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大摩:2026年美股硬件板块面临严峻考验 但仍有结构性机会 看好苹果、西部数据等五大核心标的
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 06:43
Group 1 - Morgan Stanley raised target prices for several companies, including Apple, emphasizing the outlook for the North American IT hardware industry until 2026 [1] - The hardware sector is expected to see a net profit growth of 17% over the next 12 months, with a historical high valuation rebound of nearly 6 times since April [1] - Analysts predict a 52% outperformance of the hardware sector compared to the market in 2025, although this is lower than the early cycle average of 83% [1] Group 2 - Structural opportunities remain in 2026, with Western Digital, Seagate Technology, Apple, TD Synnex, and Teradata identified as core overweight stocks [2] - Concerns are raised regarding Dell Technologies and HP due to significant exposure to memory chip risks, which may lead to increased product prices and pressure on hardware procurement budgets [2] - Target prices for several companies were adjusted, with Apple raised from $305 to $315, Seagate from $270 to $337, Western Digital from $188 to $228, and Teradata from $30 to $35 [2]
Western Digital: Memory Cycle Recovery Makes This Undervalued Stock Hard To Ignore
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-18 02:19
Core Viewpoint - Despite a 170% surge in stock price over the past year, Western Digital (WDC) is still considered undervalued and cheap [1]. Company Summary - Western Digital is identified as a global leader in data storage [1]. - The stock's performance indicates significant growth, yet the analysis suggests that it does not reflect its true value [1]. Investment Perspective - The analysis emphasizes the importance of understanding macro trends and their influence on asset prices and investor behavior [1]. - The article aims to provide insights and foster discussions among investors to enhance long-term investment confidence [1].
SoftBank leads decline in Japanese tech stocks as worries over AI spending spill over to Asia
CNBC· 2025-12-18 02:17
Core Insights - SoftBank Group and OpenAI have announced a partnership to establish a joint venture for artificial intelligence services in Japan [1] - Japanese tech stocks, particularly SoftBank, experienced significant declines due to concerns over AI infrastructure spending [2][3] Group 1: Market Reactions - SoftBank Group Corp saw a decline of up to 7.25% in the Nikkei 225 index, which fell by 1.23% overall [2] - The Nasdaq Composite index dropped by 1.81%, influenced by losses in major tech companies involved in AI, including Oracle, Broadcom, and Nvidia [2] Group 2: Company Developments - Oracle's stock losses were attributed to stalled financing plans for a $10 billion data center, which raised concerns about AI project delays [3] - SoftBank had previously announced plans to invest $500 billion in AI infrastructure in the U.S. alongside partners like OpenAI and Oracle, and revealed five new AI data center sites under the Stargate platform [4]
Western Digital Surges 195% in 6 Months: What Should Investors Do Now?
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 15:56
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation's (WDC) shares have increased by 194.6% over the past 6 months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry and the broader market [1][8] - The company is benefiting from the rising demand for high-capacity storage driven by AI and data center needs, leading to record shipments and long-term customer commitments [5][10] Company Performance - WDC has outperformed peers such as Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and Teradata (TDC), with TDC rising by 34.9% and SMCI declining by 29% during the same period [2] - The company has also surpassed its main competitor in the HDD market, Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX), which saw a 119.3% increase [2] Market Demand - The rapid adoption of AI is driving strong demand for high-capacity storage solutions, with HDDs being the most reliable and cost-effective option for storing vast amounts of data [6][10] - WDC's high-capacity HDDs are positioned to meet the increasing demand for data infrastructure as AI use cases expand across industries [5][6] Financial Performance - WDC generated $672 million in cash from operations in the last reported quarter, a significant increase from $34 million a year earlier [12] - The company repurchased 6.4 million shares for $553 million and paid $39 million in dividends, totaling $785 million in returns since the launch of its capital return program [12] Strategic Investments - WDC is investing in emerging technologies, including a partnership with Qolab to advance quantum computing hardware, which aligns with its focus on innovation and growth [11] - The company is also advancing its ePMR and HAMR technologies, with customer qualifications for HAMR set to begin in 2026 [10][19] Estimate Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 15.2% to $7.63, while the estimate for fiscal 2027 has increased by 21.8% to $9.84 [16]
WDC Bets on Sustained AI Growth With Higher Shareholder Returns
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 15:06
