Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities maintains a "Neutral" rating on Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) due to slightly disappointing performance expectations for the fiscal year 2025 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company is benefiting from a rebound in the Hong Kong residential market, but the low profit margin from property development may lead to flat earnings per share and dividends in the short term [1] - The target price for Sun Hung Kai Properties has been slightly increased from HKD 94 to HKD 95 [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share forecast for fiscal years 2026 to 2027 has been adjusted downwards by 1% to 4% due to changes in property sales recognition timing [1] - Unless there is a significant increase in Hong Kong property prices in the short term, earnings per share for fiscal years 2026 to 2027 are expected to remain relatively flat [1] Group 3: Market Comparison - Compared to peers with a 4% yield, the potential for further compression of Sun Hung Kai Properties' yield is considered limited [1]

摩根士丹利发布研报称，新鸿基地产全年每股盈利持平，派息符合预期，派息率维持50%水平，意味股 息率达4.1%。公司管理层目前不考虑回购股份或设立C-REIT。该行现予新地目标价102.3港元，此按综 合方式作估值，相当于每股资产净值折让50%，评级"增持"。 责任编辑：栎树 另外，虽然续租租金录得负增长，但公司对香港写字楼及零售市场前景仍然持建设性看法。2026至2027 财年，预计来自九龙高铁站上盖IGC及上海徐家汇中心（ITC）的投资物业收入将显著提升。新鸿基地 产净负债率亦由2025上半财年的17.8%降至全年15.1%。受惠于增加人民币及港元浮动利率债务配置， 融资成本由去年同期的4.4%降至3.7%。 业务方面，本地物业发展全年合约销售额达423亿元，而去年同期为256亿元，集团目标2026财年为300 亿港元。该行预计新地2026财年将录得超过300亿元的未入账销售，利润率水平相近。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Sun Hung Kai Properties' basic earnings per share for the second half of the fiscal year ending June 30 is HKD 3.93, representing a 9% increase compared to the previous half but an 11% decrease year-on-year, and 7% lower than Goldman Sachs' expectations [1] Financial Performance - Revenue was 24% lower than Goldman Sachs' expectations, primarily due to lower-than-expected contributions from property development (DP) and other non-property businesses [1] - Property development revenue was 39% below the bank's forecast, attributed to lower-than-expected contributions from both the Hong Kong and mainland markets [1] Earnings Forecast Adjustments - Following the analysis of the second half fiscal performance, management guidance, and the latest revenue recognition plans, Goldman Sachs has revised its earnings per share forecasts for Sun Hung Kai Properties for the fiscal years 2026 to 2028 downwards by 14%, 12%, and 2% respectively [1] - Dividend forecasts have been adjusted downwards by 4%, 3%, and then increased by 3% for the same periods [1] - The average payout ratio is expected to be around 49% over the next three years, compared to an average of 52% over the past five years, with management reaffirming a maximum dividend payout ratio of 50% [1] Target Price Adjustment - Goldman Sachs has lowered its 12-month target price by 8%, from HKD 104 to HKD 96, while maintaining a "Buy" rating, as the company is expected to continue benefiting from the gradual turnaround in the Hong Kong property market cycle [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) has maintained its annual earnings per share, with dividends meeting expectations and a payout ratio of 50%, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.1% [1] Financial Performance - The company's local property development contract sales reached HKD 42.3 billion for the year, compared to HKD 25.6 billion in the same period last year, with a target of HKD 30 billion for the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates that Sun Hung Kai Properties will record over HKD 30 billion in unrecognized sales for the fiscal year 2026, with profit margins remaining similar [1] Market Outlook - Despite negative growth in renewal rents, the company maintains a constructive outlook on the Hong Kong office and retail markets [1] - Significant increases in investment property income are expected from the IGC above the Kowloon High-Speed Rail Station and the Shanghai Xujiahui Center (002561) for the fiscal years 2026 to 2027 [1] Debt and Financing - The company's net debt ratio decreased from 17.8% in the first half of fiscal 2025 to 15.1% for the full year [1] - Financing costs have dropped from 4.4% in the same period last year to 3.7%, benefiting from an increased allocation to floating-rate debt in RMB and HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) has maintained its annual earnings per share, with dividends meeting expectations and a dividend payout ratio of 50%, resulting in a yield of 4.1% [1] Financial Performance - The company's local property development contract sales reached HKD 42.3 billion for the year, compared to HKD 25.6 billion in the same period last year [1] - The group aims for a target of HKD 30 billion in contract sales for the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates that Sun Hung Kai Properties will record over HKD 30 billion in unrecognized sales for the fiscal year 2026, with profit margins remaining similar [1] Market Outlook - Despite negative growth in renewal rents, the company maintains a constructive outlook on the Hong Kong office and retail market [1] - For the fiscal years 2026 to 2027, significant revenue increases are