Core Viewpoint - Steel Dynamics (STLD) experienced a post-market drop of 4.81% following its second-quarter earnings report, which fell short of analyst expectations [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a second-quarter EPS of $2.01, matching the adjusted EPS but below the analyst forecast of $2.10 [1] - Net sales for the second quarter were $4.6 billion, which was below the expected $4.72 billion [1] Market Outlook - The company anticipates steady growth in aluminum coil sales [1] - Positive market momentum is expected to have a beneficial impact on the company's performance [1] - Preliminary estimates suggest a favorable outcome from the U.S. International Trade Commission (USITC) ruling, with a final decision on steel issues expected before the end of the third quarter [1]

Company Performance - Steel Dynamics (STLD) closed at $135.07, down 1.67% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.33% [1] - The stock has increased by 4.19% over the past month, outperforming the Basic Materials sector's gain of 1.87% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.07% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming earnings report for Steel Dynamics is expected on July 21, 2025, with projected EPS of $2.04, reflecting a 25.00% decrease compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $4.67 billion, indicating a 0.76% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, earnings are projected at $9.67 per share, showing a decline of 1.73%, while revenue is expected to reach $18.28 billion, representing a growth of 4.22% from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates and Rankings - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Steel Dynamics suggest a shifting business landscape, with positive changes indicating analyst optimism regarding profitability [3] - The Zacks Rank system currently rates Steel Dynamics at 3 (Hold), with the consensus EPS estimate decreasing by 4.94% over the last 30 days [5] Valuation Metrics - Steel Dynamics has a Forward P/E ratio of 14.21, which is higher than the industry's Forward P/E of 13.46 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.07, compared to the Steel - Producers industry's average PEG ratio of 1 [6] Industry Context - The Steel - Producers industry is part of the Basic Materials sector and holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 149, placing it in the bottom 40% of over 250 industries [7] - The top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1, indicating the competitive landscape within the industry [7]

Group 1: Stock Performance - Steel Dynamics (STLD) closed at $131.50, with a +2.35% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.8% [1] - The stock has risen by 1.39% in the past month, lagging behind the Basic Materials sector's gain of 2.02% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.12% [1] Group 2: Earnings Estimates - Steel Dynamics is set to release earnings on July 21, 2025, with projected EPS of $2.12, indicating a 22.06% drop compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $4.67 billion, reflecting a 0.76% increase from the prior-year quarter [2] Group 3: Fiscal Year Projections - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at $9.75 per share and revenue at $18.08 billion, showing changes of -0.91% and +3.08% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent revisions in analyst estimates are crucial as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable business outlook [3] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Steel Dynamics has a Forward P/E ratio of 13.18, which is higher than the industry average of 10.47, suggesting it is trading at a premium [6] - The company holds a PEG ratio of 0.99, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 0.91, indicating a similar growth trajectory [7] Group 5: Industry Ranking - The Steel - Producers industry is part of the Basic Materials sector and currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 86, placing it in the top 35% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank evaluates the performance of industry groups, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Core Insights - Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) has provided earnings guidance for Q2 2025, estimating earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $2.00 to $2.04, an increase from $1.44 in Q1 2025 but a decrease from $2.72 in Q2 2024 [1][8] Group 1: Steel Operations - Profitability from steel operations is expected to be significantly higher than in Q1 2025, driven by wider metal spreads and an increase in average realized steel pricing, which is rising faster than scrap raw material costs [2] - Long product steel shipments have increased sequentially, while flat rolled volumes have slightly decreased due to inventory overhang from coated flat rolled steel imports [2] - The energy, non-residential building, automotive, and industrial sectors are continuing to drive demand for steel [2] - Steel division's pretax earnings are projected to be reduced by approximately $32 million in Q2 2025 due to a noncash write-off of consumable assets [2] Group 2: Metals Recycling Operations - Earnings from metals recycling operations are expected to remain stable sequentially in Q2 2025, with higher shipments compensating for lower realized pricing [3] Group 3: Steel Fabrication Operations - Earnings from steel fabrication operations are anticipated to decline in Q2 2025 compared to the previous quarter, attributed to consistent shipments and metal spread compression as raw material costs rise and average realized sales prices fall slightly [4] - The pace of order activity has increased, and the order backlog has strengthened, extending into 2025 with attractive pricing [4] - Demand is primarily driven by the commercial, data center, manufacturing, warehouse, and healthcare sectors [4] Group 4: Aluminum Operations - The aluminum team is successfully commissioning the Columbus, MS aluminum flat rolled products mill and the San Luis Potosi satellite recycled slab facility, with the first aluminum ingot cast in January 2025 in Mississippi and in March 2025 in Mexico [5] - The company expects to begin shipping material in mid-2025 [5] Group 5: Stock Performance - Shares of Steel Dynamics have decreased by 0.4% over the past year, contrasting with a 31.8% decline in its industry [5]

