证券研究报告 钢铁 报告日期：2025 年 03 月 24 日 业绩逆势增长，产品结构持续优化 ——南钢股份（600282.SH）2024 年报点评报告 华龙证券研究所 最近一年走势 | 当前价格（元） | 4.72 | | --- | --- | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 3.98-5.55 | | 总市值（百万元） | 29,099.23 | | 流通市值（百万元） | 29,099.23 | | 总股本（万股） | 616,509.10 | | 流通股（万股） | 616,509.10 | | 近一月换手（%） | 15.81 | 分析师：景丹阳 执业证书编号：S0230523080001 邮箱：jingdy@hlzq.com 联系人：彭越 执业证书编号：S0230124010004 邮箱：pengy@hlzq.com 事件： 投资评级：增持（首次覆盖） 南钢股份发布 2024 年报：公司实现营业收入 618.11 亿元，同比 下降 14.79%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润 22.61 亿元，同比增长 6.37%；基本每股收益 0.3667 元。 观点： 请认真阅读文后免责条款 市场数据 2025 ...

证券研究报告 人形机器人 报告日期：2025 年 03 月 24 日 应用端逐步落地，短期调整不改长期趋势 ——人形机器人专题周报 华龙证券研究所 执业证书编号：S0230521040001 邮箱：xingt@hlzq.com 《智元推出通用具身大模型，重视人形 机器人大脑发展—人形机器人行业专题 研究周报》2025.03.11 《政府工作报告首提具身智能，政策助 力人形机器人量产加速—人形机器人专 题点评报告》2025.03.06 《区域机器人产业发展加速，人形机器 人运动能力突破—人形机器人行业专题 研究周报》2025.03.04 摘要： 请认真阅读文后免责条款 元在上海举行了战略签约仪式。双方将携手打造并推出基于智慧 家庭场景的服务机器人，推动家庭服务机器人行业迈向新台阶， 加速 AI 智慧家庭生态创新发展。 投资建议：机器人板块近期进入调整阶段，我们判断与年报季资 金风险偏好切换以及部分获利盘兑现有关。我们认为，短期调整 不改变长期趋势，人形机器人产业已进入"技术突破→量产降本 →场景渗透"的黄金周期，行业有望成为 2025 年核心投资主线， 维持行业"推荐评级"。建议围绕：①大脑作为机器人进化的突 ...

美容护理 报告日期：2025 年 03 月 24 日 锦波生物获诚信承诺企业称号，推动行业透明发展 ——美容护理行业周报 投资评级：推荐（维持） 最近一年走势 证券研究报告 执业证书编号：S0230523080004 邮箱：sunbw@hlzq.com 管理体系已达到国际领先水平—美容护 理行业周报》2025.03.17 2025.03.11 《中国医美技术加速创新，关注市场前 景—美容护理行业周报》2025.02.18 摘要： 请认真阅读文后免责条款 分析师：孙伯文 锦波生物荣获"全国产品和服务质量诚信承诺企业"，推动行业 透明发展。3 月 15 日，中国质量检验协会授予锦波生物"全国产 品和服务质量诚信承诺企业"荣誉称号，并对锦波生物的产品和 服务质量诚信作出"全国质量检验稳定合格产品"质量信誉承诺 公告。中国质量检验协会调查显示，锦波生物旗下薇旖美牌系列 产品、兰蜜牌系列产品、重组Ⅲ型人源化胶原蛋白冻干纤维、重 组人源化胶原蛋白、抗 HPV 生物蛋白敷料在 2022 年 2 月至 2025 年 1 月期间，相关质量检验（产品质量监督抽查和检测）中均为 合格。2021 年 6 月，锦波生物自主研发的代表性 ...

策略研究报告 证券研究报告 策略报告 报告日期：2025 年 3 月 24 日 前两月经济平稳向好 ——A 股投资策略周报告 华龙证券研究所 A 股市场走势(2024/03/01-2025/03/21) 姓 名：朱金金 执业证书编号：S0230521030009 邮 箱：zhujj@hlzq.com 相关阅读 增长》2025.03.18 及行业利好催化方向》2025.03.10 极有为》2025.03.06 摘要（核心观点）： 1-2 月经济平稳向好。①1-2 月工业增加值同比增长 5.9%，比 2024 年全年 上升 0.1%；2 月工业增加值比上月增长 0.51%。②1-2 月社会消费品零售总 额同比增长 4.0%，较 2024 年全年上升 0.5%；2 月社会消费品零售总额比 上月增长 0.35%。③1-2 月份，固定资产投资同比增长 4.1%，较 2024 年全 年上升 0.9%；2 月固定资产投资比上月增长 0.49%。其中基础设施投资同 比增长 5.6%，制造业投资增长 9.0%；房地产开发投资下降 9.8%，降幅收 窄。 美联储维持利率不变。3 月 20 日美联储议息会议将联邦基金利率的目标区 ...

