Group 1 - Sempra is conducting a 2025 Value Creation Update Call to discuss its value creation initiatives [1][2] - The management team present includes key executives such as the CEO, CFO, and other senior leaders [3] - The presentation will include forward-looking statements, with a reminder that actual results may differ from projections [4]

Sempra (NYSE:SRE) Value Creation Update Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Sempra (NYSE:SRE) - **Date of Call**: September 23, 2025 - **Key Management Present**: Jeff Martin (CEO), Karen Sedgwick (CFO), Justin Bird (CEO of Sempra Infrastructure), Faisal Khan (CFO of Sempra Infrastructure), Diana Day (Chief Legal Counsel) Key Industry and Company Insights Strategic Initiatives - Sempra launched five strategic initiatives aimed at simplifying its business model, reducing risk, and creating value for shareholders in the near term [4][6] - The company announced the sale of a 45% equity stake in Sempra Infrastructure for approximately $10 billion, implying an enterprise value of nearly $32 billion at a 13.8x EBITDA multiple [5][14] Financial Implications - The transaction is expected to result in average annual EPS accretion of $0.20 starting in 2027, with cash proceeds structured to improve capital efficiency [7][16] - Sempra will retain a 25% interest in Sempra Infrastructure, which is expected to deconsolidate from Sempra's financials, improving the balance sheet by removing approximately $10 billion of debt [6][43] Project Developments - Positive final investment decision (FID) for Port Arthur LNG Phase Two was announced, with commercial operations targeted for 2030 and 2031 [11][12] - Estimated capital expenditures for Port Arthur Phase Two are around $12 billion, with expected unlevered after-tax returns exceeding 13% [12][13] Market Position and Growth - The company aims to achieve 95% of its earnings from regulated utility businesses, up from 81% in 2024 [9] - Sempra's strategy focuses on building a leading utility growth business, particularly in Texas, while reducing reliance on common equity issuances [10][31] Additional Important Points Capital Recycling and Future Plans - Sempra has raised over $15 billion through various stake sales in Sempra Infrastructure over the last five years, with a compounded annual growth rate of roughly 20% in overall equity value [14][15] - The company is committed to a capital recycling program to minimize reliance on issuing common equity, with a focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet [17][96] Regulatory and Legislative Developments - The management team has successfully secured wildfire legislation in California, which is crucial for risk management and operational excellence [89] - Ongoing discussions with credit rating agencies indicate a positive outlook for the company's credit profile post-transaction [41][44] Management and Leadership - The management team remains committed to maintaining continuity and momentum through the transition, with Justin Bird expected to continue leading Sempra Infrastructure until the transaction closes [102] Conclusion - Sempra is positioned for significant growth and value creation through strategic initiatives, capital recycling, and a focus on regulated utility earnings. The recent equity stake sale and developments in LNG projects are expected to enhance the company's financial strength and market position moving forward [16][17]

Transaction Overview - Sempra is selling a 45% ownership stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion[14] - The transaction implies an equity value of $22.2 billion and an enterprise value (EV) of $31.7 billion for Sempra Infrastructure Partners[14] - The EV/EBITDA multiple for the transaction is 13.8x[14] - The transaction is projected to result in an average EPS accretion of $0.20 on a full-year basis[14, 20] - The transaction is expected to close in Q2 – Q3 2026[14, 21] Financial Implications - The sale eliminates common equity needs in the 2025 – 2029 capital plan[20, 31] - Sempra is affirming its FY-2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 – $4.70 and FY-2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.80 – $5.30[31] - The company is targeting a 7% – 9% projected EPS CAGR for 2025 through 2029[31] Strategic Shift - The transaction sharpens Sempra's focus on becoming a leading U S utility growth business[19, 31] - The regulated business mix is expected to increase from approximately 81% pre-sale to a target of 95%[19, 34] - The sale reduces exposure to non-utility investments[19, 31] Port Arthur LNG Phase 2 - A final investment decision (FID) has been taken for Port Arthur LNG Phase 2[9, 23] - Sempra's pro-forma ownership in Port Arthur LNG Phase 2 will be 12.5%[24, 39] - The project is targeting an unlevered after-tax return of 13.2% to Sempra with an expected pro-forma equity requirement of $1 billion[26, 39]

