Key Takeaways Coach sales rose 13% in Q4, with double-digit gains across North America, China and Europe.Premium pricing and higher handbag units boosted profitability and expanded margins.Over 1M new North America customers joined, nearly 70% from Gen Z and millennials.Tapestry, Inc.’s (TPR) Coach brand delivered exceptional performance in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, achieving 13% year-over-year sales growth on a constant-currency basis. Growth was broad-based, with North America increasing 16%, Chi ...

Core Insights - Retailers are facing rising tariff costs but have managed to avoid significant price hikes for consumers so far [2][3][5] - Consumer spending remains steady, with some retailers reporting healthy sales of discretionary items [8][11][12] - Companies are employing various strategies to mitigate the impact of tariffs, including diversifying sourcing and adjusting pricing carefully [16][20][28] Group 1: Retail Performance - Walmart and Tapestry have raised their sales outlooks for the year, indicating strong consumer demand for discretionary items [8][12] - Sales of fashion items at Walmart accelerated, with specific high-demand products selling out quickly [9][29] - Lower-income shoppers are more sensitive to price changes, affecting their purchasing behavior [11][12] Group 2: Tariff Impact and Mitigation - Retailers have absorbed some tariff costs while passing others onto consumers, but the overall impact has been less severe than anticipated [5][21][30] - Companies like Home Depot and Lowe's are focusing on home professionals to stabilize traffic amid uncertain consumer spending [25][26] - Walmart has benefited from diversified revenue streams, including a 46% growth in global advertising [26][28] Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - Retailers are importing goods from a wider range of countries and stocking up on high-frequency purchases to mitigate tariff impacts [16][20] - Some brands, like Birkenstock and Coach, have successfully increased prices without losing customer demand [29][30] - Companies are adjusting inventory strategies, with Crocs reducing orders and swapping out older inventory for fresher styles [32]

Core Insights - Tapestry's international operations are crucial for understanding its financial strength and growth potential [1][2] - The company's total revenue for the quarter ending June 2025 was $1.72 billion, reflecting an 8.3% year-over-year increase [4] International Revenue Breakdown - Greater China contributed $273.9 million, accounting for 15.9% of total revenue, surpassing the consensus estimate by 11.87% [5] - Other International generated $141.4 million, constituting 8.2% of total revenue, falling short of projections by 5.86% [6] - Other Asia contributed $204.7 million, making up 11.9% of total revenue, also missing expectations by 2.35% [7] Revenue Projections - Analysts forecast Tapestry's total revenue for the current fiscal quarter to be $1.55 billion, a 3.1% increase from the prior year [8] - For the entire year, total revenue is projected at $7.2 billion, representing a 2.7% improvement from the previous year [9] Market Trends and Stock Performance - Tapestry's stock has declined by 2.6% over the past month, while the S&P 500 has increased by 3.5% [13] - In the last three months, Tapestry's stock price has risen by 31.1%, outperforming the S&P 500's 9.3% increase [13]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan indicates a slowdown in China's textile and apparel retail growth in July, while online sales are accelerating. In contrast, U.S. textile and apparel retail has seen two consecutive months of acceleration in growth [1][2]. Group 1: China Textile and Apparel Retail - In July, China's retail sales of clothing, shoes, and knitted goods increased by 1.8% year-on-year, showing a slowdown compared to June's growth of 1.9%. Cumulatively, from January to July, the retail sales grew by 2.9% year-on-year, compared to a mere 0.5% in the same period last year [2]. - Online retail sales of clothing in China from January to July grew by 1.7% year-on-year, accelerating from 1.4% in the first half of the year, but down from 6.3% in the same period last year [2]. Group 2: U.S. Textile and Apparel Retail - In July, U.S. retail sales for clothing and accessories increased by 5.0% year-on-year, accelerating from June's growth of 4.7%. Cumulatively, from January to July, the growth was 4.4% year-on-year, compared to 2.0% in the same period last year [2]. Group 3: Performance of Taiwanese Manufacturers - In July, several Taiwanese manufacturers reported a slowdown in revenue growth compared to June. For instance, Yu Yuan's revenue growth was +0.5%, Feng Tai's was -8.8%, and Yu Qi's was +5.2%, contrasting with June's growth rates of +9.4%, -3.1%, and +23.3% respectively [3]. - The latest quarter saw strong brand momentum for On and Coach, with On managing to offset tariff impacts through price increases. Coach anticipates a $160 million impact on gross profit due to tariffs in FY26 [3]. Group 4: Company-Specific Insights - Tapestry reported FY25 revenue of $7.01 billion, a 5% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin rise of 2.1 percentage points to 75.4%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was $180 million, affected by an $850 million loss provision for Kate Spade, but showing a 25.6% growth when adjusted [3]. - Coach's performance was strong, with a neutral growth rate of 10% for the year. In FY25 Q4, Coach's growth accelerated to 13%, with core markets like North America, China, and Europe growing by 16%, 22%, and 12% respectively [3]. - On reported FY25 Q2 revenue of 750 million Swiss francs, a 32.0% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin increase of 1.6 percentage points to 61.5%. The company raised its full-year guidance for revenue growth to at least 31% [4].

But joining us now is Anisha Sherman of Bernstein. She has a buy rating on the stock. Anisha, it's great to have you here and let's start right there.Do you buy Tapestry here. And if so, why. >> Yeah.So, I was surprised at the magnitude of the reaction. Um, you know, look, the the stock was priced for perfection. It had been up 74% year-to date up to that point and the guidance was a little bit low.So, I did expect a bit of a pullback, but the magnitude of pullback was surprising because the reason the guid ...

