Group 1 - TMC the metals company Inc. experienced a significant decline of 10.10% on Wednesday, closing at $9.61, as investors engaged in profit-taking following a substantial rise earlier in the month [1][3] - The stock price of TMC surged by 78% in early October, reaching an intra-day high of $11.35, but a pullback resulted in a month-to-date gain of 51% [2] - TMC is a Canada-based deep-sea mining company that has filed intentions with the US government to mine in the international seabed through its US subsidiary, which has drawn criticism from environmental advocates and members of the International Seabed Authority [2][3]

Core Thesis - TMC The Metals Company has transitioned from a speculative venture to a credible operation, with its Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ) project expected to commence production by 2026, supported by successful pilot initiatives and environmental assessments [3][4] - The company has completed pilot collection campaigns and enhanced processing technology, securing strategic funding for the next phase of development [3][5] Financial Performance - TMC reported minimal revenue in 2023 and 2024, focusing on research and pilot collection, but projections indicate potential annual revenues of $1–1.5 billion once full-scale production begins [4][9] - The stock is currently trading at approximately 8–9x forward sales, a significant increase from under 1x at the beginning of 2025, reflecting optimism regarding commercialization and the scarcity of scalable, ESG-aligned metal sources [5][9] Growth Catalysts - The global demand for electric vehicle (EV) metals is driving interest in TMC's seabed nodules, which are rich in nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese [12] - The International Seabed Authority (ISA) is nearing the finalization of a mining code that could approve TMC's commercial license, facilitating production [12] - TMC claims that collecting seabed nodules results in up to 70% lower carbon emissions compared to terrestrial mining, providing both an ESG benefit and a cost advantage [12] - The company is pursuing long-term supply contracts with battery and EV manufacturers to ensure revenue visibility as production commences [12] - Recent capital raises and debt financing have extended TMC's cash runway, supporting enhancements to mining systems and processing capacity through 2026 [12] Market Position - TMC has evolved from a speculative penny stock into a high-stakes investment opportunity, with rapidly improving fundamentals [8][10] - If TMC successfully initiates production by 2026 and achieves projected revenues, the current stock price could be justified or seen as conservative in the long term [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth sector in the U.S. stock market continues to show strong performance, with significant gains in various companies' stock prices [1] Company Performance - UAMY experienced a rise of over 16% in its stock price [1] - CRML saw an increase of more than 12% [1] - AREC and USAR both rose by over 7% [1] - MP and TMC had gains exceeding 2% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The rally in critical materials stocks, particularly TMC The Metals Company, is driven by the heightened focus on rare earths amid U.S.-China trade tensions and potential de-escalation of the trade war [1][2][5]. Group 1: Market Reactions - TMC shares surged by 20.3% following a significant drop the previous Friday, reflecting a recovery linked to President Trump's comments suggesting a de-escalation of trade tensions [1][5]. - The overall market saw a "risk-on" rally, particularly benefiting speculative and high-beta stocks like TMC, as investors reacted positively to the easing of trade war threats [5][6]. Group 2: Industry Context - China controls approximately 70% of the global supply of rare earths, which are essential for various industrial and military applications, highlighting the strategic importance of these materials [3]. - Despite TMC not mining rare earths, the company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for other critical minerals necessary for industrial uses [6]. Group 3: Company Profile - TMC is characterized as a high-risk investment, having experienced an extraordinary 855% gain in 2025, but it currently has no revenue and requires significant capital investment [7]. - The potential for deep-sea mining is substantial, with a 2024 analysis estimating the global addressable market for undersea metals could reach as high as $20 trillion [8].

Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced an upward trend, with the Dow Jones index increasing by approximately 500 points on Monday [1] Bloom Energy Corporation - Bloom Energy Corporation's shares surged by 25.5%, reaching $109.03, following the announcement of a $5 billion partnership with Brookfield Asset Management to advance AI infrastructure [2][1] - The partnership will focus on deploying Bloom's technology for global AI factory projects, including a European site expected to be announced by the end of the year [1] American Battery Technology Company - American Battery Technology Company's shares rose by 35% to $9.11 after completing all required NEPA baseline studies for its Tonopah Flats Lithium Project, one of the largest lithium projects in the U.S. [4] Rare Earth Mineral Stocks - Stocks related to rare earth minerals saw significant gains, with Critical Metals Corp. increasing by 34% to $20.08 and USA Rare Earth, Inc. rising by 26% to $40.96, following President Trump's consideration of increased tariffs on Chinese products [4] - United States Antimony Corporation's shares rose by 24.4% to $15.20, while MP Materials Corp. gained 21.8% to $95.47 amid ongoing strength in the sector [4] Semiconductor Companies - Semiconductor stocks experienced a boost, with Broadcom Inc. rising by 9.3% to $354.83 after announcing a collaboration with OpenAI to deploy 10 gigawatts of AI accelerators [4] - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited gained 7.5% to $301.79, reflecting overall market strength and increased trader confidence [4] Tesla, Inc. - Tesla, Inc. shares increased by 3.5% to $428.14, as the company recorded its second-highest monthly sales in China for 2025 during September, indicating continued growth in the Chinese market [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Metals Company (TMC) is positioned to address the increasing global demand for minerals by extracting them from the sea floor, which could present significant investment opportunities despite inherent risks [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The Metals Company focuses on deep-sea mining to obtain essential minerals needed for various industries, particularly in the context of the growing demand for sustainable resources [1] - TMC's operations are aimed at tapping into the vast mineral resources located on the ocean floor, which are critical for the production of batteries and other technologies [1] Group 2: Industry Context - There is a global urgency for more minerals, driven by the transition to renewable energy and the increasing reliance on electric vehicles, which require substantial amounts of metals [1] - The deep-sea mining sector is emerging as a potential solution to meet the rising mineral demand, positioning companies like TMC at the forefront of this industry [1]

