [5][6].