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Snap Q3 2025 earnings preview - Revenue expected to rise ~9% Y/Y (NYSE:SNAP)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-04 17:36
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Market Breadth & Mega Cap Earnings Back Rally, Watch WMT as SNAP Benefit Barometer
Youtube· 2025-10-31 14:30
Market Overview - The S&P 500 is experiencing a rotation with over 50% of its stocks in the green, although some mega-cap stocks like Apple and Nvidia are seeing slight declines [2][3] - There is an inverse relationship observed where market breadth expansion leads to S&P 500 declines, while concentration in stocks results in upward movement [4] Earnings Insights - A mixed reaction was noted from the earnings reports of major tech companies, particularly regarding capital expenditure (capex) guidance [6][7] - Meta's vague capex guidance negatively impacted its stock, while Amazon reported significant growth in AWS revenue and increased capex, positively affecting its stock [7][8] - Apple's recent quarter missed expectations due to supply chain issues in China, leading to initial gains followed by a sell-off [8][9] - Over 60% of the S&P 500 has reported earnings, with over 80% beating expectations [10] Walmart and SNAP Benefits - Walmart could be significantly impacted by the potential suspension of SNAP benefits due to a government shutdown, with estimates suggesting a $500 million weekly impact [10][12] - The company typically receives about 25% of SNAP benefits, which could lead to a $2.5 billion to $3 billion impact on current quarter topline growth if the situation persists [11][13][14] Macro and Geopolitical Factors - The recent FOMC decision resulted in a 25 basis point cut, with ongoing discussions about trade agreements, particularly with China [16][17] - Agricultural products like soybeans are holding up, but corn and wheat are declining, indicating potential volatility in those markets [18] - Crude oil prices may be affected by potential strikes on Venezuelan military assets, with recent imports from Venezuela showing a significant drop [19][20]
从短剧到儿童经济,站在利雅得的土地上重新理解出海
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-31 00:55
Core Insights - The article highlights the booming opportunities in the Middle East, particularly in Saudi Arabia, driven by the "Vision 2030" initiative, which is transforming the entertainment landscape and attracting Chinese businesses [1][4][15] Industry Overview - Saudi Arabia's entertainment and leisure market is projected to reach $4.6 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% [1] - The country has a GDP exceeding $1 trillion, ranking first in the Middle East and North Africa, and 19th globally, with a nominal GDP per capita over $30,000 [4] - The population is predominantly young, with over 70% under the age of 35, and a high digital penetration rate, with mobile communication reaching 140% [4] Market Dynamics - The shift from traditional entertainment to online platforms is significant due to the desert climate and cultural factors, leading to a higher reliance on online entertainment [2][4] - Major Chinese companies like Alibaba and Huawei are establishing a strong presence in the region, with Alibaba's AliExpress becoming the second-largest e-commerce platform in Saudi Arabia [5] Content and Consumer Behavior - Playlet, a short video platform, has rapidly gained traction in the Middle East, with nearly 10% of its revenue coming from the region within two months of entry [7] - Snapchat is a key player in the market, with over 25 million monthly active users in Saudi Arabia, and has launched a "Middle East Outbound Acceleration Program" to support Chinese brands [8] Retail Trends - The children's economy is emerging as a significant segment, with brands like LÄTT LIV and Miniso actively participating in the market, reflecting the high percentage of the population aged 0-14 [10][13] - The cultural significance of children's products is evident, with parents willing to invest in quality items for their children, indicating a robust market for children's goods [13][15]
Can't Look Away: The Case Against Social Media | Trailer
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-30 16:07
Social Media Accountability & Legal Challenges - Social media companies are being held accountable for harms caused to children, with law firms specifically founded for this purpose [2][3] - Legal actions are focusing on the design of social media platforms and their algorithms, rather than just the content they host [5] - Section 230 has historically shielded social media companies, but efforts are underway to challenge this protection [3] - Plaintiffs face powerful and wealthy social media companies in court, likened to fighting a "Leviathan" [4] Platform Design & Harmful Effects - Social media platforms are seen as facilitating illegal activities, such as drug dealing, by easily connecting individuals [2][3] - Platforms are designed to be addictive to adolescent brains, with companies aware of the potential for addiction, sexual abuse, and suicide [3][6] - Algorithms prioritize engagement by showing users content they "can't look away from," potentially harmful content [7] - The pursuit of profit by social media companies is seen as contributing to the harm of children [1][6] Parental Grief & Advocacy - Parents are experiencing the tragedy of losing children due to issues linked to social media, such as fentanyl poisoning and suicide [3][5] - Parents are actively advocating for change and seeking justice, despite the emotional toll of "retraumatizing themselves" [7]
Snap CEO downplays Meta's smart glasses: ‘our AR glasses will be infinitely more capable'
Invezz· 2025-10-29 15:39
Core Insights - Snap Inc's CEO Evan Spiegel discussed the upcoming launch of the company's AR glasses during a CNBC interview at the Future Investment Initiative conference, indicating a significant step in the company's product development strategy [1] Group 1 - The AR glasses are expected to enhance user experience and engagement, aligning with the growing trend of augmented reality in the tech industry [1] - The launch of these glasses is part of Snap's broader strategy to innovate and expand its product offerings in the competitive social media landscape [1] - Spiegel's comments reflect the company's commitment to staying at the forefront of technological advancements and meeting consumer demands [1]
Earnings Preview: Snap (SNAP) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 15:07
Company Overview - Snap (SNAP) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings of 25%, with an estimated earnings per share (EPS) of $0.06 for the quarter ended September 2025 [3] - Revenue is projected to be $1.49 billion, reflecting an increase of 8.8% compared to the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for release on November 5, and the stock price may rise if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.84% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates a negative Earnings ESP of -20.00% for Snap, suggesting analysts have become bearish on the company's earnings prospects [12] - Snap currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Snap was expected to post earnings of $0.01 per share but instead reported a loss of -$0.01, resulting in a surprise of -200.00% [13] - Over the past four quarters, Snap has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14] Industry Comparison - Arista Networks (ANET), another player in the Zacks Internet - Software industry, is expected to report an EPS of $0.72 for the same quarter, representing a year-over-year increase of 20% [18] - Arista's revenue is anticipated to be $2.26 billion, up 24.8% from the previous year, with a positive Earnings ESP of +4.17% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [19]
Alphabet vs. Snap: Which Digital Advertising Stock Has an Edge?
