Core Insights - The global modeled insured average annual property loss (AAL) from natural catastrophes has increased to $152 billion, indicating a significant rise in expected annual insured property losses [1][3] - Non-crop property and casualty losses rose by 25 percent compared to 2024, with severe thunderstorms and other frequency perils accounting for two-thirds of total potential losses [1][4] - The report highlights a $32 billion increase in non-crop global modeled insured AAL over 2024, reflecting an upward trend in catastrophe losses globally [3] Industry Trends - Over the past five years, insured losses have averaged $132 billion per year, compared to $104 billion in the preceding five-year period, indicating a growing trend in catastrophe-related losses [3] - Frequency perils, such as severe thunderstorms, winter storms, wildfires, and inland floods, now account for two-thirds ($98 billion) of the total modeled AAL, outpacing risks from larger events by a ratio of 2 to 1 [4][5] - The report emphasizes the need for insurers to adapt their strategies to address the increasing frequency and impact of these perils [5] Regional Insights - Property exposure in Verisk-modeled countries grew by 7 percent annually from 2020 to 2024, driven by inflation and construction in high-hazard areas [11] - In Asia and Latin America, insured losses account for only 12 percent and 32 percent of economic losses, respectively, compared to 48 percent in North America, highlighting significant protection gaps [11] - The 2025 Palisades and Eaton fires in North America caused up to $65 billion in economic losses, with 60-70 percent insured, indicating high insurance penetration but escalating wildfire risk [11] Modeling Innovations - Verisk introduced new inland flood models for Malaysia, Indonesia, and Ireland, and updated models for Australia, Mexico, the UK, the U.S., and South Korea [10] - The report underscores the importance of adopting forward-looking risk models that reflect current environmental and climate realities [10]

Core Viewpoint - Verisk Analytics, Inc. is offering $750 million of 4.500% Senior Notes due 2030 and $750 million of 5.125% Senior Notes due 2036 to finance the acquisition of AccuLynx for approximately $2.35 billion [1][2]. Group 1: Offering Details - The offering consists of two sets of Senior Notes: $750 million of 4.500% Senior Notes due 2030 and $750 million of 5.125% Senior Notes due 2036 [1]. - The closing of the offering is expected on August 21, 2025, pending customary closing conditions [1]. - Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC, BofA Securities, Inc., and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC are acting as joint book-running managers for the offering [3]. Group 2: Use of Proceeds - The net proceeds from the offering, along with borrowings from a senior unsecured three-year delayed draw term loan facility and cash on hand, will be used to finance the acquisition of AccuLynx [2]. - The total purchase price for the acquisition is approximately $2.35 billion [2]. Group 3: Company Overview - Verisk is a leading global data analytics and technology provider, primarily serving the insurance industry [6]. - The company focuses on enhancing operational efficiency, improving underwriting and claims outcomes, and addressing global risks such as climate change and sustainability [6]. - Verisk operates in over 20 countries and is recognized for fostering an inclusive workplace culture [6].

Verisk Analytics (VRSK -6.35%), a leader in data analytics for the insurance industry, released its second quarter 2025 results on July 30, 2025. The headline news: Both revenue (GAAP) and diluted adjusted earnings per share (non-GAAP) exceeded Wall Street expectations, with revenue (GAAP) at $773 million (up 7.8%) and non-GAAP EPS at $1.88 (up 8.0%). Full-year 2025 revenue and adjusted earnings guidance was raised, though it tightened EPS projections due to higher forecast interest costs. Overall, the quar ...

Analyst's Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. I assigned a Sell rating to Verisk Analytics (NASDAQ: VRSK ) in May 2025, discussing its business grow ...