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is increasing its capital allocation plans, reflecting management's confidence in the AI-driven data storage cycle [2] - The company's focus on innovation and operational discipline positions it to capture growth opportunities from the rising demand for data storage driven by AI [3] Financial Performance - WDC reported a 27% increase in revenues to $2.8 billion for Q1 fiscal 2026, with non-GAAP operating income rising 110% year over year to $856 million and margins expanding by over 1,200 basis points to 30.4% [4][12] - The company generated $599 million in cash flow during the fiscal first quarter, supported by disciplined capital expenditures of $73 million [4][12] - As of October 3, 2025, WDC had cash and cash equivalents totaling $2 billion [4] Shareholder Returns - WDC repurchased 6.4 million shares for $553 million and paid $39 million in dividends, returning a total of $785 million to shareholders since the capital return program's launch in Q4 fiscal 2025 [5] - Following strong performance, WDC announced a 25% increase in its quarterly dividend in October 2025, indicating confidence in long-term AI-driven data growth [6] Competitive Landscape - Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) is also focusing on shareholder returns, having resumed share repurchases and increased its quarterly dividend by 3% to 74 cents per share [7][8] - NetApp (NTAP) reported $3 billion in cash and equivalents, with a strong balance sheet supporting its shareholder-friendly initiatives, returning $353 million to shareholders in Q2 fiscal 2026 [9][10] Market Performance - WDC shares have gained 14.2% in the past month, contrasting with a 1.5% decline in the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry [13] - The forward price/earnings ratio for WDC is currently at 20.17X, compared to the industry's 18.44X [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 15.3% to $7.63 over the past 60 days [15]
3 Top-Ranked AI-Driven Computer Storage Devices Stocks to Buy for 2026
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 14:41
Industry Overview - The computer storage devices industry is expected to benefit from growth in cloud computing, IoT, connected devices, virtual reality, and AI, leading to increased demand for robust data storage solutions [1] - Companies are leveraging AI for IT Operations (AIOps) and machine learning to optimize storage solutions, while virtualization technologies are being used to streamline data storage [2] Company Insights Western Digital Corp. (WDC) - WDC has seen strong performance driven by cloud and AI demand, with cloud end market revenue increasing by 31% in the last quarter, accounting for 89% of total revenue [6] - The company has doubled shipments of ePMR products and is set to ramp up HAMR drives by the first half of 2027 [6] - WDC anticipates a client refresh cycle due to generative AI, boosting storage demand across various consumer electronics [7] - Expected revenue for fiscal Q2 2026 is $2.9 billion, a 20% increase, driven by data center demand [9] - Current revenue and earnings growth rates are projected at -12.1% and 54.8%, respectively, for the current year [10] Teradata Corp. (TDC) - TDC is expected to benefit from improved ARR growth, cost savings, and productivity measures, which will enhance free cash flow [11] - The company is well-positioned to manage enterprise data for AI systems, with innovative products like QueryGrid and ClearScape Analytics driving growth [12][14] - Recent acquisitions, such as Stemma, enhance TDC's analytics capabilities [13] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for next year are -0.6% and 3.3%, respectively [14] Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) - STX is experiencing strong demand from the cloud and high-capacity HAMR drive adoption, with significant revenue generated from data centers [15] - The company has its high-capacity nearline production booked through 2026, with revenue projections of $2.7 billion for fiscal Q2 2026, a 16% year-over-year increase [16][19] - Advancements in aerial density are a key strength for STX, providing a competitive advantage in the hard drive industry [17] - STX has formed an alliance with Acronis to offer secure storage solutions for AI-driven data growth [18]
Western Digital Corporation's Impressive Comeback in the Tech Sector
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-12-16 23:00
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) has made significant advancements in 2025, particularly focusing on AI-driven technologies and achieving a position in the Nasdaq-100, indicating a strong recovery in the tech sector [1][5] - Cantor Fitzgerald has set a new price target of $250 for WDC, suggesting a potential increase of approximately 43.7% from its current trading price of around $174, reflecting positive investor sentiment [2][5] - WDC's stock has surged by about 195% since the beginning of the year, showcasing strong investor confidence in the company's strategic direction [2][5] Stock Performance - Currently, WDC's stock price is $171.42, with a slight decrease of 0.36% or $0.63, indicating some volatility [3] - The stock has experienced a daily trading range between $170.75 and $177.38, with significant fluctuations over the past year, reaching a high of $188.77 and a low of $28.83 [3] - WDC's market capitalization stands at approximately $59.52 billion, highlighting its substantial presence in the market [4] Trading Activity - The trading volume for WDC is 2,669,491 shares on the NASDAQ exchange, reflecting active investor interest and close monitoring of the company's performance [4]
Western Digital’s Nasdaq-100 Entry Caps Its AI-Driven Comeback
Investing· 2025-12-16 17:24
Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis covering Invesco QQQ Trust, Western Digital Corporation, Seagate Technology PLC, and Lululemon Athletica Inc [1] Group 2 - Invesco QQQ Trust is highlighted for its performance in the technology sector, reflecting strong investor interest [1] - Western Digital Corporation and Seagate Technology PLC are discussed in the context of the storage solutions market, indicating competitive dynamics and market share trends [1] - Lululemon Athletica Inc is analyzed for its growth in the retail sector, showcasing its brand strength and consumer engagement strategies [1]
What is Driving Western Digital's Gross Margin Expansion in FY26?