expected from investment properties at the Kowloon High-Speed Rail Station IGC and Shanghai Xujiahui Center ITC [1] Financial Health - The net debt ratio of Sun Hung Kai Properties decreased from 17.8% in the first half of fiscal 2025 to 15.1% for the full year [1] - Financing costs improved from 4.4% in the same period last year to 3.7%, benefiting from an increased allocation to floating-rate debt in RMB and HKD [1] Valuation - Morgan Stanley sets a target price of HKD 102.3 for Sun Hung Kai Properties, which reflects a 50% discount to the net asset value per share [1] - The rating for the stock is "Overweight" [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reports that Sun Hung Kai Properties' fiscal year 2025 performance is slightly below expectations, despite benefiting from a rebound in the Hong Kong residential market [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The property development profit margin is low, which may result in flat earnings per share and dividends in the short term [1] - The target price for Sun Hung Kai Properties is raised slightly from HKD 94 to HKD 95, maintaining a "neutral" rating [1] - Earnings per share forecasts for fiscal years 2026 to 2027 have been adjusted down by 1% to 4% due to changes in property sales recognition timing [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The company is experiencing limited further compression in yield compared to peers, which have a yield level of 4% [1] - Unless there is a significant increase in Hong Kong property prices in the short term, earnings per share for fiscal years 2026 to 2027 are expected to remain relatively flat [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that Sun Hung Kai Properties' annual earnings per share remained flat, with dividends meeting expectations and a payout ratio maintained at 50%, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.1% [1] Financial Performance - The company's contract sales for local property development in Hong Kong reached HKD 42.3 billion, compared to HKD 25.6 billion in the same period last year [1] - The property development profit margin decreased to 12%, down from 26% in the previous year [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates that Sun Hung Kai Properties will record over HKD 30 billion in unrecognized sales for the fiscal year 2026, with a similar profit margin [1] Market Outlook - Despite negative growth in renewal rents, the company maintains a constructive outlook on the Hong Kong office and retail market [1] - For the fiscal years 2026 to 2027, significant revenue growth is expected from investment properties at the Kowloon High-Speed Rail Station and Shanghai Xujiahui Center [1] Investment Recommendation - Morgan Stanley has set a target price of HKD 102.3 for Sun Hung Kai Properties, with a rating of "Overweight" [1]

Company News - Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016.HK) reported a revenue of HKD 79.721 billion for the fiscal year 2025, an increase of 11.5% year-on-year; net profit reached HKD 19.277 billion, up 1.2% year-on-year [2] - Sincere Watch International (00732.HK) recorded a net operating revenue of approximately HKD 11.011 billion for the first eight months, a decrease of 5.5% year-on-year; in August, the net operating revenue was about HKD 1.445 billion, down 6.5% year-on-year [2] Financial Activities - China Construction Bank (00939.HK) announced that CCB Financial Leasing plans to increase its capital by HKD 3 billion to CCB Shipping and Aviation [3] Pharmaceutical Developments - Heng Rui Medicine (01276.HK) received approval to conduct clinical trials for RSS0393 ointment, which can alleviate tissue damage and inflammation related to atopic dermatitis [4] - Heng Rui Medicine (01276.HK) also received approval for clinical trials of HRS-4729 injection, a tri-agonist for GLP-1R/GIPR/GCGR [4] Real Estate Sales Performance - China Overseas Land & Investment (00688.HK) reported a contracted sales amount of HKD 150.331 billion for the first eight months, a decline of 16.5% year-on-year; August contracted sales were HKD 18.33 billion, down 0.7% year-on-year [5] - Sunac China (01918.HK) recorded a contracted sales amount of approximately HKD 30.47 billion for the first eight months, a decrease of 13% year-on-year; August contracted sales were HKD 5.39 billion, down 26.7% year-on-year [5] - China Overseas Grand Oceans Group (00081.HK) reported a contracted sales amount of HKD 20.783 billion for the first eight months, a decline of 10.6% year-on-year; August contracted sales were HKD 2.133 billion, an increase of 6.1% year-on-year [5] - Gemdale Corporation (00535.HK) reported a total contracted sales of approximately HKD 7.588 billion for the first eight months, a decrease of 39% year-on-year; August contracted sales were HKD 608 million, down 52.9% year-on-year [5] - Hongyang Real Estate (01996.HK) reported a contracted sales amount of HKD 3.506 billion for the first eight months, a decrease of 42.2% year-on-year; August contracted sales were HKD 299 million, down 48.5% year-on-year [5] - Ronshine China Holdings (03301.HK) reported a contracted sales amount of approximately HKD 2.7 billion for the first eight months, a decline of 46.4% year-on-year; August contracted