Core Viewpoint - Steel Dynamics, Inc. anticipates second quarter 2025 earnings per diluted share in the range of $2.00 to $2.04, a decrease from $2.72 in the same quarter last year and an increase from $1.44 in the first quarter of 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Steel Operations - Profitability from steel operations is expected to be significantly stronger than the first quarter of 2025, driven by expanded metal spreads and increased average realized steel pricing [2]. - Long product steel shipments improved sequentially, while flat rolled volumes contracted modestly due to inventory overhang from coated flat rolled steel imports [2]. - Demand is primarily led by the energy, non-residential construction, automotive, and industrial sectors [2]. - Steel segment pretax earnings were reduced by approximately $32 million due to a noncash write-off of consumable assets [2]. Group 2: Metals Recycling Operations - Earnings from metals recycling operations are expected to remain steady sequentially, as stronger shipments offset lower realized pricing [3]. Group 3: Steel Fabrication Operations - Earnings from steel fabrication operations are expected to decline compared to the first quarter of 2025, due to steady shipments and metal spread compression from increased raw material costs [4]. - The pace of order activity increased, and the order backlog improved, supported by demand from commercial, data center, manufacturing, warehouse, and healthcare sectors [4]. - Domestic manufacturing investment and the U.S. infrastructure program are expected to positively impact demand for steel products [4]. Group 4: Aluminum Operations - The company is successfully commissioning its aluminum flat rolled products mill in Columbus, Mississippi, and a satellite recycled slab center in San Luis Potosi, Mexico [5]. - The first aluminum ingot was cast in January and March 2025, with shipping expected to begin mid-2025 [5]. Group 5: Stock Repurchase - As of June 11, 2025, the company repurchased $179 million, or one percent, of its common stock during the second quarter [6]. Group 6: Company Overview - Steel Dynamics is a leading industrial metals solutions company, operating with a circular manufacturing model and focusing on lower-carbon-emission products [7]. - The company is one of the largest domestic steel producers and metal recyclers in North America, with ongoing investments in aluminum operations to diversify its product offerings [7].

Group 1 - U.S. Steel Corporation (X) increased by 0.6%, reaching a daily high, while Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) rose approximately 1% to a daily high, and Nucor Corporation (NUE) gained 0.49% to a daily high [1] - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. maintained a decline of over 2.6%, stabilizing around a daily low of $7.16 [1] - President Trump promoted his steel tariffs, claiming that U.S. Steel Corporation has a "golden share" controlled by the president, with 51% ownership belonging to the U.S. [1] Group 2 - U.S. Steel Corporation's current stock price is $53.78, with a market capitalization of $12.201 billion and a 52-week high of $63.48 [3] - The stock has a price-to-earnings ratio of 182.56 and a dividend yield of 0.37%, with a quarterly dividend amount of $0.05 [3] - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has a current stock price of $7.18, with a market capitalization of $3.549 billion and a 52-week high of $16.47 [5][7]

