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投顾周报:指数拒绝回调 题材多点开花
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES· 2024-03-18 16:00
Group 1 - The report highlights the "Action Plan" aimed at expanding domestic demand and deepening supply-side structural reforms, emphasizing market-led initiatives with government guidance [3][4] - The "Action Plan" sets a target for equipment investment in various sectors, including industrial, agricultural, and transportation, to grow by over 25% by 2027 compared to 2023 [3][4] - Key tasks outlined in the "Action Plan" include equipment upgrades, old-for-new consumption initiatives, recycling actions, standard enhancements, and strengthening policy support [4] Group 2 - The report notes the recent popularity of "Gansu Tianshui Spicy Hot Pot," which has significantly boosted local tourism and related concept stocks [5][25] - The company "Zhongxing Junye," based in Tianshui, has seen its stock price surge due to the hot pot trend, with a three-day cumulative increase of 26.08% [26] - Despite the recent stock performance, "Zhongxing Junye" reported a net loss in the third quarter of 2023, indicating potential volatility in the market driven by trends [26]
机械行业周报:人形机器人产业化提速,持续关注催化落地进展
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES· 2024-03-18 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the mechanical industry is "Recommended" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is accelerating its industrialization, with significant developments expected from major events such as NVIDIA's GTC 2024 conference and updates from Tesla and other key players [6][34] - A large-scale equipment update plan has been officially released, with an expected investment scale exceeding 5 trillion yuan, focusing on sectors like machine tools, railways, and agricultural machinery [6][39] - The excavator market saw a significant decline in sales, with February 2024 domestic sales down 49.2% year-on-year, but a recovery is anticipated as policy effects gradually manifest [7][37] - Forklift sales increased by 10.6% year-on-year in January-February 2024, indicating stable growth in the industry despite a decline in February due to seasonal factors [8][37] - The energy equipment sector is expected to rebound as the global shift towards clean energy accelerates, presenting investment opportunities [8] Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - From March 11 to March 15, 2024, the mechanical equipment industry rose by 1.48%, ranking 19th among 31 industries [12] - Key stocks showed significant fluctuations, with notable gains from companies like UBTECH and declines from others like Shanghai HuGong [12][15] 2. Key Industry Data - As of February 2024, China's manufacturing PMI was at 49.1%, indicating a slight decline, while fixed asset investment increased by 4.2% year-on-year [16][18] - The production of metal cutting machine tools increased by 13.5% year-on-year in December 2023, maintaining high growth [20] 3. Industry News - UBTECH's humanoid robot Walker S has been tested in a new energy vehicle factory, showcasing its capabilities [33] - NVIDIA's GTC 2024 conference will feature significant advancements in robotics, with participation from major tech companies [34] - ABB has announced a new AI strategy aimed at enhancing productivity through the integration of AI technologies [35] 4. Key Listed Company Information - Companies like Anhui Heli and Jiangsu Shentong have reported significant revenue growth, with Anhui Heli's revenue reaching 17.471 billion yuan, a 10.76% increase year-on-year [40][41]
通信行业周报:5G-A迈向商用,产业链迎发展机遇
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES· 2024-03-18 16:00
证 券研究报告 y 通信 报告日期:2024 年3 月18 日 5G-A 迈向商用,产业链迎发展机遇 ———通信行业周报 华龙证券研究所 摘要: 周要闻: 投资评级:推荐(维持) (1)3 月 14 日下午,中国移动携手多家央企发布《国有企业落实扩 大内需战略的路径研究》报告。 最近一年走势 (2)河南省人民政府办公厅近日印发《河南省加快制造业“六新”突 破实施方案》。 (3)近日中国移动在中兴通讯的基站设备上完成了全球首次 UDD 技 术组网验证,迈出了该技术从理论研究到应用落地的坚实一步。 (4)中国信息通信研究院算网融合研究团队发起“SD-WAN+信创”评 测项目。 (5)山西联通、河北联通、黑龙江联通分别携手华为完成3CC基站连 相对沪深300走势(%)2024/3/15 片商用验证,率先开启5G-A时代。 表现 1m 3m 12m 通信(申万) 22.4 7.0 9.3 周观点: 沪深300 6.1 8.7 -9.4 国内5G-A加速发展,迈向商用。从地区来看,河南省提出到2025年, 全省5G基站总数超过25万个;山西联通、河北联通、黑龙江联通分 ...