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 15:56
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is experiencing significant gross margin expansion due to a favorable product mix, healthy pricing dynamics, disciplined cost controls, and improved operational efficiencies, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 43.9% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, marking a 660 basis points year-over-year improvement and a 260 basis points sequential increase [1][8] Group 1: Margin and Revenue Growth - The transition towards higher-capacity nearline hard disk drives (HDDs), particularly advanced ePMR and UltraSMR products, is a key driver of margin strength, with shipments reaching 204 exabytes, a 23% increase year-over-year [2] - The company expects non-GAAP gross margin for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 to be in the range of 44-45%, indicating further sequential improvement, alongside projected non-GAAP revenues of $2.9 billion, a 20% increase year-over-year [5][8] Group 2: Customer Demand and Product Development - All top seven customers have placed purchase orders extending through the first half of 2026, with one major hyperscale customer securing supply through 2027, indicating strong demand for next-generation HAMR drives [3] - The accelerating adoption of AI and data-intensive workloads among hyperscale customers is driving robust demand for WDC's solutions, with significant shipments of the latest ePMR products exceeding 2.2 million units in the September quarter [2] Group 3: Cost Management and Pricing - Pricing conditions have been supportive, with modest low-single-digit increases in average selling price (ASP) per terabyte on both a sequential and year-over-year basis, while the company continues to achieve mid- to high-single-digit cost reductions per terabyte [4] - Management highlighted disciplined cost controls and operational execution as key factors underpinning margin expansion [4] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Seagate Technology and Micron Technology are also experiencing margin expansion, driven by strong demand in the cloud and AI-driven markets, with Seagate reporting a non-GAAP gross margin of 40.1% and Micron achieving a gross margin of 45.7% [6][7]
3 Storage Devices Stocks to Buy in a Flourishing Industry
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 14:31
Core Insights - The Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry is experiencing long-term growth driven by digital transformation, edge computing, AI workloads, and enterprise cloud adoption, with companies like Western Digital benefiting from increased demand for high-capacity HDDs and SSDs [1][2]. Industry Overview - The industry includes companies that design, develop, manufacture, and market HDDs and SSDs for various applications, including PCs, servers, and consumer electronics. Some players also offer software-defined storage solutions and purpose-built servers [3]. Trends Influencing the Industry - The rapid proliferation of AI is reshaping the tech landscape, increasing demand for high-speed, high-capacity storage solutions. Traditional storage architectures are being replaced by NVMe-based SSDs and software-defined storage to meet the needs of AI applications [4]. - Innovation in cloud storage technologies is driving industry growth, with companies leveraging AI and machine learning to optimize storage solutions amid increasing data complexity [5]. - Companies are focusing on virtualization and edge computing to enhance data storage efficiency, with a shift towards recurring revenue models as cloud-native storage gains traction [6]. Market Performance - The Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry has outperformed the S&P 500, rising 57.7% over the past year compared to the S&P 500's 14.7% growth, although it lags behind the broader sector's 21.1% increase [12]. Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.66X, below the S&P 500's 23.35X and the sector's 28.15X, indicating potential undervaluation [15]. Company Highlights - **Western Digital (WDC)**: The company is experiencing strong demand for its high-capacity drives, with shipments of its ePMR products exceeding 2.2 million units in the September quarter. WDC expects fiscal second-quarter revenues of $2.9 billion, up 20% year-over-year, driven by data center demand [18][20]. - **Sandisk Corporation (SNDK)**: Demand for Sandisk's NAND products is expected to exceed supply, with data center revenues growing 26% sequentially. The company anticipates fiscal second-quarter revenues between $2.55 billion and $2.65 billion, driven by bit growth and price increases [23][24]. - **Teradata (TDC)**: TDC is well-positioned in the hybrid cloud space, with public cloud ARR increasing 11% year-over-year. The company expects free cash flow in the range of $260-$280 million for fiscal 2025 [29][30].