ZACKS· 2025-10-28 18:45
Core Insights - Alphabet (GOOGL) is a dominant player in the digital advertising market, while Snap (SNAP) is a smaller competitor. Both companies are expected to benefit from the increasing digital advertising spending, projected to account for 82.2% of total spending by 2030 [1] Group 1: Alphabet's Strengths - Alphabet's advertising revenues are bolstered by strong performance in search and YouTube, with Google holding over 90% market share in search [2] - The integration of AI in Alphabet's services enhances user experience and ad performance, with features like Circle to Search active on over 300 million devices [3] - AI-driven features in Google Search are leading to deeper user engagement, with queries being twice as long as traditional searches, and the AI Mode now available in over 200 countries [4] - YouTube's AI enhancements are improving recommendations and audience reach, with over 1 billion conversions driven by YouTube ads viewed on CTV screens in the past year [5] Group 2: Snap's Developments - Snap's advertising platform is evolving, with commerce-driven ad volume growing 39% year over year in Q2 2025, and new ad formats improving conversion rates [6] - The user base for Snap continues to grow, reaching 469 million Daily Active Users, an increase of 8.6% year over year [7] - Premium experiences, such as Snapchat+, are driving engagement, with the subscriber base nearing 16 million [8] Group 3: Comparative Performance - Alphabet's stock has increased by 61.5% year to date, while Snap's stock has decreased by 26.1% in the same period [9][13] - Earnings estimates for GOOGL show a projected increase of 23.4% from 2024, while SNAP's estimates remain steady with a 10.3% growth [11][12] - Valuation metrics indicate that both companies are overvalued, with GOOGL trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 8.81X compared to Snap's 2.08X [17] Group 4: Market Positioning - Alphabet is positioned strongly in the search and YouTube markets, benefiting from the growing adoption of new features [20] - Snap faces significant competition, leading to challenges in user retention and engagement [10]
Snap CEO Evan Spiegel: Meta's glasses are what we built 10 years ago
CNBC Television· 2025-10-28 16:52
I guess I'm just wondering why why why are you playing here and why are you competing here. Meta obviously is a market leader here with the Ray-B bands and there's rumors that Apple is going to come after that. So So why Snap.>> Well, 11 years ago we invented all sorts of things that really changed the way that people use their phones and we think made technology a lot more human. Whether that was opening to the camera instead of a feed, whether it was ephemeral messaging to make conversations feel much mor ...
Snap CEO Evan Spiegel: Meta's glasses are what we built 10 years ago
Youtube· 2025-10-28 16:52
Core Insights - Snap is positioning itself as a leader in augmented reality (AR) technology, claiming to have the largest AR platform globally with hundreds of thousands of developers and millions of lenses created [2][4] - The company has been developing smart glasses for over a decade, initially starting with simple camera glasses and evolving to include displays, which they believe is essential for enhancing user experience [3][4] - Despite heavy investments in glasses, Snap is generating free cash flow and is capable of funding its business independently [5][6] Company Strategy - Snap emphasizes its historical innovations that transformed mobile phone usage, such as ephemeral messaging and stories, which have contributed to its current technological advancements [2] - The introduction of glasses with displays is seen as a significant step forward, allowing for new experiences and applications to be developed by third-party developers [4] - The company is excited about bringing its glasses to consumers in the upcoming year, indicating a strong commitment to expanding its product offerings in the AR space [4][6]
Snap aims to boost retention with new features for Snapchat+ subscribers
Reuters· 2025-10-28 13:01
Core Insights - Snap is introducing new personalization and customization features for its subscription service Snapchat+ to enhance user retention in a competitive market [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - The new features aim to improve the overall user experience for Snapchat+ subscribers, which is crucial for maintaining a loyal paying user base [1] - The initiative reflects Snap's response to the increasing competition in the social media landscape, where user retention is becoming increasingly challenging [1] Group 2: Market Context - The rollout of these features comes at a time when subscription-based models are gaining traction in the social media industry, highlighting a shift towards monetization strategies that prioritize user engagement [1]