A股投资策略周报告:外围影响有限,市场总体稳定
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES· 2024-03-18 16:00
研究员 请参阅文后免责条款 证券研究报告 ——A 股投资策略周报告 摘要(核心观点): 2 月美国通胀数据超预期。2 月美国 CPI 同比上涨 3.2%,较 1 月上升 0.1%; 环比上涨 0.4%,涨幅也较 1 月上升 0.1%,为 2023 年 9 月以来最大涨幅。2 月美国 PPI 环比上涨 0.6%,涨幅较 1 月上升 0.3%,2 月美国 PPI 同比上涨 1.6%,为 2023 年 9 月以来最大涨幅。数据发布后,美元指数反弹,10 年 期美债收益率小幅上行,美股科技板块及现货黄金有所调整,美股指表现 对外围市场有所传导。市场关于美联储降息预期有所减弱。 策略研究报告 图目录 表目录 策略研究报告 推动资本市场高质量发展的政策继续出台。3 月 15 日证监会发布多项关于资本市场高质量发展的政策,落实 "强监管、防风险"。其中与资本市场发展直接相关的政 策包括:"一是关于严把发行上市准入关,从源头上提高 上市公司质量的意见。二是关于加强上市公司监管的意 见。三是关于加强证券公司和公募基金监管,加快推进建 设一流投资银行和投资机构的意见。"关于资本市场高质 量发展的政策"坚持目标导向、问题导向"、" ...
汽车行业周报:汽车以旧换新方案发布,政策优化保障销量增长
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES· 2024-03-18 16:00
证券研究报告 汽车 报告日期:2024年 03月 18 日 汽车以旧换新方案发布,政策优化保障销量增长 ——汽车行业周报 华龙证券研究所 摘要: 本周观点:汽车以旧换新行动方案发布,政策优化保障销量增长。 投资评级:推荐(维持) 国务院发布《推动大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新行动方案》, 最近一年走势 提出到2027 年报废汽车回收量较2023 年增加约1倍,据乘联会 测算,2023年报废汽车增量约 756万辆,据此计算,2027年我国 报废汽车回收量预计超 1500 万辆;到 2027 年二手车交易量较 2023 年增长 45%,据中国汽车流通协会数据,2023 年二手车销 量达1841万辆,据此计算,2027年二手车交易量预计达 2670 万 辆,CAGR4 达9.7%,远高于2019-2023 年的5.4%。报废换购销 量和二手车交易量有望双双实现增长,叠加中央财政汽车以旧换 新补贴政策有望落地,汽车及乘用车市场销量有望持续增长。 重点行业动态:电动化方面,蔚来与宁德时代合作推动长寿命电 分析师:杨阳 池研发创新;智能化方面,问界发布 OTA预告,问界M9将上线 执业证书编号:S02305231 ...
化工行业周报:碳酸锂价格中枢上移,橡胶市场挺价情绪不减
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES· 2024-03-18 16:00
证 券研究报告 -y 化工 报告日期:2024 年3 月18 日 碳酸锂价格中枢上移,橡胶市场挺价情绪不减 ———化工行业周报 华龙证券研究所 摘要: 原油:本周原油价格突破 2023年11 月初新高,国际能源署上调 投资评级:推荐(维持) 需求预测,下调供应预测,叠加地缘局势不稳定性延续,国际油 价上涨,但整体来看,全球需求尚无全面回暖迹象,上涨空间有 最近一年走势 限。 聚氨酯:本周聚合 MDI市场价格缓跌下行,随着货源填充稳定且 货量充裕,场内跟进持续迟缓,买盘偏弱,聚合 MDI价差小幅下 沪深300指数 化工(申万) 10% 降。 5% 0% 聚酯化纤:本周PA66价格较上周持平,较上月增长 6.98%,预 -5% -10% 计短期横盘运行,原料价格较高,成本面压力不减,下游高价跟 -15% -20% 进一般,聚合产能利用率不高,市场现货供应稳定。 -25% -30% 氟化工:本周国内萤石市场价格行情大稳小动,萤石粉供应量持 -35% -40% 续偏紧,部分持货商保持挺价出货意愿,由于氢氟酸生产成本倒 32 30 52 32 40 52 32 50 52 32 60 52 32 70 ...
计算机行业周报:GTC大会叠加出海机遇,关注终端设备放量
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES· 2024-03-18 16:00
证 券研究报告 计算机 报告日期:2024年 3月 18日 GTC 大会叠加出海机遇,关注终端设备放量 ———计算机行业周报 华龙证券研究所 摘要: 算力国产化进程仍在持续,国产芯片替代空间依然广阔。受海外映射 投资评级:推荐(维持) 影响,近期国内液冷服务器、AI终端或将迎来事件催化。近年来,部 分计算机专用设备厂商把握行业机会,积极布局出海业务,其成果有 最近一年走势 望在业绩上开始兑现,维持计算机行业“推荐(维持)”评级。 沪深300 计算机 20 英伟达2024GTC大会召开在即,据英伟达官网GTC大会议程,多项会 议与液冷技术有关。在此之前,国内外服务器大部分以风冷为主要散 0 热技术,而随着AI发展,高算力芯片功耗大幅提升,使得具备低能耗、 -20 高散热、低噪声特点的液冷成为传统风冷散热技术的替代方案。我们 -40 认为液冷行业生态将进一步完善,提供液冷服务器和液冷散热解决方 案的厂商有望受益。个股方面建议关注浪潮信息(000977.SZ)、神 -60 州数码(000034.SZ)、中科曙光(603019.SH)、海光信息(688041.SH)、 相对沪深 300走势2024/3/15( ...
