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50% Downside For SNAP Stock?
Forbes· 2025-05-30 10:35
Core Viewpoint - Snap's stock has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 50% from its peak in July of the previous year, with current trading around $8 per share, raising concerns about further declines and its high valuation compared to peers like Meta Platforms [1][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Snap's stock has fallen more than 20% this year and is valued at nearly 35 times its cash flow over the last twelve months, resulting in a cash flow yield of approximately 2.9% [1]. - The company has shown modest average revenue growth of 9% over the past three years, with net margins at -13%, which is below most companies in the Trefis coverage universe [2]. - Snap's user base has increased significantly, with daily active users rising from 319 million in 2021 to 460 million currently, which has historically been rewarded by the market [2]. Group 2: Market Position and Competition - Snap targets younger demographics, particularly Gen Z and Millennials, which are attractive to advertisers due to their future spending potential and engagement with trends [3]. - In contrast, Meta is described as a more stable and entrenched entity, trading at about 17 times cash flow while delivering 13% annual growth, suggesting that Snap's current valuation may not be justified [6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Snap faces the challenge of enhancing its Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) to avoid a slowdown in revenue growth, and it is currently not profitable [4]. - The company’s dependence on digital advertising from sectors like consumer goods and tech services may provide a potential recovery opportunity as advertising expenditures could increase with improved economic conditions [8][10]. - If advertising activities increase, Snap's revenues are likely to follow, as there is pent-up demand from brands that reduced advertising during economic uncertainty [10]. Group 4: Investment Considerations - Comparing Snap with Meta is essential for understanding the risk-reward profile of investing in Snap, as effective investment decisions rely on gauging relative attractiveness [11]. - Snap is currently considered a "high valuation" stock, and anchoring it against Meta provides essential perspective on its investment case [12]. - Investing in a single stock like Snap carries risks, while diversified portfolios like the Trefis High Quality Portfolio have shown superior returns with reduced risk compared to standard indices [13].
Snap (SNAP) Up 4.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 16:36
Company Overview - Snap's shares have increased by approximately 4.8% over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500 index [1] - Recent earnings report indicates a need to analyze catalysts affecting Snap's performance [1] Earnings Estimates - Fresh estimates for Snap have trended downward, with the consensus estimate shifting by -34.58% [2] VGM Scores - Snap has a Growth Score of A, but a Momentum Score of F, and a Value Score of F, placing it in the lowest quintile for value investment strategy [3] - The overall aggregate VGM Score for Snap is C, which is relevant for investors not focused on a single strategy [3] Outlook - The downward trend in estimates suggests a negative outlook for Snap, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [4] Industry Comparison - Snap is part of the Zacks Internet - Software industry, where F5 Networks has seen a 7% increase in the past month [5] - F5 reported revenues of $731.12 million for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year growth of +7.3% and an EPS of $3.42 compared to $2.91 a year ago [5] - F5 is projected to post earnings of $3.49 per share for the current quarter, with a year-over-year change of +3.9% and a Zacks Consensus Estimate change of -0.8% over the last 30 days [6] - F5 holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) based on the direction and magnitude of estimate revisions, along with a VGM Score of C [6]
Snap: Subscription Growth Hiding Advertising Weakness
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-19 21:17
Group 1 - Snap Inc.'s first results showed solid performance primarily due to strong subscription revenue growth, but management's downbeat tone and lack of guidance for Q2 raised concerns among investors [1] - Richard Durant leads Narweena, an asset manager focused on identifying market dislocations and businesses with long-term growth opportunities in markets with barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment strategy emphasizes company and industry fundamentals, targeting deeply undervalued stocks with a high risk appetite and a long-term investment horizon [1] Group 2 - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create new investment opportunities, differing from past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economy is increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments and driving up asset prices while compressing risk premia [1]
Snap (SNAP) Reliance on International Sales: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-05-13 14:22
Core Insights - Snap's international operations are crucial for assessing its financial strength and growth potential, especially given the interconnected global economy [2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the quarter ending March 2025, Snap reported total revenue of $1.36 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 14.1% [4] - The revenue from the Rest of World segment was $307.51 million, accounting for 22.56% of total revenue, which was a surprise decrease of -4.39% compared to analyst expectations [5] - Europe contributed $224.02 million, representing 16.43% of total revenue, also falling short of the consensus estimate by -3.07% [6] Group 2: Future Projections - Analysts predict Snap will report $1.34 billion in total revenue for the current fiscal quarter, an increase of 8.2% from the previous year, with Rest of World and Europe expected to contribute 21.5% ($287.15 million) and 18.9% ($253.17 million) respectively [7] - For the full year, Snap is projected to achieve total revenue of $5.83 billion, indicating an 8.8% rise from the previous year, with Rest of World and Europe expected to contribute 21.7% ($1.27 billion) and 18.3% ($1.06 billion) respectively [8] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Snap's reliance on international markets presents both opportunities and challenges, necessitating close monitoring of its international revenue trends to better predict future performance [9][10]
Why Snap Could Potentially Double
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-03 09:34
Core Viewpoint - Snap's valuation decreased by 12% despite reporting better-than-expected results for its first fiscal quarter, primarily due to the company's decision not to provide guidance for Q2'25, citing macroeconomic uncertainty [1]. Financial Performance - Snap reported results that exceeded analysts' expectations for the first fiscal quarter [1]. Market Reaction - The stock price dropped significantly by 12% following the earnings report, indicating investor concerns over future guidance and macroeconomic conditions [1].