Core Insights - Verisk (VRSK) reported strong second-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with earnings and revenues exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate [1] - Adjusted earnings per share were $1.88, surpassing estimates by 6.2% and increasing 8.1% year-over-year [1] - Total revenues reached $772.6 million, slightly above consensus and up 7.8% year-over-year [1] Financial Performance - Underwriting and Rating revenues grew 8.3% year-over-year to $550 million, exceeding the estimate of $538.5 million [3] - Claim revenues increased 6.6% year-over-year to $223 million, falling short of the estimate of $228.5 million [3] - Adjusted EBITDA rose 11.9% year-over-year to $445 million, surpassing the estimate of $427.4 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 57.6% [4] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - The company reported net cash utilized from operating activities of $244.5 million and free cash flow usage of $188.7 million [5] - Share repurchases amounted to $100 million, and dividends returned to shareholders totaled $63 million [5] 2025 Guidance - Verisk raised its revenue guidance for fiscal 2025 to a range of $3.09-$3.12 billion, above the previous range of $3.03-$3.08 billion and higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.08 billion [6] - Adjusted EBITDA forecast was increased to $1.70-$1.74 billion from $1.67-$1.72 billion [6] - Adjusted earnings per share guidance was slightly lowered to $6.80-$7.00 from $6.80-$7.10, below the consensus mark of $7.05 [7]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, consolidated revenue was $773 million, reflecting a 7.8% increase year-over-year, driven by strong growth in underwriting and claims [21] - Net income decreased by 18% to $253 million, and diluted GAAP earnings per share fell by 16% to $1.81, primarily due to a prior year gain related to disposed businesses [21][28] - Organic constant currency revenue growth was 7.9%, with adjusted EBITDA growth of 9.7% and total adjusted EBITDA margins at 57.6%, up 220 basis points from the prior year [8][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Underwriting revenues grew by 7.7%, while claims revenues increased by 8.3% [23] - Subscription revenues, which accounted for 82% of total revenue, grew by 9.3% on an organic constant currency basis, driven by strong performance in forms, rules, loss costs, Extreme Event Solutions, and Anti-Fraud [23] - Transactional revenues, comprising 18% of total revenues, returned to growth at 1.8%, supported by international business strength [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Extreme Events business saw strong revenue growth from securitization, with record issuance volumes [25] - The auto business experienced softness due to tough comparisons from the previous year and competitive pressures [25] - Federal government spending cuts are expected to impact revenue starting in Q3, although these contracts represent less than 1% of total revenue [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on becoming a data analytics specialist and integrated technology network for the global insurance industry, emphasizing innovation and advanced technologies [10] - Recent acquisitions of AccuLinks and AssuranceBay are aimed at enhancing the company's service offerings and expanding its market presence [10][30] - The company plans to invest in integrating these acquisitions to drive long-term revenue growth and maximize synergies [30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's performance, raising revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook for 2025 due to strong first-half results and the impact of acquisitions [9][33] - The company anticipates challenges in the second half of the year due to strong prior year comparisons and known factors affecting certain business lines [50] - Management remains optimistic about the core business's strength and the potential for continued growth despite external pressures [50] Other Important Information - The company announced a definitive agreement to acquire AccuLinks for $2.35 billion, which is expected to enhance its Property Estimating Solutions business [10] - The acquisition is anticipated to be accretive to earnings by the end of 2026, with expected revenue contributions of $40 million to $50 million from acquisitions this year [30][33] - The company is committed to returning capital to shareholders, having increased its dividend by 15% and completed a $100 million share repurchase program [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the AccuLinks deal and anticipated revenue and cost synergies? - Management highlighted the strategic importance of the AccuLinks merger, emphasizing customer overlap and synergy opportunities between the two businesses [39][41] - Cost synergies are not the primary focus, as AccuLinks has attractive margins, but there are revenue opportunities to pursue post-acquisition [44] Question: Is the revenue outlook softer than before? - Management acknowledged the strong first half but noted challenges in the second half due to tough comparisons and known factors affecting certain business lines [48][50] Question: What competitive pressures are being faced in the auto business? - Management indicated that a large competitor poses challenges, but they continue to find ways to innovate and provide value to clients [55] Question: Will there be more focus on SaaS platforms in the future? - Management confirmed that connectivity and integration of SaaS platforms are key strategic priorities moving forward [60][64] Question: What is the growth potential for AccuLinks in its core market? - Management noted that AccuLinks has a significant total addressable market and is well-positioned for continued growth due to its specialized offerings [68][70] Question: How will the company manage leverage while continuing share repurchases? - Management explained that they will balance debt repayment with share repurchase activities, leveraging strong free cash flow to manage both [91] Question: How does AccuLinks differentiate itself in the competitive landscape? - Management identified AccuLinks' specialization in roofing as a key differentiator compared to broader contractor SaaS providers [93]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the second quarter of 2025, consolidated revenue was $773 million, reflecting a 7.8% increase year-over-year, driven by strong growth in underwriting and claims [19] - Net income decreased by 18% to $253 million, and diluted GAAP earnings per share were $1.81, down 16% year-over-year, primarily due to a prior year gain related to disposed businesses [19][26] - Organic constant currency revenue growth was 7.9%, with adjusted EBITDA growth of 9.7% and total adjusted EBITDA margins at 57.6%, up 220 basis points from the prior year [6][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Underwriting revenues grew by 7.7%, while claims revenues increased by 8.3% on an organic constant currency basis [20] - Subscription revenues, which comprised 82% of total revenue, grew by 9.3%, driven by strong performance in forms, rules, loss costs, Extreme Event Solutions, and Anti-Fraud [20] - Transactional revenues, accounting for 18% of total revenues, returned to growth with a modest increase of 1.8% [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Extreme Events business saw strong revenue growth from securitization, with record issuance volumes [22] - The company experienced softness in the auto business due to tough comparisons from the previous year and competitive pressures [22] - Weakness in the sustainability business was noted due to market conditions [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on becoming a data analytics specialist and integrated technology network for the global insurance industry, emphasizing innovation and advanced technologies [7][8] - The acquisition of AccuLinks for $2.35 billion is expected to enhance the company's property estimating solutions and create synergies through improved connectivity between insurers and contractors [9][10] - The company aims to maintain capital allocation discipline while investing in high-return opportunities and returning excess capital to shareholders [8][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's performance, raising revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook for 2025 due to strong first-half results and the impact of acquisitions [7][31] - The company anticipates challenges in the second half of the year due to strong comparisons from 2024 and federal government spending cuts, although these contracts represent less than 1% of total revenue [21][46] - Management highlighted ongoing competitive pressures in the auto business and the need to adapt to changing market conditions [22][53] Other Important Information - The company announced a cash dividend of $0.45 per share, a 15% increase from the prior year, and completed a $100 million accelerated share repurchase program [27] - The company is committed to returning capital to shareholders while managing leverage, which is expected to temporarily increase due to the acquisition financing [29][87] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the AccuLinks deal and its impact on revenue and cost synergies? - Management highlighted the strategic importance of the AccuLinks merger, emphasizing the overlap with existing customers and the potential for revenue synergies through enhanced connectivity [38][40] Question: Is the revenue guidance softer than before? - Management acknowledged the strong results in the first half but noted challenges in the second half due to tough comparisons and competitive pressures, maintaining a balanced outlook [44][46] Question: What competitive pressures are being faced in the auto business? - Management identified a large competitor in the auto space and acknowledged the need to find innovative solutions to maintain competitiveness [53] Question: Will the acquisition of AccuLinks change the growth outlook? - Management indicated that while AccuLinks is expected to be additive to growth, the overall impact on the 6% to 8% organic growth target will be assessed as the integration unfolds [95] Question: How does the company plan to manage leverage while repurchasing shares? - Management explained that they will raise debt for the acquisition but will also maintain share repurchase activity, balancing debt paydown with capital returns [87]

Verisk Analytics (VRSK) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.88 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.77 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.74 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +6.21%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this insurance data provider would post earnings of $1.67 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.73, delivering a surprise of +3.59%. Over the last four qua ...

Financial Performance - Verisk reported revenue of $773 million, a 7.8% year-over-year increase[12] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $445 million, up 11.9% year-over-year[12] - Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 220 basis points to 57.6%[9, 12] - Diluted Adjusted EPS increased by 8.0% to $1.88[9, 12] - Free cash flow grew by 22.6% to $189 million[9, 12] Revenue Breakdown - Underwriting revenue increased by 7.7% organically[9] - Claims revenue increased by 8.3% organically[9] - Subscription revenue grew by 9.3% organically, accounting for 81% of total revenue[9, 18] - Transactional revenue grew by 1.8% organically, accounting for 17% of total revenue[9, 18] Capital Allocation - Verisk returned $163 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases[8] - The company repurchased $100 million of shares in 2Q25[28] - A dividend of $0.45 per share was paid in 2Q25, totaling $63 million[28] Acquisitions and Outlook - Verisk closed the acquisition of SuranceBay for $163 million[8, 28] - Verisk signed an agreement to acquire AccuLynx for $2.35 billion[8, 28] - The company increased its revenue outlook for 2025 to $3.09 billion - $3.13 billion[8, 24]