sales were about HKD 130 million, down 87.9% year-on-year [5] Share Buyback Activities - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) repurchased 2.01 million shares at a cost of approximately HKD 200 million, with prices ranging from HKD 98.75 to HKD 100.3 [6] - Midea Group (00300.HK) repurchased 310,000 shares at a cost of approximately HKD 25.849 million, with prices ranging from HKD 83.3 to HKD 83.5 [6] - Hang Seng Bank (00011.HK) repurchased 210,000 shares at a cost of approximately HKD 23.799 million, with prices ranging from HKD 112.9 to HKD 113.7 [6] - MGM China Holdings (02282.HK) repurchased 1 million shares at a cost of approximately HKD 15.687 million, with prices ranging from HKD 15.58 to HKD 15.97 [6] Shareholding Changes - Kanglong Chemical (03759.HK) completed a share reduction plan, with a total of 26.6729 million shares reduced [6] - Sinopec Limited (00386.HK) canceled 67.624 million shares that had been repurchased [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The group's underlying profit for the year ended June 30, 2025, was approximately HKD 21.9 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.5% driven by high profits from trading and investment properties and lower finance costs, partially offset by impairment provisions of four development properties [3][4] - Reported profit increased by 1.2% year-on-year to HKD 19.3 billion, with underlying earnings per share up 0.5% to HKD 7.54 and reported earnings per share up 1.2% to HKD 6.65 [4][5] - The group's net debt as of June was HKD 93.3 billion, with a net gearing ratio improved to 15.1% from 17.8% in December [5][6] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Property Development profit increased by 5.6% to approximately HKD 8.3 billion, mainly due to higher contributions from the Mainland [4] - Net rental income from the Property Rental segment decreased by 3.2% to around HKD 18.4 billion, attributed to a 3.5% drop in net rental income from the Hong Kong portfolio and a 3.2% decrease from the Mainland portfolio [4][14] - The hotel business recorded an operating profit of HKD 615 million, down from HKD 650 million in FY 2024 [5][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The group's total land bank in Hong Kong was about 57.4 million square feet, including 37.7 million square feet of completed properties and 19.7 million square feet under development [9] - Contracted sales in Hong Kong increased by 6% year-on-year to HKD 26 billion, with major contributors including Yoho West Phase 1 and Novo Land Phase 3B [11] - The Mainland's recognized property sales rose by 214% year-on-year to about HKD 8.4 billion, primarily due to higher sales volume of residential units [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a stable base of recurring income while leveraging its quality brand and products to drive sales [7][31] - Future projects include Kuala Lumpur Sky Mall and High Speed Rail West Kowloon Terminus development, with a focus on high asset turnover in property development [32][42] - The company plans to adopt a proactive leasing approach and strengthen relationships with tenants to enhance competitive edge [31][43] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management noted that the global environment remains volatile, but monetary easing and a growing tourism industry in Hong Kong are expected to drive moderate economic growth [30] - The residential market in Hong Kong is showing signs of stabilization, with expectations of improved buyer confidence and transaction volumes [30][38] - The company remains confident in the long-term prospects of both the Mainland and Hong Kong markets, supported by proactive fiscal and monetary measures [46][47] Other Important Information - The group achieved a significant reduction in net finance costs by 24% year-on-year, driven by lower debt and borrowing costs [6] - The company has been recognized for its commitment to ESG, with an upgraded ESG rating to AA [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for the Hong Kong residential market and pricing strategy - Management believes the residential market is nearing a bottom, with low interest rates and rising rents encouraging renters to become buyers [52] Question: Contract sales target for Hong Kong in FY 2026 - The target is set at RMB 30 billion, with several projects planned for launch [55] Question: Expectations for government policy support measures - Management anticipates potential relaxation of stamp duty, which could benefit the residential market [58] Question: Land banking appetite and preferences - The company is focused on acquiring residential land in prime locations while also considering commercial investments [59] Question: Prioritization between new investment, debt repayment, and shareholder returns - The company will focus on paying down debt while looking for the right opportunities for investment [64] Question: Dividend policy and share buyback considerations - The company maintains a policy of paying 50% of underlying profit as dividends and does not currently plan for share buybacks [65] Question: Interest cost adjustments and financing strategies - Interest costs have decreased from 4.4% to 3.7%, with a significant portion of