Why Is Snap Stock Crashing, and Is It a Buying Opportunity?
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-02 10:00
Core Insights - The article discusses the investment landscape and highlights the importance of understanding market dynamics and company fundamentals [1] Company Analysis - The analysis emphasizes the need for investors to evaluate companies based on their financial health, growth potential, and market position [1] - It suggests that companies with strong fundamentals are more likely to withstand market volatility and provide better long-term returns [1] Industry Trends - The article notes that certain industries are experiencing significant changes due to technological advancements and shifting consumer preferences [1] - It highlights the importance of staying informed about industry trends to identify potential investment opportunities [1]
Snap shares tumble as company withholds second quarter forecast
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-04-30 17:10
Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The news team covers medium and small-cap markets, as well as blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's content includes insights across various sectors such as biotech, pharma, mining, natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging technologies [3] Group 2 - Proactive is committed to adopting technology to enhance workflows and improve content production [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
These Analysts Cut Their Forecasts On Snap Following Q1 Results
Benzinga· 2025-04-30 16:22
Financial Performance - Snap Inc reported first-quarter revenue of $1.36 billion, representing a 14% year-over-year increase, surpassing the Street consensus estimate of $1.35 billion [1] - The company reported an adjusted loss of 8 cents per share, which was better than the Street consensus estimate of a loss of 13 cents per share [1] User Growth - Snap had 460 million daily active users at the end of the first quarter, marking a 9% year-over-year increase [2] - The company achieved over 900 million monthly active users, moving towards its goal of one billion MAU [2] Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings - Following the earnings announcement, Snap shares fell 14.7% to trade at $7.75 [2] - Analyst Barton Crockett from Rosenblatt maintained a Neutral rating and lowered the price target from $12 to $9 [7] - BMO Capital's Brian Pitz maintained an Outperform rating but reduced the price target from $16 to $13 [7] - RBC Capital's Brad Erickson reiterated a Sector Perform rating and maintained a $12 price target [7]
SNAP's Q1 Earnings Match Expectations, Revenues Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 16:15
Core Insights - Snap (SNAP) reported first-quarter 2025 earnings of 4 cents per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate, and reflecting a 33.33% increase from the previous year [1] - Revenues rose 14.1% year over year to $1.36 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.15% [1] Revenue Breakdown - North America contributed 61% of total revenues, with an 11.9% year-over-year increase to $831.7 million [2] - European revenues, accounting for 16.4% of total revenues, increased by 14.4% to $224.02 million [2] - Revenues from the Rest of the World (ROW) reached $307.5 million, up 20.2% year over year [2] User Engagement - Snap's global daily active users (DAU) reached 460 million, marking a 9% year-over-year increase [4] - North America's DAU was 99 million, down 1% year over year, while Europe's DAU also stood at 99 million, up 3.1% [5] - ROW's DAU increased significantly by 15.9% to 262 million [5] - The total monthly active users surpassed 900 million in the first quarter [5] Advertising Performance - The number of advertisers with strong signal setups increased by 29% for large advertisers and 48% for mid-sized advertisers [6] - Over 60% of all direct response (DR) ad revenues have completed Conversions API (CAPI) integrations [6] Operating Expenses - Adjusted cost of revenues rose 11.7% year over year to $636.6 million [7] - Adjusted operating expenses were $618.2 million, up 6.7% year over year, with sales and marketing expenses decreasing by 1.3% to $195.8 million [7] - General and administrative expenses increased by 8.2% to $190 million, while research and development expenses rose 13.2% to $232.4 million [7] Financial Metrics - Adjusted EBITDA was $108.4 million, reflecting a 137.5% increase from the previous year [8] - As of March 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities totaled $3.2 billion, down from $3.37 billion at the end of 2024 [9] - Operating cash flow was $152 million compared to $88 million in the prior year, and free cash flow was $114 million, up from $38 million [9] Guidance - For the second quarter of 2025, Snap expects infrastructure costs per DAU to be between 82 cents and 87 cents [11] - Adjusted operating expenses are projected to be between $2.65 billion and $2.7 billion [11]
Snap: Buy The Dip - There Is Considerable Upside Potential
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-30 08:58
Group 1 - Snap Inc. reported earnings that were better than expected in terms of both top and bottom line numbers, but still disappointed investors [1] - The company achieved a GAAP EPS of 5 cents above expectations, with sales reaching $1.36 billion, which is a $20 million increase [1]