PART I — FINANCIAL INFORMATION [Item 1. Financial Statements](index=4&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Financial%20Statements) This section presents the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025, covering balance sheets, operations, cash flows, and notes on significant accounting policies and subsequent events [Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=4&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets) | Balance Sheet Item | June 30, 2025 (in millions) | Dec 31, 2024 (in millions) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Assets** | | | | Cash and cash equivalents | $628.7 | $291.2 | | Total current assets | $1,377.4 | $911.6 | | Goodwill | $1,809.4 | $1,726.6 | | Total assets | $4,794.9 | $4,264.7 | | **Liabilities & Equity** | | | | Long-term debt | $3,233.2 | $2,546.9 | | Total liabilities | $4,482.3 | $4,159.7 | | Total stockholders' equity | $312.6 | $105.0 | - Total assets increased to approximately **$4.8 billion** as of June 30, 2025, from **$4.3 billion** at year-end 2024, primarily driven by a significant increase in cash and cash equivalents and goodwill[10](index=10&type=chunk) - Total liabilities rose to nearly **$4.5 billion**, largely due to an increase in long-term debt, which grew from **$2.5 billion** to **$3.2 billion**[10](index=10&type=chunk) [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations](index=5&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Operations) | Metric | Q2 2025 (in millions) | Q2 2024 (in millions) | YoY Change | H1 2025 (in millions) | H1 2024 (in millions) | YoY Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Revenues | $772.6 | $716.8 | +7.8% | $1,525.6 | $1,420.8 | +7.4% | | Operating income | $354.3 | $318.7 | +11.2% | $684.4 | $626.1 | +9.3% | | Net income attributable to Verisk | $253.3 | $308.1 | -17.8% | $485.6 | $527.7 | -8.0% | | Diluted EPS attributable to Verisk | $1.81 | $2.15 | -15.8% | $3.45 | $3.67 | -6.0% | - Revenues and operating income grew year-over-year for both the three and six-month periods, however, net income and EPS declined significantly due to a large investment gain of **$99.8 million** in Q2 2024 that was not repeated in 2025[11](index=11&type=chunk) [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows](index=11&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows) | Cash Flow Activity (Six Months Ended June 30) | 2025 (in millions) | 2024 (in millions) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net cash provided by operating activities | $689.2 | $592.4 | | Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities | $(138.4) | $(23.8) | | Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities | $(225.7) | $(236.9) | | Net increase in cash and cash equivalents | $337.5 | $329.4 | - Cash from operations increased by **$96.8 million** for the first six months of 2025 compared to the prior year, driven by higher operating profit and a federal tax refund[19](index=19&type=chunk)[146](index=146&type=chunk) - Financing activities for the first half of 2025 included proceeds from new debt (**$698.3 million**), repayment of debt (**$500.0 million**), stock repurchases (**$300.1 million**), and dividend payments (**$126.0 million**)[19](index=19&type=chunk)[150](index=150&type=chunk) [Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements](index=13&type=section&id=Notes%20to%20Condensed%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements) - On April 2, 2025, the company acquired Simplitium Limited for a cash purchase price of **$19.7 million**, which resulted in **$11.9 million** of goodwill[38](index=38&type=chunk)[39](index=39&type=chunk) - In March 2025, the company issued **$700.0 million** of 5.250% senior notes due 2035, with a portion of the proceeds used in April 2025 to repay **$500.0 million** of 4.000% senior notes due 2025[49](index=49&type=chunk) - The company is involved in several legal proceedings, including class actions related to telematics data, for which it is not possible to reasonably estimate liability at this stage[83](index=83&type=chunk)[84](index=84&type=chunk) - Subsequent to the quarter's end, the company completed the acquisition of SuranceBay for **$162.5 million** and entered into a definitive agreement to acquire AccuLynx for **$2.35 billion** in cash[89](index=89&type=chunk)[90](index=90&type=chunk) [Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations](index=34&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Management%27s%20Discussion%20and%20Analysis%20of%20Financial%20Condition%20and%20Results%20of%20Operations) Management discusses the company's financial results, highlighting revenue growth driven by Underwriting and Claims, while explaining the decline in net income and EBITDA margin due to a non-recurring investment gain in the prior year, alongside strong liquidity and capital structure modifications [Results of Operations](index=37&type=section&id=Results%20of%20Operations) Revenue by Category (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024) | Category | Q2 2025 (in millions) | Q2 2024 (in millions) | YoY Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Underwriting | $549.6 | $507.5 | +8.3% | | Claims | $223.0 | $209.3 | +6.6% | | **Total Insurance** | **$772.6** | **$716.8** | **+7.8%** | Revenue by Category (H1 2025 vs H1 2024) | Category | H1 2025 (in millions) | H1 2024 (in millions) | YoY Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Underwriting | $1,081.6 | $1,005.9 | +7.5% | | Claims | $444.0 | $414.9 | +7.0% | | **Total Insurance** | **$1,525.6** | **$1,420.8** | **+7.4%** | - The decrease in Net Income and EBITDA margin for both the three and six-month periods was primarily driven by net gains realized in the prior year from the settlement of retained interests related to past business divestitures, which did not recur in 2025[122](index=122&type=chunk)[123](index=123&type=chunk)[135](index=135&type=chunk) - Operating expenses increased at a slower rate than revenues for Q2 2025 (**5.1%** vs **7.8%**), leading to an **11.2%** increase in operating income[108](index=108&type=chunk) [Liquidity and Capital Resources](index=45&type=section&id=Liquidity%20and%20Capital%20Resources) - The company generated significant cash flow from operations, totaling **$689.2 million** for the first six months of 2025, an increase of **16.3%** from the prior year[144](index=144&type=chunk)[146](index=146&type=chunk) - During the first six months of 2025, the company used cash for **$300.1 million** in share repurchases and **$126.0 million** in dividend payments[141](index=141&type=chunk) - Total debt increased to **$3.25 billion** at June 30, 2025, from **$3.05 billion** at year-end 2024, with **$995.4 million** available under its **$1 billion** syndicated revolving credit facility[142](index=142&type=chunk)[143](index=143&type=chunk) [Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk](index=47&type=section&id=Item%203.%20Quantitative%20and%20Qualitative%20Disclosures%20About%20Market%20Risk) The company reports no material changes to its market risks since the disclosures made in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024 - Market risks as of June 30, 2025, have not materially changed from those discussed in the company's 2024 Form 10-K filed on February 26, 2025[154](index=154&type=chunk) [Item 4. Controls and Procedures](index=47&type=section&id=Item%204.%20Controls%20and%20Procedures) Management, including the CEO and CFO, concluded that the company's disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of June 30, 2025, with no material changes to internal control over financial reporting during the period - The CEO and CFO concluded that as of June 30, 2025, the company's disclosure controls and procedures were effective at a reasonable assurance level[156](index=156&type=chunk) - There were no changes in the company's internal control over financial reporting during the six months ended June 30, 2025, that have materially affected or are likely to materially affect it[157](index=157&type=chunk) PART II — OTHER INFORMATION [Item 1. Legal Proceedings](index=48&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Legal%20Proceedings) This section cross-references Note 15 of the financial statements, detailing the company's involvement in various legal proceedings in the ordinary course of business - The company is party to various legal proceedings in the ordinary course of business, with further details provided in Note 15 of the condensed consolidated financial statements[159](index=159&type=chunk) [Item 1A. Risk Factors](index=48&type=section&id=Item%201A.%20Risk%20Factors) The company reports no material changes to the risk factors disclosed in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024 - There has been no material change in the risk factors from those disclosed in the Annual Report on Form 10-K filed on February 26, 2025[160](index=160&type=chunk) [Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds](index=48&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Unregistered%20Sales%20of%20Equity%20Securities%20and%20Use%20of%20Proceeds) The company confirms no unregistered sales of equity securities during the quarter, detailing share repurchase activities including an additional **$1.0 billion** authorization and **$1,291.5 million** remaining available - The company did not have any unregistered sales of equity securities during the reported period[161](index=161&type=chunk) - In February 2025, the Board of Directors approved an additional **$1.0 billion** for share repurchases, with **$1,291.5 million** remaining available for future repurchases as of June 30, 2025[162](index=162&type=chunk) - During the quarter, the company repurchased **446,779** shares through the settlement of two Accelerated Share Repurchase (ASR) agreements[162](index=162&type=chunk) [Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities](index=49&type=section&id=Item%203.%20Defaults%20Upon%20Senior%20Securities) The company reports no defaults upon its senior securities during the period - None[163](index=163&type=chunk) [Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures](index=49&type=section&id=Item%204.%20Mine%20Safety%20Disclosures) The company indicates no mine safety disclosures to report - None[164](index=164&type=chunk) [Item 5. Other Information](index=49&type=section&id=Item%205.%20Other%20Information) The company states that no Section 16 officers or directors adopted, modified, or terminated any Rule 10b5-1 or non-Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangements during the second quarter of 2025 - During the quarter ended June 30, 2025, no Section 16 officers or directors adopted, modified, or terminated a Rule 10b5-1 or non-Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangement[165](index=165&type=chunk) [Item 6. Exhibits](index=49&type=section&id=Item%206.%20Exhibits) This section directs the reader to the Exhibit Index for a comprehensive list of all documents filed as part of the Form 10-Q - Refers to the Exhibit Index for a list of filed documents, including certifications and XBRL data[166](index=166&type=chunk)[168](index=168&type=chunk)