Workflow
Verisk(VRSK)
icon
Search documents
Verisk Analytics: Rating Downgrade As Valuation Multiple Climbs
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-09 07:00
Group 1 - The previous investment thought on Verisk Analytics (NASDAQ: VRSK) was a buy rating due to a strong growth outlook supporting a valuation premium and attractive upside [1] - The solid 1Q25 results validated the investment thesis, focusing on long-term investments while incorporating short-term shorts to uncover alpha opportunities [1] - The investment approach revolves around bottom-up analysis, examining the fundamental strengths and weaknesses of individual companies [1] Group 2 - The investment duration is medium to long-term, aiming to identify companies with solid fundamentals, sustainable competitive advantages, and growth potential [1]
Verisk Earnings & Revenues Surpass Estimates in Q1, Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 17:20
Verisk (VRSK) has reported impressive first-quarter 2025 results, wherein earnings and revenues beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate.VRSK’s adjusted earnings were $1.73 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.6% and increasing 6.1% from the year-ago quarter. Total revenues of $753 million beat the consensus estimate marginally and increased 7% on a year-over-year basis.VRSK shares have gained 21.1% over the past year, outperforming the 11.2% rally of the industry it belongs to and 8.3% growth o ...
Verisk(VRSK) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - First quarter revenue was $753 million, up 7% year-over-year, reflecting solid growth across both underwriting and claims [19] - Net income increased to $232 million, up 6% year-over-year, with diluted GAAP EPS at $1.65, a 9% increase [19] - Organic constant currency revenue growth was 7.9%, driven by 10.6% subscription growth [6][20] - Adjusted EBITDA growth was 9.5%, with total adjusted EBITDA margin at 55.3%, up 130 basis points from the prior year [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Underwriting revenues grew by 7.2%, while claims revenues increased by 9.6% [20] - Subscription revenues, comprising 83% of total revenue, grew 10.6% on an organic constant currency basis [20] - Transactional revenues, making up 17% of total revenues, declined 4% on an organic constant currency basis [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The insurance industry returned to profitability in 2024, recording an underwriting gain of $25 billion, marking the first gain in four years [7] - Severe weather events in 2025, including wildfires in Los Angeles, are estimated to result in $28 billion to $35 billion in insurance losses for the industry [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on delivering consistent and predictable growth while investing in future growth opportunities [30] - Strategic changes in the go-to-market strategy have improved client engagement and service delivery [9] - The company is expanding its ecosystem by adding new partners and launching platforms to enhance data sharing and connectivity [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted an uncertain risk environment due to inflation, regulatory changes, and severe weather events [7] - The company expects consolidated revenue for 2025 to be in the range of $3.03 billion to $3.08 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected between $1.67 billion and $1.72 billion [28] Other Important Information - The company closed a strategic acquisition of Simplitium, enhancing its Extreme Events business and providing access to over 300 third-party models [18] - A cash dividend of $0.45 per share was paid, a 15% increase from the prior year, alongside a $200 million accelerated share repurchase program [27][28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on the marketing solutions and outlook for 2025 - Management acknowledged challenges in the non-insurance segment but noted growth opportunities within insurance marketing solutions [33][34] Question: Factors contributing to strong pricing realization in forms and loss costs - Strong premium growth and enhanced client value perception were cited as key drivers of pricing realization [38][40] Question: Future margin performance and efficiency efforts - Management indicated that while margin efficiency is a focus, future margin expansion may taper as investments continue [45][46] Question: Changes in client conversations amid macro uncertainty - Management reported no fundamental changes in client priorities but noted increased focus on inflation and tariff impacts [96][99] Question: M&A opportunities in the current market environment - The company is actively monitoring the market for potential acquisitions that can add value to the insurance industry [103][104]
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 13:25
Core Insights - Verisk Analytics reported quarterly earnings of $1.73 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.67 per share, and showing an increase from $1.63 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 3.59% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $753 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.40% and up from $704 million year-over-year [2] - Verisk has outperformed the S&P 500, gaining approximately 7.5% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has declined by 4.7% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.78, with expected revenues of $766.13 million, and for the current fiscal year, the EPS estimate is $7.01 on revenues of $3.07 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Verisk is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Business - Information Services industry, to which Verisk belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 39% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Verisk's stock performance [5]
Verisk(VRSK) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-07 11:39
Financial Performance - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of $753 million, a 7% increase year-over-year (YoY), or 7.9% on an organic constant currency (OCC) basis[9, 12] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $417 million, up 9.5% (OCC), with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 55.3%, a 130 bps expansion[9, 12] - Diluted adjusted EPS increased by 6.1% to $1.73[9, 12] - Free cash flow grew by 23.3% to $391 million[9, 12] Revenue Breakdown - Subscription revenue grew by 10.6% (OCC) and represented 83% of total revenue[9, 18] - Transactional revenue declined by 4.0% (OCC) and accounted for 17% of total revenue[9, 18] - Underwriting revenue increased by 7.2% (OCC), while Claims revenue grew by 9.6% (OCC)[9, 16] - Domestic revenue accounted for 83% of total revenue, with international revenue making up the remaining 17%[9] Capital Allocation - The company returned $263 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases[8] - $200 million was used to repurchase shares in Q1 2025[8, 28] - A dividend of $0.45 per share was paid in Q1 2025, totaling $63 million[28] - Issued $700 million of 5.25% notes due in 2035 and retired $500 million of 4.0% senior notes[28] 2025 Outlook - The company reiterated its 2025 guidance, projecting total revenue between $3.03 billion and $3.08 billion, representing OCC growth of 6% to 8%[8, 24] - Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $1.67 billion and $1.72 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 55% to 55.8%[24] - Diluted adjusted EPS is projected to be between $6.80 and $7.10[24]
Verisk(VRSK) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-05-07 11:20
For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 mo ...
