ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab China Consumer Staples Sector Channel check with a frozen food distributor in East China Product upgrades and pre-prepared dishes are key industry growth drivers We hosted a conference call with a frozen food distributor in East China to track recent industry trends. Overall, the distributor stays optimistic about the growth potential of frozen food industry, primarily driven by the increase in ASPs due to product upgrades, while volume growth is relatively ...

ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab Powered by YES UBS Evidence Lab Peloton Interactive Inc July Web Traffic for Interactive Visits down -12% YOY; Q4 Preview July is down less than June-May declines of -17-19% Our analysis of total interactive visits to the Peloton website, with interactive visits defined as total visits excluding bounced visits (those that enter a site, take no action and then leave), shows July web traffic is down -12%, improving from steeper declines in May down -19% and J ...

ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab First Read Natura &Co Sharp loss, despite improved results in LatAm; Avon Chapter 11 Avon's chapter 11 drives sharp net loss Although 2Q adj. EBITDA of 804m came-in just slightly below of expectations (UBSe R$827m), net loss came-in at a sharp -R$859m (vs. UBSe at +R$80m), due to a +R $725m write-off in Avon-related deferred taxes, as the company announced the Chapter 11 request of its subsidiary Avon Products, holding of the Avon beauty brand. As part of t ...

ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab US Softlines Retail Expert Call Recap: Specialty Apparel Retail: Backto-School Starts Strong Specialty Apparel Retail industry sales growth trends have accelerated: The market is wondering how the Back-to-School (BTS) season has started for mallbased specialty apparel retailers. To address this question, we hosted a call on 8/9/24 with a senior leader of a specialty retail organization focused mainly on teen retail and fast fashion. The key conclusion is BT ...

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First Read ISS A/S H1 profits in-line, but with some mixed details Q: How did the results compare vs expectations? A: Q2 organic growth and H1 profits were broadly in-line with expectations, with guidance items reaffirmed and a modest buyback increase. Some of the details (e.g. outlook for net new contracts being lowered for FY'24e, despite some recent wins) were more mixed. Q: What were the most noteworthy areas in the results? A: Organic growth of +5.8% y/y in Q2'24 was in-line with consensus and similar ...

ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab HF Sinclair Corp Call takeaways and Adjusting Estimates Call takeaways DINO provided 3Q24 throughput guidance of 570-600mb/d, this takes into account turnaround at the Parco refinery as well as turnaround at El Dorado which was moved from 4Q24 to 3Q24. DINO has signed new contracts to convert 150 stores to its branded wholesale sites, which translates into expected growth of ~10% over the next 6 months to 12 months. DINO looking to add more branded location ...

ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab US Asset Managers IVZ and BLK stand alone with inflows in a choppy but upwardly trending tape Broad beta tailwinds partially offset by outflows, ex. IVZ & BLK July AUM reports reflected mixed markets (Nasdaq down 0.8% and S&P 500 up 1.1% in July), but total AUM higher across the board. Highlights: 1. IVZ reported robust inflows in July (+$10.8bn), primarily in equities (+$7.4bn) and fixed income (+$2.2bn). This has become a positive trend for the firm with ...

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Global Research and Evidence Lab 13 August 2024 EchoStar Corporation Churn better than expected; Nov maturity in focus In active discussions ahead of November maturity We are updating our estimates following 2Q results, which incl. better metrics (TV sub losses lower; wireless adds positive ex-ACP) but sustained revenue/EBITDA declines. Mgmt indicated it is in constructive discussions w/ funding sources to raise add'l capital ahead of its Nov' 24 debt maturity (~$2B). While visibility is limited, we believe ...