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Trade Desk shares plunge as guidance, competition weigh on sentiment
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-08-08 15:00
About this content About Angela Harmantas Angela Harmantas is an Editor at Proactive. She has over 15 years of experience covering the equity markets in North America, with a particular focus on junior resource stocks. Angela has reported from numerous countries around the world, including Canada, the US, Australia, Brazil, Ghana, and South Africa for leading trade publications. Previously, she worked in investor relations and led the foreign direct investment program in Canada for the Swedish government ...
美股异动 Trade Desk(TTD.US)盘前大跌33% CEO预警大型广告客户受关税冲击
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-08 14:09
Core Viewpoint - Trade Desk's stock price dropped 34% due to CEO Jeff Green's warning about ongoing tariff uncertainties impacting major global advertisers, potentially leading to a market value loss exceeding $12 billion [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Trade Desk focuses on helping advertisers purchase and optimize digital advertising campaigns, primarily targeting large global clients [1] - The company expects quarterly revenue to reach at least $717 million, aligning with analyst expectations [1] Group 2: Market Impact - Concerns about slowing advertising spending have arisen as businesses delay new advertising initiatives, particularly in industries directly affected by tariffs [1] - Trade Desk's growth rate has slowed, falling below Meta's 22% growth, raising concerns that closed platforms may grow faster than open internet platforms [1][2] Group 3: Analyst Reactions - Following the announcement, at least seven analysts lowered their target prices for Trade Desk's stock, with the average target price now at $84 [2]
Trade Desk(TTD.US)盘前大跌33% CEO预警大型广告客户受关税冲击
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 13:30
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Trade Desk's stock price has dropped by 34% due to warnings from CEO Jeff Green about ongoing tariff uncertainties affecting major advertising clients, potentially leading to a market cap loss of over $12 billion if the decline continues [1] - Trade Desk's focus on large global advertising clients makes it more susceptible to broader economic pressures compared to competitors that rely more on small and medium-sized enterprises [1] - Analysts have expressed concerns about Trade Desk's growth rate slowing down, which is now below Meta's 22% growth rate, indicating that closed platforms may be growing faster than open internet platforms [1] Group 2 - The company expects revenue for the current quarter to reach at least $717 million, aligning with analyst expectations according to LSEG data [1] - Following the announcement of the stock's decline, at least seven analysts have lowered their target prices, bringing the average target price down to $84 [2]
美股异动 | Trade Desk(TTD.US)盘前大跌33% CEO预警大型广告客户受关税冲击
智通财经网· 2025-08-08 13:24
智通财经APP获悉,周五盘前交易中,截至发稿,云广告服务公司 Trade Desk(TTD.US)的股价下跌 34%。此前,该公司首席执行官Jeff Green警告称,持续的关税不确定性正给全球一些最大的广告客户 带来压力。如果股价继续下跌,Trade Desk的此次大跌可能会使公司市值蒸发超过 120 亿美元。 不断变化的贸易政策引发了对广告支出放缓的担忧,因为企业正在推迟开展新广告活动,尤其是在受关 税直接影响的行业。Trade Desk专注于帮助广告商购买和优化数字广告活动,其业务重点一直放在大型 全球广告客户身上。 Green周四表示,这种侧重使该公司更容易受到更广泛的经济压力的影响,而相比之下,那些更多依赖 中小企业的竞争对手则未受此影响。 Rosenblatt Securities分析师Barton Crockett称:"一个不同寻常的情况是,Trade Desk的增长速度放缓,低 于 Meta 公司 22%的增速,这引发了担忧,即封闭的平台增长速度可能快于开放的互联网平台。Trade Desk还大量依赖大型品牌,而这些品牌正面临关税压力。" 该公司预计本季度的营收将至少达到 7.17 亿美元,这 ...
Why Did The Trade Desk Stock Crash After Earnings?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-08 09:30
In this video, I will review The Trade Desk's (TTD -1.34%) earnings report and explain why the stock crashed. Watch the short video to learn more, consider subscribing, and click the special offer link below. *Stock prices used were from the trading day of Aug. 7, 2025. The video was published on Aug. 7, 2025. Does the company have a growth problem? ...
The Trade Desk: Buy TTD Stock Now At $65?