Core Insights - TMC the metals company has experienced significant stock performance, with an increase of approximately 715% year-to-date and 817% since the rally began a year ago [1] Company Overview - TMC the metals company is listed on NASDAQ under the ticker TMC [1] - The company has been closely followed by financial analyst Harrison, who has over a decade of market experience and has been writing on Seeking Alpha since 2018 [1] Analyst Background - Harrison has professional experience in private equity, real estate, and economic research [1] - He possesses an academic background in financial econometrics, economic forecasting, and global monetary economics [1]

Group 1 - The Metals Company (NASDAQ: TMC) has seen its shares increase by 26.3% from the end of last Friday's trading session through Thursday afternoon [1] - The company aims to collect polymetallic nodules from the seafloor to produce critical base metals such as cobalt, nickel, copper, and manganese, which are included in the U.S. Geological Survey's 2025 draft List of Critical Minerals [4] - Investor enthusiasm is driven by speculation that the U.S. government may partner with The Metals Company to enhance domestic supply of critical minerals, similar to its previous investment in MP Materials [5] Group 2 - Despite the rise in stock price, The Metals Company has not yet commenced deep sea mining operations, and there is uncertainty regarding future operations pending regulatory approval from the International Seabed Authority [6] - The company is currently in the pre-revenue phase, making its stock suitable only for investors with a high tolerance for risk [8] - Analysts from The Motley Fool Stock Advisor have identified ten other stocks they believe are better investment opportunities than The Metals Company [9]

Core Insights - TMC the metals company Inc. (NASDAQ:TMC) has experienced a significant rally, hitting a new record high due to optimism surrounding the critical mining industry and recent investment deals with the US government [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - TMC extended its winning streak to five consecutive days, reaching a 52-week high of $9.55 during intra-day trading before closing at $9.28, reflecting a 20.21% increase [2][3]. Group 2: Government Initiatives - The rally in TMC's stock is attributed to various US government initiatives aimed at boosting domestic production of critical minerals, including significant acquisitions in mining companies like Lithium Americas and MP Materials [3][4]. Group 3: Industry Context - TMC produces essential minerals such as nickel, cobalt, and copper, which are crucial for the renewable energy and electric vehicle sectors, positioning the company favorably within the critical mining industry [4].

Market Overview - Major U.S. indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.2% to 46,602.98, the S&P 500 down nearly 0.4% to 6,714.59, and the Nasdaq down about 0.7% to 22,788.36 [1] POET Technologies Inc. - POET Technologies shares increased by 23.51%, closing at $7.88, with an intraday high of $8.13 and a low of $6.47, within a 52-week range of $3.10 to $8.13 [2] - The company announced a non-brokered private placement, raising US$75 million through the sale of 13.6 million shares and accompanying warrants, marking the largest investment in its history. The funds will be used for corporate development, R&D expansion, and scaling its AI-related light source business [3] Oracle Corp - Oracle's stock fell by 2.52%, ending at $284.24, with fluctuations between $293.22 and $271, and a 52-week range from $118.86 to $345.72. The decline was attributed to financial challenges related to renting Nvidia chips, resulting in a nearly $100 million loss last quarter, with a gross profit margin from these rentals averaging around 16% over the past year [4] NUBURU Inc. - NUBURU's stock surged by 86.27%, closing at $0.48, with an intraday range of $0.50 to $0.30, and a 52-week high of $1.60 and low of $0.12. In after-hours trading, the stock spiked 24.5% to $0.59, following the announcement of its defense subsidiary's acquisition of Orbit S.r.l., enhancing its capabilities in defense software [5] Galecto Inc. - Galecto's stock skyrocketed by 383.02%, closing at $17.92, with an intraday high of $31.70 and a low of $16.40, within a 52-week range of $2.01 to $31.70. However, shares declined by 25.6% in after-hours trading to $13.33 [6] - The surge in Galecto's shares occurred despite the absence of company news, indicating speculative activity. The company reported having $10.2 million in cash at the end of June 2025 and anticipates needing additional capital for its cancer and liver disease programs [7] TMC The Metals Company - TMC The Metals Company shares rose by 20.21%, closing at $9.28, with an intraday high of $9.55 and a low of $7.96, and a 52-week range from $0.72 to $9.55. The rally was driven by investments in the metals sector by the Trump administration, increasing interest in rare earths and battery metals [8]