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Tyson Foods: Fairly Valued Given Slow Recovery In Beef (Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-02 15:50
Core Viewpoint - Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) has shown strong performance over the past year, with a gain of approximately 15%, primarily driven by improved investor sentiment regarding margins [1] Company Performance - The recent gains in Tyson Foods' stock have largely occurred in the last few months, indicating a shift in investor optimism [1] Investor Sentiment - Investors have become more optimistic about the company's margins, which has contributed to the stock's recent performance [1]
Tyson (TSN) Q1 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-02-02 15:31
Tyson Foods (TSN) reported $14.31 billion in revenue for the quarter ended December 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 5.1%. EPS of $0.97 for the same period compares to $1.14 a year ago.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.12 billion, representing a surprise of +1.36%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -3.96%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.01.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and ...
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-02 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total company sales grew 6.2% to $14.3 billion compared to the prior year, led by Beef with contributions from Prepared Foods, Chicken, and Pork [29][30] - First quarter segment operating income was $811 million, down 12% compared to the prior year, primarily due to the decline in the beef segment [30] - Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter were $0.97, down 15% compared to last year, influenced by a higher tax rate [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Prepared Foods segment sales increased by 8.1% year-over-year, with segment operating income reaching $338 million, up $16 million from the prior year [21][10] - Chicken segment operating income was $459 million, with a margin of 10.9%, driven by efficient marketing and promotional expenses [11][25] - Beef segment sales increased, but segment operating income declined due to higher cattle costs, reflecting ongoing challenges in the market [26] - Pork segment operating income margin increased by 220 basis points to 6.7%, supported by network optimization and operational efficiencies [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail branded products grew by 2.5% in volume and 3.6% in dollars, outperforming the broader food and beverage retail category [18] - The chicken segment saw a 3.6% year-over-year sales growth driven entirely by volume and strong consumer demand [24] - The international segment continued its momentum, contributing positively to overall performance [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on becoming a diversified, protein-centric entity to capture growing demand for high-quality protein [8] - Strategic decisions include closing the Lexington, Nebraska facility and scaling back operations at the Amarillo, Texas plant to improve efficiency and align with long-term market outlook [12] - The company emphasizes operational excellence, brand investments, and innovation to capture market share [8][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects tight cattle supplies to persist through 2026 and 2027, with chicken likely benefiting from changing consumer preferences [13] - The updated U.S. dietary guidelines validate the company's mission to provide high-quality protein, aligning public health priorities with consumer demand [14][16] - Management expresses confidence in the company's ability to navigate a dynamic market landscape and achieve growth [38] Other Important Information - The company has reduced gross debt by $1.4 billion over the last 12 months, improving its balance sheet and financial strength [33] - Free cash flow for the first quarter was approximately $700 million, significantly ahead of dividends for the quarter [33] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Rationale behind the change in segment reporting - Management explained that the change to segment operating income was intentional to provide better visibility into business performance and to empower leaders to pursue volume growth without the burden of corporate overhead [42][43][46] Question: Prepared Foods pricing and input cost inflation - Management indicated that the 8% sales increase in Prepared Foods was due to a combination of channel mix and formula-based pass-through pricing, with pricing catching up to raw material costs [52][53] Question: Trends in the beef segment and capacity closures - Management acknowledged the dynamic situation in the beef segment, highlighting higher cattle costs and the impact of recent capacity closures on future profitability [63][64][66] Question: Updated views on the chicken industry - Management expressed confidence in the chicken market, expecting manageable production growth and strong demand, with Tyson well-positioned to capitalize on these trends [72][75]
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-02 15:02
Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN) Q1 2026 Earnings call February 02, 2026 09:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsCurt Calaway - CFODevin Cole - COODonnie King - CEOJon Kathol - VP of Investor RelationsKristina Lambert - Chief Growth OfficerPeter Galbo - Director in Equity ResearchPooran Sharma - Managing Director of Equity ResearchConference Call ParticipantsAlexia Howard - Senior AnalystAndrew Strelzik - Senior AnalystBen Theurer - Mananging Director and Equity Research AnalystLeah Jordan - Equity Research AnalystMichael La ...