debt at fixed rates [66] Question: Preleasing rates for Shanghai ITC and tenant replacement plans - The Shanghai ITC project is progressing well, with Tower A achieving around 80% occupancy [81]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The group's underlying profit for the year ended June 30, 2025, was approximately HKD 21.9 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.5% driven by high profits from trading and investment properties, alongside lower finance costs, partially offset by impairment provisions of HKD 4 billion on development properties [2] - Reported profit increased by 1.2% year-on-year to HKD 19.3 billion [2] - Underlying earnings per share rose by 0.5% to HKD 7.54, while reported earnings per share increased by 1.2% to HKD 6.65 [3] - The net debt as of June was HKD 93.3 billion, with a net gearing ratio improved to 15.1% from 17.8% [4][5] - Interest coverage improved to around six times compared to 4.6 times a year ago, with net finance costs dropping by 24% year-on-year [5] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Property Development profit increased by 5.6% to approximately HKD 8.3 billion, mainly due to higher contributions from the Mainland [3] - Net rental income from the Property Rental segment decreased by 3.2% to around HKD 18.4 billion, attributed to a 3.5% drop in net rental income from the Hong Kong portfolio [3] - The hotel business recorded an operating profit of HKD 615 million, unchanged from FY 2024 [4] - The Group's total operating profit for FY 2025 was slightly down to about HKD 32.2 billion [4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Group's total land bank in Hong Kong was about 57.4 million square feet, with 37.7 million square feet completed and 19.7 million square feet under development [7] - Recognized property sales in Hong Kong increased by 6% year-on-year to HKD 26 billion, with major contributors including Yoho West Phase 1 and Novo Land Phase 3B [9] - Contracted sales not yet recognized amounted to HKD 35.6 billion, with around HKD 30.1 billion expected to be recognized in FY 2026 [11] - The Mainland's recognized property sales rose by 214% year-on-year to about HKD 8.4 billion, primarily due to higher sales volume of residential units [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The Group aims to maintain a stable base of recurring income and leverage its quality brand and products to drive sales [6] - The strategy includes a proactive leasing approach to strengthen competitive edge and cultivate long-term relationships with tenants [30] - New projects in Hong Kong include Kuala Lumpur Sky Mall and High Speed Rail West Kowloon Terminus development, while in Shanghai, three ITC projects are under development [31][44] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The global economic environment is expected to remain volatile, but monetary easing and lower interest rates may favor economic growth [29] - In Hong Kong, the residential market shows signs of stabilization, with rising home rents and improved buyer confidence anticipated [29] - The Mainland economy is expected to maintain steady growth supported by proactive fiscal and monetary measures [29] - The Group remains confident in the long-term prospects of both the Mainland and Hong Kong markets [44] Other Important Information - The Group's ESG initiatives have been recognized, with an upgrade to AA in the MSGI ESG rating [27] - The Group has introduced innovative retail formats and family-friendly facilities in its malls to enhance shopper experience [15][16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for the Hong Kong residential market and pricing strategy - Management believes the market is nearing a bottom due to low interest rates and rising rents, which may lead renters to become buyers [50] - Upcoming launches may see more aggressive pricing, especially for projects like Koolen and Sky [52] Question: Contract sales target for Hong Kong in FY 2026 - The target is set at HKD 30 billion, influenced by potential uncertainties in project approvals [54] Question: Expectations for government policy support - Management anticipates potential relaxation of stamp duty, which could benefit the residential market [56] Question: Land banking appetite and focus - The Group is interested in acquiring residential land, particularly in prime locations, while also considering commercial investments [57] Question: Prioritization between new investments, debt repayment, and shareholder returns - The focus is currently on paying down debt and improving liquidity, with land acquisition prioritized when opportunities arise [62] Question: Dividend policy and share buyback considerations - The Group maintains a policy of paying 50% of underlying profit as dividends and does not plan to initiate share buybacks at this time [63] Question: Interest cost adjustments and financing strategies - Interest costs have decreased from 4.4% to 3.7%, with a significant portion of debt at fixed rates [63] Question: Preleasing rates for Shanghai ITC and tenant replacement plans - The Shanghai ITC project is progressing well, with Tower A achieving around 80% occupancy, and management is in talks with potential new tenants for vacant spaces [80][81]