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小摩:上调今年香港楼价升幅预测至10%至15% 新鸿基地产(00016)评级升至“增持”
智通财经网· 2026-02-23 07:47
智通财经APP获悉,摩根大通发布研报称,将今年香港楼价升幅预测由5%至7%,上调至10%至15%, 并预期明年再升约5%。该行认为行业已进入新阶段,由"复苏初期"迈向"扩张期"。 在乐观市场环境下,该行认为估值标准正由"股息收益率"转向"资产净值折让"。因此,将新鸿基地产 (00016)评级上调至"增持",予市场最高目标价162港元,估值参考扩张期历史平均水平,目标价相当于 资产净值折让率20%。 同时,该行亦看好信和置业(00083)及恒基地产(00012),前者特别适合追求收益的投资者,而后者则有 待业绩公布及股息政策更明朗;3月中旬会是更佳入市时机。该行亦将其所覆盖的行业股份目标价整体 上调13%至49%。 ...
大摩:料今年楼价及租金升10%和5% 偏好新鸿基地产等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 23:22
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains an optimistic outlook on the Hong Kong residential market, predicting a 10% year-on-year increase in property prices and a 5% rise in rental rates for this year [1] Group 1: Market Predictions - Property prices are expected to rebound by 5% this year after hitting a bottom last year, supported by strong purchasing power from mainland buyers [1] - Overall, the residential market is anticipated to experience an upward cycle that could last for several years [1] Group 2: Stock Recommendations - Morgan Stanley prefers stocks such as Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016), Cheung Kong Holdings (01113), and Henderson Land Development (00012), all rated as "Overweight" [1] - The firm is bearish on Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (00004), assigning it a "Underweight" rating [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Developers are becoming more active in the land market and are raising average prices for new development projects [1] - Despite improved market sentiment, the vacancy rate for commercial properties remains high, with only prime assets in Central expected to see rental increases [1] Group 4: Cost and Development Challenges - Significant increases in construction costs are likely to compress profit margins for residential projects and hinder the conversion of secondary office buildings or industrial properties into student accommodations [1]
大摩:料今年楼价及租金升10%和5% 偏好新鸿基地产(00016)等
智通财经网· 2026-02-11 23:11
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains an optimistic outlook on the Hong Kong residential market, predicting a 10% year-on-year increase in property prices and a 5% rise in rents for this year [1] Group 1: Market Predictions - Property prices are expected to rebound by 5% this year after hitting a bottom last year, driven by strong purchasing power from mainland buyers [1] - Overall, the residential market is anticipated to experience an upward cycle that could last for several years [1] Group 2: Company Preferences - Morgan Stanley prefers New World Development (00016), Cheung Kong Holdings (01113), and Henderson Land Development (00012), all rated as "Overweight" [1] - The firm is bearish on Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (00004), assigning it a "Underweight" rating [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Developers are becoming more active in the land market and are raising average prices for new development projects [1] - Despite improved market sentiment, the commercial property vacancy rate remains high, with only prime assets in Central expected to see rental increases [1] Group 4: Cost and Risk Factors - Significant increases in construction costs are likely to compress profit margins for residential projects and hinder the conversion of secondary office buildings or industrial properties into student accommodations [1] - Geopolitical risks and macroeconomic uncertainties may pose downward pressure on the market [1]
大行评级丨大摩:预期今年香港楼价升10%,偏好新鸿基地产、长实等
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-11 05:58
Group 1 - Morgan Stanley maintains an optimistic outlook on the Hong Kong residential market, predicting a 10% year-on-year increase in property prices and a 5% growth in rental rates for this year [1] - The firm favors New World Development, Cheung Kong Property, and Henderson Land Development, assigning them "overweight" ratings, while it is bearish on Wharf Real Estate Investment Company, giving it a "underweight" rating [1] - Recent discussions with JLL Hong Kong Chairman, C. K. Chan, indicated that strong purchasing power from mainland buyers is expected to drive property prices up by 5% this year after hitting a bottom last year, with this upward cycle likely to continue for several years [1] Group 2 - The report highlights that a reduction in interest rates and favorable capital market performance could provide further upward momentum for the property market, although geopolitical risks and macroeconomic uncertainties may pose downward pressures [1] - Despite an overall improvement in market sentiment, C. K. Chan noted that the vacancy rate for commercial properties remains high, with only prime assets in Central expected to see rental increases [1]