证券研究报告 电力设备 报告日期：2025 年 03 月 20 日 1-2 月电力数据：风电出力环比加快，用电增速同比+1.3% ——行业动态点评报告 华龙证券研究所 投资评级：推荐（维持） 最近一年走势 执业证书编号：S0230523110001 邮箱：yangy@hlzq.com 执业证书编号：S0230524080001 行业动态研究 表：重点关注公司及盈利预测 | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 2025/03/20 | | EPS（元） | | | | PE | | | 投资 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 股价（元） | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 评级 | | 600011.SH | 华能国际 | 6.93 | 0.54 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 1.04 | 12.9 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 6.7 | 买入 | | 600027.SH | 华电国际 | 5. ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [2] Core Views - In the first two months of 2025, the newly installed capacity for photovoltaic (PV) reached 39.47 GW, a year-on-year increase of 7%. As of the end of February 2025, the total installed capacity for PV was 930 million kW, up 42.9% year-on-year [5] - For wind power, the newly installed capacity in the same period was 9.28 GW, a year-on-year decrease of 6%. The total installed capacity for wind power reached approximately 530 million kW, an increase of 17.6% year-on-year [5] - The report indicates that the demand for new energy installations is expected to continue to grow in the long term, with future consumption pressure likely to be alleviated through energy storage and virtual power plants [5] Summary by Sections Installed Capacity Data - Photovoltaic: 39.47 GW added in January-February 2025, +7% year-on-year; total capacity 930 million kW, +42.9% year-on-year [5] - Wind Power: 9.28 GW added in January-February 2025, -6% year-on-year; total capacity approximately 530 million kW, +17.6% year-on-year [5] Investment Data - Power investment in January-February increased by 0.2% year-on-year, while grid investment rose by 33.5% year-on-year. The cumulative average utilization of power generation equipment was 505 hours, a decrease of 61 hours compared to the same period last year [5] Stock Recommendations - Recommended stocks include leading PV companies such as Longi Green Energy, Aiko Solar, JinkoSolar, Canadian Solar, and TCL Zhonghuan. Additionally, it is suggested to focus on profitable inverter and energy storage segments, including Sungrow Power Supply, DeYe Shares, and Shangneng Electric. Virtual power plant business targets include Guoneng Rixin and Anke Rui [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the building materials industry, indicating a positive outlook due to the gradual recovery in cement demand and rising prices, which are expected to enhance industry profitability [4]. Core Insights - Cement demand is slowly recovering, with national cement enterprise shipment rates reaching 43%, a slight increase of less than 5 percentage points month-on-month. Southern regions are seeing shipment rates of 50-70%, while northern regions are just starting to see demand, with rates between 10-40% [4][13]. - Cement prices continue to rise as companies respond to national policies promoting self-discipline and staggered production, aiming to improve financial conditions. The report highlights key companies to watch, including Huaxin Cement, Shangfeng Cement, and Conch Cement [4][6]. - The glass industry is experiencing a decline in prices due to sluggish demand and increasing inventory levels, with the market expected to see further price drops in the near term [31][33]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry - The report notes a 1.6% increase in national cement prices week-on-week, with significant price hikes in East, Central, and Southwest regions. The report emphasizes the importance of self-discipline among cement companies to stabilize prices [13][15]. - The report highlights that the overall shipment rates for cement are still low in northern regions, while southern regions are recovering better. The report also mentions that environmental regulations are still affecting project progress, which could impact demand [14][20]. Glass Industry - The report indicates that the average price of float glass has decreased to 1283 RMB/ton, with a continued downward trend expected due to weak demand and rising inventory levels. The report suggests that the market is facing supply-demand imbalances, leading to price reductions [31][33]. - The report also notes that production lines are stable, but the overall market sentiment remains weak, with limited purchasing activity from downstream industries [31][33]. Real Estate Market - The report observes a recovery in the real estate market, with transaction volumes and prices stabilizing. This improvement is expected to positively influence the demand for building materials [37]. - The report highlights that the sales area and sales revenue of new and second-hand homes have shown a narrowing decline, indicating a potential recovery in market confidence [37].