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.04 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.02, with revenue of $1.72 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase and surpassing expectations [1] - The company anticipates fiscal 2026 revenue to approach $7.2 billion, slightly above the previous estimate of $6.96 billion, indicating low-single-digit growth from the prior year [2] Financial Performance - Coach experienced strong handbag revenue growth, attributed to a mid-teens average unit retail (AUR) gain for the quarter and a low-double-digit gain for the year [1] - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey maintains an Outperform rating on Tapestry's stock, with a price target of $125 [2] Earnings Outlook - The earnings outlook considers current mitigation efforts, with Telsey suggesting that the guidance appears conservatively prudent, indicating potential for upside [3] - The company is optimistic about a strong start to fiscal year 2026, with a higher dividend enhancing confidence ahead of the upcoming Investor Day [3] Tariff Impact - Tapestry faces greater tariff pressure than expected, with the early end of the de minimis exemption leading to a combined $160 million profit impact, equating to a 230 basis points hit on margins [4] - This situation results in a 60-cent EPS drag, most of which was not present in the previous quarter, due to the exemption's unexpected early termination [4] Revenue Projections - For fiscal year 2026, the analyst projects revenue of $7.24 billion, a 3.2% increase from the prior estimate of $6.99 billion, aligning with the guidance of "approaching $7.2 billion" [5] - The expectation is that Coach will outperform while Kate Spade may underperform earlier forecasts [5] Stock Performance - Tapestry shares are trading higher by 2.90%, reaching $98.50 [5]

Group 1 - The company aims to invest in firms with ideal qualitative attributes, purchasing them at attractive prices based on fundamentals, and holding them indefinitely [1] - The investment strategy involves managing a concentrated portfolio to avoid underperformers while maximizing exposure to high-potential winners [1] - The company plans to publish articles on selected companies approximately three times a week, including extensive quarterly follow-ups and constant updates [1] Group 2 - The company may rate high-quality firms as 'Hold' if their growth opportunities do not meet the required threshold or if the downside risk is deemed too high [1]

Group 1 - Point72 Hong Kong Ltd. initiated positions in Nvidia, Amer Sports, Coherent, Hesai, and AbbVie in Q2 [1] - The firm increased holdings in Pinduoduo, Amazon, Charles Schwab, and Cardinal Health [1] - Point72 completely exited positions in Alibaba, Analog Devices, Procter & Gamble, and Las Vegas Sands [1] Group 2 - The company reduced its stake in Manbang [1] - Point72's top holdings include Nvidia, Futu Holdings, Amer Sports, Pinduoduo, and Tapestry [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tapestry, the parent company of Coach and Kate Spade, is facing significant profit headwinds due to increased tariffs, which are expected to cost the company $160 million in the upcoming fiscal year, despite anticipated sales growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - Tapestry expects full-year fiscal 2026 earnings to be between $5.30 and $5.45 per share, which is below analysts' expectations of $5.49 per share [1][3]. - The company projects revenue of approximately $7.2 billion for the fiscal year, indicating low single-digit growth compared to the previous year [3]. Tariff Impact - The CFO highlighted that the company is experiencing greater profit challenges from tariffs than previously anticipated, particularly due to the suspension of the de minimis rule, which previously allowed duty-free entry for items valued at $800 or less [2]. - Tapestry is exploring various strategies to mitigate the impact of tariffs, including diversifying manufacturing locations and improving operational efficiency [5]. Industry Context - Other retailers are also adapting to higher tariff costs by moving manufacturing, raising prices, and focusing on popular items [4]. - Major U.S. retailers, including Walmart, Home Depot, and Target, are expected to report their quarterly earnings soon, which may provide further insights into industry trends [6].

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) reported strong fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, surpassing Zacks Consensus Estimates for both revenues and earnings, with year-over-year increases in both metrics and an improvement in gross margin [1][3][12] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings for the fiscal fourth quarter were $1.04 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.01 and reflecting a 13% increase from $0.92 in the prior year [3] - Net sales reached $1,723.2 million, beating the consensus estimate of $1,684 million, marking an 8.3% year-over-year increase and 8% growth on a constant-currency basis [4][11] - Consolidated gross profit was $1.32 billion, up 10.4% from the previous year, with a gross margin increase of 140 basis points to 76.3% [12] Brand Performance - Coach brand net sales were $1.43 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.39 billion, with a 14% year-over-year increase [7] - Kate Spade's sales were $252.6 million, falling short of the consensus estimate and reflecting a 13% decline [7] - Stuart Weitzman reported net sales of $45.5 million, surpassing estimates but showing a 10% year-over-year decrease [8] Customer Engagement - The company acquired 1.5 million new customers in North America, with Gen Z and Millennial consumers accounting for approximately 60% of new customers [5] - Direct-to-consumer revenues grew 6% on a constant-currency basis, driven by mid-teens growth in digital revenues [6] Regional Sales Insights - North American sales increased 8% year-over-year to $1.10 billion, while Greater China sales improved 18% to $273.9 million [9] - European markets showed a 13% revenue increase to $104.2 million, while Japan experienced a 7% decline [9] Future Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Tapestry projects revenues to be close to $7.2 billion, indicating low-single-digit growth from the prior year [23] - Earnings per share are forecasted to be between $5.30 and $5.45, reflecting a growth of 4-7% from the previous year [25]