Company Overview - Steel Dynamics (STLD) closed at $130.03, experiencing a -2.82% change from the previous day, which is less than the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.27% [1] - The stock has declined by 1.19% over the past month, underperforming the Basic Materials sector's gain of 4.76% and the S&P 500's gain of 6.9% [1] Financial Performance Forecast - The upcoming financial results are expected to show an EPS of $2.57, reflecting a 5.51% decrease from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $4.79 billion, indicating a 3.33% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, earnings are projected at $10.17 per share and revenue at $18.14 billion, representing increases of +3.35% and +3.42% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions suggest a positive outlook for the business [3] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Steel Dynamics currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with a recent 1.22% increase in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [5] - The company has a Forward P/E ratio of 13.15, which is higher than the industry average of 10.74, and a PEG ratio of 0.94, matching the industry average [6] Industry Context - The Steel - Producers industry is part of the Basic Materials sector and holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 80, placing it in the top 33% of over 250 industries [7] - The top 50% rated industries are shown to outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. has implemented a 50% tariff on imported steel and aluminum, creating significant opportunities for domestic producers like Cleveland-Cliffs Inc, Nucor Corp, and Steel Dynamics Inc [1][2]. Group 1: Impact of Tariffs on Companies - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc experienced a 25.2% gain in early trading following the tariff announcement, allowing the company to raise prices by $200-300 per ton while remaining competitive [3][4]. - Nucor Corp is expected to boost its EBITDA margins to the 18-20% range over the next 12-18 months due to its low-cost electric arc furnace model and reduced import competition [4]. - Steel Dynamics Inc's diversification into aluminum production is now advantageous, as rising tariffs on both steel and aluminum enhance its pricing power [5]. Group 2: Broader Market Implications - Investors may consider steel-focused ETFs like the VanEck Steel ETF and the SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF for diversified exposure to the steel sector [6]. - While current gains are significant, there are concerns about potential policy changes by late 2025 due to structural supply gaps and midterm politics [6].

Group 1: Company Overview - Nucor and Steel Dynamics are both U.S. steelmakers that utilize electric arc mini-mills for steel production, which is more flexible than traditional blast furnace technology [2] - Both companies have established businesses selling fabricated steel products, enhancing their resilience during cyclical downturns in the steel industry [5] Group 2: Financial Performance and Dividends - Nucor is recognized as a Dividend King, having increased its annual dividend for over 50 consecutive years, while Steel Dynamics has raised its dividend annually for 14 years [6][7] - Nucor's dividend has grown at an annualized rate of approximately 4% over the past decade, while Steel Dynamics' dividend has increased by more than 10% annually [8][9] - Nucor's current dividend yield is around 1.8%, compared to Steel Dynamics' yield of 1.5%, both exceeding the S&P 500 average of 1.3% [11] Group 3: Strategic Differences - Nucor operates as a larger, more deliberate company, while Steel Dynamics is characterized as more aggressive, recently entering the aluminum market [10][12] - The choice between Nucor and Steel Dynamics may depend on investor preferences for dividend growth rates and management aggressiveness [12] Group 4: Market Performance - Nucor's stock has experienced a 40% decline from its 2024 highs, which is considered a normal drawdown, while Steel Dynamics is down approximately 10% over the same period [13]

Group 1 - U.S. Steel Corporation (X) has seen its decline expand to over 0.2%, while Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has dropped more than 2.1%, and Steel Dynamics Inc. has decreased by approximately 0.7% [1] - U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo stated that steel tariffs are merely a cost issue rather than a market access issue [1] Group 2 - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has a current stock price of 7.40 USD, with a market capitalization of 36.48 billion USD and a 52-week high of 16.54 USD [3] - U.S. Steel Corporation's stock price is currently at 53.63 USD, with a market capitalization of 121.63 billion USD and a 52-week high of 54.03 USD [4][7] - Steel Dynamics Inc. is trading at 135.95 USD, with a market capitalization of 202.71 billion USD and a 52-week high of 155.56 USD [9]