Verisk(VRSK) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-05-07 11:18
Exhibit 99.1 Verisk Reports First-Quarter 2025 Financial Results JERSEY CITY, N.J., May 7, 2025 — Verisk (Nasdaq: VRSK), a leading global data analytics and technology provider, today announced results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025. The earnings release is available on the company's Investor Relations website at investor.verisk.com. Lee Shavel, President and CEO, Verisk: "I am pleased to share that 2025 is off to a solid start at Verisk as we delivered broad-based top line growth across underwr ...
Verisk Reports First-Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Globenewswire· 2025-05-07 11:15
Core Insights - Verisk reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, with a revenue increase of 7.0% year-over-year, reaching $753 million, and organic constant currency revenue growth of 7.9% [5][8][16] - The company achieved a net income of $232 million, reflecting a 5.9% increase compared to the previous year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $417 million, up 9.5% [3][10][17] - Verisk returned over $250 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, demonstrating confidence in its business model and financial strength [3][23] Financial Performance - Revenues for Q1 2025 were $753 million, up from $704 million in Q1 2024, marking a 7.0% increase [5][8] - Net income increased to $232 million from $219 million, a rise of 5.9% [10][40] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $417 million, up 9.5% from $380 million in the same quarter last year [10][11] - Diluted EPS attributable to Verisk was $1.65, an increase of 8.6% from $1.52 [13][40] - Free cash flow grew by 23.3% to $391 million, compared to $317 million in Q1 2024 [15][56] Segment Performance - Underwriting revenues increased by 6.8% to $532 million, with organic constant currency growth of 7.2% [7][16] - Claims revenues grew by 7.5% to $221 million, with organic constant currency growth of 9.6% [7][16] Shareholder Returns - The company returned over $250 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [3][23] - The dividend per share was increased to $0.45, up 15.4% from $0.39 [5][15] 2025 Financial Guidance - Verisk reiterated its financial guidance for 2025, projecting total revenue between $3.03 billion and $3.08 billion, and adjusted EBITDA between $1.67 billion and $1.72 billion [18]
Verisk Set to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 16:46
Core Viewpoint - Verisk (VRSK) is set to release its Q1 fiscal 2025 results on May 7, with expectations of revenue growth and earnings increase compared to the previous year [1][2][4]. Revenue Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Verisk's revenues is $745 million, reflecting a 6.5% increase from the same quarter last year [2]. - Revenue estimates from the United States are projected at $612.4 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.4% [3]. - Expected revenues from the U.K. are $55.7 million, showing a 7.3% increase from the prior year [3]. - Revenues from other countries are estimated to rise by 13.5% to $80.6 million [3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is $1.67, suggesting a 2.5% growth from the previous year's figure [4]. - Strong margin expansion is anticipated to contribute positively to the bottom line [4]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model indicates that Verisk may not achieve an earnings beat this quarter, with an Earnings ESP of -2.34% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [5].
Verisk Unveils First-of-Its-Kind SRCC Catastrophe Model for the U.S. to Quantify Political Violence Risks
Globenewswire· 2025-04-30 09:15
Core Insights - The insurance industry has faced over USD 10 billion in insured losses from strikes, riots, and civil commotion (SRCC) since 2010, significantly higher than the less than USD 1 billion attributed to terrorism [1][2] - Verisk has introduced the first catastrophe model specifically for SRCC events in the U.S. to help insurers quantify financial impacts and enhance risk management strategies [1][4] Group 1: Financial Impact of SRCC Events - Since 2010, global insured losses from SRCC events exceed USD 10 billion, while terrorism-related losses are below USD 1 billion [2] - In the last six years, five SRCC events have each caused over USD 1 billion in global insured losses [2] - The U.S. has experienced approximately USD 3 billion in insured losses from SRCC events [2] Group 2: Verisk's SRCC Model - The SRCC Model features a 500,000-year stochastic catalog that assesses the frequency and severity of unrest across every ZIP Code in the U.S. [3] - The model evaluates key risk drivers, including social and economic trends, political factors, and historical protest patterns [3] - It aims to provide enhanced insights for exposure management and catastrophe modeling, moving beyond traditional historical data [3] Group 3: Underwriting and Risk Management - Verisk's SRCC Model is designed to empower insurers to improve underwriting strategies and make informed decisions regarding pricing, capital allocation, and risk management [4] - The model combines nearly 40 years of catastrophe modeling expertise with over 15 years of experience in quantifying political violence [4] - It allows insurers to estimate potential insured losses, create robust underwriting guidelines, and assess tail risk through plausible extreme scenarios [6]