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-02 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total company sales grew by 6.2% to $14.3 billion compared to the prior year, driven by strong demand across multiple segments [23][24] - First quarter segment operating income was $811 million, down 12% year-over-year, primarily due to declines in the beef segment [24] - Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter were $0.97, down 15% compared to last year, influenced by a higher tax rate [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Prepared Foods segment sales increased by 8.1% year-over-year, with segment operating income rising to $338 million, up $16 million from the prior year [17][24] - Chicken segment achieved $459 million in segment operating income, maintaining a margin of 10.9%, driven by efficient marketing and promotional expenses [8][19] - Beef segment faced challenges, with sales increasing but segment operating income declining due to higher cattle costs [20][24] - Pork segment operating income margin increased by 220 basis points to 6.7%, supported by operational efficiencies [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Retail branded products grew by 2.5% in volume and 3.6% in dollars, outperforming the broader food and beverage retail category [13] - The chicken segment saw a 3.6% year-over-year sales growth driven entirely by volume and strong consumer demand [19] - The international segment continued to perform well, contributing positively to overall results [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on becoming a diversified, protein-centric organization to capture growing demand for high-quality protein [5][10] - Strategic decisions were made to right-size the beef operations, including facility closures, to improve capacity utilization and align with long-term market outlooks [9][20] - The company is committed to operational excellence, innovation, and strategic capital deployment to strengthen its competitive position [5][10] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects tight cattle supplies to persist through 2026 and 2027, with chicken likely benefiting from changing consumer preferences [10][16] - The updated U.S. dietary guidelines are seen as a validation of the company's mission to provide high-quality protein, aligning public health priorities with consumer demand [11][12] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate a dynamic market environment and achieve growth [31] Other Important Information - The company has made significant progress in reducing gross debt by $1.4 billion over the last 12 months, improving its balance sheet [25] - Free cash flow for the first quarter was approximately $700 million, well ahead of dividends for the quarter [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Rationale behind segment reporting changes and free cash flow - Management explained that the change to segment operating income was intentional to provide better visibility and accountability for business leaders, allowing for improved decision-making [34][35][36] Question: Trends in the beef segment and impact of capacity closures - Management acknowledged the dynamic and volatile situation in the beef segment, highlighting the need for operational adjustments to improve efficiency and profitability [54][56] Question: Update on chicken industry outlook - Management indicated that the chicken market remains balanced, with strong demand and manageable supply growth projected for 2026 [62][64] Question: Corporate amortization decrease - The decrease in corporate expenses and amortization was attributed to a focus on overhead cost reductions, particularly team member-related costs [67]
美国通胀粘性最直观体现?! 泰森食品(TSN.US)牛肉价格上行+鸡肉需求旺盛 业绩全线超预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Tyson Foods (TSN.US) reported better-than-expected Q1 2026 results, highlighting significant beef price increases and strong chicken demand, reflecting persistent inflation in the U.S. food sector [1][5][6] Financial Performance - Tyson Foods achieved total revenue of $14.313 billion in Q1, exceeding Wall Street expectations with a year-over-year growth of 5.1% [2] - The beef segment saw an 8.2% revenue increase to $5.771 billion, with beef prices rising 17% year-over-year [2] - Adjusted earnings per share were approximately $0.97, a 15% decline year-over-year but above the analyst consensus of $0.95 [2] Business Segment Insights - The beef division recorded an adjusted operating loss of $143 million, which was weaker than analyst expectations, despite the 17% price increase supporting sales growth [2] - The chicken segment experienced a 3.6% revenue increase to $4.212 billion, with prices remaining stable compared to the previous year [2][5] Supply Chain Dynamics - The U.S. cattle supply is at its lowest level in 75 years, exacerbated by drought conditions and high feed costs, leading to reduced herd sizes [3][4] - Tyson's closure of a beef plant in Nebraska and reduction of operations in Texas aims to manage supply pressures and potentially lower beef prices [3][4] Market Trends - The demand for protein remains robust, with consumers increasingly turning to chicken as a more affordable protein option, which is expected to drive chicken prices upward [4][5] - Tyson's performance is indicative of the broader trend of persistent food inflation in the U.S., particularly in the beef sector, which is expected to maintain high price levels for an extended period [6]
Tyson Foods (TSN) Q1 Earnings Miss Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-02-02 14:10
Core Insights - Tyson Foods reported quarterly earnings of $0.97 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.01 per share, and down from $1.14 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -3.96% [1] - The company posted revenues of $14.31 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.36%, and up from $13.62 billion year-over-year [2] - Tyson shares have increased by approximately 11.5% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.4% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.02 on revenues of $13.75 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $3.94 on revenues of $55.74 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Tyson was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Food - Meat Products industry, to which Tyson belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 26% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges for stock performance [8] - Beyond Meat, another company in the same industry, is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.12 per share, with a year-over-year change of +81.5%, and revenues expected to decline by 19.2% from the previous year [9]
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-02 14:00
Q1 Fiscal 2026 Supplemental Information February 2, 2026 Forward-Looking Statements Certain information in this presentation constitutes forward-looking statements as contemplated by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, current views and estimates of our outlook for fiscal 2026, other future economic circumstances, industry conditions in domestic and international markets, our performance and financial results (e.g., debt leve ...