Group 1: Transaction Overview - Sempra announced a $10 billion deal to sell a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners to KKR & Co and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, expected to close in Q2 or Q3 of 2026 [1] - The agreement values Sempra Infrastructure Partners at $22.2 billion in equity and $31.7 billion in enterprise value, with KKR and partners holding 65% post-transaction and Sempra retaining 25% [2] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The transaction supports Sempra's capital recycling program and transition to a leading U.S. utility growth business, enhancing the company's balance sheet without new equity issuance [3] - The deal is aligned with Sempra's 2025–2029 capital plan funding [3] Group 3: Project Developments - Sempra Infrastructure Partners has made a final investment decision for Phase 2 of the Port Arthur LNG project, a $14 billion expansion targeting operations for Trains 3 and 4 in 2030 and 2031 [4] - The project secured $7 billion in equity financing led by Blackstone, with KKR, Apollo-managed funds, and Goldman Sachs participating, while Sempra retains majority control [5] Group 4: Construction and Partnerships - Bechtel Energy Inc. has been contracted for the construction of Phase 2, utilizing experience from Phase 1 to mitigate risks [6] - Phase 2 is supported by long-term sales agreements with major companies including ConocoPhillips, EQT Corp., and JERA Co. Inc. [6] Group 5: Financial Outlook - Sempra updated its 2025 GAAP earnings guidance to $3.29–$3.69 per share, down from previous estimates, while affirming adjusted EPS guidance of $4.30–$4.70 [7] - The company reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted EPS target of $4.80–$5.30 and projected annual earnings growth of 7% to 9% through 2029 [7]

Core Viewpoint - Sempra has agreed to sell a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion, valuing the company at $31.7 billion [1] Group 1: Transaction Details - The transaction will result in KKR-led consortium becoming the majority shareholder with a 65% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners [1] - Sempra will retain a 25% ownership stake post-transaction [1] - Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) will maintain its existing 10% stake [1]

Group 1 - Sempra will sell a 45% equity interest in its infrastructure unit for $10 billion in cash and has approved a $14 billion expansion of its Port Arthur LNG project in Texas [1][2] - The deal will result in a KKR-led consortium becoming the majority owner of Sempra Infrastructure Partners with a 65% stake, while Sempra will retain a 25% interest [2] - The transaction implies an equity value of $22.2 billion for Sempra's unit and is expected to close between the second and third quarters of 2026 [3] Group 2 - Sempra expects the deal to add approximately 20 cents to annual earnings per share starting from 2027 [3] - Following the announcement, Sempra's shares increased by 3.2% to $85 in premarket trading [3]

Core Viewpoint - Sempra is selling a 45% equity interest in Sempra Infrastructure Partners to affiliates of KKR and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, indicating a strategic move to enhance its capital structure and focus on core operations [1] Group 1 - The transaction involves a significant stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners, which is a key asset for Sempra [1] - The sale is part of Sempra's strategy to optimize its portfolio and potentially reinvest in growth opportunities [1] - The involvement of KKR and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board highlights the attractiveness of Sempra's infrastructure assets to institutional investors [1]

Core Viewpoint - Sempra is implementing strategic actions to enhance its corporate strategy through five value creation initiatives aimed at simplifying its business model, improving financial performance, and reducing risk, ultimately leading to better earnings growth and benefits for customers and communities [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Actions - The company is advancing its capital recycling program and transitioning to a leading U.S. utility growth business [2]. - Sempra has agreed to sell a 45% equity interest in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion, which implies an equity value of $22.2 billion and an enterprise value of $31.7 billion for Sempra Infrastructure Partners [3][4][26]. - The transaction is expected to close in Q2 – Q3 2026, pending regulatory approvals [5]. Group 2: Financial Implications - Sempra will receive 47% of the cash at closing, 41% by year-end 2027, and the remainder approximately seven years after closing, allowing for attractive post-closing interest income [4]. - The transaction is projected to strengthen Sempra's credit profile, improve its business mix with a goal of approximately 95% earnings from regulated U.S. utilities, and eliminate the need for equity issuances in the 2025-2029 capital plan [6][15]. Group 3: Project Developments - Sempra Infrastructure Partners has reached a final investment decision for Port Arthur LNG Phase 2, which will include two natural gas liquefaction trains and a storage tank with a capacity of approximately 13 million tonnes per annum [6][10]. - The estimated capital expenditures for Phase 2 are $12 billion, plus an additional $2 billion for shared common facilities, with commercial operations expected in 2030 and 2031 [6][10]. Group 4: Earnings Guidance - Sempra updated its full-year 2025 EPS guidance range to $3.29 to $3.69 and affirmed its adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70 [10][19]. - The company also affirmed its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30 and projected a long-term EPS compound annual growth rate of 7% to 9% for 2025 through 2029 [10][19].