Forbes· 2025-08-08 09:25
Core Insights - The Trade Desk's stock experienced a 29% decline in after-hours trading despite strong quarterly results, primarily due to a slight miss on Q3 guidance and the unexpected departure of the CFO [2][3] - The stock has seen a significant rally of nearly 20% over the past thirty days following its addition to the S&P 500 index [2] Financial Performance - The Trade Desk's revenue has grown at an average rate of 25.8% over the last three years, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's 5.2% growth [7] - Quarterly revenues increased by 19% to $694 million from $585 million year-over-year, compared to a 4.3% increase for the S&P 500 [7] - The company's operating income over the last four quarters was $475 million, with an operating margin of 17.7% [15] - The operating cash flow for the same period was $929 million, indicating a high cash flow margin of 34.7% [15] - Net income totaled $417 million, reflecting a net income margin of 15.6% [15] Valuation Metrics - The Trade Desk has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 13.1, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 3.0 [7] - The price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio stands at 42 compared to 20.6 for the S&P 500 [7] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 75.6, while the S&P 500's is 22.6 [7] Financial Stability - The Trade Desk's balance sheet is described as extremely robust, with a debt figure of $344 million and a market capitalization of $32 billion, resulting in a low debt-to-equity ratio of 1.1% [15] - Cash and cash equivalents amount to $1.7 billion, constituting a cash-to-assets ratio of 28.3% [15] Market Position and Outlook - Despite the current high valuation multiples, The Trade Desk's performance is consistent with high-growth advertising firms, with an average price-to-sales ratio of 24x over the last four years [11] - The stock's recent decline presents an attractive entry opportunity for investors [11] - The Trade Desk's performance across key financial metrics is strong, although it has shown weak resilience during economic downturns [16]
The Trade Desk (TTD) Q2 Revenue Up 19%
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-08 00:55
Core Insights - The Trade Desk reported Q2 2025 GAAP revenue of $694 million, a 19% increase year-over-year, exceeding Wall Street estimates of $685.47 million [1][5] - Non-GAAP earnings per share for Q2 2025 were $0.41, significantly above the expected $0.18, reflecting strong topline performance [1][5] - Despite revenue growth, the company experienced margin compression due to rising operating costs, with adjusted EBITDA margin declining from 41% in Q2 2024 to 39% in Q2 2025 [1][5] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 GAAP revenue was $694 million, up from $585 million in Q2 2024, marking an 18.6% year-over-year increase [2] - Non-GAAP EPS increased by 5.1% from $0.39 in Q2 2024 to $0.41 in Q2 2025 [2] - Adjusted EBITDA grew 12% year-over-year to $271 million, while GAAP net income rose to $90 million from $85 million in Q2 2024 [2][5] Business Model and Strategy - The Trade Desk operates as an independent buy-side partner, focusing on programmatic digital advertising without owning media supply, which has helped retain over 95% of clients for 11 years [3][4] - The company emphasizes leadership in connected TV (CTV) advertising and innovation through AI-powered tools, such as the Kokai platform, which has improved campaign performance for users [4][6] - Investment in privacy and transparency is a strategic priority, with initiatives like Unified ID 2.0 and OpenPath enhancing audience targeting and supply chain transparency [8][9] Market Position and Growth - The Trade Desk continues to gain market share in programmatic advertising, with significant growth attributed to its long-term strategy and product upgrades [6] - The Kokai platform is utilized by about two-thirds of clients, leading to a 24% reduction in cost per conversion and a 20% decrease in cost per acquisition [6] - The company is expanding its omnichannel reach through new partnerships and international growth, particularly in retail media [7] Operational Insights - Operating costs increased by 36.7% year-over-year, contributing to margin compression despite higher adjusted EBITDA [10] - The company reported $1.7 billion in cash and short-term investments with no debt, indicating a strong financial position [10] - Share repurchases totaled $261 million, supporting shareholder returns and offsetting dilution from stock-based compensation [10] Future Outlook - For Q3 2025, management projects revenue of at least $717 million and adjusted EBITDA of around $277 million [11] - The company will continue to invest in AI, product capabilities, and transparency tools while navigating macroeconomic uncertainties affecting advertising budgets [12]
The Trade Desk (TTD) Lags Q2 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-07 22:10
Core Insights - The Trade Desk reported quarterly earnings of $0.41 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.42 per share, but showing an increase from $0.39 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of -2.38% [1] - The company posted revenues of $694.04 million for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.40% and increasing from $584.55 million year-over-year [2] - The Trade Desk shares have declined approximately 23.8% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 7.9% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.44, with expected revenues of $717.69 million, and for the current fiscal year, the EPS estimate is $1.78 on revenues of $2.86 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for The Trade Desk was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Internet - Services industry, to which The Trade Desk belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges for stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]