华龙证券华龙内参2024年第48期,总第1607期(电子版)
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES· 2024-03-14 16:00
Market Analysis - The overall market experienced a decline with over 3,500 stocks falling, indicating a decrease in risk appetite among investors. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1,007.2 billion, down by 47.6 billion from the previous trading day [6][19]. Northbound Capital - Northbound capital recorded a net purchase of 6.422 billion, with the Shanghai Stock Connect net buying 4.247 billion and the Shenzhen Stock Connect net buying 2.175 billion [8]. Key News - At the 2024 Xuan Tie RISC-V Ecosystem Conference, Damoyuan announced upgrades to several Xuan Tie processors, including the C907, which now supports matrix operations for AI acceleration. The next-generation flagship processor C930 is expected to launch within the year [11]. - The RISC-V architecture is positioned to potentially replace ARM's market position in various sectors due to its modular design, allowing chip designers to customize instruction sets for specific applications. Major companies and academic institutions have joined the RISC-V Foundation, indicating strong industry support [11]. - The Chinese innovative drug market is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting a market size of 1,530.8 billion RMB by 2026 and further growth to 2,058.4 billion RMB by 2030. This growth is supported by government policies and the recovery of in-hospital treatments [11]. Stock Performance - Notable stocks that reached their daily limit include: - Ai Ai Precision Engineering (603580) with an increase of 9.99% [12]. - Zhongdian Xingfa (002298) with a 10.06% rise, focusing on algorithms, robotics, and optical storage [12]. - Xingguang Co. (002076) also saw a 10.00% increase, driven by lithium battery equipment [12]. Future Events Reminder - The report highlights the importance of upcoming events and developments in the market, particularly in sectors like innovative drugs and RISC-V technology, which are expected to shape future investment opportunities [14].
食品饮料行业周报:进入消费淡季,关注春糖催化和酒企提价潮
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES· 2024-03-13 16:00
证券研究报告 食品饮料 报告日期:2024 年03 月11日 进入消费淡季,关注春糖催化和酒企提价潮 ———食品饮料行业周报 摘要: 华龙证券研究所 上周(03 月 04 日-03 月 08 日)申万一级食品饮料行业涨跌幅 -1.83%,上证指数上涨+0.63%,食品饮料指数跑输大盘。伴随政 策利好的不断推出和预期的修复,我们认为食品饮料中长期维度 投资评级:推荐(维持) 具备较好的配置价值,维持“推荐”评级。 白酒:上周(03 月 04 日-03 月 08 日)白酒板块涨跌幅-1.79%, 最近一年走势 古井贡酒(+3.35%)涨幅居前,岩石股份(-7.93%)、顺鑫农业 (-6.94%)跌幅居前。3 月 15 日起,53 度、42 度汾酒青花 20, 53度巴拿马基础版将上调出厂价,青花 20将涨价20元/瓶。五粮 食品饮料 沪深300 液、泸州老窖、洋河股份、古井贡酒发布“质量回报双提升”行 10% 0% 动方案的公告,近来酒企通过提价,梳理渠道价盘,不断提升渠 -10% 道信心,本周即将开启的春季糖酒会,预计对板块有一定的催化 -20% -30% 作用。中长期来看,居民收入水平和消费信心仍是影 ...
金融行业周报:市场回暖助力券商估值回升
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES· 2024-03-13 16:00
证 券研究报告 银行/非银金融 报告日期:2024年 3月 11日 市场回暖助力券商估值回升 ——金融行业周报 华龙证券研究所 本周观点: 上周(3 月 4 日至 3月8 日)A 股市场整体维持震荡,沪深 300 投资评级:增持(维持) 指数上周小幅上涨 0.2%,全年上涨 3.31%,非银金融指数上周 最近一年走势 下跌2.37%,非银金融指数全年上涨 0.73%,证券指数和保险指 数上周分别下跌 2.95%和下跌 0.84%,全年分别下跌 1.06%与上 沪 深 3 00 非 银 金 融 (申 万 ) 银 行 (申 万 ) 2 0 % 涨5.59%,银行指数上周小幅上涨 0.36%,全年上涨11.1%。 1 5 % 1 0 % 5 % 银行:关注政策以及国债发行等流动性措施对银行息差的影响。 0 % 银行短期仍需要关注 LPR 下行带来的息差压力,以及融资协调 -5 % -1 0 % 机制运行情况,在市场利率中枢持续下行的情况下,政策层面流 -1 5 % 动性持续加码对银行息差有所呵护,未来持续关注银行端负债压 -2 0 % -2 5 %2 力。关注标的:江苏银行(600919.SH)、浙商银行( ...