大摩:料新鸿基地产上半财年基本每股盈利增长13% 目标价120港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 03:47
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) is expected to announce its interim results for the fiscal year ending December 2026 at the end of February, with a projected year-on-year increase of 13% in basic earnings per share to HKD 3.89, while maintaining an interim dividend of HKD 0.95 per share [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The report anticipates a profit margin for property development projects to reach high double-digit levels due to the accounting of completed inventory at lower costs and recent price increases for new sales [1] - The expected earnings per share growth of 13% reflects strong operational performance and market conditions [1] Group 2: Project Developments - The Sierra Sea Phase 2A & 2B project is performing well, and the company is expected to launch a luxury residential project, Tianxi-Hai Phase 2, in the Kai Tak runway area [1] - The initial pricing for the second phase is anticipated to exceed HKD 45,000 per square foot, with a projected profit margin of over 15%, based on the first phase's average transaction price exceeding HKD 50,000 per square foot [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - Morgan Stanley has assigned an "Overweight" rating to Sun Hung Kai Properties, with a target price set at HKD 120 [1]
大摩:料新鸿基地产(00016)上半财年基本每股盈利增长13% 目标价120港元
智通财经网· 2026-02-06 03:40
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) is expected to announce its interim results for the fiscal year ending December 2026 at the end of February, with a projected 13% year-on-year increase in basic earnings per share to HKD 3.89, while maintaining an interim dividend of HKD 0.95 per share [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The expected basic earnings per share for the first half of the fiscal year is projected to be HKD 3.89, reflecting a 13% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The interim dividend is anticipated to remain unchanged at HKD 0.95 per share [1] Group 2: Property Development Insights - The report highlights that the profit margin for property development projects may reach high double-digit levels due to the accounting of low-cost completed inventory and recent price increases for new sales [1] - The Sierra Sea Phase 2A & 2B projects are performing well, and the company is expected to launch a luxury project, Tianxi-Hai Phase 2, in the Kai Tak runway area [1] - The average transaction price for the first phase exceeded HKD 50,000 per square foot, with initial pricing for the second phase expected to exceed HKD 45,000 per square foot, potentially yielding a profit margin of over 15% [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - Morgan Stanley has assigned an "Overweight" rating to Sun Hung Kai Properties, with a target price set at HKD 120 [1]
新鸿基地产(00016) - 截至2026年1 月31 日止股份发行人的证券变动月报表
2026-02-05 08:39
股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 新鴻基地產發展有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00016 | | 說明 | | | | | | | 多櫃檯證券代號 | 80016 | RMB 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 2,897,780,274 | | 0 | | 2,897,780,274 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | ...
新鸿基地产确认冯秀炎已离职,此前曾传涉上海商场腐败问题
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2026-02-04 03:29
(文/解红娟 编辑/张广凯) 新鸿基地产深夜发声,回应沸沸扬扬的市场传言。 2月3日晚间,新鸿基回应,集团执行董事冯秀炎因健康原因已提出请辞,董事局接纳其辞任并即日生 效。公司表示已安排人员接替其职务,相关工作与日常运作均不受影响。 至于市场传言冯秀炎离职是因为与上海环贸iapm商场相关腐败问题深度关联,新鸿基方面并未正面回 应,仅表示,"公司正进行检视并会作出适当跟进。" 本文系观察者网独家稿件,未经授权,不得转载。 此前于2月2日,多家香港媒体报道冯秀炎疑因涉及上海环贸iapm商场相关贪腐问题已被停职,焦点集中 在商场营销活动招标、广告资源投放及品牌合作等业务环节。 公开资料显示,冯秀炎持有英国雷丁大学房地产管理理学士、美国东北路易斯安那大学工商管理硕士及 香港大学房屋管理硕士学位。她于1991年加入新鸿基地产,2022年8月起出任执行董事,负责集团在香 港、上海、南京、北京及杭州多个主要商场的策略规划与发展管理。根据公司2024/2025财年数据,其 年度薪酬合计约2426万港元。 此次事件涉及的上海环贸iapm商场是新鸿基地产在上海打造的高端商业项目,位于淮海中路陕西南路核 心地段,2013年开业,以 ...
新鸿基地产:冯秀炎因健康理由 已辞任公司执行董事
Cai Jing Wang· 2026-02-03 09:06
2月3日,新鸿基地产发布公告称,公司董事局宣布,冯秀炎女士因健康理由,已辞任公司执行董事,自 2026年2月3日起生效。 自2026年2月3日起生效。 ...
新鸿基地产:执行董事冯秀炎因健康理由辞任
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 08:57
免责声明:本文内容与数据由观点根据公开信息整理,不构成投资建议,使用前请核实。 观点网讯:2月3日,新鸿基地产发展有限公司发布公告,冯秀炎因健康理由,已辞任公司执行董事,自 2026年2月3日起生效。 根据公告内容,冯秀炎已确认其与公司董事局并无意见分歧,亦不知悉有任何有关其辞任之事项需知会 公司证券持有人。 来源:观点地产网 ...