Industry Overview - Natural gas distribution companies transport natural gas from production regions to consumers across the U.S., with a significant underground pipeline network of 2.6 million miles [2] - The shale revolution has increased natural gas production, leading to higher demand due to its clean-burning nature [2] - The U.S. has 3,353 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, and the industry faces challenges such as aging infrastructure and rising investment costs due to interest rate hikes [2] Future Outlook - The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that domestic dry natural gas production will increase in 2025, particularly in the Permian Basin [3] - EIA expects U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) export volumes to rise by 25% year-over-year in 2025 and by 6.7% in 2026, highlighting the importance of gas pipelines for transportation to export terminals [3] Interest Rate Impact - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut of 100 basis points to a range of 4.25-4.5% is expected to benefit capital-intensive utilities, allowing for easier access to financing for infrastructure upgrades [4] - Further rate cuts are anticipated in 2026, which would positively impact utility operators planning large investments [4] Competitive Landscape - Natural gas faces increasing competition from renewable energy sources, which are becoming cheaper and more reliable due to advancements in technology and battery storage [5] - The rise of on-site generation reduces reliance on long-distance infrastructure, posing economic risks for new pipeline investments [5] Industry Performance - The Zacks Utility Gas Distribution industry currently ranks 190, placing it in the bottom 22% of the 245 Zacks industries, indicating weak near-term prospects [6] - Earnings estimates for the industry have decreased by 20.9% since September 31, 2024, reflecting a negative outlook [7] Stock Market Performance - Over the past year, the Gas Distribution industry has gained 6.5%, outperforming the Utility sector's growth of 5.4% but lagging behind the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 19.9% increase [9] Valuation Metrics - The industry is trading at a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA ratio of 11.28X, compared to 18.35X for the Zacks S&P Composite 500 and 15.06X for the sector [12] - Historical trading ranges for the industry have been between 9.55X and 12.4X, with a median of 10.9X over the past five years [12] Company Highlights - **Sempra Energy (SRE)**: Plans to invest $56 billion from 2025-2029, with a current dividend yield of 3.09% and long-term earnings growth projected at 7.01% [18][19] - **Atmos Energy (ATO)**: Invested $2.94 billion in fiscal 2024 and plans to invest $3.7 billion in fiscal 2025, with a current dividend yield of 2.1% and long-term growth of 7.32% [22][23] - **New Jersey Resources (NJR)**: Aims to invest $650-$770 million in fiscal 2025 and $655-$835 million in fiscal 2026, with a current dividend yield of 3.82% [26][27] - **ONE Gas Inc. (OGS)**: Plans to invest $4 billion through 2029, with a current dividend yield of 3.53% and long-term growth projected at 5.56% [30][31]

Company Overview - Sempra is an energy services company based in San Diego, California, involved in the sale, distribution, storage, and transportation of electricity and natural gas, with a market cap of $51.8 billion [1] - The company operates through three segments: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, and Sempra Infrastructure [1] Market Position - Sempra is classified as a large-cap stock, benefiting from a dominant utility presence in California and Texas, a growing global LNG and infrastructure portfolio, and high growth potential at Oncor due to electrification and data center demand [2] Stock Performance - Sempra's stock has declined 17.1% from its 52-week high of $95.77 on November 25, 2024, and has plummeted 3.3% over the past three months, underperforming the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU), which returned 1.8% in the same period [3][4] - Over the longer term, Sempra's stock has dropped 9.5% in 2025 and 3.3% over the past 52 weeks, while XLU has risen 9.2% year-to-date and 8.8% over the past year [4] Financial Performance - On August 7, Sempra reported Q2 results with an adjusted EPS of $0.89, exceeding Wall Street's expectations of $0.83, while revenue was $3 billion, showing a slight year-over-year decline [5] - The company is making progress in its strategic shift towards a more utility-centric model, including regulatory gains in Texas and major construction projects in its infrastructure portfolio [5] - Sempra expects full-year adjusted EPS to be in the range of $4.30 to $4.70 [5] Analyst Ratings - Among the 17 analysts covering Sempra stock, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with a mean price target of $83.88, indicating a 5.6% premium to current price levels [6]