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the building materials industry, indicating a positive outlook due to the gradual recovery in cement demand and rising prices, which are expected to enhance industry profitability [4]. Core Insights - Cement demand is slowly recovering, with national cement enterprise shipment rates reaching 43%, a slight increase of less than 5 percentage points month-on-month. Southern regions are seeing shipment rates of 50-70%, while northern regions are just starting to see demand, with rates at 10-40% [4][13]. - The national cement price continues to rise, driven by industry self-discipline and peak production adjustments in response to the government's "anti-involution" policy. This price increase aims to alleviate losses faced by enterprises [4][13]. - The glass industry is experiencing a decline in demand, with floating glass prices dropping and inventory levels increasing. The overall market is characterized by weak demand and price flexibility [4][31]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry - The cement market is witnessing a gradual recovery in demand, with a national shipment rate of 43% and regional variations where southern enterprises are performing better than northern ones [4][13]. - Prices are on an upward trend, with increases of 20-40 CNY/ton in various regions, as companies implement peak production strategies and price hikes to improve profitability [4][13][15]. - Key companies to watch include Huanxin Cement (600801.SH), Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ), and Conch Cement (600585.SH) [4]. Glass Industry - The floating glass market is facing challenges, with prices declining and overall demand sluggish. The average price of floating glass is reported at 1283 CNY/ton, down 20 CNY from the previous week [31]. - Inventory levels are rising, with total stock reaching 7025.7 million weight boxes, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [31][33]. - The market outlook remains cautious, with expectations of continued price declines due to weak demand and high inventory levels [31][33]. Real Estate and Construction Materials - The real estate market shows signs of stabilization, with a reduction in the year-on-year decline in sales volume and prices. This improvement is expected to positively impact the demand for construction materials [39]. - The report highlights a potential recovery in consumer demand for building materials, driven by improving market confidence and a gradual recovery in the real estate sector [39].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the computer industry [2][22]. Core Insights - The upcoming NVIDIA GTC 2025 conference is expected to catalyze interest in areas such as agent-based AI, robotics, and accelerated computing, with a focus on domestic AI technology [4][16]. - The report highlights the increasing attention on domestic AI industries following the introduction of China AI Day at the NVIDIA conference, which aims to enhance the influence of domestic AI in various sectors [4][16]. - The report emphasizes the optimistic capital expenditure outlook for major domestic companies, predicting a significant increase in inference computing power, which is directly linked to AI applications [20][22]. Summary by Sections Recent Market Performance - From March 10 to March 14, 2025, the Shenwan Computer Index declined by 1.36%, with notable gainers including Zhisheng Information and Hongquan Internet, while losers included Yonyou Network and Deepin Technology [9]. Industry News - Baidu released its Wenxin large model 4.5 and X1, introducing new capabilities for advanced search and AI drawing, with pricing set for API usage [14]. - OpenAI launched new tools to simplify the development of intelligent agents, indicating a trend towards more accessible AI development [14]. Key Company Announcements - Daotong Technology expects a net profit of 180 to 200 million yuan for Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 44.29% to 60.32% [15]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic cloud computing companies such as Inspur Information and Yunsai Zhili, as well as AI application firms like Yonyou Network and Dingjie Zhizhi, and quantum technology companies like Guodun Quantum [22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the computer industry [2][22]. Core Insights - The upcoming NVIDIA GTC 2025 conference is expected to catalyze interest in areas such as agent-based AI, robotics, and accelerated computing, with a focus on domestic AI technology [4][16]. - The report highlights the increasing attention on domestic AI industries following the introduction of China AI Day at the NVIDIA conference, which aims to enhance the influence of domestic AI in various sectors [4][16]. - The report emphasizes the optimistic capital expenditure outlook for major domestic companies, predicting a significant increase in the proportion of inference computing power by 2026 [20][22]. Summary by Sections Recent Market Performance - From March 10 to March 14, 2025, the Shenwan Computer Index declined by 1.36%, with notable gainers including Zhisheng Information and Hongquan Internet, while losers included Yonyou Network and Deepin Technology [9]. Industry News - Baidu released its Wenxin large model 4.5 and X1, introducing new capabilities for advanced search and AI drawing, with pricing set for API usage [14]. - OpenAI launched new tools to simplify the development of intelligent agents, indicating a trend towards more accessible AI development [14]. Key Company Announcements - Daotong Technology expects a net profit of 180 to 200 million yuan for Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 44.29% to 60.32% [15]. - Zhongcheng Technology signed a contract with China Mobile for a private cloud service project valued at 160 million yuan [15]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic cloud computing companies such as Inspur Information and Yunsai Zhili, as well as AI application firms like Yonyou Network and Dingjie Zhizhi, and quantum technology companies like Guodun Quantum [22].