The Trade Desk(TTD) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-07 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $694 million for Q2, representing a 19% year-over-year growth, and approximately 20% growth when excluding political ad spend from the previous year [45][51] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was approximately $271 million, or about 39% of revenue [46] - The company ended the quarter with about $1.7 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments [50] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CTV (Connected TV) continued to be the fastest-growing channel, with video (including CTV) representing a high 40s percentage share of the business [46] - Mobile accounted for a mid-30s percentage share of spend, while display represented a low double-digit share and audio around 5% [47] - Over 70% of spend is now on the Kokai platform, with expectations for full client adoption by the end of the year [46][96] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America represented about 86% of spend, while international markets accounted for about 14% [47] - International growth outpaced North America, indicating a strong global execution strategy [47] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing its position in CTV, retail media, and programmatic advertising, leveraging innovations like Kokai and OpenPath to improve supply chain efficiency [6][12][20] - The company aims to define the category of a Demand-Side Platform (DSP) by emphasizing objectivity and transparency in media buying [30][31] - The strategic focus includes building partnerships and joint business plans with major advertisers, which are growing significantly faster than overall platform spend [60][89] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating macroeconomic uncertainties, emphasizing that programmatic advertising offers agility and measurable results [55][88] - The company sees a significant opportunity in the evolving digital advertising landscape, particularly as large brands face pressures that could accelerate their shift to programmatic solutions [88][90] - The management highlighted the importance of AI and data assets in driving future growth and innovation [57][96] Other Important Information - The company announced leadership changes, including the transition of CFO roles and the addition of new board members to strengthen its governance [25][28] - The company is committed to maintaining a dual-class share structure to support long-term strategic goals [37][39] Q&A Session Summary Question: What gives you confidence in the evolving digital ad environment? - Management highlighted the opportunity presented by uncertainty, the measurable nature of programmatic advertising, and the supply-demand imbalance favoring the company [55][57] Question: How do you evaluate the competitive landscape with Amazon's advertising efforts? - Management stated that Amazon is not a direct competitor due to its focus on its own inventory and the inherent biases in its platform, emphasizing the company's independence and objectivity [71][73] Question: How do tariffs impact ad spend for large brands? - Management acknowledged the short-term negative impact of tariffs on large brands but expressed optimism that volatility would accelerate the shift to programmatic advertising [88][90] Question: Can you elaborate on the progress with Kokai and AI capabilities? - Management reported significant improvements in campaign performance due to Kokai, with clients seeing substantial ROI from AI-driven features [96][94]
The Trade Desk(TTD) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-07 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q2 2025 revenue of $694 million, representing a 19% year-over-year growth, and approximately 20% growth when excluding political ad spend from the previous year [43][44] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was approximately $271 million, or about 39% of revenue [44] - The company ended the quarter with about $1.7 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments [48] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CTV (Connected TV) continued to be the fastest-growing channel, with video (including CTV) representing a high 40s percentage share of the business [44] - Mobile accounted for a mid-30s percentage share of spend, while display represented a low double-digit share and audio around 5% [44] - Over 70% of spend is now on the Kokai platform, with expectations for full client adoption by the end of the year [44][94] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America represented about 86% of spend, while international markets accounted for approximately 14% [45] - International growth outpaced North America, driven by CTV [45] - Double-digit growth was observed in most verticals, particularly in technology and computing and medical health [46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing its position in CTV, retail media, and programmatic advertising, with a strong emphasis on innovation through the Kokai platform [5][10] - The introduction of AI technologies is central to the company's strategy, with significant improvements in campaign performance reported by clients using Kokai [9][92] - The company aims to maintain objectivity in advertising, positioning itself as a neutral partner in the open Internet space, contrasting with walled gardens like Google and Amazon [19][70] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating macroeconomic pressures, emphasizing that uncertainty can create opportunities for growth [54][60] - The company anticipates continued strong performance in the second half of the year, with Q3 revenue expected to be at least $717 million, reflecting 14% year-over-year growth [49][50] - The management highlighted the importance of programmatic advertising in a volatile environment, which aligns with the company's strengths [85] Other Important Information - The company is undergoing leadership transitions, with a new CFO joining and a focus on strengthening the leadership team [24][41] - The company is enhancing its board of directors with experienced individuals from the ad tech industry [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: What gives confidence in the evolving digital ad environment? - Management highlighted the supply-demand imbalance favoring the company, the importance of measurable programmatic advertising, and the underappreciated data assets the company possesses [55][56][60] Question: How is the competitive landscape evolving with Amazon's advertising efforts? - Management stated that Amazon is not a direct competitor, emphasizing the company's focus on transparency and objectivity in the open Internet, while noting Amazon's challenges in being perceived as an objective partner [70][72][75] Question: How does the tariff situation impact ad spend? - Management acknowledged the short-term negative impact on large global advertisers due to tariffs but expressed optimism that volatility would accelerate the shift to programmatic advertising [84][86] Question: Progress with Kokai and AI capabilities? - Management reported significant improvements in campaign performance for clients using Kokai, with expectations for full adoption and ongoing innovation driven by AI [92][94]