美国通胀粘性最直观体现! 泰森食品(TSN.US)牛肉价格上行+鸡肉需求旺盛 业绩全线超预期
智通财经网· 2026-02-02 13:56
Core Viewpoint - Tyson Foods reported better-than-expected Q1 results for FY2026, driven by significant beef price increases and strong chicken demand, highlighting persistent inflation in the U.S. protein market [1][5]. Financial Performance - Tyson Foods achieved total revenue of $14.313 billion in Q1, exceeding Wall Street expectations with a year-over-year growth of 5.1% [2]. - The beef segment revenue grew by 8.2% to $5.771 billion, with beef prices increasing by 17% year-over-year [2]. - Adjusted earnings per share were approximately $0.97, a 15% decline year-over-year but above the analyst consensus of $0.95 [2]. Business Segment Insights - The beef division recorded an adjusted operating loss of $143 million, which was weaker than analyst expectations, despite the price increase supporting sales growth [2]. - Tyson plans to close a beef plant in Nebraska and reduce operations at a Texas facility to address the challenges in the beef segment [2]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The U.S. cattle supply has been significantly reduced due to prolonged drought conditions and high feed costs, leading ranchers to sell cattle early, which impacts future production [3]. - The USDA reported that the U.S. cattle herd is at its lowest level in 75 years, contributing to higher live cattle prices as processors compete for limited supply [4]. Market Trends - Despite supply constraints, the demand for protein remains strong, with consumers increasingly turning to chicken as a more affordable protein option [4]. - Tyson's management indicated that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing demand for protein, reflecting a stable market share [5]. Inflationary Context - The strong performance of Tyson Foods is indicative of persistent food inflation in the U.S., particularly in the beef sector, which is a significant component of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) [5]. - The combination of high beef prices, ongoing cattle shortages, and robust chicken demand suggests that food inflation may not decline smoothly, particularly for beef [5].
美股前瞻 | 三大股指期货跌幅显著收窄,特朗普豪掷120亿美元启动“金库计划”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 13:26
(原标题:美股前瞻 | 三大股指期货跌幅显著收窄,特朗普豪掷120亿美元启动"金库计划") 1. 2月2日(周一)美股盘前,美股三大股指期货跌幅显著收窄。截至发稿,道指期货跌0.09%,标普500指数期货跌0.38%,纳指期货跌0.66%。 2. 截至发稿,德国DAX指数涨0.91%,英国富时100指数涨0.64%,法国CAC40指数涨0.60%,欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.47%。 3. 截至发稿,WTI原油跌4.75%,报62.11美元/桶。布伦特原油跌4.52%,报66.19美元/桶。 市场消息 美国打响关键矿产战略储备战,特朗普豪掷120亿美元启动"金库计划"。美国总统特朗普计划启动一项战略性关键矿产储备,并提供 120 亿美元的 种子资金,旨在美方努力削减对中国稀土及其他金属依赖的过程中,使制造商免受供应冲击。这项名为"金库项目"的合资计划,拟将 1.67 亿美元 的私人资本与美国进出口银行提供的 100 亿美元贷款相结合,汽车制造商、科技公司及其他制造商采购并储存矿产。描述该计划细节的高级政府 官员透露,这将是美国私营部门首个此类储备库。这代表了美方为积累工业经济(包括汽车、航空航天和能源领域)所需关 ...